Today's State of Play

STATE OF PLAY: Jurasz: Even if the President Does Something Smart, He Can Only Count on Salon Mockery; Opinia24: 64% of Krakow Residents Declare Participation in Referendum, Majority in Favor of Recalling President

Łukasz Mężyk

-- POLITICAL AGENDA FOR TUESDAY: NAWROCKI AT THE 81ST ANNIVERSARY OF AUSCHWITZ LIBERATION, CZARZASTY IN JASTRZĘBIE-ZDRÓJ, MORAWIECKI ON THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL, GOVERNMENT SESSION - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/pl/live

-- OPINIA24: 64% OF KRAKOW RESIDENTS DECLARE PARTICIPATION IN REFERENDUM, MAJORITY IN FAVOR OF RECALLING THE PRESIDENT - AS PULSKRAKOWA REPORTS: “A few days ago, we unofficially obtained access to a public opinion survey concerning a referendum, conducted in January by Opinia24 at the request of the association Kraków dla Mieszkańców. We managed to confirm the authenticity of the poll – which is why we are publishing its results. The study indicates that a potential referendum would not be a marginal action by a handful of the most politically engaged Krakow residents. Almost half of the respondents – precisely 48.4 percent – are in favor of holding it. As many as 64.2 percent of those surveyed declare they would go to the polls if a referendum on recalling the president were actually held. Among respondents declaring participation in the referendum, 68.1 percent announce a vote 'for' recalling the president. 20.8 percent would be against, and 11.1 percent have not yet formed a defined stance.”
https://pulskrakowa.pl/ujawniamy-sondaz-referendum-w-krakowie-mozliwe-64-proc-krakowian-deklaruje-udzial-wiekszosc-za-odwolaniem-prezydenta-miasta/

-- KAROL NAWROCKI BEHAVED PROPERLY AFTER DONALD TRUMP'S WORDS - WITOLD JURASZ ON ONET: “The president, reacting with restraint and in a manner far from the typical PiS nonchalance, behaved properly. As I wrote some time ago on Onet, Donald Trump is, to put it mildly, not very smart, not very intelligent, and emotionally unstable. The fact that the President of the Republic of Poland understands that he must weigh his words should be pleasing. It's another matter that it's a shame he doesn't weigh them when speaking about other European allies of Poland.”

-- EVEN IF THE PRESIDENT DOES SOMETHING SMART, HE CAN STILL ONLY COUNT ON THE UNRELENTING CRITICISM AND MOCKERY OF THE SALON - JURASZ CONTINUES ON ONET: “During the communist era, there was a joke that perfectly describes contemporary political reality. In the joke, Wojciech Jaruzelski, aware of his immense unpopularity, turns to God for help. God takes pity on the general and teaches him to walk on water. One Sunday morning, Jaruzelski goes for a walk on the Vistula River. Two drunks are sitting on the bank. One of them, seeing the general walking on water, says to the other: 'Look, that idiot doesn't even know how to swim.' This joke perfectly describes the liberal salon's attitude towards Karol Nawrocki. Even if the president does something smart, he can still only count on merciless criticism and mockery.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/witold-jurasz-karol-nawrocki-po-slowach-donalda-trumpa-zachowal-sie-w-sposob-wlasciwy/4mt1wnm,79cfc278

-- EVERYONE KNOWS THAT PRESIDENT KACZYŃSKI COUNTS ON HIM TODAY. THEY MAY NOT AGREE ON EVERYTHING, BUT OF THE TWO OF THEM, ONLY NAWROCKI HAS REAL POWER IN HIS HANDS TODAY, SO HE IS IMPORTANT AND NECESSARY FOR KACZYŃSKI - MONIKA WALUŚ ON ONET QUOTES A POLITICIAN FROM PiS: “- Everyone knows that President Kaczyński counts on him today. They may not agree on everything, but of the two of them, only Nawrocki has real power in his hands today, so he is important and necessary for Kaczyński. The 'Scouts' and 'Buttermen' know this well, which is why they make pilgrimages to the palace – a PiS politician tells us. Indeed, President Nawrocki's schedule is quite full of politicians' names. Whenever Karol Nawrocki is in Warsaw, the presidential doors or the doors of his chief of staff, Paweł Szefernakera, are practically never closed. – PiS politicians visit frequently. Czarnek visits, Morawiecki visited recently, Henryk Kowalczyk also had a scheduled meeting. There are many of them because MPs know that the president has significant institutional influence, so they come to consult on various legislative changes to ensure they have a chance of passing. The president or Paweł meets with them – a source from the presidential palace tells us, adding that ministers from the government also visit the president on similar matters.”

-- THE PRESIDENT IS NOT CONCERNED BY THIS DISPUTE AT ALL. THEY SHOULD BETTER GET TO WORK INSTEAD OF BOASTING ABOUT WHO VISITED THE PRESIDENT. FIRST, THEY NEED TO WIN THE ELECTION, AND THEN WORRY ABOUT WHO WILL BE PRIME MINISTER - THE ONET AUTHOR QUOTES A VOICE FROM THE PALACE: “- Are the 'Scouts' and 'Buttermen' trying to pull the president to their side in a factional struggle? – I ask someone from President Nawrocki's close circle. – Honestly? The president is not concerned by this dispute at all. He has never been in a party, and while he doesn't forget that he had PiS support in the elections, he is not emotionally tied to the party or these factional fights because he has never participated in them – says a voice from the palace. And adds: – They should better get to work instead of boasting about who visited the president. Someone is clearly trying to promote themselves, and it really doesn't matter. First, we need to win the election, and then worry about who will be prime minister.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/prezydent-karol-nawrocki-wciagany-w-wojne-frakcji-pis-harcerze-kontra-maslarze/r7rjxl2,79cfc278

-- RECORD GROUP LAYOFFS. THE LARGEST SINCE THE 2008 CRISIS - RZ (Rzeczpospolita): “Last year's changes at Poczta Polska (Polish Post) pushed the reported group layoff statistics to their highest level since the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. Group layoffs reported to labor offices in 2025 covered over 97,600 employees. This is almost three times more than in 2024, which was already a period of the largest employment cuts since the pandemic and the most since the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. This sharp increase resulted from the record scale of layoffs reported in March. They were to affect over 56,300 people (i.e., more than half more than in the entire year 2024), mainly as a result of actions by one employer – Poczta Polska, specifically the Group Termination of Employment Notices submitted by them, which concerned all 51,600 employees. However, they were not related to actual dismissals but were a formal procedure resulting from changes to the salary regulations of the postal giant.”
https://pro.rp.pl/raporty-ekonomiczne/art43697481-zwolnienia-grupowe-nie-zwalniaja-nowy-rekord-zostal-pobity-w-2025-r

-- LARGE COMPANIES WITH INVESTMENTS ARE IN THE WORST SITUATION SINCE THE PANDEMIC - JACEK FRĄCZYK ON BUSINESS INSIDER: “The food industry, which in December 2025 accounted for 18.6 percent of industrial production in Poland, recorded a decrease in capacity utilization. The index fell by 0.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and by 1 percentage point year-on-year. In the third position in December, and the second for the entire year 2025, the automotive production industry also saw a decrease in machine and employee utilization, but only compared to the previous quarter (-1.7 percentage points), as year-on-year there was a slight increase (+0.5 percentage points).”
https://businessinsider.com.pl/gospodarka/wykorzystanie-mocy-w-polskim-przemysle-jest-najgorzej-od-pandemii/vq32h8g

-- 16TH ANNIVERSARY OF TUSK'S WORDS ABOUT THE CHANDELIER: Tusk announced that he would not run in the 2010 presidential elections. 'Tusk made a mistake because the presidency is not just a chandelier,' Tadeusz Mazowiecki said at the time on Radio ZET.

-- BIRTHDAYS: Urszula Pasławska, Magdalena Kochan.
 


Łukasz Mężyk