POLITICAL GAME STATE: Pacuła: Even Meloni Was Tired of PiS, Szułdrzyński: The President's Delay Will Poison the Political Atmosphere, Pekao Analysts: Little Fiscal Space Remains for Electoral Promises

10/27/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Trzecia Droga at Szczęśniak's: "If anyone can cooperate with the President, it's us," Kalukin: "It's possible to argue that Hołownia significantly boosted overall turnout," Pekao Report: "Children spend too much time in front of screens."

10/26/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Dziedzic: Likely 18 Ministries, at Least 10 for Civic Coalition, 4 for Third Way, 2-3 for The Left; GW: The Left Enters Race for Sejm Marshal; Kuisz: Liberalism Reduced to an Economic Doctrine Could Cost Us Liberal Democracy

10/25/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Kuisz: A strong Law and Justice party should mobilize the future coalition towards strong cooperation, the threat of the Netanyahu effect, Zaremba: Duda will be a very young retiree, will he not want to compete for leadership?

10/23/2023


POLITICAL GAME STATE: Szczerek on PiS's mistakes, Maciejowski on the public television disgrace, Zaremba on Kosiniak and Hołownia

10/21/2023


POLITICAL LANDSCAPE: Szułdrzyński: All this aims to make the new government's inauguration not a triumphant post-election moment, but one steeped in a poisoned atmosphere; Pacewicz: Something happened just before or even on election day. Young people say i

10/20/2023


POLITICAL GAME: Szułdrzyński: PiS Could Win a Third Term If It Stopped Being PiS; Wielowieyska: A Dispute with Duda over Abortion Would Benefit Prime Minister Tusk; PKO: Consumer Sentiment is Steadily Improving

10/19/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Tusk's Strategy to Secure EU Funds, PiS System Broken and Irreversible, Kalukin: This Empire Will Counterattack Again, NASK to Support Energy Sector Entities in Cybersecurity

10/18/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Szubartowicz: Pundits were wrong about Hołownia being PiS's hidden agent and Kosiniak-Kamysz waiting to fall into PiS's arms; Flis: PiS won optically, lost politically

10/17/2023


ELECTION STATE: Zaremba: A Peculiar Victory of Big Cities over Provincial Poland, Szubartowicz: Smaller Parties Will Benefit from a Crucial Swing Vote Position, Karnowski: There's a Foundation to Build Upon, Pekao Analysts: A Relatively Solid Trade Surplus

10/16/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Bendyk: Most Poles Don't Share the Opinion of 'Most Important Elections Since 1989', Wielowieyska: What is a Tobacco Company Director Doing at a Confederation Meeting?

10/12/2023


POLITICAL GAME: Janicki and Baczyński: Those Who Care More Will Win, Sadura: Support for PiS May Be Undervalued, and Third Way Overrepresented Because It's a Safe Option to Admit To

10/11/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Majmurek Says Tusk's Nerves Got the Better of Him But Smaller Committees Shined, Danielewski: Paradoxically, the PO Leader Underperforming Could Help the Opposition Overall, Business Insider on the Vase from the Debate, Ipsos Representative

10/10/2023


Political Chess: Zaremba on Minor Parties' Lack of Distinction from Tusk; Tusk Vows Accountability, Not a "Clean Slate"

10/07/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Bodnar on Moving Beyond Past Grievances, Szczęśniak on Moods in Civic Coalition: Tusk's Approach, PKO: We Estimate the Overall Sector Deficit in 2024 Will Be 4.6% of GDP and Approximately 1pp Lower Than the 2023 Result

10/06/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Polarization Lowest in 16 Years, Karnowski: To Win, You Need Votes from Outside Twitter and the Media Bubble, Borys Describes How Two Leading Portals Avoided or Delayed a Debate, PKO Analysts: Disinflation to Enable Interest Rate Cuts

10/05/2023


The State of Play: Tusk Backs Off, the Yellow-Green Coalition Gains a Little Breathing Room at the Finish Line, Though Prospects Remain Unclear; Twardoch: Liberal-Left Intellectuals, Full of Empathy for Immigrants, Lack Empathy for Their Own Working Class

10/04/2023


The State of Play: PiS Tries to Stir Emotions to Shock Opposition Trendsetters, KO Aims to De-escalate Polarization and Save "Third Way," Markowski Suggests Delegating a Faction of 100,000-200,000 to Vote Tactically, PKO Analysts: Poland is the 3rd Largest

10/03/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Danielewski: The Opposition Has Good Energy and Synergy: Each Party is for Someone; Kęskrawiec: The March Was a Huge Success for KO, but Also a Threat as it Could Push 3D Down; Wroński: One of Czarzasty's Best Speeches Ever, and the Rational

10/02/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Pietryga: Opposition Too Influenced by Celebrity and Artistic Elites, Karnowski: Germany Joins Proponents of Forced Relocation. Pressure is Growing, Tusk Will Yield, PKO Analysts: Inflation is Currently the Lowest Since Late 2021, and the Wa

09/30/2023


POLITICAL LANDSCAPE: Major Argues Tusk's March Aims to Undercut Smaller Opposition Parties, Not Win Over PiS Voters; Woś Questions Western Acceptance of Polish Democratic Verdicts; Skiba on Foreign Banks and State-Owned Companies

09/29/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Balcerowicz Suggests Supporting the Third Way, Tusk: With Determination, I Am Building a Democratic Army Ready for Any Scenario, Kalukin: Although the Campaign is More Brutal Than Ever, Social Pressure Isn't Skyrocketing

09/27/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Bielecki in RZ: Donald Tusk's pact with Confederation might not end badly for Poland, Szułdrzyński: Scholz strengthens PiS, Holland speaks of opposition pressure and supports Diduszko from the Left, NASK: Poland 6th ahead of Japan, Switzerla

09/26/2023


STATE OF PLAY: Sawczuk: The film premiere during the campaign is undoubtedly a gift for PiS, but it's madness; Dziedzic: We've descended into another circle of political hell

09/25/2023


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