state of play: 09/23/2024

GAME STATE: Bartkiewicz in RZ: Tusk Will Emerge Stronger from This Crisis, Sroczyński: If Main Parties Indiscriminately Feed Polarization, Poland Will Eventually Get Stuck

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-- “WE ARE TALKING ABOUT TENS OF BILLIONS OF ZŁOTY.” DOMAŃSKI ON FUNDS FOR RECONSTRUCTION - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/09/23/ -- TUSK WILL EMERGE STRONGER FROM THIS CRISIS - ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: “At this moment, emotions and impressions matter. And these are that in a difficult time, the Prime Minister did not hide in the Chancellery of the Prime Minister, but took on his shoulders the entire burden of confronting the natural disaster. In the army, they say a good commander shouts 'Follow me' rather than 'Forward'. (...) And therefore – as the SW Research poll for rp.pl already indicates – Tusk will emerge stronger from this crisis.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41168021-artur-bartkiewicz-powodz-w-polsce-dlaczego-donald-tusk-wyjdzie-z-tego-kryzysu-silniejszy -- PIS DIDN'T EVEN MENTION THE THREAT DURING THE ANTI-GOVERNMENT RALLY WHEN THE FLOOD WAS ALREADY CERTAIN - PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “The current opposition is accused of populism today, attacking the Prime Minister for one less alarming sentence before the flood arrived, while ignoring the fact that they themselves didn't even utter a word about the threat during an anti-government rally when the flood was already certain.” -- THE FLOOD – INSTEAD OF UNIFYING CONCERN – WILL BECOME “POLITICAL GOLD” IN A DIRTY PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN, LEADING TO THE EVER-GREATER EROSION OF THE STATE AND COMMUNITY – SZUBARTOWICZ FURTHER IN INTERIA: “We will soon be starkly convinced of this when the flood – instead of unifying concern – becomes the 'political gold' of a dirty presidential campaign. To the point of nausea. And to the ever-greater erosion of the state and community.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-brudne-zloto,nId,7820843 -- FANATICS FROM PIS AND PO ARE WORSE THAN THE FLOOD - GRZEGORZ SROCZYŃSKI IN GAZETA.PL: “***** fanatics. Let that be your slogan. Fanatics can destroy the country, ruin 35 years of your hard work on two jobs, or 35 years of your hard work in your own company for 12 hours a day, including Sundays. Are they that dangerous? Exactly. Because – dear normal person – when the main mainstream parties indiscriminately feed polarization, Poland will eventually get stuck. Almost no necessary major investment will be made, no essential reform will succeed if the political mainstream acts at the dictation of its fanatics and spends 24 hours a day on mutual self-annihilation.” https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31319784,fanatykow-totalsi-z-pis-i-po-gorsi-niz-powodz-komentarz.html -- NOTHING GOOD WILL COME OF STRENGTHENING POLARIZATION - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “The entire drama, human tragedies, immense losses, great challenges for local communities, but also for the state, are becoming merely a pretext for strengthening polarization. Nothing good will come of it.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41163511-michal-szuldrzynski-powodz-w-polsce-ktos-tu-gra-na-polityczna-polaryzacje -- POLITICO NOTES THAT HARRIS'S LEAD IN KEY STATES FOR A MAJORITY IN THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE IS – DESPITE A VICTORIOUS DEBATE – ASTONISHINGLY FRAGILE: “In the past few days, an avalanche of data from key states has also been released, showing an even more modest improvement for Harris. Dive into the seven main states, and it becomes clear that Harris's lead is still surprisingly small and fragile – especially considering how pollsters underestimated Trump in the last election.” https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/22/harris-trump-polls-debate-00180405 -- TRUMP ONLY NEEDS THREE SWING STATES TO WIN - POLITICO ANALYSIS: https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/09/19/trump-three-swing-states-election-win-00179648 -- MANY PROGRESSIVES "DON'T REALIZE HOW MUCH THE COMBINATION OF PARTISAN BIAS AND THE INTERNET, ESPECIALLY TWITTER, INFECTS HUMAN THINKING AND DRIVES THEM MAD" - AN INTERESTING FRAGMENT FROM VOX ABOUT NATE SILVER, AN ELECTION ANALYST: “'I think progressive epistemics has really gotten worse,' Silver told me in an interview last week. In 2012, he 'naively thought' that only conservatives 'were capable of being detached from reality,' he said. Put more kindly, he continued, many progressives 'don't realize how much the combination of partisan bias and the internet, especially Twitter, infects human thinking and drives them mad.'” https://www.vox.com/politics/372217/nate-silver-2024-polls-trump-harris -- 366 THOUSAND VISAS FOR CITIZENS OF MUSLIM AND AFRICAN COUNTRIES WERE ISSUED, OFTEN WITHOUT VERIFICATION, AND EVEN AT THE DICTATION OF PIS POLITICIANS. WE HAVE OBTAINED THE NIK REPORT ON THE VISA SCANDAL. THE AUDITORS' FINDINGS ARE SHOCKING - WOJCIECH CZUCHNOWSKI AND ARKADIUSZ GRUSZCZYŃSKI IN GW: https://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,31323951,wyborcza-ujawnia-nik-miazdzy-pisowska-dyplomacje-afera.html -- IN THE CASE OF PIS, IT IS ESSENTIALLY AN "AUTOMATIC" PROCESS, THE REGULATION IS UNAMBIGUOUS - PKW CHAIRMAN SYLWESTER MARCINIAK ON PIS LOSING ITS SUBSIDIES - IN AN INTERVIEW WITH GRZEGORZ OSIECKI AND TOMASZ ŻÓŁCIAK IN MONEY.PL: “In the case of PiS, it is essentially an 'automatic' process, the regulation is unambiguous. The reports of the remaining party committees have been accepted. And we are not returning to this; the provisions of the Electoral Code do not allow for it.” -- I AM WONDERING. THAT WOULD BE THE EASIEST, BUT IS IT THE BEST? - MARCINIAK ON OSIECKI AND ŻÓŁCIAK'S QUESTION ABOUT HIS INTENTION TO RESIGN: “I am wondering. That would be the easiest, but is it the best? After the resolution concerning PiS, I received several dozen emails, some of them downright aggressive. And these were emails from both the left and the right, asking why I abstained from voting. I abstained because I am in favor of extremely meticulous control, but first and foremost, we need to be given the legal instruments for such control.” -- A RESOLUTION MAY BE PASSED BY A MAJORITY VOTE THAT, IN LIGHT OF EUROPEAN COURT RULINGS, IKNiSP IS NOT A COURT - MARCINIAK ON THE SUPREME COURT'S DECISION UNDERMINING THE PKW RESOLUTION: “If we read the provision, it is unambiguous. If the Supreme Court deems the appeal justified, the PKW should immediately resolve to accept the financial report. And the PKW has done so many times, amending its resolutions after Supreme Court rulings. Now there may be a bigger problem, because a resolution may be passed by a majority vote that, in light of European court rulings, IKNiSP is not a court.” https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/szef-pkw-zrezygnuje-zastanawiam-sie-wkrotce-decyzja-w-sprawie-milionow-zlotych-dla-pis-7073120775723968a.html -- THE NEW GOVERNMENT IS DOING TO THE NATIONAL OPERA WHAT PIS DID TO THE STUD FARM IN JANÓW PODLASKI - MACIEJ STRZEMBOSZ IN RZ: “It is right that she should be dismissed by the minister who, at the very beginning, allowed a billion zloty to be taken from culture and has no development or structural concept, but only engages in replacing directors from the wrong ones to the obedient ones. Therefore, she will soon compete for the title of the worst Minister of Culture in history, because even the controversial cultural governments of PiS had their achievements and better or worse development concepts (...)” https://www.rp.pl/publicystyka/art41168751-maciej-strzembosz-nowy-rzad-robi-z-opera-narodowa-to-co-pis-ze-stadnina-w-janowie-podlaskim -- WIRTUALNA POLSKA DETERMINED THAT OFFICIALS DID NOT CHECK WHAT THEY WERE BUYING, AND THE INSTRUMENT IS WORTH AT MOST A FEW THOUSAND. IGNACY JAN PADEREWSKI DIDN'T EVEN STAND NEAR THIS PIANO, LET ALONE PLAY IT - SZYMON JADCZAK IN WP: https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/bog-ojczyzna-fortepian-jak-ludzie-pis-dali-sie-ograc-sprytnemu-szwajcarowi-7073041823583136a -- BIRTHDAYS: Michał Jach, Katarzyna Maria Piekarska, Jakub Górnicki, Michał Sznajder, Mirosława Nykiel, Elżbieta Stępień.

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