state of play: 09/18/2023

STATE OF PLAY: Chrzczonowicz: The Internalization of a Xenophobic Narrative Will Happen Subtly and Become Permanent; Obajtek on Hydrogen Technology Investments with PESA in Public Transport

Łukasz Mężyk

-- A LARGER PERCENTAGE OF THOSE SURVEYED (39.7%) BELIEVE THIS MATTER WILL NOT INFLUENCE THE OUTCOME FOR PIS IN THE ELECTIONS - RZ: “Over 30% of respondents surveyed by IBRiS believe that the matter will harm PiS in the upcoming parliamentary elections. A larger percentage of respondents (39.7%) believe that this matter will not influence PiS's election results.” https://www.rp.pl/wybory/art39123021-sondaz-afera-wizowa-oddala-pis-od-trzeciej-kadencji -- EVERY FOURTH POLE HASN'T HEARD ABOUT THE VISA SCANDAL IN THE GOVERNMENT, AND ALMOST 40% BELIEVE IT WON'T AFFECT PIS'S RATINGS - POLL FOR DGP AND RMF FM: 24% haven't heard, 30% believe it will weaken PiS's ratings, 38% that it won't weaken them, 8% difficult to say. -- 39% POSITIVELY ASSESS THE CREDIBILITY OF PIS'S MIGRATION POSTULATES, 48% NEGATIVELY - DALEJ DGP: “The opposition emphasizes that although PiS brandishes anti-immigrant rhetoric, in practice, during its rule, the number of immigrants, including those from African or Asian countries, has increased. In this case, 39% of respondents assess PiS's actions positively, but significantly more, 48%, negatively.” https://wiadomosci.dziennik.pl/polityka/artykuly/9298735,afera-wizowa-kto-zyskuje-kto-traci-sondaz-dla-dgp-i-rmf-fm.html -- WĄSIK: IF THE SIGNAL IN THE FORM OF A REFERENDUM IS SENT TO EUROPE, I AM CONVINCED THAT SOON OTHER COUNTRIES WILL HOLD REFERENDUMS ON MIGRATION - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2023/09/18 -- THE MATTER HAS ANOTHER, DARK SIDE. WITH IT, WE ARE BECOMING RACISTS - MAGDALENA CHRZCZONOWICZ IN OKO.PRESS: “The results of the anti-refugee surge initiated by PiS will be tragic. The effect of daily watching doctored images of black men storming the border and beating women will be racism, xenophobia, and above all, fear of the 'other,' already strongly present in Poland. The internalization of such a narrative will happen subtly and become permanent. It will not detach from us and is a fatal prognosis for the future. Why? Not only because of basic decency, humanism, and respect for human rights. It's also about what awaits us, and what is by no means our choice. And what awaits us is large-scale migration. In fact, it's already here. UNHCR estimates that at the end of 2022, there were 108.4 million people worldwide who had to leave their homes due to war, violence, and human rights violations. In 2023, there will be over 117 million such people.” -- KO IS ALSO SCARING WITH REFUGEES AND SPREADING ANTI-IMMIGRANT PROPAGANDA. OF COURSE, THEY ARE FAR FROM PIS IN THIS REGARD, BUT IN TERMS OF HUMANITARIAN AND HUMAN RIGHTS, THE KO NARRATIVE PRESENTED IN THIS SPOT DOES NOT HOLD UP IN ANY WAY - CHRZCZONOWICZ FURTHER IN OKO.PRESS: “KO is also scaring with refugees and spreading anti-immigrant propaganda. Of course, they are far from PiS in this regard, but in humanitarian and human rights terms, the KO narrative presented in this spot does not hold up in any way. What's more, KO politicians know this. They are probably not xenophobes either. But they believe that politically and pre-electionally, such a narrative is necessary. The wisdom of the stage.” https://oko.press/spuszczono-psy-ze-smyczy-co-nam-zrobi-afera-wizowa -- DESPITE THE WORK OF JOURNALISTS FROM FREE MEDIA—AND EVEN MORE SO DESPITE MFA STATEMENTS AND ARRESTS—THE VISA SCANDAL IS FAR FROM FULLY CLARIFIED - WITOLD GŁOWACKI IN OKO.PRESS: “Despite the work of journalists from free media—and even more so despite MFA statements and arrests—the visa scandal is far from fully clarified. Law and Justice fears its political consequences like the plague—as the scandal already undermines the entire anti-immigrant narrative of this party, upon which its election campaign is based. This can certainly affect the work of the services and prosecutors dealing with clarifying this matter. And at the same time, it explains why the only individuals arrested linked to the ruling camp remain mid-level activists from the Świętokrzyskie Voivodeship.” https://oko.press/afera-wizowa-wszystko-co-wiemy -- IN THIS, AT LEAST NOT MARGINAL MATTER, OKO.PRESS, STAFFED BY YOUNG FOLLOWERS OF THE RAZEM PARTY AND ADRIAN ZANDBERG, HAS BECOME SIMILAR TO TVP INFO - CEZARY MICHALSKI IN INTERIA: “However, when Tusk first publicized this matter in July, he was then attacked by the entire left and a significant portion of the 'symmetrists.' OKO.press, staffed by young followers of the Razem party and Adrian Zandberg, published an article on the visa scandal by a 'sociologist, cultural expert, and freelance journalist from Spain,' who from Spain looked into the official Eurostat data compiled before the scandal broke based on official numbers provided by the PiS Ministry of Foreign Affairs and categorically stated that there was no visa scandal. There is only hysteria unleashed by 'libs.' She frankly described her own 'journalistic investigation' process, writing: 'a few clicks are enough.' Fortunately, for several other Polish journalists, 'a few clicks' were not enough. However, in this way, the ends of the horseshoe have met, and in this, by no means marginal, matter, OKO.press has become similar to TVP Info.” -- IT IS MEANT TO DESTROY TUSK AND PO, SHIELDING AND MAKING ROOM FOR THE PERSONAL HOLY GRAIL OF THE ANTI-LIBERAL LEFT, WHICH ADRIAN ZANDBERG STILL REMAINS - MICHALSKI FURTHER IN INTERIA: “Of course, Sroczyński's, Orliński's, or Leszczyński's symmetrism is one thing, and Meller's and Wróbel's symmetrism is another. The former is meant to destroy Tusk and PO, shielding and making room for the personal Holy Grail of the anti-liberal left, which Adrian Zandberg still remains. I understand this position and in a way respect it, just as one respects a political enemy whose defeat one wishes for and over whose defeat one works hard.” -- IN THE CASE OF MELLER OR WRÓBEL, SYMMETRISM IS, HOWEVER, JUST SALON, GENTLEMANLY NONSENSE - MICHALSKI STILL IN INTERIA: “In the case of Meller or Wróbel, however, symmetrism is just salon, gentlemanly nonsense. While, for example, the detached way of describing Polish politics in Robert Krasowski's books serves to understand it, Meller's and Wróbel's symmetrism is a capitulation of reason. Its sole function is snobbery.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-sprawiedliwi-z-msz-i-symetrysci-z-salonu,nId,7027506 -- KATARYNA ON TWITTER: “It's not because of imaginary 'symmetrists' but because of such fruitless wars with them that the opposition will cry for the next four years that PiS won again. I don't know of any PiS scandal revealed by Michalski, Janicki, and Władyka. And tens of scandals revealed by Oko Press.” https://x.com/katarynaaa/status/1703325782892798135?s=20 -- YOU AND MICHALSKI ARE NICELY SPITTING ON FREE OKO.PRESS IN INTERIA, WHICH BELONGS TO POLSAT. IT'S JUST A SHAME THAT MICHALSKI'S ARTICLE IS BUILT ON LIES ABOUT OKO - WITOLD GŁOWACKI ON TWITTER: https://x.com/WitoldGlowacki/status/1703312304673358222?s=20 -- SYMMETRISM IS A DRAMATICALLY OVERESTIMATED PHENOMENON THAT, IN THE EVENT OF AN UNFAVORABLE ELECTION RESULT FOR MANY PEOPLE, WILL BE THE MAIN EXCUSE FOR WHY IT DIDN'T WORK AGAIN” – SAYS RAFAŁ MADAJCZAK, EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF GAZETA.PL, IN AN INTERVIEW WITH KATARZYNA SKRZYDŁOWSKA-KALUKIN IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “There is no symetrist international, there is no secret council where article theses are agreed upon. This is a dramatically overestimated phenomenon, which for many people, in case of an unfavorable election result, will be the main excuse why it didn't work again. And this will be an incomplete picture, because everything is much more complicated.” -- PIS MEDIA DO NOT HAVE AN ADVANTAGE. - MADAJCZAK FURTHER WITH SKRZYDŁOWSKA-KALUKIN IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “PiS media do not have an advantage. Let's look at the largest portals in the country – is Onet PiS-friendly? Wirtualna Polska? Is Interia PiS-friendly? There are some doubts, but it's not a PiS medium. Is Gazeta.pl PiS-friendly? I've never heard that. Well, maybe from Roman Giertych. Radio stations – the largest radio station RMF has 30 percent of the market. The second, owned by Agora, Radio ZET – 14 percent. Thanks to PiS rule, Polskie Radio has negligible listenership, Jedynka has about 5 percent, Trójka – about two. There is no advantage for PiS stations. Newspapers? The same situation. The most read weeklies in Poland are 'Polityka' and 'Newsweek,' and only then right-wing and brown-right-wing weeklies. Public Television is one of the largest TV stations. What is the second? TVN. The third? Polsat, some might say it's PiS-friendly, I would say moderately. The most popular news program in Poland is TVN's 'Fakty'.” -- THEY WERE SOLD A CERTAIN DREAM, AND REALITY FOLLOWED. THEY ARE EXPERIENCING SHOCK. WHAT DOES IT LEAD TO? TO SEEKING EASY SOLUTIONS, TO FURTHER RADICALIZATION - MADAJCZAK AGAIN: “Let's assume such a periodical exists and its readers do not use other media. They read that PiS crosses the line every day, which is true, by the way. That Hołownia is an incompetent, a bit of a Trojan horse, and Lewica is so-so. Meanwhile, Platforma [Civic Platform] again has a great plan, they totally crushed Kaczyński on Twitter, made cool memes, planned brilliant moves. Such an approach would undermine the credibility of this medium. Because what happens next? A clash with reality. And when Platforma wins, the vision of this medium and reality will overlap, so it's okay. But when, despite the fatal, terrible mistakes of one side and the brilliant ideas and moves of the other, the former wins, then there is a head-on collision of readers with reality. Then it will turn out that they were not well-informed. They were sold a certain dream, and reality followed. They are experiencing shock. What does it lead to? To seeking easy solutions, to further radicalization.” https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2023/09/14/nie-ma-zadnej-symetrystycznej-miedzynarodowki/ -- EIGHT YEARS IS ENOUGH. IN THIS CAMPAIGN, ONE THING MATTERS: TIME FOR A CHANGE OF POWER - TOMASZ SAWCZUK IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “All of this makes following the campaign essentially unnecessary. The opposition cannot do anything worse, even if it wanted to. It doesn't even have the right tools at its disposal. Conclusion: even if it conducted the worst campaign and constantly stumbled over its own feet, it does not change the fact that PiS's violations of democratic standards and the rule of law are so serious and systematic that for the good of Poland, the current government must be dismissed in the elections. The only campaign that matters is one that mobilizes Poles for this.” https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2227488,1,osiem-lat-wystarczy-w-tej-kampanii-znaczenie-ma-jedna-rzecz-czas-na-zmiane-wladzy -- RAPID CHANGES IN MONETARY POLICY ARE ONE OF THE PREMISES FOR THE OUTBREAK OF A FINANCIAL CRISIS. IT MAY OCCUR REGARDLESS OF THE ELECTION RESULTS - WITOLD GADOMSKI IN GW: “We don't know who will govern after the elections. I don't rule out that if it's today's opposition, the Monetary Policy Council (RPP) will start raising interest rates again sooner. Glapiński and the RPP members appointed by PiS will quickly turn from doves into hawks. This may not be bad for the economy. However, rapid changes in monetary policy are one of the premises for the outbreak of a financial crisis. It may occur regardless of the election results. With rising inflation, the RPP will sooner or later have to tighten monetary policy, regardless of who governs after the elections.” -- WILL THE NBP AGAIN FINANCE GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES BY EMITTING NEW MONEY, FURTHER FUELING INFLATION AND DRIVING THE ZLOTY'S EXCHANGE RATE EVEN LOWER? - GADOMSKI FURTHER: “From time to time, there are periods of panicked selling of the zloty, for example, when the Monetary Policy Council makes an absurd decision, which Governor Glapiński explains even more absurdly. Such panic can trigger a lasting depreciation of the Polish currency, which has no defenders in the NBP. It may happen that the government, unable to find buyers for its bonds, will once again turn to Adam Glapiński for help, and the NBP will again finance government expenditures by emitting new money, further fueling inflation and driving the zloty's exchange rate even lower. These are real scenarios that the government after the elections will have to face, and everything indicates that it will not be a stable government.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,30198043,jaka-gospodarka-po-wyborach-zmierzamy-do-poteznego-kryzysu.html -- ON THE ROUTE FROM GDYNIA TO HEL, OPERATIONAL TESTS OF A ZERO-EMISSION LOCOMOTIVE POWERED BY HYDROGEN FROM THE ORLEN GROUP ARE UNDERWAY. The locomotive, purchased from PESA Bydgoszcz, will eventually operate on a siding at the Production Plant in Płock. -- AS PART OF ORLEN GROUP'S HYDROGEN STRATEGY, BY 2030 WE WILL ALLOCATE PLN 7.4 BILLION FOR INVESTMENTS IN HYDROGEN TECHNOLOGIES, WHICH WILL INCLUDE THE CONSTRUCTION OF A NETWORK OF REFUELING STATIONS AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF HYDROGEN PUBLIC TRANSPORT - ORLEN PRESIDENT DANIEL OBAJTEK INFORMED: “Zero-emission hydrogen transport is a fact. Today, the first hydrogen locomotive in ORLEN colors, powered by zero-emission hydrogen fuel, is starting test runs from Gdynia to Hel. This is a step towards preparing a comprehensive offer for the supply of this fuel for the railway market. As part of the ORLEN Group's hydrogen strategy by 2030, we will allocate PLN 7.4 billion for investments in hydrogen technologies, which will include the construction of a network of refueling stations and the development of hydrogen public transport.” https://x.com/DanielObajtek/status/1703336621809012758?s=20 -- ORLEN HAS STARTED TESTS OF A LOCOMOTIVE POWERED BY HYDROGEN, PURCHASED FROM PESA. IT IS THE FIRST SUCH VEHICLE IN POLAND - MONEY.PL: “Orlen's agreement with Pesa includes a 4-year service package, within which standard inspections and potential repairs will be carried out. The locomotive's tanks hold 175 kg of hydrogen, and the traction system also includes two 85 kW fuel cells, a battery, and four traction motors.” https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/orlen-kupil-niezwykly-pojazd-pierwszy-taki-w-polsce-6942507447577280a.html -- BIRTHDAYS: Robert Mazurek, Marcin Wrona, Renata Janik, Marcin Zydorowicz.

Łukasz Mężyk