state of play: 09/11/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Sitnicka on Oko.press: Government Yields to Presidential Veto; Kaczyński Revives Nuclear Sharing Debate in Money.pl

Łukasz Mężyk

-- ONET ON THE HOMEPAGE: “Marta Nawrocka in pastels. Expert: 'carnival-like' style” .

-- THURSDAY'S POLITICAL AGENDA: NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL MEETING, TUSK AND NAWROCKI AT MILITARY BASES, KOSINIAK-KAMYSZ'S REPORT IN THE SEJM - 300LIVEhttps://300polityka.pl/live/2025/09/11/

-- JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI RETURNS TO THE TOPIC OF NUCLEAR SHARING - AS HE STATES IN AN INTERVIEW WITH TOMASZ ŻÓŁCIAK AND GRZEGORZ OSIECKI FOR MONEY.PL: “In an interview with money.pl, PiS chairman Jarosław Kaczyński argues that after initiating the procedure under Article 4 of the NATO treaty, we should demand the start of an operation of 'serious, radical strengthening on the eastern flank, with Poland, of course, in the first place.' Strengthen, strengthen, strengthen again, also by relocating, if not larger units, then, for example, missile launchers. And I believe we should seriously begin to move towards nuclear sharing,” adds Jarosław Kaczyński. “Nuclear sharing is a NATO program that allows the sharing of nuclear warheads with member states that do not possess their own nuclear weapons.”

-- AN UMBRELLA OVER UKRAINE IS A CASUS BELLI - KACZYŃSKI CONTINUES: “At the same time, the PiS chairman views critically the ideas that have been emerging for some time, concerning, for example, covering western Ukraine with a NATO umbrella. 'That would already be a casus belli (a pretext for starting a war - ed.), so I would not recommend it at this moment. Although I know that Ukrainians have been demanding this for a long time,' he adds.”
https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/wiecej-wszystkiego-jak-polska-dalej-rozegra-sprawe-rosyjskich-dronow-7198808593390528a.html

-- FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF POLAND'S INTERESTS, AN AGREEMENT BETWEEN BOTH SIDES IS NECESSARY IF WE DON'T WANT TO FALL INTO THE SECOND LEAGUE. THE SCOPE OF CONFLICT SHOULD BE LIMITED TO INTERNAL AND ELECTORAL MATTERS - PROF. ALEKSANDER SMOLAR TELLS OKO.PRESS IN AN INTERVIEW WITH DOMINIKA SITNICKA: “Honestly, I don't know. We know nothing about the future. But from the perspective of Poland's interests, an agreement between both sides is necessary if we don't want to fall into the second league. The scope of conflict should be limited to internal and electoral matters, and in foreign and defense policy, we should act jointly. Even if the president lacks certain competencies, Nawrocki has shown that he can pursue foreign policy without consulting the government – this must be taken into account.”

-- THE GOVERNMENT MUST RECOGNIZE THAT DONALD TRUMP'S POSITION AND STRENGTH ARE WHAT THEY ARE. THIS WAS EVIDENT AFTER THE VISIT OF EUROPEAN LEADERS TO WASHINGTON - SMOLAR CONTINUES WITH SITNICKA AT OKO.PRESS: “The government must recognize that Donald Trump's position and strength are what they are. This was evident after the visit of European leaders to Washington when they had to bend and compliment the US President beyond all measure. Similarly, Donald Tusk's government must consider that it cannot eliminate the influence of the presidential camp on foreign and defense policy. And an agreement would be easier because, in these areas, the vision of interests has traditionally been similar.”
https://oko.press/wewnetrzny-konflikt-zepchna-polske-do-drugiej-ligi-smolar

-- PRIME MINISTER TUSK AND PRESIDENT NAWROCKI HAVE SHOWN THEY CAN COOPERATE ON AN ISSUE OF THIS IMPORTANCE. THIS IS VERY GOOD NEWS. AND NOW THEY COULD STOP FUELLING ANTI-UKRAINIAN SENTIMENT - WRITES MARTA NOWAK IN GAZETA.PL: “This was also the first test of whether, on matters truly concerning Polish security, the president and prime minister can cooperate. On September 10, they passed this test. Neither of them tried to exploit the situation to show who was stronger, smarter, or more competent. Nawrocki did not comically flex his muscles, and Tusk did not jab at him. On the contrary, there was much emphasis on unanimity. (...) If we are so afraid that Russian drones will fly into Poland, perhaps we should support those who shoot them down every day. Perhaps Nawrocki and Tusk should not jointly withdraw benefits from the children of soldiers who maintain the front far from our border.”
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/polityka/7,198012,32242738,dronom-dali-rade-teraz-nawrocki-i-tusk-mogliby-przestac-pomagac.html

-- IN AGREEMENT WITH ALLIES – ESPECIALLY THE USA – WE MUST PLAN AN ADEQUATE RESPONSE - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZECZPOSPOLITA: “This is not the time to flex muscles, but it's also not the time to bury our heads in the sand. In agreement with allies – primarily the United States – we must plan an adequate response. Especially since this may only be the beginning of Russian provocations. The Zapad 2025 maneuvers officially begin only on Friday.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art42987171-michal-szuldrzynski-zarty-sie-skonczyly-wojska-nato-militarnie-uderzaja-w-rosyjskie-obiekty-nad-polska

-- GOVERNMENT YIELDED AFTER PRESIDENT'S VETO - DOMINIKA SITNICKA IN OKO.PRESS: “Nowa Lewica (New Left) and Polska 2050 will support the government's bill extending the stay of refugees from Ukraine, but simultaneously limiting access to social benefits for unemployed foreigners.”
https://oko.press/ograniczenia-w-800-plus-i-leczenia-cudzoziemcow-rzad-po-wecie-prezydenta

-- ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ: DONALD TUSK WILL NO LONGER WIN ELECTIONS IN POLAND - ONET: “'I know it stirs emotions when someone says this is the end of Tusk. I'm not saying this is the end of Tusk, but in my deep conviction, Tusk will no longer win elections in Poland. And whether he realizes this is another matter,' states Andrzej Stankiewicz. 'All signs indicate that Tusk will not win the elections, and it will certainly be very difficult for him to retain power, because his coalition partners have dismal ratings,' he adds.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/stan-wyjatkowy-andrzej-stankiewicz-tusk-nie-wygra-juz-w-polsce-wyborow/qf2751l,79cfc278

-- ON NAWROCKI'S 'GREAT WEEK' - JERZY BACZYŃSKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Today, the government holds all real instruments of power and can quite easily 'Duda-fy' Nawrocki. Presidential bill proposals will be amended, rejected, frozen, cabinet councils dismissed, the president's administrative and informational needs disregarded, etc. The constitution is a safeguard for all sides of the political game. Once the euphoria from 'Nawrocki's great week' (Donald Trump on Wednesday, the President and Prime Minister of Italy on Friday, then Pope Leo XIV) subsides a bit, perhaps some realism will penetrate the Presidential Chancellery? It's unlikely to be so pleasant anymore.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2314125,1,bylo-milo-ale-juz-raczej-nie-bedzie-nawrocki-gra-w-supermana-moze-teraz-cos-przemysli.read?src=mt

-- BIRTHDAYS: Adam Strzembosz, Teresa Bochwic, Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, Aleksandra Rybińska.
 


Łukasz Mężyk