state of play: 02/05/2024
POLITICAL GAMEPLAY: Kosiniak Prepares for Worst-Case Scenarios, Żukowska Rules Out Coalitions Beyond Civic Coalition and Third Way, Okoński on What Your Sons Will Choose
-- KIDAWA-BŁOŃSKA: THE DECISION IS MADE, OUR PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE IS TRZASKOWSKI - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/02/05
-- I AM PREPARING FOR EVERY SCENARIO, AND I TAKE THE WORST ONES MOST SERIOUSLY - WŁADYSŁAW KOSINIAK-KAMYSZ IN AN INTERVIEW WITH KAMIL SZEWCZYK IN SE: “I am preparing for every scenario, and I take the worst ones most seriously. That is the role of the Minister of Defence in the current situation. These are not words thrown to the wind. I try to weigh them very carefully, especially since I became Minister of Defence. The global situation is very serious. It's not just Ukraine; it's also the Red Sea and the Pacific regions. One must be prepared for every scenario, which is why we are conducting an audit, drawing conclusions, and addressing shortages, for example, concerning armaments. Large-scale purchases are very important, but individual soldier equipment is equally important to me. Since taking office, we have signed contracts for the purchase of equipment worth 19 billion zlotys – most of it from Polish armaments factories. However, providing soldiers with new, high-quality individual equipment is a very important change that must happen for me.”
-- I DISAGREE WITH MANY OF THE PRESIDENT'S DECISIONS, I BELIEVE THEY ARE WRONG, BUT WHEREVER POSSIBLE – KOSINIAK-KAMYSZ CONTINUES TO SZEWCZYK IN SE: “I disagree with many of the President's decisions; I believe they are wrong, but wherever possible, I will seek common ground. I will not react emotionally because security matters are above that.”
https://polityka.se.pl/wiadomosci/wicepremier-kosiniak-kamysz-mocno-nie-wolno-oswoic-sie-z-wojna-nie-wolno-o-niej-zapomnie-tylko-u-nas-aa-CpEj-sfNN-J6St.html
-- THE PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE IS RETURNING TO THE "TWO TOWERS" CASE OF KACZYŃSKI - WOJCIECH CZUCHNOWSKI AND IWONA SZPALA IN GW: “There will be an investigation into the "two towers" – the real estate business of the Srebrna company, in which Jarosław Kaczyński was involved. The investment, worth 1.3 billion PLN, never commenced. The businessman who prepared it accused the PiS leader of fraud. In 2020, the prosecutor's office refused to initiate an investigation. The new National Prosecutor, Jacek Bilewicz, stated in an interview with Monday's "Newsweek" that the prosecutor's office will "re-examine the 'two towers' case in a procedural manner." "Gazeta Wyborcza" has learned unofficially that the decision has already been made, and the investigation will be reopened.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,30662874,prokuratura-wraca-do-sprawy-dwoch-wiez-kaczynskiego.html
-- REGARDLESS OF WHAT THE PRESIDENT OF POLAND MEANT, THE WORLD RECEIVED THE MESSAGE THAT HE IS UNSURE IF UKRAINE WILL REGAIN CRIMEA. BECAUSE, HE ADDED, IT IS HISTORICALLY RUSSIAN. SIMILAR HISTORICAL THESES WERE PUT FORTH BY GERMAN POLITICIANS SYMPATHETIC TO RUSSIA, INCLUDING GERHARD SCHRÖDER - JERZY HASZCZYŃSKI IN RZ.
-- DUDA IS OBVIOUSLY NOT BECOMING A POLISH SCHRÖDER, BUT THOSE WORDS SHOULD NEVER HAVE BEEN SPOKEN - HASZCZYŃSKI CONTINUES: “Andrzej Duda is obviously not becoming a Polish Schröder, not a Polish Russlandversteher. He has made many other pro-Ukrainian statements, and many of his actions have been of that nature. But those words should never have been spoken. They were spoken and spread. And they caused concern about Poland's stance on Ukraine at an exceptionally difficult time of war for it.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art39780881-jerzy-haszczynski-andrzej-duda-jak-gerhard-schroeder
-- KANAŁ ZERO, OR WHAT YOUR SONS WILL CHOOSE - MICHAŁ OKOŃSKI IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “The President's interview on Krzysztof Stanowski's new venture was supposed to cause a storm, and it did. Will the media and political landscape be turned upside down? (...) In general, the foundation of his 'common sense' seems to be the conviction that a person's value is measured in 'subs'; this is also how the worldview of many of his recipients is formed. On the other hand, it is hard to deny him credit when he exposes the complacency and shallowness of traditional media, for example, by revealing the ease with which a celebrity like Natalia Janoszek builds a career in them. And above all, his undeniable success is an illustration of phenomena described by Jacek Dukaj in his essay "After Writing." The world has changed, and there's no point in being offended by it.”
https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/kanal-zero-czyli-kogo-wybiora-wasi-synowie-186110
-- HE MAY BE PLANNING ANOTHER HAPPENING, BUT IT CANNOT BE RULED OUT THAT A NEW ACTOR WILL SOON APPEAR ON THE POLITICAL SCENE - ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: “Krzysztof Stanowski could just as well have announced his presidential bid at the Presidential Palace as part of the promotion of "Kanał Zero," he might be planning another happening, but it cannot be ruled out that a new actor will soon appear on the political scene.”
-- IN 2025, SPACE WILL OPEN UP FOR SOMEONE WHO "SPEAKS AS IT IS," SPEAKS ON BEHALF OF THE ORDINARY PERSON, DOES NOT ENGAGE IN POLITICAL CALCULATIONS, BUT ATTACKS BROADLY - BARTKIEWICZ CONTINUES IN RZ: “In 2025, space will open up for someone who 'speaks as it is,' acts on behalf of the ordinary person, does not engage in political calculations, but attacks broadly, both right and left. Stanowski will not become president. It's also unlikely that he will repeat Szymon Hołownia's path. But one can imagine him at the head of a protest movement, like Kukiz'15, this time perhaps in the form of 'Partia Zero.' And you don't need a very vivid imagination for that.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art39780901-artur-bartkiewicz-czy-krzysztof-stanowski-moze-zostac-szymonem-holownia-a-pawlem-kukizem
-- IT IS INCREASINGLY APPARENT THAT THE ERA OF DOMINANCE OF LINEAR NEWS TELEVISION IS FADING. A NEW WORLD AND A NEW MEDIA ECOSYSTEM ARE BEING FORMED - MICHAŁ KOLANKO IN RZ: “The President's interview for Kanał Zero and the launch of this project may prove to be an important turning point in the history of media in Poland. It is increasingly evident that the era of linear news television's dominance is fading into the past. A new world and a new media ecosystem are being formed, where the barrier to entry for achieving national reach and citation is much lower than ever before. These changes will accelerate with generational shifts in media, politics, and Poland as a whole. The world where only what was on this or that television mattered is becoming a thing of the past. Of course, this does not mean that linear television faces a swift demise. It retains its significance in various formats and situations. However, the situation where television so decisively dominated as a news medium will never return.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art39780441-michal-kolanko-andrzej-duda-kanal-zero-i-smierc-telewizji-jaka-znamy
-- SUTRYK FAILED TO MEET WITH TUSK - ARTUR BRZOZOWSKI IN GW: “Therefore, Sutryk's primary goal is to gain the support of party leaders – especially Prime Minister Tusk. In early January, Sutryk traveled to Warsaw specifically for this purpose but only met with Deputy Speaker of the Sejm from PSL, Piotr Zgorzelski, and Siemoniak, the coordinator for special services. "He did not manage to reach Tusk. He had also hoped for an individual conversation in Gdańsk, during the commemorations related to the anniversary of Paweł Adamowicz's death, but also without success," we hear from politicians from Civic Platform (PO).”
-- UNOFFICIALLY, REPRESENTATIVES OF THE CIVIC COALITION EXPRESS THEMSELVES DECIDEDLY HARSHER ABOUT SUTRYK'S PRESIDENCY - BRZOZOWSKI CONTINUES IN GW: “Unofficially, representatives of the Civic Coalition express themselves decidedly harsher regarding Sutryk's presidency. They argue that all major transport investments recently completed in the city were merely continuations of projects conceived or initiated during the term of Rafał Dutkiewicz, his predecessor. They point to the lack of implementation of the election program – the construction of a tram to Jagodno, to Psie Pole, or the announced modernization of many streets. Jaros claims that these problems will be resolved. "I have already spoken with the government. Solutions can be expected in the coming days, and one of the first decisions of the Coalition for Wrocław will be the implementation of the tram to Jagodno," announced a PO MP.”
https://wroclaw.wyborcza.pl/wroclaw/7,35771,30664590,czy-tusk-wystawi-kandydata-przeciw-sutrykowi-platforma-nie.html
-- PERHAPS TUSK FIGURED IT WAS MORE BENEFICIAL TO BURY US WITH A SPADE BECAUSE HE WOULD GET HIS WAY ANYWAY, PERHAPS HE FEARED THAT A COALITION WITH US WOULD DETER MORE CONSERVATIVE VOTERS - ANNA MARIA ŻUKOWSKA IN AN INTERVIEW WITH JAKUB MAJMUREK IN KRYTYKA POLITYCZNA: “You know, Mr. Editor, how hypotheses work. Perhaps Tusk figured it was more beneficial to bury us with a spade because he would get his way anyway; perhaps he feared that a coalition with us would deter more conservative voters, who would then go to Trzecia Droga – I truly don't know. I've also heard theories about a regional revolt, but from what we heard earlier, problems with reaching agreements at the regional level were supposed to be mainly in Zachodniopomorskie; everywhere else, the message was rather that negotiations were going well.”
-- WE WILL DEFINITELY NOT FORM A COALITION WITH ANYONE OTHER THAN KO AND TRZECIA DROGA – IT IS CLEAR WHICH PARTY WE WILL NOT AGREE WITH - ŻUKOWSKA CONTINUES IN HER CONVERSATION WITH MAJMUREK IN KRYTYKA: “We are already such a partner in several voivodeships; this arrangement works. Certainly, wherever we are the deciding factor, we will strive to join the voivodeship boards in exchange for agreeing to specific policies aligned with our program. We will definitely not form a coalition with anyone other than KO and Trzecia Droga – it is clear which party we will not agree with.”
-- THE LOCAL ELECTIONS WILL NOT AFFECT THE BALANCE OF POWER WITHIN THE COALITION AT ALL; WITHOUT OUR MPS, TUSK WILL NOT HAVE A MAJORITY, UNLESS HE FORMS ONE WITH KONFEDERACJA - SAYS ŻUKOWSKA TO MAJMUREK: “The local elections will not affect the balance of power within the coalition at all. The coalition agreement and verbal understandings regarding the division of positions will not cease to be valid due to who gains or loses councillors. The Lewica club will have the same number of MPs before and after the local elections – and without our MPs, Tusk will not have a majority, unless he forms one with Konfederacja.”
-- IN WARSAW, THE IDEAL SCENARIO WOULD BE TO REACH THE SECOND ROUND WITH OUR CANDIDATE – ŻUKOWSKA FURTHER STATES TO MAJMUREK: “The ideal scenario would be to reach the second round with our candidate and to have an independent club in the city council – preferably one without whose support the KO club would not have an independent majority.”
https://krytykapolityczna.pl/kraj/zukowska-bez-naszych-poslow-tusk-nie-bedzie-mial-wiekszosci/
-- LET'S FORGET ABOUT THE LARGE NUCLEAR POWER PLANT - WITOLD GADOMSKI IN GW: “Europeans are not doing any better than Americans. The construction of Unit 3 at the Olkiluoto Nuclear Power Plant in Finland is an example. It was supposed to be launched in 2009. Meanwhile, energy production only began in May 2023, and the cost was many times higher than planned. (...) Europeans are not doing any better than Americans. The construction of Unit 3 at the Olkiluoto Nuclear Power Plant in Finland is an example. It was supposed to be launched in 2009. Meanwhile, energy production only began in May 2023, and the cost was many times higher than planned.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,30662874,dajmy-sobie-spokoj-z-wielka-elektrownia-atomowa.html
-- 2ND ANNIVERSARY OF THE DEATH (AFTER A LONG ILLNESS) OF PROF. JERZY OSIATYŃSKI, MINISTER OF FINANCE IN HANNA SUCHOCKA'S GOVERNMENT, WHO INTRODUCED VAT IN POLAND WITHOUT CHAOS, AND A LONG-TIME MP ON THE FINANCE COMMITTEE.
-- BIRTHDAYS: Teresa Piotrowska, Sławomir Potapowicz, Piotr Krzystek.
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