state of play: 06/23/2025
STATE OF PLAY: Tusk Stands Alone
-- ING ANALYSTS: FURTHER DECLINE IN CONSTRUCTION AND ASSEMBLY PRODUCTION, DOWN 2.9% YOY IN MAY, BELOW OUR AND MARKET EXPECTATIONS, NO REVIVAL IN PUBLIC INVESTMENT YET SEEN:
https://x.com/ING_EconomicsPL/status/1937061852308992192
-- DANIEL OLBRYCHSKI SPEAKS FORCEFULLY ABOUT THE ELECTIONS. "UGLY PEOPLE VOTED FOR HIM" - ONET REPORTS ON THE ACTOR'S APPEARANCE ON TVP DURING ITS LIQUIDATION: “– Undoubtedly, the march towards a beautiful, correct, and beneficial path for Poland will be hindered. Ten years ago, Andrzej Duda won narrowly, and it occurs to me that he won with the votes of Polish fascists, because he accused Mr. Komorowski of not being a patriot, by apologizing for Jedwabne. This shameful accusation caused, I presume, a unanimous vote for him by very ugly, repulsive people, Polish nationalists and fascists – said Daniel Olbrychski.”
-- OLBRYCHSKI ALSO FILED A PROTEST: He also added that he had filed an election protest because he was receiving signals of irregularities in the polling stations. – Perhaps we are analyzing the results of these elections completely incorrectly? – the actor wonders.
https://www.onet.pl/styl-zycia/plejada/daniel-olbrychski-mocno-o-wyborach-szpetni-ludzie-glosowali-na-niego/2kt5673,0898b825
-- IT WAS AN INTENSE WEEKEND FOR PUBLIC TELEVISION - PATRYK SŁOWIK: “A journalist defending a communist criminal who helped the NKWD in killing Poles. An actor saying that it was ugly people who voted for a politician he doesn't support. A musician saying he misses getting high. It was an intense weekend for public television.”
https://x.com/PatrykSlowik/status/1937048877842227278
-- DOROTA WYSOCKA-SCHNEPF: Oh oh, the scam is surfacing, so the scammers have started to fear criminal responsibility for the forgeries they committed while serving in the election commissions. Who is coming to their aid? PiS. Why? The answer is obvious.
https://x.com/DorotaWSch/status/1936800606599200827
-- PRESIDENT OF THE SUPREME COURT: THERE ARE SEVERAL HUNDRED INDIVIDUAL PROTESTS. OVER 90% ARE REPEATED PROTESTS, WHOSE TEMPLATE WAS SHARED BY MP GIERTYCH. SC employees call them "giertychowki." Several thousand protests are based on a template shared by Mr. Wawrykiewicz.
https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/06/23/manowska-liczba-protestow-przekroczyla-50-tysiecy-90-to-tak-zwane-giertychowki/
-- SO THE BIG SCANDAL OF ELECTION FALSIFICATION WILL END WITH A PRELIMINARY PROCEEDING IN THE DISTRICT PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE IN KAMIENNA GÓRA. WHAT DON'T YOU UNDERSTAND? - SZYMON JADCZAK:
https://x.com/SzJadczak/status/1936729010534220007
-- MICHAŁ GRAMATYKA ON RADIO PLUS: Some of the more radical KO politicians are trying to play at denying the validity of the elections. This leads nowhere. It will only hinder the cohabitation of the future president, President Nawrocki, with the government.
https://x.com/Radio__Plus/status/1937055961144795410
-- IN POLAND, WE HAVE A PRESUMPTION OF ELECTION VALIDITY - PIOTR ZGORZELSKI: In Poland, we have a presumption of election validity. If, on the grounds that "my candidate did not win," we organize a re-counting of all votes, we will introduce this procedure into every subsequent election.
https://x.com/PZgorzelskiP/status/1936741507542774082
-- THERE ARE SIMPLY NO GROUNDS FOR IT, IT IS HARD TO BELIEVE THAT THE OPPOSITION WOULD FALSIFY ELECTIONS - KRZYSZTOF HETMAN ON RADIO ZET:
https://x.com/jachcy/status/1936686380991512997
-- BOSAK: I HAVE NO DOUBT THAT THE ELECTION RESULT WAS DETERMINED CORRECTLY, MASTALEREK: TUSK ACTS BRAZENLY ON THE INTERNET, OR WHEN HE IS AMONG HIS OWN - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/06/23/
-- THIS NARRATIVE THAT IT IS UP TO THE OPPOSITION WHETHER VOTES WILL BE RECOUNTED SOMEWHERE IS AMAZINGLY STUPID. WHAT DOES IT MATTER WHETHER SOMEONE IS AFRAID OF IT OR NOT? - WITOLD TUMANOWICZ FROM KONFEDERACJA: They behave as if they don't know that the decision is made by the Court based on the examination of an election protest concerning a specific commission. If there was no election protest, there is no re-counting, and the result in the protocol is final. (...) However, there is no provision or body that could order a re-counting of votes nationwide. This is not a matter of fear or belief, but of respecting the elementary principles of the rule of law.
https://x.com/WTumanowicz/status/1936872454426620345
-- DONALD TUSK CHANGES HIS TONE REGARDING THE ELECTION RESULTS. THIS TACTIC MAY BACKFIRE ON HIM - JAKUB MAJMUREK IN NEWSWEEK: “The problem is that this tactic can easily backfire on the current ruling party. A large part of the government coalition's electorate may react with discouragement and demobilization to the heating up of sentiments around the elections. Especially if, at the cost of great polarization, it is possible to achieve a re-counting of all votes, and it turns out that Karol Nawrocki won anyway. The results of the first round – in which the combined results of PO and PiS candidates were the lowest since 2005 – show that the duopoly and the radical polarization inherent in it are increasingly tiring voters, especially the youngest, who, instead of candidates servicing the Kaczyński-Tusk dispute, chose Sławomir Mentzen or Adrian Zandberg.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/opinie/tusk-zmienia-ton-w-sprawie-wyniku-wyborow-ta-taktyka-moze-sie-obrocic-przeciw-niemu/
-- KONFEDERACJA WILL MAINTAIN DISTANCE FROM PO AND PIS. AFTER THE NEXT ELECTIONS, IT WANTS TO BID HIGH - TOMASZ NYCZKA IN GW: “– According to game theory, whoever has the missing number of votes for a majority dictates the terms. If you have two extremely feuding camps, great polarization, and you are the kingmaker, deciding which of these camps will govern Poland, then you can set conditions. If we are the kingmaker, we will be able to set conditions for both sides – both substantive and personal. The latter is important because in the Polish political system, it is very difficult to remove a prime minister. If they didn't like a Prime Minister from Konfederacja, PO would have to agree with PiS on this matter – says Konfederacja MP Przemysław Wipler to 'Wyborcza'.”
-- KONFEDERACJA IS BEING JOINED BY NON-RADICAL POLITICIANS - NYCZKA FURTHER IN GW: “Konfederacja is expanding after the elections. Although the National Movement encourages people to join on the internet, it is mainly Nowa Nadzieja that is growing. And it's broadening its wings a bit. It recently admitted the well-known volleyball player Marcin Możdżonek to its ranks, and former Gliwice mayor Adam Neumann, a former PO politician, has also applied to join. These are not radical politicians.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,32027386,konfederacja-bedzie-trzymac-dystans-do-po-i-pis-po-kolejnych.html
-- DARK CLOUDS OVER THE PODLASIE "TRUSKOLASKI CLAN". DEFEAT WAS DECISIVE - MACIEJ CHOŁODOWSKI IN GW: “Nawrocki visited Podlasie four times, and he also ended his campaign there. During his first visit to Podlasie, he visited, among other places, the Orthodox monastery in Supraśl, which was seen by voters as a gesture towards the Orthodox electorate. During one of Trzaskowski's press conferences in Białystok, he was supported by several Orthodox believers, also associated with PO and the marshal's advisor for minority affairs of this denomination. Meanwhile, the Podlasie PO did not break out of its 'bubble' within this part of the electorate. In Podlasie, Nawrocki was personally supported by Jarosław Kaczyński – during a meeting with residents of Wysokie Mazowieckie. Donald Tusk, although he engaged in Trzaskowski's campaign, was not present in Podlasie during the presidential campaign.”
https://bialystok.wyborcza.pl/bialystok/7,35241,32045824,czarne-chmurny-nad-podlaskim-klanem-truskolaskich-zawazyla.html
-- THE CRISIS CANNOT BE AVERTED BY FURTHER SUBSIDIES BECAUSE THE COFFERS ARE ALREADY EMPTY. NOR CAN IT BE CONCEALED BY PROPAGANDA OR BLAMED ON PREDECESSORS – BECAUSE PRACTICALLY ALL PARLIAMENTARY GROUPS ARE TO BLAME - WITOLD GADOMSKI IN GW: “If economic growth falls to near zero (and such growth occurs in many EU countries), a concentration of unfavorable phenomena will occur in the economy, public finances, healthcare, and the labor market. This will be the result of poor economic policy pursued by successive governments formed by two warring political blocs. The crisis cannot be averted by further subsidies because the coffers are already empty. Nor can it be concealed by propaganda or blamed on predecessors – because practically all parliamentary groups are to blame. The government that pulls out such a scapegoat will find itself in serious trouble, and the parties forming it may be swept away in the next elections.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32045168,koalicja-opozycja-kto-zostanie-z-czarnym-piotrusiem.html
-- BIRTHDAYS: Sławomir Rybicki, Paulina Chorążewska-Matwiejczuk.
live
4 hours
14 min
Müller Denies Morawiecki as Prime Minister Could Have Known About CPK Land Plot
20 min
„Receipts on the table. So far, I haven’t seen a document signed by Telus.” — Müller to the Prime Minister and Government Spokesperson
3 hours
Nawrocki Meets with Fico
3 hours
„The Conclusions Will Be Used in the President’s Chancellery’s Work.” — Szefernaker on Today’s Expert Meeting
4 hours
„There Was a Betrayal.” — Sasin on ETS2
7 hours
„He Wasn't in the Document Workflow.” — Śliwka on Telus and the Results of Parliamentary Oversight
7 hours
"Putin-esque Mannerisms": Błaszczak on Tusk's Behavior
7 hours
President Proposed Poland Serve as a Hub for US Gas Supplies to Slovakia
8 hours
„We Will Reclaim the Plot of Land, It Will Be Possible to Buy It Back.” — Krajewski Announces Agreement
state of play
STATE OF PLAY: PiS Suffers Spectacular Setback, Baranowska: PiS Lacks a Plan to Exit Defensive Stance, Janicki: Has Tusk's Camp's Depression Passed? The Game is Back On
state of play
today
State of Play: GW and RMF on Cancelled Surgeries, Helsinki Foundation on Żurek's Project: Little in Common with Rule of Law, Szułdrzyński: Konfederacja Benefits from "PiS-PO One Evil"
state of play
yesterday
STATE OF PLAY: Prof. Flis on Gruszczyński: The Beneficiaries of Reckonings Aren't the Government, but Braun and Konfederacja. Duma: Campaign Themes No Longer Resonate, Res Futura: 58% Online Support Rymanowski
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11/03/2025
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10/31/2025
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