state of play: 08/07/2025
STATE OF PLAY: Wielowieyska: The Palace would prefer Hołownia to remain Marshal, Kalukin: Nawrocki isn't even pretending to nuance anything
-- IF THE CIVIC PLATFORM LEARNS TO WIN ELECTIONS IN POLAND, IT WILL DECIDE WHO IS DEPUTY MARSHAL - MICHAŁ KAMIŃSKI IN AN INTERVIEW WITH THE MEDIA: I am the Deputy Marshal because Donald Tusk could not win the elections. And he is Prime Minister because the PSL allows it and Hołownia allows it. Hołownia is the Marshal, and Tusk cannot dismiss him, so I don't know who is stronger today.
https://x.com/jachcy/status/1953053954633302341
-- PRESIDENT NAWROCKI TO THE WARSAW UPRISING HERO "EDEK" - I DRAW STRENGTH FROM YOU.
https://x.com/czaplinskiii/status/1953154905276825707
-- PKN STOPPED THE COLUMN AND WENT OUT TO THE PEOPLE ON THE ŁAZIENKOWSKA ROUTE: https://x.com/Poland_Based/status/1953149183332106346
-- IF YOU DID INKA'S EXHUMATION, WHO IS BOYCOTTING YOUR OATH? - LESZEK MILLER: “No former Prime Minister from the SLD and the broad left was present at Nawrocki's inauguration. There are no simpletons or fence-sitters in this group. Instead, there are people for whom the fairness of elections is the most important criterion for their legitimization. They didn't come because they didn't want to lend their presence to the hallmarks of democratic fiction.”
https://x.com/LeszekMiller/status/1953093581561868449
-- ANNA MARIA ŻUKOWSKA REPLIED TO MILLER: It is enough that former President Aleksander Kwaśniewski was present, which is the highest possible representation.
-- BOGUCKI: THE WIND TURBINE ACT WAS MEANT TO BE AN AMBUSH. IT'S GOVERNMENT CLEVERNESS, THE PRESIDENT WILL HANDLE IT - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/08/07/
-- THE NATIONAL PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE OFFICIALLY ADMITS TO ERRORS IN THE RECOUNT OF VOTES - NIEZALEŻNA.PL: “Quietly, on the day of President Karol Nawrocki's inauguration, the National Prosecutor's Office admitted to errors in the vote recount. Secretly, without a conference and a new announcement, it 'updated' the data presented to the public on July 25th on its website. It turned out that investigators had mistakenly attributed nearly 300 votes to Rafał Trzaskowski.”
https://niezalezna.pl/polska/prokuratura-krajowa-oficjalnie-przyznaje-sie-do-bledow-w-ponownym-liczeniu-glosow-na-rano/549191
-- IF THE WEIGHT OF SZEFERNAKER, BOGUCKI, AND PRZYDADZ IS COMPARED TO THE PIS POLITICIANS FROM THE BEGINNING OF ANDRZEJ DUDA'S PRESIDENCY IN 2015, THEY ARE HEAVYWEIGHT CONTENDERS - WRITES JACEK GĄDEK IN NEWSWEEK: “At the start, Duda had Małgorzata Sadurska as his chief of staff, a rank-and-file MP, who mainly dealt with reporting to Nowogrodzka, and then she scurried off to state-owned companies to earn millions. Duda also had Andrzej Dera, a politician not even welcomed in PiS. There was also Adam Kwiatkowski, an MP from PiS befriended by Duda. Duda recruited from among his Kraków friends, but they were not typical politicians.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/newsweek/pis-robi-desant-na-palac-prezydencki-mozgiem-jest-szefernaker/egpc7m8,452ad802
-- PAWEŁ SZEFERNAKER, HEAD OF THE PRESIDENT'S CABINET, WILL PLAY FIRST VIOLIN - DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: “Paweł Szefernaker, the head of the president's cabinet, will play first violin. He was the head of the victorious campaign and he has the best connections with both Nowogrodzka, the PiS headquarters, and the party leader himself. The main decisions will be made along this line. The cabinet chief's secretariat is next to the president's secretariat, which means Szefernaker can visit Nawrocki almost any time.”
-- KACZYŃSKI WANTS THE RULING SYSTEM TO GRADUALLY DECOMPOSE AND THE COALITION TO CONSTANTLY QUARREL - WIELOWIEYSKA FURTHER IN GW: “Kaczyński wants the ruling system to gradually decompose and the coalition to constantly quarrel. The meetings with Szymon Hołownia at the home of Adam Bielan, one of the most important PiS spin doctors, served this purpose. And that is why the collegially concerned PiS politicians repeat to Polska 2050 and PSL: Tusk is sinking, he will drag you down, evacuate while you still can.”
-- THIS GIVES SZEFERNAKER ROOM TO MANEUVER. IF HE MANAGES TO DRAW PL2050 INTO AN ACTION AGAINST THE PRIME MINISTER, HE WILL BE RADIATED WITH AN AURA OF SUCCESS - CLAIMS WIELOWIEYSKA: “The temptation may prove effective, because Nawrocki has an important instrument: the promise of a veto or signature on a bill. Hołownia will get the feeling that he is effective, that he can push through his initiatives against the omnipotent Tusk. This gives Szefernaker room to maneuver. If he manages to draw PL2050 into an action against the prime minister, he will be radiated with an aura of success.”
-- PERHAPS THE GAME WILL BE ABOUT BLOCKING THE CHANGE IN THE POSITION OF THE SEJM MARSHAL. THE PALACE WOULD PREFER HOŁOWNIA TO REMAIN THERE, AS HE COULD PROCEED WITH VARIOUS PROJECTS TO ANNOY TUSK - CLAIMS WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: “Perhaps the game will be about blocking the change in the position of the Sejm Marshal. The Presidential Palace would prefer Hołownia to remain there, as he could proceed with various legislative projects, which Nawrocki will be sending to parliament en masse, to annoy Tusk. The Marshal of the Sejm has significant powers here.”
-- SZEFERNAKER WILL NOT MAKE MASTALEREK'S MISTAKES - BELIEVES DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA: “Mastalerek's story is a serious warning of how conducting wars on multiple fronts ends. Szefernaker will not make these mistakes. He is considered a person who can work in a team and maintain good relationships with people.”
-- "THE PRESIDENCY IS TO BE BITTERLY POPULIST" - WIELOWIEYSKA ON VOICES IN THE PRESIDENT'S POLITICAL BACKING: “I hear from the PiS hinterland that Nawrocki is planning happenings and demonstrations with PiS supporters, he will attract attention as the new right-wing hero and ensure attendance, thanks to him PiS will start its campaign full steam ahead. 'The presidency is to be bitterly populist.'”
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,32157692,wielowieyska-kaczynski-nie-chce-powtorzyc-bledow-jakie-popelnil.html
-- BLACK CLOUDS ARE GATHERING OVER POLAND. PRESIDENT NAWROCKI IS HEADING FOR CONFRONTATION - ROMAN IMIELSKI IN GW: “This will be a presidency of clashes, not cohabitation. It will be a presidency of retreat from the European Union and a turn towards anti-liberal nationalism and populism. (...) I know this is a black scenario. And that someone might say: everyone should be given a chance at the start. So, I hope I am wrong in my assessments, although for now, everything indicates that black clouds are gathering over our country.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32157642,prezydent-nawrocki-idzie-na-konfrontacje.html
-- THIS WILL LIKELY BE THE MOST CONFRONTATIONAL PRESIDENCY, BUT IS KAROL NAWROCKI ACTUALLY THE POWER BROKER HE PRETENDS TO BE? - RAFAŁ KALUKIN IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “He appeared out of nowhere and reached the top. This will likely be the most confrontational presidency of all previous ones, the result of which could be the paralysis of the state. But is Karol Nawrocki actually the power broker he pretends to be?”
-- NAWROCKI ISN'T EVEN PRETENDING TO NUANCE ANYTHING - KALUKIN FURTHER: “Nawrocki isn't even pretending to nuance anything. He probably associates Ukraine solely with the genocide in Volhynia, because even after the elections, he hasn't changed his tone from the campaign. And in transatlantic relations, he remains even more uncompromising. This means all chips on Trump and as far away from Europe as possible, which is attacking our sovereignty, sending immigrants to Poland, and wants to finish us off with the Green Deal. So, how is the constitutional norm to be implemented, according to which 'The President of the Republic, in the scope of foreign policy, cooperates with the Prime Minister and the relevant minister'?”
-- THE MFA'S STUBBORNNESS REGARDING KLICH IS HARDLY UNDERSTANDABLE - KALUKIN FURTHER: “Incidentally, the MFA's stubbornness regarding Klich is hardly understandable, as a professional diplomat with contacts in Republican elites would be more useful in Washington than a former politician, and without the president's signature, the rank of Poland's most important diplomatic mission remains lowered. However, if Nawrocki were truly concerned about this, he would start with a one-on-one conversation with Sikorski. Meanwhile, he has not been interested in establishing a relationship so far, even though the head of the MFA himself took the initiative and invited the president-elect to a meeting of the Ambassadors' Council. Without a response, because Nawrocki probably primarily seeks to enforce compliance.”
-- THEREFORE, A NEW FRONT IS OPENING FOR THE RULING COALITION, PERHAPS THE MOST IMPORTANT OF ALL: DEFENDING THE ENTIRE DEMOCRATIC SYSTEM FROM COLLAPSE - KALUKIN'S CONCLUSION: “And in the event of a crisis, the playing field will immediately open for Nawrocki as its sole accoucheur. Or even – if he turns out to be a sufficiently strong and skillful player – a patron of the nascent new political order, which sets its rules of operation? It is difficult to decide today whether this is a realistic scenario, but it is certainly extremely dangerous for Polish democracy, especially if the right has prospects for a constitutional majority, which some polls seem to suggest. A new front is therefore opening for the ruling coalition, perhaps the most important of all: defending the entire democratic system from collapse.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2310139,1,prezydent-nie-wszystkich-polakow-nawrocki-pozuje-na-mocarza-grozi-nam-paraliz-panstwa
-- WILL POLES LIKE A FIGHTING PRESIDENT? IN THE SEJM, PIS SHOWED BRASHNESS AND ARROGANCE. WILL TRIUMPHALISM AND PRIDE BE THEIR DOWNFALL? - JACEK NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: “The president's radicalization could be fatal not only for him but also for PiS, which is not yet in power but is already celebrating prematurely. Pride goes before a fall.”
https://www.rp.pl/opinie-polityczno-spoleczne/art42816461-jacek-nizinkiewicz-w-sejmie-pis-pokazalo-bute-i-arogancje-czy-triumfalizm-i-pycha-ich-zgubia
-- BIRTHDAYS: Jarosław Urbaniak.
live
3 hours
90 min
„He Wasn't in the Document Workflow.” — Śliwka on Telus and the Results of Parliamentary Oversight
2 hours
"Putin-esque Mannerisms": Błaszczak on Tusk's Behavior
3 hours
President Proposed Poland Serve as a Hub for US Gas Supplies to Slovakia
3 hours
„We Will Reclaim the Plot of Land, It Will Be Possible to Buy It Back.” — Krajewski Announces Agreement
4 hours
„His Company Sponsored Campus Polska.” — Horała Responds to Accusations
4 hours
27 Votes on Ziobro: Hołownia Announces
5 hours
Partnership Unions Again Removed from Sejm's Agenda. Hołownia Confirms
5 hours
„My Chances Have Increased.” — Hołownia on Candidacy for UN Commissioner
5 hours
„I Answered the Questions of the Authorized Prosecutor.” — Hołownia Responds to Allegations
state of play
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