state of play: 08/01/2025
POLITICAL GAME: Wielowieyska: High Time to Tell the Current Government: The Emperor Has No Clothes; Sadura to the Prime Minister: How Sure Are You You Can Do Politics? Ships Burned, Labor Market Enters the Radar
-- 81ST ANNIVERSARY OF THE WARSAW UPRISING.
-- FRIDAY'S POLITICAL AGENDA: OBSERVANCES OF THE 81ST ANNIVERSARY OF THE WARSAW UPRISING, PRESIDENT KACZYŃSKI'S ADDRESS, RAZEM ON SOCIAL PROGRAM CUTS
https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/08/01/polityczny-plan-piatku-obchody-81-rocznicy-powstania-warszawskiego-wystapienie-prezesa-kaczynskiego-razem-o-ograniczaniu-programow-socjalnych/
-- WHAT RUSSIA IS DOING TO UKRAINE IS REPUGNANT - SAID US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP ON THURSDAY, CONFIRMING HE WOULD IMPOSE SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA
https://wyborcza.pl/relacje/14,126862,32144693.html
-- BODNAR ATTACKS SIENKIEWICZ AND ARŁUKOWICZ: Unlike these gentlemen, I have not wasted a single day since December 13, 2023, fighting for values that are close to me.
https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/08/01
-- IT IS HIGH TIME TO TELL THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT: THE EMPEROR HAS NO CLOTHES - DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: “It is high time to tell the current government: the emperor has no clothes. (...) During the election campaign, politicians from the ruling camp called people at TVP, demanding various things, including the broadcast of an interview with Jacek Murański, a mythomaniac whose credibility is very low, but he had the advantage of sharply attacking Karol Nawrocki. After something like that, decision-makers at Woronicza and Plac Powstańców should resign immediately.”
-- BARTŁOMIEJ SIENKIEWICZ ATTACKS ADAM BODNAR, EVEN THOUGH IT WAS HIS OPERATION THAT GAVE WINGS TO TV REPUBLIKA - WIELOWIEYSKA CONTINUES: “In both cases, television and radio would gain stable financing. There would be no circus with shutting down the signal, a forceful entry into Woronicza, which carried very bad associations – with the brutal actions of Jacek Kurski's people and with martial law. It was thanks to Sienkiewicz's operation that Tomasz Sakiewicz's TV Republika was built up overnight. Presumably, some viewers would have drifted to some right-wing channels anyway, but on a smaller scale.”
-- IT IS TIME, CIVIC COALITION AND MINISTER SIENKIEWICZ, TO TELL PEOPLE PLAINLY: YOUR CAMPAIGN PROMISES WERE EXAGGERATED - WIELOWIEYSKA AGAIN: “It is time, Civic Coalition and Minister Sienkiewicz, to tell people plainly: your campaign promises were exaggerated. The rule of law is not restored through lawlessness. And the main accusation against Bodnar is that he adhered too strictly to the law.”
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,32138691,wielowieyska-otoczeniu-tuska-odpowiada-ta-powazna-slabosc-panstwa.html
-- TVP INFO IN LIQUIDATION ON X NOT IN LIQUIDATION: 10 years of Andrzej Duda's presidency. 10 years of dependence on Law and Justice chairman, denial of European rulings, and staffing the judiciary with people who should never have been there. Acts of grace and acts unfriendly towards the EU.
https://x.com/tvp_info/status/1950953399307887076
-- INDEED, “YOU CAN'T DO COMMUNICATION.” BUT HOW SURE ARE YOU THAT YOU CAN DO POLITICS? MR. PRIME MINISTER, PLEASE CONSIDER THIS THOUGHT: YOU LOST “FOR QUITE OBVIOUS REASONS” - PRZEMYSŁAW SADURA IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Alright. Indeed, 'you can't do communication.' But how sure are you that you can do politics? Mr. Prime Minister, please consider this thought: you lost 'for quite obvious reasons.' You communicated nothing because there was nothing to communicate for a year and a half. You have two years now. To start, try to begin acting.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2309347,1,z-dosc-oczywistych-powodow.read
-- PERSONAL ASSISTANCE – A COMMUNICATION FAILURE AND A TEST FOR THE COALITION - DOMINIKA SITNICKA, MAGDALENA CHRZCZONOWICZ, AND PATRYCJA TARKIEWICZ IN THE OKO.PRESS PODCAST:
https://oko.press/asystencja-osobista-komunikacyjna-porazka-i-test-dla-koalicji-czy-tusk-to-rozumie
-- PERSONAL ASSISTANCE. THREE BAD NEWS FROM THE PRIME MINISTER'S INTERVIEW ON TVN. DOES TUSK UNDERSTAND THIS? - AGNIESZKA JĘDRZEJCZYK IN OKO.PRESS: “The Prime Minister announced on TVN that personal assistance would be available from 2027. Problem solved? Not necessarily. From what Donald Tusk said, three very bad news result. For people with disabilities, for the October 15 coalition, and its voters.”
-- THE PRIME MINISTER'S STATEMENT IS FRIGHTENINGLY VAGUE – ALTHOUGH IT CONCERNS THE LIVES OF SPECIFIC PEOPLE - JĘDRZEJCZYK CONTINUES IN OKO.PRESS: “For those with disabilities and those who support/care for them. The creators of the law estimated that it would support 100,000 people with disabilities and their family members. The Prime Minister's statement is also striking because it concerns a promise from the '100 Concrete Actions' list, which the Civic Coalition committed to 'within the first 100 days of government.'”
https://oko.press/asystencja-osobista-trzy-zle-wiadomosci-z-wywiadu-premiera-dla-tvn
-- THE GOVERNMENT DID NOT WANT TO UNDERTAKE FISCAL CONSOLIDATION BEFORE THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS, SO IT WILL HAVE TO DO IT BEFORE THE PARLIAMENTARY ONES. OR PERHAPS POSTPONE IT AGAIN? - WITOLD GADOMSKI IN GW: “The government is therefore faced with a dramatic choice – either it will begin reducing expenditures next year, for example by introducing an income criterion for the 800 plus program, or it will postpone consolidation until 2028, i.e., after the elections. If PiS wins the elections and forms a government with Konfederacja, the duty to repair state finances will fall upon them.”
-- THE SITUATION OF PUBLIC FINANCES IS DIFFICULT, AND IT COULD BE DRAMATIC IF NEW CIRCUMSTANCES UNFAVORABLE TO THE ECONOMY AND THE BUDGET EMERGE - GADOMSKI CONTINUES IN GW: “The necessity to maintain high defense expenditures, rising debt servicing costs, and the consequences of social spending initiated in 2016 make the situation of public finances difficult, and it could be dramatic if new circumstances unfavorable to the economy and the budget emerge, for example, a strong slowdown caused by US trade policy.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32142781,okiem-liberala-kryzys-finansow-panstwa-na-horyzoncie-to-mozna.html
-- POLSKA 2050 AND PSL VOTE WITH PIS AGAINST THE GOVERNMENT - PIOTR MIĄCZYŃSKI IN GW: “Arena of confrontation: Deregulation Committee. An exotic coalition has emerged, which has decided to give a jab to the Ministry of Finance. The ministry asked for it itself, and Ryszard Petru scored points.”
https://wyborcza.biz/biznes/7,147880,32143803,zgrzyt-w-sejmie-polska-2050-psl-glosuje-razem-z-pis-przeciwko.html
-- TUSK STIRRED WITH A SPOON, AND THE TEA IS STILL BITTER - JAN RADOMSKI IN GW: “All studies show that Polish women and men want the government to take greater responsibility for citizen care. Meanwhile, Donald Tusk is busy with personnel reshuffles. In fact, all social surveys show one thing: the percentage of people who want a strong, effective, and supportive state is growing. On a broader scale, this can be seen, for example, in the World Values Survey, which shows that currently 74% of society believes that the government should take greater responsibility for citizen care. For comparison, in 2014, it was only 58%.”
-- OVER 70% OF POLISH WOMEN AND MEN SUPPORT AN “ACTIVE ROLE OF THE STATE IN THE ECONOMY TO REDUCE INEQUALITY” - RADOMSKI CONTINUES IN GW: “This is a call for the state to be active – similar to other important issues such as lowering drug prices or fighting inflation. This is clearly visible, for example, in the European Social Survey, which for several years has clearly shown that societies in this part of Europe increasingly demand state intervention in the economy. According to the latest survey, over 70% of Polish women and men support an 'active role of the state in the economy to reduce inequality.'”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32142927,okiem-lewicy-tusk-pomieszal-lyzeczka-a-herbata-wciaz-gorzka.html
-- SHIPS BURNED, BUT THE LABOR MARKET ENTERS THE RADAR.
-- THE LATEST EUROSTAT STATISTICS SHOW THAT OUR LABOR MARKET IS COOLING DOWN. THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE HAS INCREASED AND THE NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED HAS GROWN - BUSINESS INSIDER: “Malta still has the lowest unemployment rate in the EU, with a decrease to 2.5% from 2.6% a month ago and 3% a year ago. Second place is held by the Czechs – 3%, although this rate has slightly increased in our southern neighbors compared to the May reading (2.9%) and quite significantly compared to June last year (2.6%). Poland ranks third with a result of 3.5%. This is more than the 3.3% recorded in May and 2.9% in June 2024.”
https://businessinsider.com.pl/gospodarka/bezrobocie-w-polsce-w-gore-rosnie-strata-do-europejskich-liderow/f28f614
-- UNEMPLOYMENT AMONG YOUNG POLES HAS REACHED THE HIGHEST LEVEL AMONG ALL AGE GROUPS - INTERIA: “Eurostat data indicates the highest increase in unemployment among young people, and GUS (Central Statistical Office) reports from the latest Labour Force Survey (BAEL) confirm that unemployment among Poles aged 15-24 has reached the highest level among all age groups. BAEL data from Q1 2025 is clear – unemployment among young people (15-24 years old) has reached the highest level of all age groups – 13.4%.”
https://biznes.interia.pl/praca/news-to-powod-wzrostu-bezrobocia-wsrod-mlodych-zawinila-zwlaszcza,nId,8004724
-- INFLATION HAS DISAPPOINTED. DOUBTS ARE EMERGING ABOUT INTEREST RATE CUTS IN SEPTEMBER - BUSINESS INSIDER:
https://businessinsider.com.pl/gospodarka/inflacja-rozczarowala-watpliwosci-dotyczace-obnizki-stop-procentowych-we-wrzesniu/mvt9ner
-- SOMETHING BAD IS HAPPENING IN THE POLISH LABOR MARKET. “50% FEWER OFFERS.” WILL UNEMPLOYMENT RISE? - ERYK KIELAK IN GAZETA.PL: “There are fewer and fewer job offers, and employers do not plan to increase employment. Perhaps we are on the verge of a serious challenge for the labor market. Unemployment may soon increase. The Labor Market Index (WRP), which forecasts future changes in unemployment, rose by over 2 points in July. The upward trend, which indicates that unemployment will go up, has been ongoing for some time. Since December 2024, the index has increased by 4 points, and its decline was recorded only once during this period – in February. The Bureau of Economic Research (BIEC) indicates that the changes in job offers had the strongest impact on the increase in the index's value. Their number is drastically decreasing. In June, the number of new offers registered in District Labor Offices decreased by almost 50% month-on-month. It was also only 33% of the offers received in June of last year.”
https://next.gazeta.pl/next/7,151003,32138746,cos-zlego-dzieje-sie-na-rynku-pracy-w-polsce-o-50-proc-mniej.html
-- GOVERNMENT PROBLEMS JUST AFTER THE HOLIDAYS? FIVE EXPLOSIVE TOPICS THAT MAY SOON ERUPT - GRZEGORZ KOWALCZYK IN BUSINESS INSIDER: “Announcements of such small wage increases have caused a reaction – OPZZ has already announced a National March of Discontent for September 27. Immediately after the holidays, the Polish Teachers' Union has also announced protest actions. It demands at least a 10% increase and does not rule out harsher forms of protest. (...) Farmers will demand specifics regarding the blocking of the EU agreement with Mercosur countries.”
https://businessinsider.com.pl/wiadomosci/rzad-bedzie-musial-szybko-dzialac-piec-tematow-ktore-moga-wybuchnac-po-wakacjach/esstpex
-- DOES THIS MEAN, HOWEVER, THAT PIS AND KONFEDERACJA ARE BURYING A POTENTIAL COALITION? NO. BOTH PARTIES ARE MERELY FIGHTING TO SIT DOWN AT TALKS ABOUT A FUTURE COALITION WITH THE STRONGEST POSSIBLE CARDS. EVERYONE HERE IS PLAYING A ROLE THEY MUST PLAY - ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ ON THE PIS-KONFEDERACJA FIGHT - WRITES IN RZ:
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art42785701-artur-bartkiewicz-starcie-pis-i-konfederacji-to-polityczny-teatr-kazdy-gra-swoja-role
-- 8th anniversary of the death of Cardinal Franciszek Macharski.
-- BIRTHDAYS: Irena Wóycicka.
live
98 min
18 min
Nawrocki Meets with Fico
40 min
„The Conclusions Will Be Used in the President’s Chancellery’s Work.” — Szefernaker on Today’s Expert Meeting
2 hours
„There Was a Betrayal.” — Sasin on ETS2
5 hours
„He Wasn't in the Document Workflow.” — Śliwka on Telus and the Results of Parliamentary Oversight
5 hours
"Putin-esque Mannerisms": Błaszczak on Tusk's Behavior
6 hours
President Proposed Poland Serve as a Hub for US Gas Supplies to Slovakia
7 hours
„We Will Reclaim the Plot of Land, It Will Be Possible to Buy It Back.” — Krajewski Announces Agreement
7 hours
„His Company Sponsored Campus Polska.” — Horała Responds to Accusations
8 hours
27 Votes on Ziobro: Hołownia Announces
state of play
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yesterday
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