-- PiS LAUNCHES NEW CAMPAIGN PHASE WITH TRUCKS - 300POLITYKA: “The press conference held by Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki and PiS campaign chief Joachim Brudziński at the former border crossing in Świecko will mark a new stage of the ruling party's campaign. 300POLITYKA has learned the details of the operation around which the electoral contest is expected to focus in the coming weeks.” -- PRZEMYSŁAW SALETA ENDORSED PAWEŁ OLSZEWSKI: https://twitter.com/PawelOlszewski/status/1168955483459399680?s=20 -- PiS WILL WIN THE ELECTION - ALEKSANDER KWAŚNIEWSKI IN AN INTERVIEW WITH JACEK NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: "But that's less important, because despite the scandals, it's certain today that PiS will win the election. However, it's not certain whether Kaczyński's party will govern alone or will have to bring in a coalition partner, namely PSL with Kukiz." -- KWAŚNIEWSKI REITERATES HE WILL VOTE FOR ZANDBERG: "There is no doubt that the left-wing blend of experience and youth will lead to electoral success, and the left will achieve a double-digit result in the parliamentary elections. I myself will vote for Adrian Zandberg in Warsaw:. https://www.rp.pl/Polityka/309039935-Aleksander-Kwasniewski-Zadnych-reparacji-nie-bedzie.html -- CZARZASTY: SCHETYNA KNOWS HE IS A BURDEN - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2019/09/04/ -- SCHETYNA HAD TO HIDE - KRZYSZTOF PACEWICZ IN GW: “The European elections showed that victory or defeat today is decided primarily not by voter shifts between parties, but by the mobilization of one's own electorate. That is why Civic Coalition is hiding the unpopular Grzegorz Schetyna.” -- IT'S A SHAME IT'S SO LATE - CONTINUES KRZYSZTOF PACEWICZ: “Kidawa-Błońska has a chance to do it – it's just a shame that Grzegorz Schetyna didn't make this decision a few months ago. It may be too late now.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,25151319,kidawa-blonska-kandydatka-na-premiera-schetyna-musial-sie-schowac.html -- A DECISION BAD FOR SCHETYNA BUT GOOD FOR KO - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: "By announcing this candidacy, Grzegorz Schetyna made a decision that is bad for him but good for Civic Coalition. The Platform leader has finally realized that he performs poorly in trust rankings and that his face will not be an added value for KO's lists in Warsaw. He is an efficient organizer, skilled in party games, but he lacks the qualities of a leader who can pull the entire party along. Therefore, he decided to give up his prime ministerial ambitions and chose the good of the Coalition he leads." -- SCHETYNA'S IDEA IS PROBLEMATIC FOR PiS - CONTINUES SZUŁDRZYŃSKI: "This idea is a complete surprise to PiS. Moreover, it makes the question of who will be prime minister after the elections a campaign topic. And here PiS is not unambiguous. On the one hand, Mateusz Morawiecki is the prime minister today, but on the other hand, PiS politicians, such as Joachim Brudziński recently, admit that this post belongs to Jarosław Kaczyński. Therefore, PiS must make a decision and give voters a signal as to who will be the head of government after a potential victory in the autumn." https://www.rp.pl/Komentarze/190909791-Kidawa-Blonska-na-premiera-Decyzja-zla-dla-Schetyny-dobra-dla-opozycji.html -- SKEPTICAL ABOUT KO'S IDEA - ŁUKASZ PAWŁOWSKI AND JAKUB BODZIONY IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska's candidacy for prime minister, her first place on the Warsaw list, and Grzegorz Schetyna's transfer to Wrocław may have paradoxical consequences. These changes make sense from the perspective of the narrow interests of the party and the leader. However, they will not bring a breakthrough and may harm Civic Coalition's overall result.” -- SCHETYNA COULD HAVE LOST TO KACZYŃSKI - CONTINUES THE AUTHORS OF KULTURA LIBERALNA: “Therefore, much indicated that Schetyna could be the first PO leader to lose to Kaczyński in Warsaw. In this sense, his decision to run from Wrocław seems rational. All the more so, and this is the second point, that in Wrocław he is able to gain proportionally many more votes than in the capital.” -- IS SCHETYNA TRYING TO SHARE THE BLAME? - CONTINUES PAWŁOWSKI AND BODZIONY: “The personal interest of the chairman also speaks for the change made – in case of KO's defeat, Schetyna may try to 'share' the blame with Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska, nominated for the post of prime minister. As the leader of the Warsaw list and – as can reasonably be assumed – the new campaign engine, the former Marshal of the Sejm will have to answer questions about the reasons for the defeat.” -- WHAT WOULD SCHETYNA'S PREMIERSHIP BE LIKE? VOTERS WOULD HAVE DIFFICULTY ANSWERING - CONTINUES PAWŁOWSKI AND BODZIONY: “In other words, if it was difficult for voters to answer the question of what Grzegorz Schetyna's premiership would be like, then in the case of Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska, the answer is even more difficult.” -- PAWŁOWSKI AND BODZIONY ON PO'S PROBLEM WITH A SHORT BENCH: “Having said all this, we must admit one thing. Grzegorz Schetyna did not have an easy task in choosing the leader for the Warsaw list. It seems that the only member of PO who could achieve a truly good result for this party in the capital is currently busy as the city's mayor. So the choice was not easy. But this fact can also be presented in the form of a simple question: what does such a 'short bench' of KO in the country's largest city tell us about the state of the largest opposition group?” https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2019/09/03/kidawa-blonska-premier-komentarz-pawlowski-bodziony/ -- SOMETHING MUST HAVE COLLAPSED MORE THAN WE THINK - MICHAŁ KARNOWSKI: “Grzegorz Schetyna did everything to be recognized as a charismatic opposition leader, and today he admits himself that even with such supportive media, he burdens his camp rather than pulls it forward. Because this is happening forty days before the elections, amidst explanations that 'they just came up with this,' accompanied by reports of a mysterious Israeli company advising the real leader to adopt a substitute mask. This undermines the credibility of the undertaking and indicates how desperate this move is. I suspect, and my political experience suggests, that things have collapsed much more within the opposition camp than we think. It must have emerged from surveys that the opposition camp, going on its current course, is heading for disaster, and the election results will be worse for them than even the most pessimistic polls currently suggest.” https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/462265-cos-tam-musialo-sie-w-po-ko-posypac-mocniej-niz-sadzimy -- SCHETYNA DREW CONCLUSIONS LATE - AGATA SZCZĘŚNIAK IN OKO: “Schetyna drew conclusions very late from what the polls showed, as well as the results of the European and local elections. The question is whether, 40 days before the elections, Kidawa-Błońska will be able to make her own mark on the KO campaign and prove that she is an independent leader, not just a 'face' candidate.” -- SCHETYNA CAPITULATED TO REALITY:“Schetyna capitulated to reality, which is that the leader of PO is not liked, and his actions do not inspire trust. Even if he has been giving better speeches lately, voters do not associate him with tough fighting or uncompromising defense of values, but with backstage maneuvering, party 'cutouts,' and 'arrangements.' https://oko.press/kidawa-blonska-na-premiera/ -- TOO LATE FOR A RESET - MARCIN FIJOŁEK: “However, Schetyna's decision is certainly an interesting signal sent a month (with a few extra days) before the parliamentary elections. I am deeply convinced that it is too late for a political reset, and the support for the Law and Justice camp is based on a completely different segment – and therefore I would not expect a clear and rapid effect of change (after Kidawa-Błońska's candidacy). This does not mean that this maneuver will not allow the Marshal herself to arduously build her political position and become an interesting offer on the political field of 2020, and perhaps even 2023. But that's a topic for a completely different article.” https://wpolityce.pl/m/polityka/462150-projekt-kidawa-blonska-schetyna-rozpaczliwie-szuka-resetu -- A LATE AND DESPERATE MOVE - MICHAŁ KARNOWSKI: “Therefore, it is primarily a move that is both late and quite desperate, indicating a collapse of the main line of the opposition party. It also confirms that Schetyna himself is more of a burden than an asset to his party. It indirectly suggests that the leader of PO has carefully analyzed PiS's path to success and is trying to imitate it in various areas. https://wpolityce.pl/m/polityka/462226-kidawa-blonska-moze-pomoc-po-ale-moze-tez-ja-pogrzebac -- SCHETYNA'S RATIONAL MOVE - JACEK GĄDEK ON GAZETA.PL: “Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska as a candidate for prime minister and leader of the Warsaw list is a rational move by PO leader Grzegorz Schetyna. Driven by calculation, but also by the fear that Schetyna could suffer defeat in the capital in a direct confrontation with PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński.” -- PLATFORMA HAS FINALLY SURPRISED WITH SOMETHING - CONTINUES GĄDEK: “But there are other gains for PO from Schetyna's sudden move. The Platform has finally surprised with something and is taking – albeit probably only briefly – the initiative.” http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,25151150,kidawa-blonska-na-premiera-to-madry-ruch-schetyna-moze-cytowac.html -- PIOTR PACEWICZ NOTES LOW MOBILIZATION OF THE PiS ELECTORATE ANALYZING IPSOS RESEARCH: “As can be seen, the electorates of KO and the Left are the most mobilized (89-90% 'definitely yes' responses), PiS somewhat less (80%), and least PSL and – contrary to the stereotype of right-wing fanaticism – Confederation Korwin Braun Nationalists. If electoral support were counted solely among 'decided' individuals, PiS's lead over the opposition would decrease. The lowest mobilization in the PSL + Kukiz'15 and Confederation electorates causes them to fall below the 5% threshold. PiS retains its 41%, but KO increases to 32%, and the Left to 14%. Without PSL, they have a combined 46%.” https://oko.press/zwolennicy-opozycji-tona-w-pesymizmie-nieslusznie/ -- THE LEFT AND PSL/KUKIZ HAVE THE HIGHEST 'SECOND CHOICE' PARTY RESULT - IPSOS ANALYSIS IN OKO: https://oko.press/pis-bez-rezerw-lewica-i-psl-z-kukizem-z-potencjalem-wzrostu/ -- KRYSTYNA NASZKOWSKA ON HOW PiS WON OVER THE COUNTRYSIDE: “An elderly woman, a resident of a Masurian village, when asked who she would vote for in the October elections, answers without hesitation: 'Well, for those who are in power! Madam, it hasn't been this good for us in a long time!' Because PiS politicians, before the 2015 elections, took a very close look at the Polish countryside and identified the needs of its residents. And they responded to many of those needs.” -- PSL LIKE A TOOTHLESS DRAGON - CONTINUES NASZKOWSKA: “In addition, PiS effectively attacked its biggest competitor in the countryside, namely PSL, by dismantling PSL structures in state institutions and appointing its own people. Today, farmers perceive PSL as a toothless dragon, not worth betting on.” https://oko.press/pis-kupil-wies/ -- BIRTHDAYS: Jan Ziobro, Amelia Łukasiak.