state of play: 08/04/2025

GAME STATE: Szuldrzyński: Government Radicalization Instead of Strategy, Zaremba: It's Obvious Tusk is the Main Culprit of the Presidential Defeat, Semka: Nawrocki as Mediator on the Right

Łukasz Mężyk

-- IN LESS THAN 48 HOURS, KAROL NAWROCKI WILL FORMALLY BE THE PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF POLAND. -- PRIME MINISTER MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI REMEMBERS HIS LATE MOTHER: “It was from her that I received my first book. From her, I learned that Poland begins in our hearts. That daily work for others has meaning. That one must hold onto the truth – even when it is difficult. My mother was a modest person, but with a big heart. She never craved publicity, and her greatest joy was the good she radiated around her. The circles of this good spread into the deepest corners of the soul. May they remain there.” https://x.com/MorawieckiM/status/1951939854939394353 -- FUNERAL OF JADWIGA MORAWIECKA ON SATURDAY IN WROCŁAW. -- THE CHARACTERISTIC SILENCE OF SOMEONE WHO HAD THE OPPORTUNITY TO MAKE A SMALL, YET IMPORTANT GESTURE ON THAT DAY - MAREK CICHOCKI ON THE GERMAN CHANCELLOR'S SILENCE ON THE ANNIVERSARY OF THE UPRISING'S OUTBREAK: “On August 1st, the anniversary of the Warsaw Uprising outbreak, I was intrigued by the characteristic silence of someone who had the opportunity to make a small, yet important gesture that day. I am referring to German Chancellor Friedrich Merz.” -- IT WASN'T JUST CHANCELLOR FRYDERYK MERZ WHO WAS SILENT ON AUGUST 1ST. PRIME MINISTER DONALD TUSK ALSO WAS - CICHOCKI CONTINUES IN RZ: “This lack of formality in German policy towards Poland and Poles is significant and has concrete implications for practical political and security issues, directly manifesting as a lack of respect. We can, of course, discuss whether Germany simply behaves this way towards us now, or whether we ourselves are unable to foster respect for ourselves in Polish-German relations. However, in this light, the story of Merz seating the Polish prime minister on a separate train during his trip to Kyiv in May takes on deeper meaning. Its culmination might be the fact that the Polish prime minister also chose characteristic silence on August 1st.” https://www.rp.pl/opinie-polityczno-spoleczne/art42800901-marek-a-cichocki-wymowne-milczenie-kanclerza-i-premiera -- BARTOSZ WĘGLARCZYK ON TUSK'S ABSENCE - SPOKEN IN TOMASZ SEKIELSKI'S PROGRAM: “We don't know why he didn't appear on August 1st for the Warsaw Uprising anniversary commemorations. In my opinion, he knew it would be noticed and widely commented on.” https://x.com/OficjalneZero/status/1952271531045749178 -- WHY IS POLISH FOOD BECOMING SO EXPENSIVE? - PIOTR MIĄCZYŃSKI IN GW: “Why is Polish food becoming so expensive? The truth that politicians aren't telling. 'In a few years, food in Poland will be at the EU average level, because there's no other way. This process is rather unstoppable.' (...) - For consumers, this unfortunately means less 'cheap' and more 'normal.' Add smaller agricultural subsidies, the Green Deal, and the EU-Mercosur agreement, so that Polish farmers start protesting again because they are losing competitiveness – claims Arak.” https://wyborcza.biz/biznes/7,147743,32137899,jeszcze-niedawno-bylismy-najtansi-w-ue-co-sie-stalo-z-polska.html -- IT IS OBVIOUS TO EVERYONE THAT THE PRIME MINISTER IS THE MAIN CULPRIT OF TRZASKOWSKI'S PRESIDENTIAL DEFEAT - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN PLUS/MINUS RZ: “Tusk-the-tough-guy is a creation primarily for his own inner circle. It is obvious to everyone that the prime minister is the main culprit of the presidential defeat of Civic Coalition candidate Rafał Trzaskowski. He dragged him down with his unfortunate involvement in a personal war with Karol Nawrocki, and with the impression of his government's passivity in satisfying the daily needs of Poles.” -- A TONE OF IMPATIENCE AND DISMISSIVENESS HAS SUDDENLY APPEARED TOWARDS TUSK, EVEN IN LIBERAL OR FOREIGN MEDIA - ZAREMBA CONTINUES IN WEEKEND RZ: “A tone of impatience and dismissiveness has suddenly appeared towards him, even in liberal or foreign media. Journalists have begun quoting Civic Coalition politicians irritated by their leader's detachment from the real world. And they are asking about the era 'after Tusk.' What saves him for now is the lack of real contenders in his bloc. The Civic Coalition is a personnel graveyard full only of ambitious climbers and mechanical executors incapable of taking a single step without the leader's will. It is for this reason that the name Radosław Sikorski has begun circulating.” -- AN EU GLOBALIST, WHO ONCE URGED GERMANY TO INFLUENCE EUROPE MORE EFFECTIVELY - ZAREMBA ON SIKORSKI: “There is even speculation that he could be a potential coalition partner for Confederation, distancing himself from the Platform's left wing. If Sławomir Mentzen and Krzysztof Bosak consider this EU globalist, who once persuaded Germany to influence Europe more effectively, to be their ideological ally on any issue, I will be surprised.” -- DIFFICULTIES WILL ONLY INCREASE, EARLY ELECTIONS MAY BE A SAFER OPTION FOR DONALD TUSK - ZAREMBA FURTHER: “From this perspective, perhaps early elections, say next spring, would be a safer solution for Tusk. It would be difficult to justify, as such a decision is always perceived by voters as a defeat. Moreover, in most polls today, Civic Coalition is doomed to give up power. Further clashes with a right-wing president could further weaken the current coalition. The tendency for MPs to solidify the current state of affairs will therefore strengthen. Will Tusk want to break this stubbornness, because it will be even worse later?” https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art42786791-tusk-zmierza-ku-porazce-jaki-bylby-koszt-koalicji-jego-obozu-z-konfederacja -- RADICALIZATION INSTEAD OF STRATEGY, OR NEW MINISTERS INSTEAD OF NEW IDEAS - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “Instead of a new vision – even more promises of settlements, which paradoxically may bring PiS back to power. The prime minister finding a new emotional driver could prevent this. (...) it is not difficult to see that the prescription for emerging from this crisis is not some new political idea, but even more of what we have seen over the last year and a half.” -- NORMAL PEOPLE CAN'T, AND DON'T WANT TO, DRINK BOILING WATER - SZUŁDRZYŃSKI QUOTES BONOWICZ FROM TP ON TUSK'S HEATING OF WATER IN POLITICS: “The only question is whether this is actually something that will convince voters. Donald Tusk's tactic involves constantly heating water in our politics. But – as Wojciech Bonowicz from 'Tygodnik Powszechny' aptly observed (many thanks to editor Estera Flieger for drawing attention to this metaphor) – normal people cannot, and do not want to, drink boiling water.” -- ALL THIS BODES ILL FOR THE CHANCES OF THE DEMOCRATIC COALITION MAINTAINING POWER AFTER 2027 - SZUŁDRZYŃSKI'S CONCLUSION: “All this bodes ill for the chances of the democratic coalition maintaining power after 2027. The paradox is that the slogan of settling scores with PiS may today contribute to the party's return to power. This will not happen unless Donald Tusk finds a way for completely new politics, finds a new emotional driver, stimulates new aspirations. In other words, what he did two years ago. But today there is no indication that he has an idea how to repeat it.” https://www.rp.pl/opinie-polityczno-spoleczne/art42799761-michal-szuldrzynski-radykalizacja-zamiast-strategii-czyli-nowi-ministrowie-zamiast-nowych-pomyslow -- TOUCHING SCHOOL READING LISTS CAN HAVE AS CATASTROPHIC CONSEQUENCES AS ABOLISHING MANDATORY HOMEWORK - PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “If the ruling party does not quickly reconcile with common sense, so eagerly appropriated by populists, they will be raising a generation not resistant to life's stresses, incapable of critical thinking, devoid of the art of responsibility, without horizons and broad cultural contexts. And also exposed to the chaos of the internet world and devoid of rebellion. But at least the MEN experts will be satisfied.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-wielu-lektur-nie-lubilem-ale-przynajmniej-poznalem-tradycje,nId,22170515 -- BARBARA NOWACKA ORDERED AN EVALUATION OF THE ABOLITION OF HOMEWORK - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/08/04/ -- ANOTHER CIVIC COALITION PROMISE TO THE BIN? - PATRYK SŁOWIK IN WP: “It's worth asking three questions. The first is: is it about the fact that currently the combination of these functions is in the hands of a politician associated with Civic Coalition, so Civic Coalition benefits from it? And only when someone from PiS combines them will there be an outcry again that it's unlawful? And if the answer is no, the second question: did Robert Kropiwnicki, deputy minister and influential Civic Coalition MP, go too far by saying something inconsistent with Civic Coalition's program? Ah, and the fourth, additional question: when will the president receive the law separating the roles of minister and prosecutor general?” https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/kropiwnicki-sie-wygadal-kolejna-obietnica-ko-do-kosza-opinia-7185343363230304a -- PIOTR SEMKA SEES SIMILARITIES IN THE SITUATION BETWEEN PIS AND KONFEDERACJA TO THE GROWING TENSION BETWEEN THE THEN PO AND PIS IN 2005 - AS WRITTEN IN DO RZECZY: “In this situation, the president can play the role of someone who will remind the two most important right-wing parties of the scale of the challenges and historical opportunities that stand before both partners in the event of a strong and substantive coalition. The situation from 2005 is repeating itself, when politicians from PiS and PO were certain that they would govern together after the fall of the post-communist left, but it was precisely this certainty that led both parties to a painful exchange of blows to strengthen their individual positions. This undercutting ultimately triggered a holy war between Donald Tusk and the Kaczyński brothers, which continues to this day.” -- SEMKA BELIEVES THAT PRESIDENT NAWROCKI CAN PLAY A MEDIATORY ROLE ON THE RIGHT: “The president can use his position to encourage politicians from both parties to engage in programmatic and substantive discussions. Something like a Right-Wing Dialogue Center could be established in the Presidential Chancellery, with Karol Nawrocki as the patron of thought on how to change Polish politics after the rule of the December 13th coalition. And again, this will be a huge test for Karol Nawrocki's diplomatic skills and his ability to skillfully mediate disputes that give the Platform a chance to survive politically even after 2027. The old motto 'unity builds, discord destroys' can be the presidential motto.” https://dorzeczy.pl/opinie/761157/semka-piec-herkulesowych-prac-prezydenta-nawrockiego.html -- THE WOULD-BE MINISTER OF CULTURE ALEKSANDRA LEO ON IZABELA BODNAR'S PATH TO PO - AS SHE SAID ON TVP IN LIQUIDATION: “I accepted this offer, but then I had to face the brutal side of politics. I encountered behaviors that I would prefer not to encounter in politics within my own party.” https://x.com/tvp_info/status/1952256429336690775 -- PATRYK MICHALSKI ON LEO, WHO IS CHANGING HER STORY: https://x.com/patrykmichalski/status/1952271531045749178 -- BIRTHDAYS: Zygmunt Solorz turns 69, Jerzy Wierchowicz, Paweł Majcher, Grzegorz Karpiński.

Łukasz Mężyk