state of play: 04/29/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Putinist Plankton's Debate, Dziubka: Nawrocki Slightly Weaker Than Trzaskowski, PiS Inquires About Regulations Benefiting Debt Collectors

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— MASTALEREK: HOŁOWNIA HAS PROBABLY REALIZED THAT TUSK IS FINISHING CONSUMING HIM AS AN APPETIZER – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/04/29

— POLES ARE NOT PARTICULARLY SATISFIED WITH THEIR FINANCIAL SITUATION – RZ: "26 percent assess it positively, and 28 percent negatively. Only one in five declares that they have felt an improvement in the last three months, while as many as 43 percent of respondents are of the opposite opinion. This is a poor prognostic indicator for consumer spending."
https://www.rp.pl/finanse/art42196271-polacy-niespecjalnie-zadowoleni-ze-swojej-sytuacji-finansowej

— CBOS: Just like in March, every second Pole believes that the current situation in our country is heading in the wrong direction (50%), while three out of ten respondents (29%) are of the opposite opinion.
https://cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/raporty_tekst.php?id=7009

— CBOS: THE GAP BETWEEN TRZASKOWSKI AND NAWROCKI HAS SHRUNK TO FOUR PERCENTAGE POINTS – AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: "The poll was conducted before President Andrzej Duda endorsed Karol Nawrocki during Sunday's convention. In the CBOS poll, Rafał Trzaskowski (Civic Coalition) leads with 31 percent of the vote. This is a 2 percentage point decrease compared to the previous poll conducted on April 7-9. During the same period, Karol Nawrocki, supported by PiS, gained from 25 to 27 percent. In two weeks, the gap between them has decreased from 8 to 4 percentage points. At the beginning of March, this difference was 12 percentage points (Trzaskowski then had 35 percent support, Nawrocki – 23 percent)."
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31894041,sondaz-cbos-dystans-miedzy-trzaskowskim-a-nawrockim-stopnial.html

— CBOS:
Trzaskowski 31 (-2)

Nawrocki 27 (+2)
Mentzen 16 (-1)
Hołownia 4 (n/c)
Zandberg 4 (-1)
Biejat 4 (+2)
Braun 2 (-1)
Stanowski 2 (+1)
Hard to say 7 (n/c)
https://cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/flashe_tekst.php?nr=26/2025

— MPS ARE PREYING ON MILEAGE ALLOWANCES AND CAR RENTALS – ARKADIUSZ GRUSZCZYŃSKI IN GW: "Sir, this is my first time in the Sejm, and I quickly learned that most MPs rent cars at the Chancellery's expense. Why shouldn't I take advantage of that?" says an MP who receives not only mileage allowance but also has a financed installment for a new car rental.
https://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,31891017,kilometrowki-poslow-pieniadze-na-paliwo-i-wynajem-nowych-aut.html

— MAFIA BEHIND TINTED WINDOWS. ILLEGAL GAMBLING HAS SPREAD THROUGH WARSAW STREETS, ONE-ARMED BANDITS EVEN IN GREENGROCERS – GW
: "What connects a former confectionery, a flower shop, and a hairdresser? In all of them, the mafia and its illegal slot machines have taken root. Tax officials speak of large-scale organized crime. In the former confectionery at ul. Inżynierska in Praga, the sign is still hanging, but you can't buy pastries here anymore. The pavilion is painted black, and its windows are also dark. The numerous cameras installed outside, which monitor everyone trying to get inside, are striking."
https://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,31891830,mafia-za-ciemnymi-szybami-nielegalny-hazard-rozlal-sie-na-ulicach.html

— WHAT HAPPENED DURING THE "SUPER EXPRESS" DEBATE HAS COMPROMISED THE SHOW – AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: "I don't like debates without debates, where candidates recite answers to the same, usually tedious, questions. The idea of them questioning each other was quite good. But what happened during the 'Super Express' debate has compromised the show. Journalists are needed – not to read questions from a piece of paper, but to react when necessary. And they allowed Braun to make antisemitic remarks. So, at the end, he had the opportunity to add something about 'Ukrainization, Islamization, and Judaization.' A scandal.
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31894357,debata-prezydencka-jakiej-nie-bylo-i-dobrze.html

— TRZASKOWSKI WON THE DEBATE ON POINTS WITH DECENCY AND REFLEX – JACEK NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: "Grzegorz Braun was outrageous, Maciej Maciak discredited himself, Karol Nawrocki is doing better and better, Magdalena Biejat credibly defended left-wing views, Szymon Hołownia didn't pander to his coalition partners, Adrian Zandberg returned to form, but it was the Civic Coalition candidate who unexpectedly defeated his rivals."
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art42199081-jacek-nizinkiewicz-trzaskowski-przyzwoitoscia-i-refleksem-wygral-debate-na-punkty

— IT WAS MAGDALENA BIEJAT WHO GAVE RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI THE COURAGE TO PROTEST GRZEGORZ BRAUN'S STATEMENTS – ESTERA FLIEGER IN RZ: 
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art42197551-estera-flieger-debate-super-expressu-wygrywa-super-express-rafal-trzaskowski-wrocil-z-konskich

— I FEAR THAT IN THE FLOOD OF RADICALISM, WHICH EMERGED FROM TODAY'S PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE FROM ALL ANGLES, THE STRONGEST IMPRESSION WAS, UNFORTUNATELY, MADE BY THE PIZ CANDIDATE, NOT THE PO CANDIDATE – KAROLINA WIGURA: I fear that in the flood of radicalism that emerged from today's presidential debate from all angles, the strongest impression was, unfortunately, made by the PiS candidate, not the PO candidate. R. Trzaskowski must learn to play stronger in defense of the values that liberal democracy builds – the new, digital communication tools that have become widespread require this. To those who find it difficult to swallow this statement, I remind them that Bronisław Komorowski's defeat in 2015 was caused by complacency. The democratic camp must also mobilize through constructive criticism.
https://www.instagram.com/p/DJASAbIN_SA/?igsh=cWNsMmxld2I1N2Fv

— BEST WERE MENTZEN AND TRZASKOWSKI, VERY SOLID NAWROCKI – KRZYSZTOF STANOWSKI: Zandberg didn't like the draw (he started well, but then 2.5 hours without contact with the ball). Jakubiak wasted the debate the most, Hołownia was worse than usual.
https://x.com/K_Stanowski/status/1916968461122633935

— NO CLEAR WINNER, BUT WITH NUMEROUS PRO-PUTIN AND ANTI-SEMITIC STATEMENTS FROM EXTREME CANDIDATES. THE "SUPER EXPRESS" DEBATE, WHICH GAVE CANDIDATES THE RIGHT TO ASK QUESTIONS, WAS AN EXPERIMENT THAT WAS PARTIALLY SUCCESSFUL – NATALIA SAWKA AND WITOLD GŁOWACKI IN OKO.PRESS.

— IT WILL BE REMEMBERED AS THE DEBATE OF ANTI-SEMITIC AND PRO-PUTIN PLANKTON – FURTHER FROM THE AUTHOR AND CO-AUTHOR OF OKO: "Thirteen candidates – including several with negligible support but very extreme views – and zero moderation – what could go wrong? The organizers of the 'Super Express' debate can certainly be pleased with the reach and viewership of this specific experiment. However, limiting the role of the hosts solely to timing speeches and directing traffic at the podium, while simultaneously giving Grzegorz Braun and Maciej Maciak the right to co-direct the event, was bound to end as it did. The debate with the participation of all significant candidates will be remembered as the debate of antisemitic and pro-Putin plankton."
https://oko.press/rozmowy-niemoderowane-czyli-brawa-dla-putina-i-tyrady-brauna-na-debacie-prezydenckiej

— RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI HAS BREATHED A SIGH OF RELIEF, BUT KAROL NAWROCKI IS FIGHTING FOR FULL POINTS – KAMIL DZIUBKA IN ONET: "Rafał Trzaskowski and his team have learned their lesson after the debate in Końskie, which was unsuccessful for him. During yesterday's clash in 'Super Express,' he landed several accurate blows on Karol Nawrocki. However, the PiS candidate is not backing down. It is evident that months of work by image experts have begun to pay off, although this time the head of the IPN performed slightly weaker than the Civic Coalition candidate."
https://wiadomosci.onet.pl/tylko-w-onecie/rafal-trzaskowski-odetchnal-ale-karol-nawrocki-walczy-o-pelna-pule-wnioski-po-debacie/r3nqc71

— THEY ARE STARTING FROM A LOSING POSITION FROM THE VERY BEGINNING. THEY ARE NAVIGATING SKILLFULLY. THE CAMPAIGN TEAM IS MUCH MORE CAPABLE THAN THE CANDIDATE – MARCIN DUMA IN CONVERSATION WITH GRZEGORZ SROCZYŃSKI ON GAZETA.PL: "If I were to assess PiS's actions from a pure PR perspective, I would say that the plan is very good and consistently implemented. They have chosen the optimal path to achieve the best possible result. However, choosing the optimal path is one thing, and the chances of such a plan succeeding are another. They are starting from a losing position from the very beginning. They are navigating skillfully. The campaign team is much more capable than the candidate, because Nawrocki, despite a four-hour appearance without major errors at Stanowski's, is not Andrzej Duda. Duda – I repeat – was a more talented politician."

— DOES THIS MEAN THAT, LIKE IN BULGAKOV'S WORK, TRZASKOWSKI WILL SLIP ON THE SPILLED OIL AND THE TRAM WILL CUT OFF HIS HEAD? I DON'T KNOW, BUT QUITE A FEW THINGS HAVE ACCUMULATED – DUMA CONTINUES WITH SROCZYŃSKI ON GAZETA.PL: "Trzaskowski's campaign was going really well, apart from the ritualistic pronouncements of commentators: God, nothing is happening, God, let him start campaigning. But when the campaign team decided to start running a different campaign, they ended up in a situation where they lost control of their own volition. After the debate in Końskie, it's no longer the case that the leader of all polls, dressed in white, hovers over the arena of the electoral duel, awaiting the emergence of the other – the candidate whose role is solely to lose. We saw a whole pleiad of candidates who are discussing as equals. And some are better than both Nawrocki and Trzaskowski. Does this mean that, as in Bulgakov, Trzaskowski will slip on spilled oil and the tram will cut off his head? I don't know, but quite a few things have accumulated."

– IN THESE ELECTIONS, ALMOST EVERYONE IS TALKING LIKE KONFEDERACJA – DUMA CONTINUES WITH SROCZYŃSKI: "It is currently the most effective group on the Polish political scene, a success story, but not measured by percentage points of support, but by the content of politics. In these elections, almost everyone is talking like Konfederacja. And what's more, about sensitive topics that not long ago they claimed were absolutely unacceptable to talk about, that it was against Polish raison d'état, that it was written in Cyrillic, etc. Now they have all concluded: why not? If politicians as talented and as attuned to public sentiment as Kaczyński and Tusk are moving in the Konfederacja direction, it means they are chasing something. They see that reality is moving in that direction."
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31889687,rafal-czyli-bronek-pis-znow-moze-wygrac-z-komorowskim.html

— "OFFENSIVE TRZASKOWSKI WITH A FLAG" AND "PRACTICED NAWROCKI" – PATRYK MICHALSKI AND MICHAŁ WRÓBLEWSKI IN WP: "The formula of direct confrontation between candidates, praised in campaign headquarters, was sometimes overshadowed by scandalous statements from Grzegorz Braun or Maciej Maciak. WP's interlocutors speak, among other things, of Rafał Trzaskowski 'de-demonizing' Końskie and a clever move with the abandoned flag. There are also words about a 'more practiced' Karol Nawrocki, who 'looked confident.'
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/ofensywny-trzaskowski-z-flaga-i-wyrobiony-nawrocki-w-sztabach-zawrzalo-po-debacie-7151096005962496a

— THERE WAS A THREAT, IT WON'T WIN ITSELF – JAN HARTMAN ON TYGODNIK POLITYKA'S PORTAL: "Once again, Rafał Trzaskowski was correct, but not spectacular. He spoke somewhat blandly, somewhat defensively, and with too high a pitch. Moreover, the campaign team, as usual in PO, did a mediocre job. The event was truly modest, the MC and the claque were downright off-putting, and on television, it all looked average. The drone shots showing normal city life unfolding a hundred meters from the stage, with uninterested citizens walking by or riding a bus, were a schoolboy error. If I fear for the election results, it is precisely because of the anachronistic organizational methods at the disposal of the Civic Platform."
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2298295,1,nawrocki-odrobil-lekcje-trzaskowski-zaledwie-poprawny-powialo-groza-samo-sie-nie-wygra.read

— PIS ASKS ABOUT A LAW BENEFICIAL TO DEBT COLLECTION COMPANIES – KALETA: "We are learning that the individuals who financially support this foundation are people from the debt collection company environment, Mr. Piotr Krupacz, Mr. Maciej Kaczmarski. Founders of large debt collection companies or shareholders, participants, and influential people in this environment. At the same time, a few days ago, the media reported on the results of the civil law codification commission's work, appointed by the Minister of Justice Adam Bodnar, which prepared a draft law that, in my opinion, is very favorable to debt collection companies. This includes the obligation for bailiffs to examine the statute of limitations, an obligation that we introduced in 2019," said a PiS MP.
https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/727913-pis-ma-pytanie-do-rafala-trzaskowskiego-czy-podpisze

— BIRTHDAYS: Jarosław Duda, Piotr Gontarczyk, Vadim Makarenko, Piotr Barełkowski, Jacek Bendykowski.


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