state of play: 09/03/2019

STATE OF PLAY: Commentary: PAD in the first round?, Bielan: Voters will assess all 4 years, not just incidents, Media on chaos in KO lists, Schetyna: The most important thing is that they don't get 231 seats

Łukasz Mężyk

-- IS ANDRZEJ DUDA ON THE ROAD TO VICTORY IN THE FIRST ROUND? https://opinie.wp.pl/wroblewski-andrzej-duda-jest-dzis-w-najlepszej-formie-od-lat-pytanie-czy-kondycji-wystarczy-do-maja-2020-opinia-6420165215815809a -- THE HOLY CROSS MOUNTAINS SPOKE, THERE WILL BE NO SECOND ROUND – THIS ANECDOTE WAS RECALLED BY 300POLITYKA IN JUNE: “'The Holy Cross Mountains spoke, there will be no second round,' Aleksander Kwaśniewski cheerfully (and prophetically) addressed the then-Prime Minister Jerzy Buzek in the government box during a ceremony at the Grand Theatre. It was the summer of 1999, a little over a year before the presidential elections. Today, Andrzej Duda could joke the same way to Grzegorz Schetyna.” https://300polityka.pl/news/2019/06/12/opozycja-w-cieniu-optymizmu-dobrej-zmiany-gdyby-wybory-byly-dzis-pad-wygralby-w-pierwszej-turze-obrazek-jednego-czerwcowego-dnia/ -- ANDRZEJ GAJCY ON THE MOST IMPORTANT SPEECH OF ANDRZEJ DUDA'S PRESIDENCY: “The presidential address was comprehensive, including pointing out to world leaders the downplaying of Russian policy, turning a blind eye, and quietly making deals with the Kremlin based on the principle of 'business as usual.'” https://wiadomosci.onet.pl/tylko-w-onecie/80-rocznica-wybuchu-iiws-andrzej-gajcy-nowe-otwarcie-prezydentury-dudy/fk46g3h -- WHERE TO BE AND WHOM TO KNOW - RANKING OF THE BEST ECONOMIC CONGRESSES IN POLAND ACCORDING TO 300GODPODARKI: http://300gospodarka.pl/rankingi/2019/09/03/gdzie-bywac-kogo-znac-i-ranking-najlepszych-kongresow-gospodarczych-w-polsce/ -- SCHETYNA BRIEFLY ABOUT TUSK, KOSINIAK AND KUKIZ EMBARK ON A JOINT TOUR - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2019/09/03/ -- JOANNA STANISZKIS IS ANOTHER PERSON TO RESIGN FROM RUNNING WITH KO: “Joanna Staniszkis, daughter of Prof. Jadwiga Staniszkis, announced that she is resigning from running in the parliamentary elections on behalf of Civic Coalition. This is all because she received only 17th place on the list in the so-called 'Warsaw belt.' - Before me on the list are unknown Civic Platform activists, she stated.” http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,25149321,joanna-staniszkis-rezygnuje-ze-startu-w-wyborach-parlamentarnych.html -- THE PARITY COLLAPSED ON THE SZCZECIN KO LIST, ANOTHER WOMAN RESIGNS - SZCZECIN GW: “Zofia Ławrynowicz is resigning from running in the Sejm elections from the Szczecin list of Civic Coalition. The reason? She was to be moved from third to eighth place.” http://szczecin.wyborcza.pl/szczecin/7,34939,25149158,wybory-parlamentarne-2019-znow-tapniecia-na-szczecinskiej-liscie.html -- ADAM MICHNIK ON MIKE PENCE'S SENSE OF HUMOUR: “He praised President Andrzej Duda for strengthening the rule of law in Poland and 'for further steps towards judicial independence.' This is reminiscent of the well-known saying that 'to praise the powerful of this world for virtues they do not possess is akin to cruelly mocking them.' Vice President Pence's mockery is like a eulogy for a butcher for his care for animals, or conversely: it's like praising President Maduro for his great achievements in implementing democracy in Venezuela and for his concern for the country's economic prosperity.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,25149107,sense-of-humour-mike-a-pence-a.html -- WITH AMERICA AGAINST THE CHINESE THREAT - RZ HEADLINE: “Poland's agreement with the USA targets 5G suppliers from the Middle Kingdom. This is to be a model for Europe.” https://www.rp.pl/Dyplomacja/190909865-Wizyta-wiceprezydenta-USA-Z-Ameryka-przeciw-chinskiemu-zagrozeniu.html -- WE ARE HAVING THE BEST TIME WITH AMERICA - ADAM BIELAN IN CONVERSATION WITH JACEK NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: “We are experiencing the best period in Polish-American relations in history, which was also confirmed by Vice President Mike Pence. The announced visit of Donald Trump to Poland will be President Trump's second visit to Poland, and he travels reluctantly, not even having visited Mexico in the US. We have excellent economic relations, the highest level of US economic investment in Poland and vice versa, and the highest level of trade exchange. Visa waiver will increase tourism in both directions with a positive effect for LOT, which will fully satisfy us.” -- THROUGH THE PRISM OF 4 YEARS, NOT INCIDENTS: “Poles should evaluate the United Right's government through the prism of four years and the fulfillment of promises, not just incidents.” https://www.rp.pl/Wywiady-i-rozmowy/190909864-Adam-Bielan-Sukces-polityki-historycznej-PiS.html -- GRZEGORZ SCHETYNA ON NOT WANTING TO BUILD A CENTER-LEFT PARTY - IN CONVERSATION WITH WIADOMO.CO: “Because it is Civic Platform, with its potential of over 30%, that can and is creating the political center. I did not want to build a center-left formation. There was a choice: either we are a coalition of all democratic groupings, or we go in three blocs, us in the largest, and others in party variants, like PSL and SLD.” -- A CENTER-LEFT BLOC IS NOT THE PATH TO VICTORY AGAINST PIS - SCHETYNA CONTINUES: “I believe that everyone will find people on the Civic Coalition lists who will meet their expectations. I emphasize again: if I wanted to create a center-left grouping, I would have created a 10-15 percent project, and that is not the way to victory against PiS. Only a broad grouping, with wings, with different names, with people who are ready to show the achievements of their lives, to stand firm against PiS, has a chance for an effective fight for victory.” -- SIGNATURES FOR UJAZDOWSKI ARE COLLECTING WELL, WARSAW RESIDENTS ACCEPT HIM, JUST AS THEY ACCEPTED THE CONSERVATIVE HANNA GRONKIEWICZ-WALTZ, WHO WON PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS: “Let me remind you that Ujazdowski left PiS because he defended the constitution, he fought for the democratic package in the Sejm, today he is fighting for the rule of law, he is creating the Act of Democratic Renewal, and he denies rumors about his alleged homophobia, for example, by supporting the civil partnership project, which we are announcing.” -- SCHETYNA CALCULATES A MAJORITY FOR THE OPPOSITION: “If votes are not wasted, as in 2015 when the left did not enter the Sejm, then thirty-odd percent for Civic Coalition and a clear crossing of the threshold by SLD and PSL can give a chance for 45-47 percent of all votes cast. This would give a majority in an agreement between opposition parties over PiS. However, we must remember that the opposition must seek agreement, not fight among themselves.” -- THEY HAVE GOOD INTENTIONS, BUT LET'S REMEMBER THAT ALTHOUGH THEY BELIEVED TO EXCESS THAT WE COULD WIN THE EUROPEAN ELECTIONS, BECAUSE THE POLLS WERE VERY GOOD, THEY HAVE NOW STOPPED BELIEVING IN VICTORY AND STARTED TO BE MALCONTENTS - SCHETYNA ON COMMENTATORS: “And I will never accept complaining and whining, which is the dominant tone in Polish public debate. Everyone says things are bad and the end is near. If we keep saying this, Poles will eventually believe it.” -- THE MOST IMPORTANT THING IS THAT THEY DON'T GET 231 SEATS - SCHETYNA CONTINUES: “The most important thing is that they don't get 231 seats. That is crucial. The way they conduct politics, disrespecting democracy, the style of conducting sessions, the pride, the dominant and ubiquitous contempt, all this makes them unable to reach an agreement with any party. They cannot govern in a coalition, they can govern unilaterally from Nowogrodzka. If they don't get 231 seats, the scenario known from 2005 will begin to unfold, i.e., the necessity of a coalition, a rapid crisis of power, and let's remember that in a few months there are presidential elections.” -- SCHETYNA ON THE PRESIDENCY AND A BALANCED SENATE: “THERE IS A VERY HIGH CHANCE THAT WITH A BALANCED SENATE AND A NEAR-DRAW RESULT IN THE SEJM ELECTIONS, WE CAN WIN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS AND CHANGE THE SITUATION.” https://wiadomo.co/grzegorz-schetyna-nie-chce-przetrwac-chce-wygrac/ -- PIS HAS STARTED TO GENERATE UNCERTAINTY - PROF. ANDRZEJ RYCHARD IN GW: “As a result, tensions and chaos arise in the system. The resolution of matters may depend more than ever on the political orientation of the prosecutor, judge, etc. The same may be true in other institutional segments – from education to healthcare. And above all, in the media. As long as there are still media independent of the authorities, we have a chance to know about these tensions and inconsistencies. And as Aleksander Smolar rightly pointed out once, chaos seems even more dangerous to Poles than the weakening of democracy. So, instead of the promised certainty, PiS has begun to generate uncertainty.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,25147685,czy-pis-zniszczy-sam-siebie-kiepski-bilans-4-lat-dobrej-zmiany.html -- PIS CAN'T SLEEP SO SOUNDLY AFTER ALL - ANDRZEJ GAJCY IN ONE: “Especially since internal polls commissioned by the ruling party are not as optimistic. It turns out that six weeks before the decisive battle for the Sejm, Law and Justice cannot count on an independent majority, contrary to what officially 'serious' polling stations suggest. While the advantage of Jarosław Kaczyński's party over the PO-KO coalition is in the double digits, the possible result of SLD, which has embraced or defeated (interpretation is arbitrary - ed.) Robert Biedroń's Wiosna and the Together party, is keeping the 'good change' strategists awake. And according to unofficial party research, Lewica is still showing an upward trend.” https://wiadomosci.onet.pl/tylko-w-onecie/newsletter-onetu-andrzej-gajcy-co-nie-pozwala-pis-spac-spokojnie/8mg65jd -- A TURNING POINT IN THE BATTLE FOR TRUTH - MICHAŁ KARNOWSKI: “The attitude of the Polish authorities, the attitude of the leaders is crucial; in the long run, everything depends on it. Do they accept false accusations, or do they want to fight lies, regardless of the cost? Have they succumbed to the pedagogy of shame, or do they carry within them pride in the achievements of previous generations? We see that if the truth is spoken with good confidence – as President Andrzej Duda did yesterday – it starts to be heard, it is hard to resist. And no one dares to throw slander in our faces.” https://wpolityce.pl/m/polityka/462030-80-rocznica-ii-wojny-to-punkt-zwrotny-w-tej-wojnie-o-prawde -- THE STATE PASSED THE EXAM - MARCIN FIJOŁEK: “Does this anniversary success, on so many fields and pitches, mean that we can already rest on our laurels? That would be an exceptionally unwise and short-sighted conclusion. Nevertheless, the commemorations of the 80th anniversary of the outbreak of World War II and a number of related initiatives showed that it is possible, that the Polish state can be effective in this dimension as well, in which – let's be honest – we haven't done particularly well so far. There are still many lessons to be learned: in the cultural, pop-cultural, film, educational, financial spheres, but a part (in my opinion, a significant one) has been made up. We can be proud, the Polish state has passed a very difficult exam in recent days.” https://wpolityce.pl/m/polityka/461964-przy-uroczystosciach-panstwo-polskie-zdalo-szereg-egzaminow -- ŁUKASZ PAWŁOWSKI IN KL, THAT FOR TRUMP EVERYTHING IS BUSINESS: “Of course, this does not preclude the possibility that one day the American president will point out violations of democratic standards by our authorities. If he does so, however, it will likely be to obtain something for himself through negotiations with the Polish authorities, by wagging his finger. However, violations of democratic standards are certainly not an obstacle for him in maintaining good relations with any country.” https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2019/09/03/pawlowski-komentarz-trump-pence-duda-wizyta-polska-usa/ -- THE SCHOOL HAS BECOME A BREEDING GROUND FOR PROUD AND MINDLESS CALVES - ANDRZEJ WIELOWIEYSKI ON GW OPINIONS: “Anna Zalewska's PiS reform has set us back over 100 years, to the 19th century. The school is now to build the tribal, national consciousness, unity, and pride of Poles. The history and culture of other nations and countries are secondary, depending solely on Polish threads. The goal is to shape patriotic attitudes, but no distinction is made between patriotism and nationalism or chauvinism. Young people will also learn little about our common civilization, Christian and European, its development, threats, and new challenges. According to experts, the Polish language curriculum is also inconsistent and contains numerous errors.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,25148243,hodowla-dumnych-i-bezmyslnych-cielat.html -- DAWID PODSIADŁO'S LATEST MUSIC VIDEO IN A STAR-STUDDED CAST: Maja Ostaszewska, Tomasz Kot, Kasia Smutniak https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5rNXe7Z1qN0 -- RZ ON THE NEW ARTISTIC DIRECTOR OF THE WARSAW PHILHARMONIC: “The orchestra members themselves proposed him for the position of artistic director of the National Philharmonic, which he considers a great honor. He is known for his original concert program arrangements, for which he has received an award three times in Germany. The National Philharmonic season will open with a concert on October 4.” https://archiwum.rp.pl/artykul/1410903-Nowy-szef-Filharmonii-Narodowej.html -- ON THIS DAY: 2001 - The first issue of "Newsweek Polska" was published. 2007 - The Civic Development Forum began its activities. -- BIRTHDAYS:Izabela Leszczyna, Michał and Jacek Karnowski, Maja Ostaszewska, Marcin Ciemniewski.

Łukasz Mężyk