state of play: 09/17/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Haszczyński: Putin Could Arm Himself Because Germany Did Big Business With Him; Gruszczyński's Text in Gazeta Wyborcza: Civic Platform Has Woken Up

Łukasz Mężyk

— "A VERY UNPLEASANT MOVE FROM THE POLISH EMBASSY IN WASHINGTON." BIELAN ON MEDIA REPORTS REGARDING TRUMP'S LETTER TO NAWROCKI, BIELAN: THE RUSSIANS WILL USE THE POLISH GOVERNMENT'S BLUNDER FOR MONTHS – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/09/17/

— IN AUGUST, THE NUMBER OF JOB OFFERS WAS THE LOWEST SINCE 2020. THAT IS, THE MOMENT WHEN THE LABOR MARKET WAS PARALYZED BY PANDEMIC LOCKDOWNS – KASIA BIELECKA IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: "August was one of the weakest months in over a year," says Magdalena Marcinkowska, an HR and payroll expert at Grant Thornton. "The results we are seeing are dangerously close to pandemic-era results. Except then, the freezing of recruitment by employers was understandable and had clear justification." As she notes, it is now difficult to definitively identify what is stopping companies from publishing job offers. "However, we remain optimistic – we hope that the end of the holidays will bring an economic revival and that recruitment processes will increase soon," she adds.

— THE LABOR MARKET HAS THEREFORE ENTERED A WAITING PHASE – BIELECKA FURTHER IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: "What we are currently observing is rather a cooling phase: a decrease in the number of offers and a more cautious approach by companies to recruitment, alongside record-low unemployment in Eurostat statistics and stable employee sentiment. The labor market has therefore entered a waiting phase."
https://wyborcza.biz/biznes/7,159911,32255603,trudno-mowic-o-kryzysie-ale-niektorzy-moga-czuc-zimny-oddech.html

— CRITICAL SITUATION AT THE NATIONAL HEALTH FUND. WILL THERE BE ENOUGH MONEY FOR CURRENT SETTLEMENTS WITH HOSPITALS? – GRZEGORZ OSIECKI AND TOMASZ ŻÓŁCIAK IN MONEY: "Without subsidies from the state budget, we will face a very far-reaching limitation of the supply of services during this period. I'm not even talking about the fourth quarter, because to settle it, we will have to draw on money from next year's plan to an unprecedented extent," states Wojciech Wiśniewski.

— NOW PRIME MINISTER TUSK BEARS DIRECT RESPONSIBILITY FOR THIS MATTER AND WHAT THE MINISTRY OF HEALTH IS DOING – CONVINCES A COALITION POLITICIAN – FURTHER IN OSIECKI AND ŻÓŁCIAK IN MONEY: "Now Prime Minister Tusk bears direct responsibility for this matter and what the Ministry of Health is doing," convinces a coalition politician. Our interlocutor reminds that the new Minister of Health's problems do not end there. "We still need to return 4 billion PLN to the Medical Fund. The previous minister, Izabela Leszczyna, borrowed this money to save the situation at the National Health Fund, specifically taking it from the contribution that was supposed to go to the Fund. For the new minister, this is a real problem, because if she doesn't return this money, she will break the law on the Medical Fund," points out the politician."
https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/krytyczna-sytuacja-w-nfz-czy-zabraknie-pieniedzy-na-biezace-rozliczenia-ze-szpitalami-7200884740545120a.html

— THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE MUST FIND SAVINGS OF APPROXIMATELY PLN 30 BILLION IN THE BUDGET IF IT WANTS TO AVOID AMENDING THE BUDGET LAW – INFORMED ECONOMISTS FROM BANK PEKAO IN AN ANALYSIS: "Meanwhile, over the last eight months, it has spent on average 7% more, and in September it will have a large tranche of BGK bonds to redeem. This means it must find savings of approximately PLN 30 billion compared to the expenditures planned in the budget law."

— ON PROBLEMS WITH THE REVENUE SIDE – PEKAO ANALYSTS FURTHER: "(...) in August we observed (...) a lack of rebound in excise duty revenues (from -1% in July to a mere 2% year-on-year in August) and a further erosion of VAT revenues, which, although 10% higher than in August last year, saw their dynamics as a moving annual sum decrease from +11.8% to 11.1% year-on-year. CIT remains a brighter spot in the budget, having started to grow along with the improvement in companies' financial results."
https://filarybiznesu.pl/finanse/czeka-nas-nowelizacja-budzetu-tyle-musialoby-oszczedzic-mf/a28169

— PUTIN COULD ARM HIMSELF PROPERLY BECAUSE GERMANY DID BIG BUSINESS WITH HIM – JERZY HASZCZYŃSKI IN RZECZPOSPOLITA: "There is a real war on our borders. And – this is the crucial part of the answer to the new German proposal – Putin could arm himself properly for it because Germany, ignoring its smaller neighbors, did big business with him. They ignored the threat, telling fairy tales about the exclusively economic nature of strategic projects. German billions for Russian gas helped Putin start this war."

— WHAT HAS HAPPENED IN THIS MATTER OVER THREE DECADES? HOW MUCH LONGER MUST WE WAIT FOR THE ESTABLISHMENT OF A MEMORIAL TO POLISH VICTIMS OF THE THIRD REICH IN BERLIN? – HASZCZYŃSKI FURTHER IN RZECZPOSPOLITA: "Historical obligations are not just a matter of some kind of reparations, under a different name and on a smaller scale than PiS wanted. I am looking through the thick books published in the 1990s by the Polish Ministry of Culture: 'War Losses. Polish Painting. Oil Paintings, Pastels, Watercolors Lost Between 1939-1945' and 'Library Losses During World War II.' What has happened in this matter over three decades? Will most Germans, even those in the elite, finally recognize the scale of the crimes during the German occupation of Poland? How much longer must we wait for the establishment of a memorial to Polish victims of the Third Reich in Berlin?"
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art43020411-jerzy-haszczynski-niemiecka-bron-zamiast-reparacji-nie-tedy-droga-do-pojednania

— GERMAN REPARATION – WHAT IF IT WAS A DEFENSE PROJECT? ONE MUST TALK ABOUT 'REPARATION' WITH GERMANY – BARTOSZ T. WIELIŃSKI IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: "I have déjà vu. In a similar way, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, headed by Zbigniew Rau of PiS, approached the topic in 2022. In the diplomatic note handed to Germany, despite the announcements, the word 'reparations' was also absent. And this changed the nature of things. Because one must talk about 'reparation' with Germany."
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75399,32256503,zadoscuczynienie-nie-reparacje-po-wizycie-karola-nawrockiego.html

— TUSK GETS ALONG WELL WITH KAROL NAWROCKI – I HEAR FROM AT LEAST TWO PEOPLE WHO RECENTLY DISCUSSED THIS WITH THE PRIME MINISTER – ARKADIUSZ GRUSZCZYŃSKI IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: "And the prime minister's closest associates observe with satisfaction the disbelief, or even shock, on my face after they drop a real bombshell. – Tusk gets along well with Karol Nawrocki – I hear from at least two people who recently discussed this with the prime minister. Although one of them specifies that this was knowledge from before the ambassadorial war – now the president does not want to appoint the government's nominees in the USA and Italy."

— THEY HAVE PROBABLY WOKEN UP – TELLS A POLITICIAN FROM THE GOVERNMENT COALITION FROM THE YOUNG AND ANGRY FACTION – FURTHER IN GRUSZCZYŃSKI'S ARTICLE IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: "The first month after Trzaskowski's defeat, Tusk spent away from people. He thought about which minister to replace and at the same time commissioned Berek to develop a list of projects that can be delivered by 2027. They have probably woken up to the fact that without a favorable president, they are in a losing position," says a politician from the government coalition from the 'young and angry' faction.

— FOR WEEKS, THE PRIME MINISTER'S CHANCELLERY HAS BEEN WORKING ON A 'MID-TERM' STRATEGY, I.E., A PLAN OF ABOUT 60 MAJOR INVESTMENTS AND GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS – GRUSZCZYŃSKI FURTHER IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: "For weeks, the Prime Minister's Chancellery has been working on a 'mid-term' strategy, meaning a plan of about 60 major investments and government programs to be announced on October 15th. – Political death loomed over Tusk, which is why he ordered all ministers and coalition partners to prepare a list of matters they can deliver by mid-2027. Maciej Berek piloted the matter," I hear in the government."

— WE CARE ABOUT THE DAILY AFFAIRS OF ORDINARY PEOPLE AND THEIR SAFETY. A NEW NARRATIVE ABOUT THE STATE – GRUSZCZYŃSKI ON THE NARRATIVE FROM TUSK'S CIRCLE: "But among the projects are also very concrete and clear proposals, perfectly suited to demonstrate both effectiveness, strategic thinking, social sensitivity, and an understanding of civilizational problems. The government will use a tested narrative that gave PiS fuel for several election victories since 2015: we care about the daily affairs of ordinary people and their safety. The new narrative about the state will consist of several diverse elements chosen on the principle of 'something for everyone.'"

— THE PRIME MINISTER, TOGETHER WITH MINISTERS, IS TO VISIT SMALL TOWNS – GRUSZCZYŃSKI FURTHER IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: "The same philosophy will accompany railway projects. – Donald will travel around Poland, meet people. If Nawrocki talks to young guys about kebab sauces, why can't Tusk do the same? The Prime Minister, along with ministers, is to visit small towns, announce new local investments, and cut ribbons. And while he's at it, talk to people," says one person who is familiar with the government's plans for the next two years."
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,32251677,chyba-sie-ockneli-slysze-od-waznego-polityka-ko-kiedy-pytam.html

-- BIRTHDAYS: Jacek Sutryk, Waldemar Andzel, Teresa Lubińska, Michał Stuligrosz.


Łukasz Mężyk