Today's State of Play

STATE OF PLAY: Szefernaker: Nawrocki's election was a turning point, allowing state affairs to get back on track; CBOS: Government support drops below 30%; Szpala: Hołownia is being urged not to resign

-- GOVERNMENT SUPPORT IN CBOS DROPS BELOW 30%, THOUGH CHANGES COMPARED TO AUGUST ARE STATISTICALLY INSIGNIFICANT:
https://cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/raporty_tekst.php?id=7082

-- ADAM BIELAN ON TV WPOLSCE24: I have information that one of the goals of Sikorski's visit to the USA was to sound out the American side on whether they would be ready to support a change of Prime Minister. Sikorski sees that Tusk is weakening, and this is the moment he can attack. I wouldn't wish such a change on them – I assess them both equally poorly.
https://x.com/krystofmakowski/status/1971654908027064490

-- MICHAŁ KAMIŃSKI TO MENTZEN: THE THESIS THAT TUSK IS FINISHED AS PRIME MINISTER IS PUT FORWARD BY A LARGE PART OF LIBERAL OBSERVERS:
https://300polityka.pl/pl/live/2025-09-26/kaminski-teze-o-tym-ze-tusk-sieskonczyl-jako-premier-stawia

-- RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI: Today, it's not the one who spends time in television studios who wins, but the one who has a good YouTube channel and meets directly with voters.
https://300polityka.pl/pl/live/2025-09-26/trzaskowski-dzisiaj-nie-wygrywa-ten-kto-przesiaduje-w

-- TRZASKOWSKI AGAIN: Today, candidates who are not in the mainstream media win.
https://300polityka.pl/pl/live/2025-09-26/trzaskowski-dzisiaj-wygrywaja-kandydaci-ktorych-nie-ma-w

-- THE ELECTION OF KAROL NAWROCKI WAS A TURNING POINT, THANKS TO WHICH WE CAN SAY TODAY: THE AFFAIRS OF OUR STATE CAN RETURN TO THE RIGHT TRACK - PAWEŁ SZEFERNAKER ON X: “The election of Karol Nawrocki was that moment, that turning point, thanks to which we can say today: the affairs of our state can return to the right track – a track of ambition, independence, and development. This is a concrete vision of a state that wants to be independent, wants to be sovereign, wants to be modern, competitive – wants to be GREAT and STRONG!”

-- WE ACT, NOT TALK? ALL OF POLAND WAS SUPPOSED TO MOVE FORWARD, AND FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 12 YEARS, UNEMPLOYMENT IS RISING - SZEFERNAKER AGAIN: “They keep saying they will do something, and that's where it ends. While they talk, President Nawrocki brings clear declarations of support for our security from the US President. All of Poland was supposed to move forward, and we have further information about negative ratings for Poland, and for the first time in 12 years, unemployment is rising, and our country is one of the fastest-indebting states in the EU. There was supposed to be repolonization, but we have reports that the tender for the use of the port of Gdynia was won by the Swedes, despite Poles presenting a better plan.”
https://x.com/szefernaker/status/1971824680144146501

-- THE LIFESPAN OF GOVERNMENT PROJECTS IS SHORTER THAN THAT OF DISCOUNTED YOGURT IN THE SUPERMARKET; IF THE RULERS DON'T TAKE THEMSELVES SERIOUSLY, IT'S HARD FOR VOTERS TO TAKE THEM SERIOUSLY - LESZEK JAŻDŻEWSKI IN INTERIA: “All significant projects are inherited from PiS and are implemented with varying degrees of commitment. When new ones appear, their shelf life is shorter than that of discounted yogurt in the supermarket. What happened to the hundreds of billions of investments for the millennium of Chrobry's coronation? Is deregulation still a priority? The question about the Olympic Games in Poland would probably be a serious faux pas. If the rulers don't take themselves seriously, it's hard for their voters to take them seriously.”

-- A LARGE PART OF THE RULING CAMP BEHAVES AS IF IT'S JUST WAITING FOR THE ELECTORAL VERDICT - JAŻDŻEWSKI AGAIN: “A large part of the ruling camp behaves as if it's just waiting for the electoral verdict, while in the meantime, trying to figure out how not to displease too much in order to calmly reach the end of the term, retreat to pre-determined positions, and wait out the lean years in opposition.”

-- THE RIGHT-WING'S DOMINANCE ONLINE STEMS FROM HISTORICAL REASONS – IT WAS A PLACE WHERE IT COULD EXIST OUTSIDE THE MAIN MEDIA CIRCULATION - JAŻDŻEWSKI AGAIN: “The key to the right-wing's narrative control in Poland is its enormous advantage online. This stems from historical reasons – it was a place where it could exist outside the main media circulation, but also because it quickly understood the rules of the fight on the internet, further amplified by recent changes in algorithms.”

-- THE RIGHT IS AN EMPIRE AND WILL BE FOR A LONG TIME: “Paradoxically, even during PiS rule, the right in Poland behaved as if it were in some underground state, fighting an unequal battle with an occupier. Meanwhile, in the era of Trump, Musk, YouTube, which has replaced television, and the dominance of Kanał Zero, the right is the mainstream. They are no new hope. They are an Empire. And they will be for a long time. Unless candidates for Rebels emerge.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-czy-oboz-anty-pis-moze-utrzymac-wladze-moze-tylko-nie-za-bar,nId,22423804

-- THE PARTY IS URGING HOŁOWNIA NOT TO RESIGN AS MARSHAL OF THE SEJM - IWONA SZPALA IN GW: “- A decision has not yet been made – assures a politician from Polska 2050. – There is a division. A very large part of the party is in favor of him retaining the position of Marshal, and he will be enthusiastically urged to do so – she reveals. – For the ruling coalition to continue to function, the current arrangement must be maintained. Włodzimierz Czarzasty cannot become Marshal of the Sejm. The Left is already pushing its way into the government; think what will happen with Czarzasty in the Marshal's seat – she advises.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,32282248,ukladanki-z-fotelem-marszalka-w-polsce-2050-slyszymy-bedziemy.html

-- I THOUGHT WE SHOULD SUPPORT THE CHANGES, BUT NOT JOIN THE GOVERNMENT. THERE WOULD BE A GOVERNMENT, BECAUSE WE WOULD SUPPORT IT, BUT WE WOULDN'T PUT OUR FACE ON IT. I FELT WE WOULD BE USED SO THAT POLSKA 2050 WOULD BE BLAMED FOR EVERYTHING - JACEK BURY IN CONVERSATION WITH ELIZA OLCZYK IN RZ: “I thought we should support the changes, but not join the government. There would be a government, because we would support it, but we wouldn't put our face on it. I felt that we would be used so that Polska 2050 would be blamed for everything bad, while all the good things would flow to the main rulers, i.e., Civic Coalition. Look at how many postulates of Polska 2050 have been realized. Very few. Unfortunately, the narrative was that our proposals, in particular, cannot be implemented at this moment, but we should not criticize the government, because after all, we are in it. Thus, we paid with our image for the government's inaction and couldn't even talk about it. This is how old parties get rid of political competition. I feared this, it is happening, and it will continue to happen.”

-- WHERE DID THE MEETING TAKE PLACE DURING WHICH THE CIVIC COALITION'S CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT IN 2020 WAS REPLACED, AND RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI REPLACED MAŁGORZATA KIDWA-BŁOŃSKA IN THAT RACE? AS FAR AS I KNOW, ALSO AT BIELAN'S - BURY AGAIN TO OLCZYK: “Szymon was recently grilled for meeting with PiS chairman Jarosław Kaczyński at Adam Bielan's, a PiS MEP. I think Szymon made a mistake, he shouldn't have gone there as Marshal of the Sejm, even if it was to finish some conversation. But where did the meeting take place during which the Civic Coalition's candidate for president in 2020 was replaced, and Rafał Trzaskowski replaced Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska in that race? As far as I know, also at Bielan's. And where did the meeting take place in 2020, when during the pandemic, despite companies collapsing and people locked in their apartments, the leaders of PiS and KO agreed on a law increasing the salaries of MPs and senators?”
https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art43071351-jacek-bury-polska-2050-powinna-wyjsc-z-rzadu

-- THE TRUTH IS THAT THE POLSKA 2050 CLUB DECIDED TO CARRY OUT ITS CORRIDOR THREATS AND SHOW THE PRIME MINISTER THAT "IT'S IMPOSSIBLE WITHOUT THEM" - DOMINIKA DŁUGOSZ IN ONEŁT: “The Polska 2050 club has decided to carry out its corridor threats and show the prime minister that 'it's impossible without them.' This tactic is understandable, but rather short-sighted, because while the October 15 coalition indeed cannot govern without Polska 2050, Polska 2050 means absolutely nothing without the coalition and will disintegrate the moment it leaves its ranks.”

-- TUSK TALKED WITH SENATORS BECAUSE THE GOVERNMENT ALIGNMENT IN THE SEJM HAS BECOME DE-HERMETIZED - DŁUGOSZ AGAIN: “According to our information, he told them that perhaps very soon it will depend on them what comes out of parliament. Because in the Sejm – he warned – things can turn out very differently. – He emphasized that in the previous term, the role of the Senate was unique because we were the chamber that bore the burden of guarding democracy. He stated that this may return, because if the alignment in the Sejm becomes de-hermetized, it will again depend on us what comes out of parliament, and whether it is in his favor. He warned that we must be very vigilant about what we receive from the Sejm – report the senators.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/newsweek/polski-2050-postanowila-zrealizowac-swoje-korytarzowe-grozby/74jvgrd,452ad802

-- BIRTHDAYS: Marek Ast. SUNDAY: Grzegorz Bierecki, Maciej Nowicki, Robert Maciaszek.