state of play: 07/09/2024

STATE OF PLAY: Płociński: No one in Poland will hesitate to tell the German Chancellor, 'The Emperor Has No Clothes,' Michalski: If I compare Morawiecki with Sterczewski or Mastalerek with Żakowski, I have no doubt who will win.

Łukasz Mężyk

-- 'I WILL NOT RESIGN.' KIERWIŃSKI ON HIS POSITION AS SECRETARY GENERAL OF PO - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/07/09 -- AFTER SIX MONTHS THEY MAY NOT BE SHOCKED, BUT A LITTLE CONFUSED. THE BALANCE SHEET OF DONALD TUSK'S FIRST TERM IN OFFICE REMAINS AMBIGUOUS - RAFAŁ KALUKIN IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Supporters of the new government began the year in celebratory moods. After six months, they may not be shocked, but a little confused nonetheless. The balance sheet of Donald Tusk's first term in office remains ambiguous. For some voters, of course, it is enough that their representatives are in power, but the majority remains capricious and easily retreats. (...) Fortunately, the approval ratings are not yet that alarming, although since October 15th, a decrease in the ruling camp's standing as a political whole is noticeable. Not long ago, it held a controlling stake; now it only has half the cake.” -- A LONELY RULER IS RARELY AN EFFECTIVE RULER. HE SHOULD BE ABLE TO DELEGATE TASKS, RELYING ON TRUSTWORTHY AND DECISIVE NOTABLES - KALUKIN CONTINUES IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “The Prime Minister cannot oversee everything. He already holds too many roles simultaneously. He not only leads the government and the strongest party but also conducts active European policy and deals with security, is the main face in successive campaigns, practically shapes the government's image single-handedly, oversees settlements, and plays coalition chess. It's no wonder he no longer has the capacity for ministerial details. In the recent campaign, he could afford to play the role of a tsar who publicly laments the incompetence of his boyars ('Every day I clench my fists and teeth, thinking: it must be faster, it must be more efficient'), even though such a relationship is inherently dysfunctional. A lonely ruler is rarely an effective ruler. He should be able to delegate tasks, relying on trustworthy and decisive notables.” -- PRIMARIES TO PUT TRZASKOWSKI THROUGH THE PARTY MACHINE AND REDUCE HIM TO TUSK'S CANDIDATE? - KALUKIN CONTINUES: “The simultaneous announcement of presidential ambitions by Radosław Sikorski would probably be a good pretext to formalize the procedure for selecting a candidate, for example, through primaries. Likely not for the current Foreign Minister to win, but to put Trzaskowski through the party machine and reduce him to Tusk's candidate. This would also make sense in the long run, as it would preserve leadership unity, the existing sources of legitimacy of power, and a clear line of conflict. However, it is not certain whether Trzaskowski, within the overly rigid Civic Platform corset, will not lose his key assets.” https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2261969,1,bilans-pol-roku-rzadow-tuska-czyli-trudne-zycie-po-cudzie-a-zegar-tyka -- PRIMARIES WILL ONLY TAKE PLACE IF SIKORSKI OFFICIALLY ANNOUNCES HIS RUN - HOWEVER, ACCORDING TO A KO MP, IN A CONVERSATION WITH ARKADIUSZ GRUSZCZYŃSKI IN GW: “- Radek really wants to run, which is why he's trying to win over the party – one of the important KO politicians tells me. Sikorski once ran for party nomination before the 2010 elections. He lost to Bronisław Komorowski in the internal elections. In KO, some would like to repeat the party plebiscite. – Primaries will only happen if Sikorski officially announces his candidacy. If only Trzaskowski remains in the field, then we won't bother with any primaries – however, one of the KO MPs tells me.” -- IN THE END, THE BOSS MAY COME AND SAY: THE BOYS ARE ASPIRING, ARGUING, LEAKING, SO I WILL RUN. AND NO ONE WILL OBJECT - FURTHER IN GRUSZCZYŃSKI'S ARTICLE IN GW: “According to all polls, Trzaskowski wins the elections in both the first and second rounds not only against the Law and Justice candidate but also against Szymon Hołownia. – Please remember that in the end, the boss might come and say this: the boys are aspiring, arguing, leaking information, so I will run. And no one will object. Saying someone is a sure bet a year before the election is naive. Politics in a quarter of a year can look completely different than it does today – says one of the KO parliamentarians.” https://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,31124752,tusk-i-sikorski-nadal-mysla-o-prezydenturze-polski-czy-pozycja.html -- IF I COMPARE MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI WITH FRANCISZEK STERCZEWSKI OR MARCIN MASTALEREK WITH অভিনেতা JACK ŻAKOWSKI, I HAVE NO DOUBT WHO WILL WIN TODAY AND WHO I WOULD WANT ON THE SIDE OF LIBERAL INSTITUTIONS IN THE PAST, IN MY "BETTER TIMES" - CEZARY MICHALSKI IN INTERIA: “In other (from my point of view, "better") times, they could have been leaders of liberal-conservative or Christian Democratic parties. They could have been competent officials and effective defenders of liberal institutions. If I compare Mateusz Morawiecki with Franciszek Sterczewski or Marcin Mastalerek with Jacek Żakowski, I have no doubt who will win today and whom I would want on the side of liberal institutions in the past, in my 'better times'. -- THE RIGHT IS UNITED TODAY BY THE SIMPLEST WILL TO SURVIVE. MORAWIECKI AND MASTALEREK, CZARNEK AND SZYDŁO KNOW THAT A SPLIT UNDER THE VIGILANT EYE OF DONALD TUSK AND ROMAN GIERTYCH (ONE OF THE VERY FEW AMBITIOUS AND TALENTED PEOPLE WHOSE PRESENCE THE "BOSS" STILL TOLERATES AROUND HIM) WOULD MEAN RUIN - CEZARY MICHALSKI CONTINUES: “Today, it is fear of annihilation at the hands of Tusk that unites them. The right is united today by the simplest will to survive. Morawiecki and Mastalerek, Czarnek and Szydło know that a split under the watchful eye of Donald Tusk and Roman Giertych (one of the very few ambitious and talented people whose presence the "boss" still tolerates around him) would mean the ruin of their structures, their money, and the loss of the social position they painstakingly built over eight years. Globals and locals may hate each other, but – if I am right and they are not fools – they will not turn on each other. Both sides may even pretend to acknowledge Kaczyński's leadership. In reality, they know that Kaczyński will not rule for his dreamed-of next five years; he is already ceasing to rule even today. However, they will cautiously, coldly, prepare for succession. They will strengthen their own strongholds and destroy their competitors' strongholds, but they will remain "united" because any division would destroy them immediately. Especially since Roman Giertych and Donald Tusk are watching them so carefully, so closely.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-globalsi-i-lokalsi-ludzie-donalda-trumpa-w-polsce,nId,7626312 -- THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS WILL ONLY BE A TEST OF WHETHER THE HEAD OF PIS WILL DEFEND THE PARTY FROM THOSE PREPARING TO TAKE POWER WITHIN IT; THE DECOMPOSITION OF THE POLISH RIGHT IS ALREADY DECIDED - PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “The United Right may have saved its leadership in Małopolska, but Kaczyński's candidate lost, and he himself already knows that his personal authority has been seriously undermined. This process cannot be stopped, and the presidential elections will only be a test of whether the head of PiS will defend the party from those preparing to take power within it. (...) Today, there is no certainty whether Kaczyński's plans will lead him where he wants – the next few months will decide this – but the decomposition of the Polish right is already a foregone conclusion.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-jaroslaw-kaczynski-na-niepewnym-gruncie,nId,7631342 -- A WEEK IN THE PIS CIRCLE, OR THE HUMILIATION OF MAGNATE KACZYŃSKI. A WEEK LIKE NO OTHER - MICHAŁ DANIELEWSKI IN OKO.PRESS: “For five episodes, viewers watched with bated breath as the increasingly humiliated Magnate Kaczyński lashed out at his subjects, threatened and blackmailed, issued appeals and orders, sent the Count into battle to catch the rebels by their throats and drive them into line, but all to no avail. The rebellion continued, and even grew stronger…” https://oko.press/tydzien-w-pis-owskim-kregu-czyli-upokorzenie-magnata-kaczynskiego -- 200 MILLION EURO IN COMPENSATION FOR THE CRIMES OF WORLD WAR II WILL SATISFY NO ONE IN POLAND, BECAUSE WE HAVE ALREADY SHED OUR COMPLEXES TOWARDS RICH NEIGHBORS. WE NO LONGER FEEL LIKE PETITIONERS TO A GERMAN MASTER - MICHAŁ PŁOCIŃSKI IN RZ: “The world has changed, and Olaf Scholz must finally understand this, just as Donald Tusk has already understood it. 200 million euros in compensation for the crimes of World War II will satisfy no one in Poland, because we have already shed our complexes towards rich neighbors. We no longer feel like supplicants to a German master. We were cured of our remaining complexes after February 24, 2022.” -- IT IS RATHER WE WHO SHOULD BE TEACHING THE GERMANS ABOUT THE WORLD OF VALUES AND DEMOCRACY, NOT THE OTHER WAY AROUND - PŁOCIŃSKI'S CONCLUSION: “We have realized that it is rather we who should be teaching the Germans about the world of values and democracy, not the other way around. Therefore, today, hearing the proposal of 200 million euros, which treats the victims of German war crimes dismissively, no one in Poland will hesitate for a second to shout at the German Chancellor: 'The Emperor has no clothes.' https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art40779431-donald-tusk-prezy-teraz-muskuly-przed-niemcami-bo-wie-ze-krol-jest-nagi -- BIRTHDAYS: Włodzimierz Puzyna, Mieczysław Łuczak.

Łukasz Mężyk