state of play: 09/26/2024

STATE OF PLAY: Machowski: Civic Coalition cannot recover the Third Way's losses as Confederation is taking half of the voters leaving the Poland 2050 and PSL coalition

Łukasz Mężyk

-- ŻUKOWSKA: THE LEFT WILL FIGHT TO THE LAST BREATH ON THE HEALTH CONTRIBUTION REDUCTION - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/09/26/ -- 41 TO 39 IN THE SW RESEARCH POLL FOR RP.PL: DID DONALD TUSK PROVE HIMSELF AS A LEADER DURING THE FLOODS, ACCORDING TO RESPONDENTS: “40.8 percent of respondents answered ‘yes’ to the question. 39.1 percent of respondents answered ‘no’. 20.2 percent of those surveyed have no opinion on this matter.” https://www.rp.pl/kleski-zywiolowe/art41188961-sondaz-czy-donald-tusk-sprawdzil-sie-w-roli-przywodcy-w-czasie-powodzi -- CIVIC COALITION CANNOT RECOVER THE THIRD WAY'S LOSSES AS CONFEDERATION IS TAKING HALF OF THE VOTERS LEAVING THE POLAND 2050 AND PSL COALITION - ANDRZEJ MACHOWSKI IN GW: “The Third Way and Confederation competed primarily for younger (r = -0.64) and wealthier voters (r = -0.62). Confederation and PiS – for men (r = -0.77) and younger voters (r = -0.75).” -- THE POSITION OF CONFEDERATION AND THE THIRD WAY WILL MATTER MOST - MACHOWSKI CONTINUES IN GW: “CBOS polls do not indicate any clear trend – it is difficult to predict based on them what the standings of the right-wing and the October 15th Coalition might look like in a few months. The largest players – Civic Coalition and PiS – are unlikely to decide this. The position of Confederation and the Third Way will matter most – groupings that have been characterized by unstable support for months, which is partly due to competition for the same voters.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31334787,analiza-sondazy-dobre-wiesci-dla-ko-gorsze-dla-calej-koalicji.html -- THE DISMISSAL OF ROBERT KOSTRO FROM MHP IS AN UNFORGIVABLE MISTAKE - MICHAŁ PŁOCIŃSKI IN RZ: “To put it plainly: he was one of the last rays of normalcy in Poland. And truly pro-state attitudes. A ray that even PiS did not extinguish. Today, PO is extinguishing it. (...) And I fear that this mistake will not be rectified in the near future. Because today, there is simply no prospect of repeating such a collective effort. The divisions are too deep.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41191731-michal-plocinski-odwolanie-roberta-kostry-z-mhp-to-blad-ktory-bedzie-nie-do-naprawienia -- THE DISMISSAL OF ROBERT KOSTRO IS A MISTAKE. IT DOES NOT SERVE PLURALISM, IT STRENGTHENS POLARIZATION - PAWEŁ MACHCEWICZ IN GW: “It does not serve to maintain pluralism in cultural institutions, which should be led by people with diverse views, coming from various environments, not just those close to the current authorities. It certainly does not contribute to reducing political polarization that burdens Poland. On the contrary, it strengthens it.” https://wyborcza.pl/alehistoria/7,121681,31336283,pawel-machcewicz-odwolanie-roberta-kostro-jest-bledem-nie.html -- PROF. ANTONI DUDEK ON FB ABOUT KOSTRO'S RESIGNATION: “And to those who led to your resignation, I have only one thing to say: in my eyes, you are not much different from your predecessors who fired Prof. Paweł Machcewicz, the creator of the Museum of the Second World War in Gdańsk, immediately after its opening.” https://www.facebook.com/antoni.dudek.5 -- LITTLE REMAINS OF THE CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM WITH WHICH OUR EDITORIAL OFFICE ALSO ADDRESSED DONALD TUSK'S CABINET'S PRO-CLIMATE DEMANDS CONTAINED IN THE COALITION AGREEMENT - MARCEL WANDAS IN OKO.PRESS. -- WE ARE STILL WAITING FOR DONALD TUSK'S TEAM'S REFLECTION ON THIS MATTER. INSTEAD, WE HAVE CURIOUS REMARKS FROM THE PRIME MINISTER, WHO WOULD LIKE TO GET RID OF BEAVERS FROM RIVERBEDS - WANDAS CONTINUES IN OKO. https://oko.press/powodz-petr-pavel-klimat -- THE BEAVER MAY YET TURN ITS TAIL ON THE PRIME MINISTER - ESTERA FLIEGER IN RZ: “Since Poles are among the top animal lovers in Europe, the beaver may yet turn its tail on the Prime Minister. Their culling will not protect Poland from the effects of the climate crisis, and floods will not disappear this way.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41189011-estera-flieger-co-bobry-zrobily-donaldowi-tuskowi -- TUSK IS WRONG. BEAVERS ARE NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR THE POOR CONDITION OF FLOOD EMBANKMENTS - ADAM ROBIŃSKI IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “Donald Tusk, who campaigned with nature protection slogans until last year's elections, first unilaterally, against the recommendation of his own ministry and the State Nature Protection Council, decided on Poland's objection to the EU's Nature Restoration Law. Now he blames beavers for the poor condition of flood embankments, announcing a fight against a protected species.” https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/tusk-sie-myli-obwiniajac-bobry-nie-sa-odpowiedzialne-za-zly-stan-walow-przeciwpowodziowych-188435 -- THIS GATE MUST REMAIN OPEN. BUT NOT FOR EVERYONE - BARTOSZ T. WIELIŃSKI IN GW ON IMMIGRATION: “One is tempted, after exposing the desecration of PiS, which will go down in our country's history as the visa scandal, to completely close the gates to Poland. But that would not be the right reaction. This gate must remain open. But not for everyone.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75399,31334686,polska-nie-obedzie-sie-bez-migrantow-takze-tych-z-krajow-muzulmanskich.html -- PERHAPS HIGHER EDUCATION SHOULD BECOME THE OUTPOST OF MIGRATION POLICY, THANKS TO WHICH POLAND WILL PRECISELY DETERMINE FROM WHERE AND WHAT QUALIFIED EMPLOYEES ARE NEEDED - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “Perhaps higher education should become the outpost of migration policy, thanks to which Poland will precisely determine from where and what qualified employees are needed during the deepening demographic gap? Whatever we decide, it must be a conscious decision, not the result of ad hoc decisions.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41190231-michal-szuldrzynski-czy-wizy-studenckie-powinny-sie-stac-forpoczta-polityki-migracyjnej -- 70 IMMIGRANTS LEFT MY COMPANY BECAUSE A GROUP OF NATIONALISTS INCITED THEM - SAYS THE CEO OF A LARGE ENTERPRISE - MICHAŁ ŻYŁOWSKI REPORTS IN GW ON THE ENTREPRENEUR'S STATEMENT: “- Many foreigners did not come to work on Monday. We even sent buses for them to ensure their safe commute. Unfortunately, after Saturday's events, a total of 70 foreign employees left us. I am sure they all left because of this attack. They were simply incited. They decided they had to move elsewhere.” https://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,31335704,rasisci-z-zyrardowa-przegonili-imigrantow-cudzoziemcy-odeszli.html -- SOLORZ'S CHILDREN ARE FIGHTING FOR THE FORTUNE AND CLAIM THAT SOLORZ'S NEW WIFE WAS BEHIND THE POLSAT GROUP'S ALLIANCE WITH THE PREVIOUS GOVERNMENT - WOJCIECH CZUCHNOWSKI AND AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: “According to our information, Tobias Solorz, Piotr Żak, and Aleksandra Żak are in a sharp dispute with Justyna Kulka, Solorz's current partner, and as of March, his wife. The dispute is so serious that they are even questioning the validity of the marriage that the father entered into in Liechtenstein. They claim that Justyna Kulka is behind Polsat's political entanglement with PiS during the party's rule and that she was behind the idea of promoting Dorota Gawryluk as a presidential candidate in the elections planned for autumn 2025.” -- GW CLAIMS SOLORZ ALLEGEDLY OFFERED KOSINIAK THE POSITION OF PRIME MINISTER IN A COALITION WITH PIS: “Reportedly, Solorz, on behalf of PiS, went to Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz in the autumn and offered him the post of prime minister. At that time, Mateusz Morawiecki, in an interview for Interia (which belongs to Cyfrowy Polsat), publicly offered the head of PSL the premiership. Kulka was reportedly behind this pro-PiS line of Solorz's media.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31334407,wstrzas-w-imperium-solorza.html -- BIRTHDAYS: Barbara Toruńczyk, Krzysztof Michałkiewicz.

Łukasz Mężyk