state of play: 09/09/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Danielewski: Ruling Camp Must Seriously Consider Sensible Electoral Consolidation; Kęskrawiec: Kaczyński Casts Mentzen as Leader of Liberal Poland

Łukasz Mężyk

— THE COALITION WANTS TO RUSH THROUGH GOVERNMENT PROJECTS CONCERNING ENERGY PRICES AND THE 800+ BENEFIT FOR UKRAINIANS – MICHAŁ OLECH ON 300POLITYKA: https://3 https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/09/08/koalicja-chce-w-ekspresowym-tempie-przeglosowac-projekty-dot-cen-energii-i-800-dla-ukraincow/


 

— POLITICAL HOLIDAYS ARE OVER, THE SEJM RETURNS. THERE WILL BE CLASHES WITH THE PRESIDENT OVER DRAFT LEGISLATION – IWONA SZPALA IN GW: “The ruling party and the opposition are preparing for a political confrontation in autumn. The Sejm will be the arena, where Karol Nawrocki wants to compete with the government on legislative projects, and in international politics – PiS will try to convince that it holds a monopoly on good relations with the USA.”


 

— MAYBE NOT EVERYTHING IS YET PLAYING LIKE AN ORCHESTRA, BUT WE ARE WORKING HARD ON COMMUNICATION – EXPLAINS SZPALA'S GOVERNMENT SOURCE: “ – It's not about political bickering; voters are tired of it. The other side should be ready for a substantive response from the government. A message that will also reach the people – emphasizes a KO politician. – If PiS believes that with Nawrocki, we will become punching bags on which the right will build popularity, they are mistaken. Maybe not everyone has realized this yet, maybe not everything is yet playing like an orchestra, but we are working hard on communication – explains our interlocutor.”

https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,32235913,polityczne-wakacje-sie-skonczyly-sejm-wraca-beda-starcia-z.html


 

— POLLS, SOS! TUSK'S COALITION ENTERS THE NEW POLITICAL SEASON WITH A KNIFE TO ITS THROAT – MICHAŁ DANIELEWSKI ON THE PORTAL OF TYGODNIK POLITYKA, WHERE HE RECENTLY BECAME DEPUTY EDITOR-IN-CHIEF: “The fewest government supporters since Donald Tusk's cabinet took power and only one coalition party certain to cross the electoral threshold – this is the polling picture at the start of the new political season two years after the October 15 elections.”


 

— TODAY'S PARTY CONFIGURATION ON THIS SIDE OF THE POLITICAL SCENE KILLS ALL HOPE OF OPPOSING THE MARCH TO POWER BY PIS AND CONFEDERATION – DANIELEWSKI CONTINUES ON THE POLITYKA PORTAL: “The enormous disproportion in mandates currently results from the extremely dysfunctional division of those formations that went into the elections on October 15, 2023, with the slogan of removing Jarosław Kaczyński's camp from power. While two years ago, the division of lists and distribution of support maximized the number of mandates for KO, Third Way, and The Left, today's party configuration on this side of the political scene kills all hope of opposing the march to power by PiS and Konfederacja.”


 

— THIS WILL REQUIRE THE GOVERNMENT SIDE TO THINK QUICKLY AND SERIOUSLY ABOUT SENSIBLE ELECTORAL CONSOLIDATION – DANIELEWSKI'S CONCLUSION: “Given that party polls have been very stable for months and differ only in nuances, it is difficult to expect anything to fundamentally change in them over the coming months. And this will require the government side to think quickly and seriously about sensible electoral consolidation, because every percentage point of support lost below the electoral threshold reduces the chances of retaining power almost to zero.”

https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2313843,1,sondaze-ratunku-pomocy-w-nowy-sezon-polityczny-koalicja-tuska-wchodzi-z-nozem-na-gardle.read


 

— „WE WILL NOT RUN FROM CIVIC PLATFORM LISTS”. KOSINIAK-KAMYSZ: IN THE NEXT ELECTIONS, PSL WILL RUN INDEPENDENTLY – 300LIVE: https://3 https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/09/09/


 

— KACZYŃSKI HAS CAST MENTZEN AS THE LEADER OF LIBERAL POLAND – MAREK KĘSKRAWIEC IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “Kaczyński has decided to play for the full pot again and is re-heating before our eyes the old division into 'solidary Poland' and 'liberal Poland.' He has cast Mentzen as the leader of the latter.” 


 

— THE PRIME MINISTER IS ON THE DEFENSIVE, HAS LOST ENERGY, SPEAKS CHAOTICALLY, BUT IT'S HARD TO BE SURPRISED. SUPPORT FOR BOTH HIM AND THE GOVERNMENT STILL LOOKS TRAGIC – KĘSKRAWIEC CONTINUES: “The Prime Minister is on the defensive, has lost energy, speaks chaotically, but it's hard to be surprised. Support for both him and the government still looks tragic. His only consolation might be that the entire KO is doing quite well, but what good is that if Tusk's party is becoming like PiS years ago – devouring its own coalition partners, leaving only New Left just barely above the threshold today.” 

https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/prawica-juz-dzieli-i-rzadzi-czy-kaczynski-rozbije-konfederacje-191663


 

— EUROPEAN EXPORTERS OUTSIDE THE FOOD INDUSTRY, ESPECIALLY GERMAN ONES, WILL BENEFIT FROM MERCOSUR – MAREK RABIJ IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “Producers will consume the surpluses. Large industrial conglomerates will see increased profitability. European exporters outside the food industry (especially German ones) will also benefit from the opening of the markets of Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, and Bolivia, as they will be able to redirect to the Southern Hemisphere that part of production which they are unable to sell in the USA after the introduction of tariffs.”

https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/tansza-wolowina-drozsze-zycie-umowa-z-mercosur-ma-swoja-cene-191669


 

— THE REFERENDUM COMMITTEE IS ALREADY OPERATING. THEY ARE COLLECTING SIGNATURES TO RECALL THE MAYOR OF KOSZALIN – MARCIN NAPIERAŁA IN GW: “In mid-August, a website created by anonymous individuals began operating, collecting data from those willing to join the initiative to organize a referendum. Its authors accused the Mayor of Koszalin, Tomasz Sobieraj, among other things, of an 18 percent rent increase in properties belonging to the Koszalin Social Housing Association and the Residential Building Management, an increase in public transport ticket prices, an increase in property tax, and appointing individuals facing criminal charges to high-ranking city positions.”

https://koszalin.wyborcza.pl/koszalin/7,179397,32234787,komitet-referendalny-juz-dziala-zbieraja-podpisy-by-odwolac.html


 

— BIRTHDAYS: Andrzej Smirnow, Andrzej Olechowski, Waldemar Sługocki.


Łukasz Mężyk