Today's State of Play
-- MORAWIECKI: I COUNT ON NOT DEALING WITH SUBSTITUTE TOPICS. A WOMAN DIES BECAUSE THEY CONNECTED GAS INSTEAD OF OXYGEN, A 32-YEAR-OLD WOMAN DIES BECAUSE AN AMBULANCE DIDN'T ARRIVE – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/pl/live/2026-01-12/
-- CZARZASTY IS NO. 2 IN THE COALITION AFTER TUSK – IN DOMINIKA DŁUGOSZ'S ARTICLE IN NEWSWEEK: “- The leader doesn't meet with him as often as with Władysław Kosiniak, but Czarzasty is definitely second. They have constant contact, they send each other SMS messages, it looks a heaven better than with Hołownia – you can hear from the prime minister's circle about the relationship between the prime minister and the new Sejm Marshal, Włodzimierz Czarzasty”.
-- HE'S PLAYING HIS OWN GAME, BUT IN A WAY THAT WON'T ANGER THE LEADER. HE CHOSE A COMPLETELY DIFFERENT STRATEGY THAN THE OTHER COALITION LEADERS – STILL IN DŁUGOSZ'S ARTICLE IN NEWSWEEK: “- Włodzimierz shows the prime minister that he knows his place. That his party has twenty-odd MPs and support at the level of 7%, and we have 150 votes and support of 30+. Of course, he's playing his own game, but in a way that won't anger the Leader. He chose a completely different strategy than the other leaders of the October 15 coalition – KO politicians assure”.
-- EVERYTHING DEPENDS ON HOW WE MANAGE IN TWO YEARS. US AND THEM – CLAIMS A LEWICA POLITICIAN – STILL IN DŁUGOSZ'S ARTICLE IN NEWSWEEK: “- It's logical. Tusk decided many months ago that he had to go to the right, because all of world politics is starting to move in that direction. And when he went right, he left a free space on the left, and Włodek decided to occupy that space. Now everything depends on how we manage in two years. Us and them – claims a Lewica politician”.https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/tuskowi-podoba-sie-uleglosc-czarzastego-niektorzy-uwazaja-ze-to-przebieglosc/vx9fwbr
-- TRUMP IS ACTUALLY PURSUING A MUCH MORE ANTI-RUSSIAN POLICY THAN BIDEN. TRUMP IS TRANSFERRING MORE AGGRESSIVE WEAPONRY, AND THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS BEHIND THE EFFECTIVE UKRAINIAN ACTION OF STRIKING TARGETS IN RUSSIA – ADAM BIELAN IN PIOTR WITWICKI AND MARCIN FIJOŁEK'S POLITYCZNY WF ON INTERIA AND POLSAT NEWS: “We can already speak today about a level of sanctions unseen during Biden's time. Trump is actually pursuing a much more anti-Russian policy than Biden. If Ukrainians are having problems on the front today, it's because Biden and his chief national security advisor, who, it's an open secret, effectively made the decisions – Jake Sullivan. In '22, he was afraid of nuclear escalation with Russia and didn't provide Ukraine with weapons they have had for many years now. They have them now. But if they had received them in the spring of 2022, if Biden had made decisions like the Morawiecki government, primarily at the initiative of Deputy Prime Minister Jarosław Kaczyński, Ukrainians might have pushed the Russians out of their territory. But that didn't happen due to Biden's softness. Trump is transferring more aggressive weaponry, and we know from publications, including American media, such as the New York Times, that the Trump administration is behind the effective Ukrainian action of bombing targets, striking targets related to crude oil and gas production in Russia”.
-- FROM FEBRUARY 2022 TO AUTUMN 2025, EUROPE PROVIDED OVER 190 BILLION IN AID TO UKRAINE, BUT AT THE SAME TIME BOUGHT NOT ONLY OIL AND GAS, BUT MAINLY OIL AND GAS FROM RUSSIA FOR OVER 110 BILLION EURO – BIELAN CONTINUES: “Today, Europe is still importing Russian oil re-branded as Kazakh oil. Today, Europe is still buying Russian gas. And we're not just talking about gas flowing through pipelines to Slovakia and Hungary, but also about liquefied gas, which is bought primarily by the French, Belgians, Dutch, Spaniards, and Europe. The only thing they proposed was to cut off Russian gas from January 1, 2027, almost 5 years after the outbreak of this new phase of Russian aggression against Ukraine. So let's understand the Americans too; they see that we are still trading with Russia. I presented these figures in the European Parliament in a speech on the plenary floor, and then my colleagues, even those anti-Russian, didn't believe me, they approached me, claiming I made a mistake. And these are data presented by the Swedish Ministry of Foreign Affairs. From February 2022 to autumn 2025, Europe provided over 190 billion in aid to Ukraine in various forms – humanitarian, military, of course, but at the same time, it bought not only oil and gas, but mainly oil and gas from Russia for over 110 billion euros. So, in effect, we gave Putin more than Zelenskyy”.
-- IF I BELIEVED IN POLLS, I WOULDN'T BE WORKING ON PRESIDENT NAWROCKI'S ELECTION CAMPAIGN, BECAUSE POLLS GAVE HIM NO CHANCE – CONTINUES ADAM BIELAN IN POLITYCZNY WF: “Let's leave aside how much we have, because we certainly don't have 20 or 25%. I've said this many times. I don't believe in any such polls after numerous campaign experiences. Besides, if I believed in polls, I wouldn't be working on President Nawrocki's election campaign, because polls gave him no chance at the beginning, and even later”.
-- I HAD A LONG CONVERSATION WITH THE CHAIRMAN ON CHRISTMAS EVE, DECEMBER 24. WE ALSO SPOKE SEVERAL TIMES BY PHONE WHEN I WAS IN THE UNITED STATES – BIELAN AGAIN ON WITWICKI AND FIJOŁEK: “I had a long conversation with the chairman on Christmas Eve, December 24. We also spoke several times by phone when I was in the United States. I think we will have a series of meetings now, at the beginning of January, because it's time to shape a new strategy. But please forgive me, I don't want to talk about it in the media, because if I started discussing various ideas in the media, I would be doing what I myself criticized in PiS's actions in November and December”.
-- FOR US, IT WAS IMPORTANT AT THAT TIME TO CONDUCT THE SWEARING-IN CEREMONY OF THE NEWLY ELECTED PRESIDENT WITHOUT HINDRANCE, SO THAT MARSHAL HOŁOWNIA WOULD NOT BE DECEIVED – BIELAN AGAIN: “For us, it was important at that time to conduct the swearing-in ceremony of the newly elected president without hindrance, so that Marshal Hołownia would not be deceived by people who, according to his own words, were urging him towards a coup d'état. And that succeeded. And that was also a success of those meetings”.
-- WITH GOOD WINDS, IT IS NOT ENTIRELY IMPOSSIBLE TO HAVE A MAJORITY ON OUR OWN, AND IF NOT A MAJORITY ON OUR OWN, THEN TO HAVE OVER 200 SEATS – BIELAN TELLS WITWICKI AND FIJOŁEK: “With good winds, it is not entirely impossible to have a majority on our own, and if not a majority on our own, then to have over 200 seats, because that will significantly facilitate the process of constructing a coalition. Today, polls don't give us that, but I repeat, if you were to look at the polls, Karol Nawrocki wouldn't be president. If you looked at some polls in March 2025, Karol Nawrocki wouldn't have made it to the second round”.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YUkpCbwo5LI
-- IN 2026, WE WILL REPEAT THE SIMPLE MESSAGE TO BOREDOM: A VOTE FOR BRAUN IS A WASTED VOTE, AND ONLY TUSK WILL BENEFIT FROM IT – HEARD FROM AN IMPORTANT PiS MP – ARKADIUSZ GRUSZCZYŃSKI IN GW: “In the Sejm corridors, I hear about a new PiS strategy being forged, which is intended to neutralize Grzegorz Braun's Konfederacja Korony Polskiej. – Our voters know perfectly well that the boundary which Chairman Jarosław Kaczyński will not cross is any government with people who openly praise Putin's Russia, and that is what Braun and his people are doing today. Therefore, in 2026, we will repeat the simple message to boredom: a vote for Braun is a wasted vote, and only Tusk will benefit from it – I hear from an important PiS MP”.
-- "BRAUN WILL UNLEASH PROTOCOL 4.99", MEANING HE WON'T CROSS THE ELECTORAL THRESHOLD – THEY BELIEVE IN KONFEDERACJA – CONTINUES GRUSZCZYŃSKI IN GW: “People have realized that we have people on our lists who advocated for eating dogs and figures openly favorable to Russia. And these were people brought in by Braun in a briefcase. When it comes to composing electoral lists in a few months, controversial figures will be on them, and in this way 'Braun will unleash protocol 4.99', meaning he won't cross the electoral threshold – they believe in Konfederacja”.
-- YOU'VE PROBABLY HEARD THE RUMORS THAT MENTZEN IS GONE, HE'S LOST ENERGY. I HAVEN'T HAD CONTACT WITH HIM FOR HALF A YEAR – A KONFEDERACJA POLITICIAN TO GRUSZCZYŃSKI: “Another MP from this party also presents optimism. – You've probably heard the rumors that Mentzen is gone, he's lost energy. I haven't had contact with him for half a year, that's true. But we're not worried about it. Elections are a long way off, and Sławek is going on vacation to recharge – he assures”.
-- WE'VE FOUND OURSELVES IN THE SAME SITUATION AS THE RAZEM PARTY. OUR TOPICS ARE NOT IN PUBLIC DEBATE, POTENTIAL BENEFICIARIES OF THE SHIFT TO THE RIGHT ARE UNEXPECTEDLY IN POLITICAL DUST – STILL IN GRUSZCZYŃSKI'S ARTICLE IN GW: “– We've found ourselves in the same situation as the Razem Party. Our topics are not in public debate, we can't break through. We are dealing with a surprising phenomenon: public opinion polls show a definite shift to the right, radical right-wing parties are gaining month by month, and the potential beneficiaries of this change – who have been so skilled in internet marketing until now, skillfully picking up trends – are unexpectedly in political dust”.https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,32517215,mentzen-roztrwania-sukces-z-wyborow-strategia-kaczynskiego.html
-- THE GARBAGE SCANDAL IN WROCŁAW. A PO MP AND HER HUSBAND IN THE WASTE INDUSTRY – MARCIN RYBAK IN GW: “'Wyborcza' has obtained copies of three invoices. They were supposedly issued to Chemeko by Andrzej Sobolak's company, the husband of a Wrocław PO MP. Both have been professionally involved in the waste industry for years. Anna Sobolak is a partner in the Waste Management and Consulting Law Firm”.https://wroclaw.wyborcza.pl/wroclaw/7,35771,32511411,afera-smieciowa-we-wroclawiu-maz-poslanki-po-robil-interesy.html
-- BIRTHDAYS: Anna Fotyga, Piotr Serafin (turning 52), Dariusz Joński, Czesław Czechyra, Agnieszka Hanajczyk.
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