state of play: 07/09/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Dąbrowska: You Can Sit at the Same Table with PiS, Szubartowicz: How Did the Government So Easily Squander All Its Potential?

Łukasz Mężyk

-- WHAT IF THE US PRESIDENT IS RIGHT? - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “Sooner or later, America will reduce its involvement in Europe if it wants to maintain its hegemonic role in Asia as well. And it's better if we are prepared for it. So, perhaps the biggest threat to Europe is not American brutality and Trump's whims, but its own slumber? Maybe Trump is right?” https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art42671121-michal-szuldrzynski-donald-trump-ukraina-i-nato-a-co-jesli-prezydent-usa-ma-racje -- WE MUST CONSIDER SHUTTING DOWN X - SAID DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER KRZYSZTOF GAWKOWSKI ON RMF: “Will we shut down X in Poland?” the interviewer asked. “If platforms do not adhere to guidelines, countermeasures against hate speech, if AI fuels hatred, then we must consider shutting down X.” https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/zamkniecie-serwisu-x-w-polsce-wicepremier-reaguje-po-wulgarnych-wpisach-algorytmu-grok-7176368879774688a.html -- THE HEALTH COMMITTEE NEGATIVELY OPINED ON THE NFZ FINANCIAL PLAN FOR 2026 - JANUSZ CIESZYŃSKI: “The coalition's collapse is now complete, and the smiles of some coalition partners after the vote results are very wide.” https://x.com/jciesz/status/1942845381676585288 -- ŚLIZ: I AM WINDING DOWN THE CRISIS STAFF IN POLSKA 2050. I SEE NO THREAT OF FURTHER DEPARTURES - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/07/09/ -- I AM NOT EQUATING DONALD TUSK'S GOVERNMENT WITH THE PiS RULE, BUT UNDER THE 15TH OCTOBER COALITION, THE AVALANCHE OF XENOPHOBIA HAS ONLY SLOWED DOWN. IT HAS NOT BEEN STOPPED - MAREK BEYLIN IN GW. -- FOR A YEAR AND A HALF OF THE COALITION'S RULE, WE HAVE RECEIVED ANOTHER PORTION OF EDUCATION IN XENOPHOBIA. WE ALSO LEARNED FROM THE RULING PARTY THAT, IN THEIR OPINION, IT DOES NOT CONFLICT WITH DEMOCRACY - BEYLIN FURTHER IN GW: “So, for a year and a half of the coalition's rule, we have received another portion of education in xenophobia. We also learned from the ruling party that, in their opinion, it does not conflict with democracy. This only cemented societal beliefs on this matter: xenophobia is more useful and patriotic than humanism. So, I am not surprised that so many young people voted for Konfederacja in the presidential elections. I am more surprised that in this general atmosphere, the younger generations supported it so weakly. For now.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32089666,tak-wyhodowalismy-brauna-i-hodujemy-rasistow.html -- PiS IS NO LONGER UNTOUCHABLE, YOU CAN SIT AT THE SAME TABLE WITH PiS - ZUZANNA DĄBROWSKA: “Jarosław Kaczyński has managed to lift the anathema of the coalition from himself. And this was the main goal of his late-night meeting with Szymon Hołownia at Adam Bielan's apartment. Not new coalitions, not dark deals, and not pre-arranged voting. The aim was to show that you can sit at the same table with PiS.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art42670501-zuzanna-dabrowska-pis-juz-nie-jest-nieprzysiadalny -- ONLY A SENSATIONAL SCENARIO COULD REVERSE THE BAD LUCK. IF TRZASKOWSKI (OR SIKORSKI) REPLACED TUSK, AND TUSK REPLACED HOŁOWNIA, THE RIGHT-WING TABLE COULD LOSE STABILITY - PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “Hołownia's incident showed Tusk that a government reconstruction alone might not change anything in the government's ratings. The bar has been raised. Only a sensational scenario could reverse the bad luck. If Trzaskowski (or Sikorski) replaced Tusk, and Tusk replaced Hołownia, the right-wing table could lose stability.” -- SOME ARE WONDERING HOW THE GOVERNMENT SO EASILY SQUANDERED ALL ITS POTENTIAL - SZUBARTOWICZ AGAIN: “Some are wondering how the government so easily squandered all its potential. Even on the issue of the Polish-German border, it allowed the opposition to outmaneuver it. The message that came from the government can be summarized as follows: nothing extraordinary is happening at the border, but we are suspending Schengen rules because the opposition is successfully convincing citizens that the situation is difficult.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-premier-trzaskowski-marszalek-tusk,nId,22163056 -- GOVERNMENT DECONSTRUCTION - MAREK MIGALSKI IN RZ: “The idea of a government reconstruction was meant to strengthen it. However, the effect so far is the exact opposite – Donald Tusk's cabinet is more divided today than it was before, and an additional effect is the discussion about whether the Prime Minister himself should not be 'reconstructed'. -- ISN'T TUSK'S DEPARTURE ACCIDENTALLY A CONDITION FOR PREVENTING THE RETURN OF PiS TO POWER IN 2027. INDEED, THIS IS A SURPRISING EFFECT OF THE PRIME MINISTER'S IDEA - MIGALSKI FURTHER IN RZ: “This is perhaps the most unexpected effect of the process of changing the shape of the current cabinet. Just two months ago, no one questioned the Prime Minister's leadership, not only as the head of PO but also as the leader of the entire 15th October coalition. However, the most frequently asked question currently is not whether the ministries of science and education will be reunited (incidentally, this sensible change, i.e., the separation of these ministries, will probably be abolished), but whether Tusk should remain in his position and whether his departure is not by chance a condition for preventing the return of PiS to power in 2027. Indeed, this is a surprising effect of the Prime Minister's idea from just six weeks ago.” https://www.rp.pl/publicystyka/art42670761-marek-migalski-dekonstrukcja-rzadu -- TWO NEW MINISTRIES - ENERGY AND ECONOMIC - CREATED FROM THE MERGING OF OTHER MINISTRIES OR TAKING OVER PART OF THEIR COMPETENCIES. LIQUIDATION OF THE MINISTRY OF STATE ASSETS AND THE PRIME MINISTER'S OFFICE TAKING OVER SUPERVISION OVER KEY COMPANIES - THIS, ACCORDING TO MONEY.PL FINDINGS, IS HOW DONALD TUSK'S GOVERNMENT RECONSTRUCTION, PLANNED FOR JULY, MAY LOOK - GRZEGORZ OSIECKI AND TOMASZ ŻÓŁCIAK. -- THE REVOLUTION THAT WON'T HAPPEN - ŻÓŁCIAK AND OSIECKI FURTHER ON THE RECONSTRUCTION: “In the corridors, it is said that coalition partners are resisting Donald Tusk's efforts to significantly curtail their holdings in the reconstruction. - For this reason, the entire operation may turn out to be less revolutionary than everyone thought - a coalition insider cautions. Lewica is said to be the most resolute on this matter. There are many indications that they will not agree to the liquidation of the Ministry of Digitization and its merger, for example, with the Ministry of Science, which was a suggested variant until recently. At most, there will be agreement on the liquidation of the position of Minister for Equality - then Katarzyna Kotula could perform her function as Secretary of State in the Prime Minister's Office.” https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/likwidacja-map-dwa-nowe-resorty-mniej-niz-100-ministrow-nadchodzi-rekonstrukcja-news-money-pl-7176168604760960a.html -- BIRTHDAYS: Włodzimierz Puzyna, Mieczysław Łuczak.

Łukasz Mężyk