state of play: 09/27/2019

STATE OF PLAY: PiS's Welfare State Ad, Zaremba: I Have Little Faith in the State-Building Instincts of the Current Elite (or the Previous One), Borowski Calculates How PiS Might Lose Its Majority, Staniszkis: I Prefer Schetyna

Łukasz Mężyk

-- TWO WEEKS UNTIL ELECTION SILENCE. -- PLATFORMA PUBLISHES AN AD WHERE A FAMILY WITH A CROSS ON THE WALL THANKS FOR 500 PLUS, BUT HAS COMPLAINTS FOR PIS: https://twitter.com/Platforma_org/status/1177477974188331008?s=20 -- THE PIS CAMPAIGN HEADQUARTERS IMMEDIATELY RESPONDS WITH THEIR OWN AD - THE POLISH MODEL OF THE WELFARE STATE, WHICH DESCRIBES THE "FIVE FOR ENTREPRENEURS" PROGRAM - THE AD IS NARRATED BY THE PRIME MINISTER: https://youtu.be/yYiTCCj7Cj0 -- POMASKA LAUNCHES ELECTRIC SCOOTERS: https://twitter.com/pomaska/status/1177481863494897664?s=20 -- PKO BP AND PFR LAUNCH THE NATIONAL CLOUD - WHAT IS IT? http://300gospodarka.pl/wywiady/2019/05/29/dramatycznie-malo-polskich-przedsiebiorcow-korzysta-z-chmury-nowa-spolka-ma-ambicje-zeby-to-zmienic-wywiad/ -- GOOGLE AS STRATEGIC PARTNER OF THE CLOUD: http://300gospodarka.pl/news/2019/09/27/google-zostanie-strategicznym-partnerem-chmury-krajowej-i-otworzy-hub-infrastruktury-chmurowej-w-polsce/ -- IT IS POSSIBLE TO ORGANIZE AN INTERESTING PANEL - 300GOSPODARKA ON THE SECOND DAY OF EFNI IN SOPOT: We are in shock and disbelief, because it turns out that it is possible to organize a panel discussion in Poland that is substantive, not boring, and also devoid of worthless, frequently repeated slogans. http://300gospodarka.pl/opinie/2019/09/27/jakie-sa-prawdziwe-problemy-polskich-firm-i-osob-piecdziesiat-plus-w-polsce-recenzja-drugiego-dnia-efni-w-sopocie/ -- ALL OF POLAND SAW A MAN COVERED IN TRACKSUIT CHAINS CALLING A GOVERNMENT OFFICIAL - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN PTT: “The whole of Poland saw a man covered in tracksuit chains, the manager of a hotel by the hour, calling a government official, then the head of the National Revenue Administration, complaining to him about the aggressiveness of TVN television. He called him 'you,' they were clearly friends. Banaś initially denied it, as if he knew what was happening in his tenement house. Then he slightly changed his categorical version. A glance at the hotel manager was enough to understand the nature of this business. The politician knew him. And that's it. End of story. The rest is an elaboration of the topic, including questions about irregularities in Banaś's asset declarations, not to mention the circumstances of the tenement house acquisition, which has already become the subject of numerous memes.” -- THAT IS ENOUGH TO DISQUALIFY SOMEONE - ZAREMBA CONTINUES: “And it doesn't fundamentally matter whether the law was broken or not. The mere risk of information leaking from a particularly sensitive institution to people from the underworld is sufficient reason to disqualify such a person. Once and for all. The question of what the services, which are supposedly guarding 'their own' too, knew about this also arises.” -- I HAVE LITTLE FAITH IN THE STATE-BUILDING INSTINCTS OF THE CURRENT ELITE (OR THE PREVIOUS ONE FOR THAT MATTER) - ZAREMBA CONTINUES: “The worst moral lesson will be if PiS weathers this crisis, wins the elections (which is highly probable in light of the polls), and keeps Banaś. Tolerating a man with such entanglements at the center of control over everything: administration, economic life, state finances. I don't know if this will happen. But I have little faith in the state-building instincts of the current political elite (or the previous one for that matter).” -- ZAREMBA ON THE INSTITUTIONALIZATION OF BAD CUSTOMS AND THE TEFLON OF THE RIGHT AS A PARADOXICAL PUNCHLINE: “And at the same time, it is hard to imagine a worse prognosis for the future. We are dealing with the institutionalization of bad customs, tolerance of demoralization at the very top. The Teflon coating covering the right, which for years shouted about cliques and bad customs, is an exceptionally paradoxical punchline.” https://polskatimes.pl/piotr-zaremba-trudno-o-gorsza-prognoze/ar/c1-14454625 -- JOANNA SOLSKA ON BANAS'S CONTACTS WITH THE UNDERWORLD: “So now we have a problem. A big problem. Because Marian Banaś, as head of NIK (Supreme Audit Office), is supposed to evaluate and keep an eye on his party colleagues. The very ones who, after the scandal broke, publicly assured of his crystal clear honesty. The very ones who didn't manage, or didn't want to manage, to thoroughly check his asset declarations, but also his contacts. Especially with the underworld, which is also skimming taxes at the hotel. We have a right to fear that PiS's double standards, which leniently overlooks the shady dealings of its man, who has been well-established in the party since the times of Porozumienie Centrum (Centre Agreement), will continue to apply. That their man will also apply them when evaluating the work of ministries led by other party members. And all other state institutions that the Supreme Audit Office is supposed to oversee.” https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/rynek/1926270,1,banas-zejdzie-z-oczu-do-wyborow-zeby-nie-przeszkadzac-pis.read -- CAN A GANGSTER BE A POLITICIAN'S BUDDY? - MONIKA OLEJNIK IN GW: “And PiS politicians pretend that nothing has happened. They say he is a man of crystal integrity, and he himself claims it is revenge and provocation. Perhaps these are the current standards, that a gangster can be a politician's buddy and you can enter into business arrangements with him.” -- JOURNALISTS ARE MORE EFFICIENT THAN THE SERVICES - OLEJNIK CONTINUES: “We live in a country where journalists are more efficient than the services. Thanks to Bertold Kittel and 'Superwizjer' (a TVN investigative program), we learned that at a hotel by the hour, in the tenement house owned by the head of NIK, clients are served without receipts. We learned that Banaś rents a 400-square-meter tenement house and two apartments in a good location in Krakow for PLN 65,000 per year.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,25239064,polska-na-godziny-kolejne-szambo-wybija-a-suweren-nie-reaguje.html -- MAREK BOROWSKI ESTIMATES UNDER WHAT CONDITIONS PIS WILL LOSE ITS MAJORITY - in an interview with Wojciech Karpieszuk in Gazeta Stołeczna: “Various calculations show that KO needs to achieve about 30%, Lewica (The Left) - 14%, and PSL (Polish People's Party) - about 6% for PiS not to win a majority, i.e., 231 seats. It's difficult. Although not impossible. We need to attract new voters. Precisely thanks to a campaign where we show concrete benefits for specific people.” -- BOROWSKI ON WHY HE WOULD VOTE FOR UJAZDOWSKI, NOT KASPRZAK: “One should not take risks. I know it's about worldviews, but there's a negligible chance of more serious changes in this regard in the next Sejm. I am for liberalizing the abortion law, but it won't pass in the next Sejm, even if we win the elections as the entire opposition. PiS and PSL will be against it - and that's enough. Senator Kasprzak won't push it through anyway. However, on matters of the rule of law, which were very important to Mr. Kasprzak, Michał Ujazdowski is a very good and credible partner. If I lived in that constituency, I would vote for him.” -- BOROWSKI ON HOW THE SENATE CAN BE A COUNTERBALANCE TO PIS: “Wise resistance based on analyses, one's own proposals, supported by a senatorial majority will provide greater opportunities to gain public visibility. If the Senate introduces amendments, rejects bills, or submits legislative initiatives - a debate will have to take place. Until now, the Sejm passed a bill from Tuesday to Wednesday, and the Senate from Wednesday to Thursday. Furthermore, the Senate has the power to appoint people to certain public offices. The Marshal of the Senate has considerable opportunities to speak, including delivering an address on television. With a majority, we could also show what the work of a democratic parliament should look like.” -- BOASTING ABOUT A BALANCED BUDGET IS INDECENT - BOROWSKI CONTINUES: “But for the Prime Minister Morawiecki to boast today about a stretched zero deficit, when people are dying in hospital emergency rooms because they haven't received help, when there is a huge crisis in education, when court and prosecution employees earn laughable amounts of money - it is simply indecent.” http://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,25240157,marek-borowski-platforma-nie-bardzo-potrafila-chwalic-sie-tym.html -- GRZEGORZ SCHETYNA ON JACHIRA - in an interview with Jacek Nizinkiewicz in RZ: “Ms. Jachira apologized. Let PiS first settle accounts with Messrs. Matecki and Tarczyński and remove them from their lists. TVP is the last place that should point out haters, because they themselves employ the worst of them.” -- SCHETYNA SUGGESTS UNCLEAR FINANCING OF THE PIS CAMPAIGN: “That's not the case. The PiS campaign has no limits. They spend millions of zlotys on advertising. They do not adhere to the rules that the National Election Commission (PKW) should enforce. There are spending limits and approvals from companies that provide their fences for banners. PiS does not follow the rules. Our budgets are incomparable. PiS candidates have everything. We have to take out loans and deal with it. The claim that we have equal chances in the campaign is as true as the claim that TVP is pluralistic and all parties can appear there.” -- SCHETYNA APPEALS FOR TRANSFERS NOT TO OBSCURE CLARITY OF VISION: “I want Poles to know on what basis they are making electoral decisions, and for their clarity of vision not to be obscured by the fact that social transfers have changed Polish politics. Alongside social transfers, there is the quality of the state and responsibility for the state. I am afraid that today politics will be made by fawning 'Pisiewicze' (a derogatory term for PiS supporters) who, out of fear and in defense of their own particular interests, will build an authoritarian state.” -- PIS PRACTICES DEGENERATED POLITICS - SCHETYNA CONTINUES: “PiS bribes opposition politicians, as shown by the example of Wojciech Kałuża. PiS practices degenerated politics, and such a degradation of politics cannot be the norm.” -- SCHETYNA SUGGESTS THAT PIS WILL REPLACE THE PRIME MINISTER DUE TO EVENTS IN WROCŁAW: “Due to his wife's asset declaration, the conversations in the 'Sowa' (Owl) cafe, and the events that took place in Wrocław, which have been discussed in Warsaw for a long time. Morawiecki will be a burden for PiS.” -- SCHETYNA MOCKINGLY ON GAME CHANGERS - HE TELLS NIZINKIEWICZ: “I'm not mocking, but I'm responding to the mistaken vision of politics of one of the editors, who thinks that one event can change the course of political events. Politics is a process, not just one thing. This one thing can indeed trigger a process that changes the game, but not lead to a sudden change. The last game-changer was the Sawicka affair. We need a miracle, but also something more, grassroots work and perseverance. If we had 30-40% in the center, it would be different, but Kaczyński destroyed the center, which is very fragile because society is very polarized.” -- SCHETYNA ON NOT DECIDING YET WHETHER HE WILL RUN FOR RE-ELECTION AS PO LEADER: “PO is a well-organized party. My term ends in January. I have not decided whether I will run for the leadership of PO. Everything is ahead of us.” https://www.rp.pl/Polityka/309269876-Schetyna-Co-jest-dane-nie-zostanie-zabrane.html -- JADWIGA STANISZKIS SUGGESTS BANAS'S CONNECTIONS WITH SPECIAL SERVICES - in an interview with Wiadomo.co: “As for Mr. Marian Banaś, in my opinion, he is connected with the special services and therefore has much more information about individual MPs, including within his own environment, and that's why he can afford more, to put it mildly. Mr. Banaś, due to his connections with the services, has the ability to influence the decisions of others, perhaps even through blackmail, and can achieve a lot in this way. I don't know what his relationship with the Prime Minister is, but it is evident that he knows how to get a lot for himself.” -- PEOPLE PREFER TO REMAIN SILENT - STANISZKIS CONTINUES: “People equate power with impunity and abuses and have become accustomed to this destruction in so-called democracy, because what is happening today is hard to call democracy. I think society is tired, but also scared, because it is beginning to realize that more and more depends on power, so they prefer to remain silent.” -- I PREFER SCHETYNA - STANISZKIS CONTINUES: “I know Grzegorz Schetyna and I admit I like him, although we haven't seen each other for many years. I also value him as a politician. He has potential and should present a vision for Poland more substantively. Mrs. Kidawa-Błońska is an efficient politician, but I prefer Schetyna.” https://wiadomo.co/prof-jadwiga-staniszkis-pis-funkcjonuje-od-skandalu-do-skandalu/ -- SCHETYNA WILL CRY MORE THAN ONCE BECAUSE OF JACHIRA - JACEK KARNOWSKI: “But in reality, we are all in a trap. Jachira will likely enter the Sejm and cause quite a circus there more than once or twice. But Schetyna has nothing to be happy about, because he has also harmed himself, and perhaps significantly. He cannot seriously expect to control Jachira.” https://wpolityce.pl/m/polityka/465572-niech-platforma-wskaze-jachire-jako-kandydata-na-premiera -- ON THE ISSUE OF ABORTION, PIS SHOULD NO LONGER SPEAK - TOMASZ KRZYŻAK IN RZ: “The head of government claims that PiS must make an 'attempt to change the consciences of those people who do not share' the values of the party's members 'on the issue of life.' I don't know if the prime minister believes what he says, but if the attempt to 'change consciences' is to look like a 'wide-ranging' information campaign or the introduction of a ban 'in the relatively near future,' then it is better not to open one's mouth, and leave the shaping of consciences to others. On the issue of abortion, PiS politicians should no longer speak.” https://www.rp.pl/Komentarze/309269872-Krzyzak-PiS-odmieni-sumienia-nie-przepisy.html -- BIRTHDAYS: Marek Ast.

Łukasz Mężyk