Today's State of Play
-- PB95 WILL COST PLN 5.98/L - A DROP OF PLN 1.18/L, AND DIESEL PLN 7.45 PER LITER - A DROP OF PLN 1.30/L - RZ: “According to the latest data (from March 27th) from fuel market analysts Reflex, drivers in Poland paid PLN 7.16 for a liter of Pb95 and PLN 8.75 for diesel fuel on March 26th. The price forecast for next week (March 30th – April 3rd, 2026) indicates that solely due to the fuel package, the popular Pb95 will cost PLN 5.98/l (a drop of PLN 1.18/l), and diesel fuel PLN 7.45 per liter (a drop of PLN 1.30/l)”.
https://energia.rp.pl/paliwa/art44057571-orlen-zapowiada-przejrzystosc-na-stacjach-a-analitycy-wroza-duze-spadki-cen
-- TODAY EVERYONE AGREES THE GOVERNMENT HAD TO DO IT. I AM NOT CONVINCED THEY HAD TO. THEY DID IT BECAUSE THEY WANTED TO - PATRYCJA MACIEJEWICZ IN GW: “Today everyone agrees that the government had to do it. I am not convinced they had to. They did it because they wanted to. They decided they had enough of the scolding from their political opponents, they wanted to show 'strength in action' and take political fuel away from the opposition for the holiday conversations around the table. Donald Tusk simply acted with the tools he had at his disposal.”
-- THEY ARE ONLY BUYING (QUITE EXPENSIVELY) TIME - MACIEJEWICZ FURTHER IN GW: “The fuel crisis is dangerous, but by pumping up debt and deficit and manually controlling prices, the government will not extinguish it. They are only buying (quite expensively) time and postponing the discussion to the future.”
-- POLAND INTERVENES AT A TIME WHEN GASOLINE AT PLN 7.50 IS A NUISANCE, BUT NOT A KNIFE TO THE THROAT. WHAT WILL WE DO IN THREE MONTHS? - MACIEJEWICZ AGAIN: “Secondly, such a reduction in tax revenue must be temporary. The war may last for months more, oil prices may become even more painful. Poland intervenes at a time when gasoline at PLN 7.50 is a nuisance, but not a knife to the throat. What will we do in three months?”
-- IF WE ARE ALREADY EXPENDING OUR FISCAL AMMUNITION TODAY, WHAT WILL WE DO WHEN THE CRISIS IS TRULY DEEP - PATRYCJA MACIEJEWICZ'S CONCLUSION IN GW: “Finally, my most important concern: if we are already expending our fiscal ammunition today, what will we do when the crisis is truly deep, when it not only makes refueling inconvenient but plunges the entire economy into trouble? What will the government do then?”
https://wyborcza.biz/biznes/7,179195,32690238,dotowanie-cen-paliwa-to-ryzykowny-pomysl.html
-- NO EMOTIONS, IT'S A POLITICAL PLAN - PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “It's not just that the head of state simply desires to practice a Vistula-type trumpism, which is an element of well-thought-out political marketing, not fragile emotions.”
-- KAROL NAWROCKI IS PLAYING FOR FULL POWER - SZUBARTOWICZ FURTHER IN INTERIA: “While Donald Tusk and his camp are playing for the survival of the power gained in 2023, Karol Nawrocki is playing for full power – in Poland and over Jarosław Kaczyński. Therefore, he has no reservations about 'going to war with the media,' because his electorate will applaud him for it, and the massive criticism of 'enemies' will build him up as a real new leader of the right, who doesn't bow to the 'leftists'.”
-- NAWROCKI HAS DECIDED TO PLAY A GRAND GAME, AT THE END OF WHICH, AFTER A CONSTITUTIONAL CHANGE, THE PRESIDENTIAL SYSTEM WILL PREVAIL IN POLAND - SZUBARTOWICZ FURTHER: “Nawrocki has decided to play a grand game, at the end of which, after a constitutional change, the presidential system will prevail in Poland. Even if he listened to Kaczyński regarding SAFE and lost the battle for his own independence, it certainly wasn't to consolidate this party dependence in the coming years. He will need those to whom he now yields less in the future, and they will need him more.”
-- FOR NOW, IT IS EVIDENT THAT TUSK HAS NOT YET FOUND A WAY TO DEAL WITH NAWROCKI, BUT NAWROCKI HAS ALREADY DECIDED NOT TO MESS AROUND WITH TUSK. AND THIS IS JUST THE WARM-UP - SZUBARTOWICZ'S CONCLUSION IN INTERIA:
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-wielka-gra-nawrockiego,nId,23319633
-- A WAY OF ACTING THAT DOES NOT CONSIST OF PLAYING SOMEONE ELSE'S GAME, BUT OF CONSISTENTLY IMPLEMENTING AN ADOPTED GOVERNANCE STRATEGY - PAWEŁ SZEFERNAKER IN WSZYSTKO CO NAJWAŻNIEJSZE: “Distracting from their own failed governance, they try to set the pace and increasingly resort to brutal language. However, there is also a path that President Karol Nawrocki has chosen from the beginning. It is a way of acting that does not consist of playing someone else's game, but of consistently implementing an adopted governance strategy. Calmly, courageously, and in a Polish way. Because the state is not and should not be a theatre. The state is primarily an organism that is meant to work for citizens, especially when there is noise, pressure, and attempts to drag everyone into political brawls around.”
-- NAWROCKI WAS CHOSEN TO LEAD THE STATE, TO SET THE DIRECTION - SZEFERNAKER FURTHER: “President Nawrocki was chosen to lead the state, set the direction, and take responsibility for fundamental matters. Therefore, by presenting the 'Poland Safe 0 percent' proposal, he showed that the presidency can be active and courageous. This concept was prepared by the President's Chancellery in an organized and discreet manner, without media fanfare and without leaks preceding its presentation. This shows that one can work according to a clearly defined plan, combining substantive preparation with an adopted political strategy. This is not politics for the sake of dispute. This is politics of concrete actions and solutions. A strong president should not wait for others to devise a plan for him. A strong president should come up with a plan of action himself.”
-- CALM IS OFTEN THE HARDEST FORM OF COURAGE, AS IT MEANS A PERSON DOES NOT ACT UNDER THE PRESSURE OF OTHERS' EMOTIONS, BUT ACCORDING TO THEIR OWN PRINCIPLES - SZEFERNAKER FURTHER: “Calmness is often the hardest form of courage, as it means a person does not act under the pressure of others' emotions, but according to their own principles. In essence, it is about something more than just a different method of practicing politics. It is about respect for Poles. The state must be capable of action even when the political atmosphere is not conducive to it, and eternal dispute tries to replace responsibility. Most Poles do not live by political spectacle, after all. People want to work normally, raise children, run businesses, plan their lives without the feeling that the state falls into a new crisis every week, fueled by emotions. This is precisely why a calm and consistent presidency is not a sign of distance from citizens, but a form of respect for their daily lives.”
https://wszystkoconajwazniejsze.pl/pawel-szefernaker-sila-zwyciestwa-spokoj-przywodztwa/
-- THE PRESIDENTIAL PALACE CONSIDERS THAT BOTH POLITICIANS SUSPECTED IN THE FUND AFFAIR ARE NOT ADDED VALUE IN POLISH POLITICS - DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: “Interestingly, President Nawrocki did not visit 'refugees' and 'martyrs' Zbigniew Ziobro and Marcin Romanowski in the Hungarian capital, his important collaborator regarding the Justice Fund, which was plundered and distributed for political purposes. The Presidential Palace considers that both politicians suspected in the Fund affair are not added value in Polish politics.”
-- TUSK'S GENERAL POLICY IS AIMED AT THE POLITICAL AGENDA BEING DOMINATED BY TOPICS ON WHICH THE COALITION OF OCTOBER 15TH MAINTAINS UNITY - WIELOWIEYSKA FURTHER: “Tusk's general policy is aimed at the political agenda being dominated by topics on which the Coalition of October 15th maintains unity – namely, accountability, security, an anti-Russian course, and the fight against the idea of Polexit. The government will willingly engage in battles with the president over the National Council of the Judiciary or the Constitutional Tribunal, not even because Poles are very interested in this, but because these topics unite the ruling coalition.”
-- POLLS INDICATE THAT THE PARTIES OF THE RULING COALITION AND RAZEM HAVE A TOTAL OF ABOUT 43-48 PERCENT SUPPORT, AND THE PIS CAMP AND BOTH CONFEDERATIONS HAVE THE SAME AMOUNT - WIELOWIEYSKA WRITES IN GW: “Importantly – all these battles, whether won or lost by the government, do not mean that any of the camps will win over the competitor's voters. And that's not what this game is about. Polls indicate that the parties of the ruling coalition and Razem have a total of about 43-48 percent support, and the PiS camp and both Confederations have the same amount. Thus, after 2027, the camp that can mobilize voters, goes to elections as undivided as possible, and does not leave its voters' votes below the 5 percent threshold will govern.”
-- THE CAMP THAT RUNS IN TWO BLOCKS, STILL HOLDING THE LEADER'S JERSEY, LIKE CIVIC COALITION NOW, WILL WIN AGAINST THE CAMP THAT GOES IN THREE BLOCKS - WIELOWIEYSKA FURTHER: “The camp that runs in two blocks, still holding the leader's jersey, like Civic Coalition now, will win against the camp that goes in three blocks.”
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,32686034,wielowieyska-nawrockiego-dopadl-syndrom-chce-dobrze-a-wychodzi.html
-- I CAN BET ON IT - PIOTR ZGORZELSKI ON KRZYSZTOF ZIEMIEC'S SHOW ON RMF ABOUT PSL NOT BEING ON KO LISTS IN A YEAR:
https://www.rmf24.pl/tylko-w-rmf24/rozmowa/news-zgorzelski-tankujac-podczas-podrozy-swiatecznych-polacy-odcz,nId,8074262
-- KRZYSZTOF BOSAK WITH HIS SON IN THE SEJM CHAMBER DURING VOTING:
https://i.pl/krzysztof-bosak-pojawil-sie-w-sejmie-z-synem-niespodziewana-scena-podczas-obrad/ar/c1p2-28858637
-- A YEAR AGO, AFTER THE INTERVIEW ON KANALE ZERO, SŁAWOMIR MENTZEN'S CAMPAIGN OFFENSIVE COLLAPSED.
-- A YEAR AGO, DONALD TUSK CALLED FOR THE MARCH OF MAY 11TH - A WEEK BEFORE THE FIRST ROUND.
-- THANK YOU FOR INDICATING THE STAKES OF THESE ELECTIONS: EITHER TUSK OR CHANGE - Paweł Szefernaker wrote then.
-- BIRTHDAYS: Mariusz Treliński, Michał Kamiński, Maria Wiernikowska, Agnieszka Milczarz, Katarzyna Meller, Anita Werner. SUNDAY: Renata Grochal.
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