state of play: 03/14/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Trump Praises Poland Again, New US Ambassador: Poland is the Lion of Europe, Politico: No Way, Huawei, Skrzydłowska: Trzaskowski's Metamorphosis into a Confederate Halted

Łukasz Mężyk

— NO WAY, HUAWEI – POLITICO EUROPE ON THE CONSEQUENCES OF THE HUAWEI CORRUPTION SCANDAL IN THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT: https://www.politico.eu/article/huawei-bribery-scandal-anti-corruption-eu-qatargate-ethics/

— DONALD TRUMP ONCE AGAIN PRAISES POLAND – GAZETA.PL POINTS OUT: “Enthusiasm for Poland: Donald Trump took part in a press conference with the NATO Secretary General. – When I went to the first meeting at NATO, I noticed that very few countries were paying. Only seven countries were paying as much as they should have. (…) And even those that were paying only paid 2 percent. That's too little – stated the US President and referred to Poland, which “paid a bit more.” – It was really impressive, I was impressed. They were amazing – he emphasized. – I thought I would let them off at the first meeting, but at the next one, I managed to collect hundreds of billions of dollars. I said I wouldn't do anything with them if they didn't pay, and the money started flowing in. NATO has become much stronger precisely thanks to my actions – Donald Trump stated.”
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114881,31767868,trump-na-spotkaniu-z-szefem-nato-mysle-ze-wydarza-sie-dobre.html

— POLAND IS THE LION OF EUROPE – THE NEXT US AMBASSADOR TO POLAND, TOM ROSE, ON X: No nation has suffered more, fought harder, overcome more adversity, and achieved more success than Poland — and now is the Lion of Europe!!!
https://x.com/TomRoseIndy/status/1900355503340872006

— MAGA IS LOOKING AT WARSAW. “WAS ROMANIA A TEST SCENARIO FOR POLAND?” – MATEUSZ MAZZINI ON TYGODNIK POLITYKA PORTAL: “More and more warnings about irregularities in Polish presidential elections are coming from MAGA circles. Given the recent actions of the USA, this could signal a significant uproar. (…) As we have already written in our pages, there is a conviction in government circles that “Sauron's eye is on Warsaw.” Musk's or MAGA influencers' involvement is purely rhetorical for now and may remain so, but it is possible that PiS will benefit from the Americans' attention. (…) Our defense architecture also relies on American equipment. Given Trump's unpredictability, there is no point in provoking him, especially since the response could be disproportionate.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/swiat/2292779,1,maga-przyglada-sie-warszawie-czy-rumunia-byla-dla-polski-testowym-scenariuszem.read

— RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI – THE END OF THE METAMORPHOSIS INTO A CONFEDERATE? – KATARZYNA SKRZYDŁOWSKA-KALUKIN IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “Rafał Trzaskowski's metamorphosis into a confederate has been halted. Why now, when another poll has given Sławomir Mentzen a chance to reach the second round of the presidential election? A strong Mentzen carries the same threat that PiS carried before the last parliamentary elections – a promise of conservative and religious fundamentalism.”

— HE DECIDED TO PARTIALLY RETURN TO WHAT WAS ONCE HIS GREATEST ASSET – NOT BEING A RIGHT-WING NATIONAL CONSERVATIVE – SKRZYDŁOWSKA-KALUKIN CONTINUES IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “Trzaskowski, also seemingly competing primarily with Mentzen, was not convincing in this stance. He has apparently decided to partially return to what was once his greatest asset – not being a right-wing national conservative. To this end, he has turned to the group that has brought success to the current ruling coalition among young voters, namely women.”

— IN SEARCH OF THE SECOND JAGODNO – STILL SKRZYDŁOWSKA-KALUKIN IN KL: “In this campaign, issues concerning gender equality or women's safety related, for example, to the right to abortion seemed rather symptomatic for Trzaskowski. When he spoke about women, it was in the context of the 800 plus benefit, which is to be received by unemployed Ukrainian women. Now, the Civic Coalition candidate has returned to his DNA on this matter.”
https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2025/03/13/skrzydlowska-kalukin-rafal-trzaskowski-koniec-metamorfozy-w-konfederate/

— “WE EXPECT THAT AT THE END OF THIS YEAR IT WILL BE CLOSER TO 4%, NOT 5%, AS THE NBP THINKS.” DOMAŃSKI ON INFLATION – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/03/14/

— ANTI-SYSTEM CANDIDATES WANT TO “UPSET THE APPLE CART,” AND IN THE END, IT TURNS OUT THEY ARE DOING POLITICS – LIKE EVERYONE ELSE, ALTHOUGH THEY PRETEND TO THEIR VOTERS THAT THIS IS NOT THE CASE – ESTERA FLIEGER IN RZ: “Analyzing the candidate's cautious words that he might not manage to collect the required number of signatures – even though he will hit the ground running in the spring – one can conclude that the founder of Kanał Zero has taken his candidacy quite seriously. “We don't have a structure,” complains Krzysztof Stanowski. Paweł Kukiz followed this path earlier, and Sławomir Mentzen is following it now: anti-system candidates want to “upset the apple cart,” and in the end, it turns out they are doing politics – like everyone else, although they pretend to their voters that this is not the case. And where's the sense in that?”
https://www.rp.pl/publicystyka/art41922051-estera-flieger-co-laczy-krzysztofa-stanowskiego-z-elonem-muskiem-a-mogl-namieszac-w-wyborach

— POLL EXACTLY ONE YEAR AGO – UNITED SURVEYS FOR WP:
PiS – 29 percent,
Civic Coalition – 28 percent,
Third Way – 13.5 percent,
Confederation – 8.6 percent,
The Left – 7.5 percent.

— US POLL FROM THIS WEEK:
Civic Coalition 31.1
PiS 28.6
Confederation 17.2
Third Way 5.8
The Left 4.9
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/sondaz-partyjny-umacnia-sie-trzecia-sila-w-polskiej-polityce-7134638599563872a

— 35 YEARS AGO – 1990: The Central Statistical Office announced that inflation over twelve months was 1360%.

— BIRTHDAYS: Józefa Szczurek-Żelazko, Aleksandra Chalimoniuk.


Łukasz Mężyk