„Perhaps Submitting the Relevant Oath of Office to the Presidential Chancellery is Enough.” — Bodnar on Chmaj's Theory
state of play: 12/09/2024
STATE OF PLAY: Bartkiewicz on RZ: Tusk's Long-Term Goal: Poland 2050 Integrated into Civic Coalition, Wieliński: Strict Regulation of Social Media Platforms is a Necessity, Balcerowicz Praises Mentzen
-- "IDEOLOGICAL VIEWS, THE AMOUNT OF STATE OWNERSHIP IN THE ECONOMY". BALCEROWICZ ON MENTZEN'S CONVICTIONS THAT ARE CLOSE TO HIM - 300LIVE:
https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/12/09/
-- "RED" HOLIDAYS ARE COMING - BUSINESS INSIDER'S SHOPPING BASKET AND PANPARAGON APP - MATEUSZ MADEJSKI IN BUSINESS INSIDER: "The 'culprit' for this week's price increases is butter, which should come as no surprise. Consumers and sellers from all over Poland have recently been talking about this product getting more expensive. Week-on-week, we have a 6.2% increase – meaning 50 groszy."
https://businessinsider.com.pl/poradnik-finansowy/nadchodza-czerwone-swieta-oto-najnowsze-ceny-w-sklepach/js1l7sv
-- 9 HARMFUL LAWS FOR ENTREPRENEURS THIS YEAR - ACCORDING TO A REPORT BY GRANT THORNTON, WHICH RZ WAS THE FIRST TO ACCESS: "In its latest report on economic legislation, Grant Thornton analyzed 30 economic laws passed since the current government took office in December last year. Of all the laws examined, only 6 were assessed as introducing valuable changes beneficial to entrepreneurs, 15 laws made few changes, and 9 were assessed as harmful."
https://pro.rp.pl/prawo-w-firmie/art41551181-legislacja-gospodarcza-w-stylu-slabej-druzyny-futbolowej
-- DONALD TUSK'S LONG-TERM GOAL: POLAND 2050 INTEGRATED INTO THE CIVIC COALITION - ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: "Undoubtedly, reducing the number of coalition partners by one – and absorbing Poland 2050 into the Civic Coalition – would make it easier for Tusk to govern, especially if the Prime Minister is thinking (and he likely is) in terms of two terms. Let's recall the election campaign before the European Parliament elections and Tusk's polarizing tactics. Its effect was not only PO finishing first for the first time in a long time, but it also resulted in a significant weakening of the Third Way, which simply had no place on the highly polarized battlefield."
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41552301-artur-bartkiewicz-ida-wybory-wiec-donald-tusk-i-szymon-holownia-sa-skazani-na-szorstka-przyjazn
-- "INVERTED L" IS THE CAMPAIGN ROUTE FROM OPOLE TO RZESZÓW AND NORTH ALONG THE EASTERN BORDER TO SUWAŁKI. THAT IS, WHERE THE CIVIC COALITION HAS THE LOWEST SUPPORT - DOMINIKA DŁUGOSZ IN NEWSWEEK ON TRZASKOWSKI'S CAMPAIGN STRATEGY: "– We know where it will be hardest, and where the campaign will go relatively smoothly – one of Trzaskowski's people tells us and starts drawing a map of Poland on a napkin. – I would like to do an 'inverted L' in the first phase of the campaign, and perhaps repeat it later. The 'inverted L' is the campaign route from Opole to Rzeszów and north along the eastern border to Suwałki. That is, where the Civic Coalition has the lowest support. Four years ago, on Podkarpacie, the mayor of the capital had the worst result in Poland in the first round – 16.23%. In the Lublin region, just over 19%, in Podlasie, a little over 20%."
-- RAFAŁ'S CAMPAIGN THEN LASTED FIVE WEEKS, THIS ONE WILL BE SIX MONTHS. WE HAVE A PLAN. WE NEED TO TALK TO PEOPLE AS OFTEN AS POSSIBLE WHO EITHER DON'T KNOW HIM OR DON'T HAVE AN OPINION ABOUT HIM - DŁUGOSZ QUOTES CIVIC COALITION STAFFERS: "– Rafał's campaign then lasted five weeks, this one will be six months. We have a plan. We need to talk to people as often as possible who either don't know him or don't have an opinion about him. Why organize big conventions in big cities all the time? Their residents are our natural electorate. We need to be outside them as much as possible – explain politicians responsible for Trzaskowski's campaign."
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/newsweek/droga-krzyzowa-trzaskowskiego-tych-pytan-boi-sie-sztab-ko-kulisy/0phhpv6,452ad802
-- NOT ALL OF TRZASKOWSKI FORWARD! A BIG SHOW IN GLIWICE, WITH A RISKY IMAGE CORRECTION, FORMATTED ACCORDING TO THE RIGHT-WING SPIRIT OF THE TIMES RISKS DEMOBILIZING HIS ENTHUSIASTS - PIOTR PACEWICZ IN OKO.PRESS: "No liberal-left pipe dreams, rights of migrants at the border, not a word about Ukrainians in Poland, about LGBT, about the Church, about the EU in the Trump style... Trzaskowski, formatted according to the right-wing spirit of the times, risks demobilizing his enthusiasts."
-- OTHERWISE, HE MAY NOT MOBILIZE VOTERS, ESPECIALLY LIBERAL-LEFT FEMALE VOTERS - PACEWICZ CONTINUES IN OKO.PRESS: "Perhaps in subsequent installments, Trzaskowski will lean more to the left? Otherwise, he may not mobilize voters, especially liberal-left female voters, and mobilization will be decisive in these elections."
https://oko.press/trzaskowski-show-ryzykowna-korekta-wizerunku
-- TRZASKOWSKI HAS SHOWN THAT OVER THE LAST FIVE YEARS HE HAS LEARNED THE LESSON OF POLISH SOCIAL SENSITIVITY AND THE CHANGES THAT HAVE OCCURRED - PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: "But when he declared his main political challenge to be – in addition to the economy and security – leveling the chances between provincial Poland and central Poland, he showed that over the last five years he has learned the lesson of Polish social sensitivity and the changes that have occurred. If he manages to convince the sovereign of this perspective, building support in smaller towns, the right-wing electorate will not be looking solely towards Karol Nawrocki in the second round."
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-dwie-drogi,nId,7871763
-- TRZASKOWSKI IS ALREADY THINKING ABOUT THE SECOND ROUND OF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION FROM DAY ONE. AND RIGHTLY SO - WITOLD GŁOWACKI IN OKO.PRESS: "Trzaskowski from Warsaw or Campus Polska might be the most beloved politician of liberal-left voters from big cities. But Trzaskowski from Gliwice might be a politician capable of winning the second round of elections against a right-wing candidate."
-- HE HAS FOUND A LANGUAGE TO DESCRIBE EQUALITY ISSUES THAT ALLOWS THEM TO BE TRANSFERRED FROM THE AGENDA OF THE LIBERAL-LEFT URBAN INTELLIGENTSIA TO A MUCH BROADER COMMUNITY LEVEL - GŁOWACKI CONTINUES IN OKO.PRESS: "He has indeed found a language to describe equality issues that allows them to be transferred from the agenda of the liberal-left urban intelligentsia to a much broader community level. Speaking about the equality of women and men, he also spoke about the equality of city and village dwellers and representatives of all social classes. He also spoke about equality of opportunity – in access to education, work, and culture."
-- THEY WERE PREPARING TO FIGHT TRZASKOWSKI FROM WARSAW OR CAMPUS POLSKA PRZYSZŁOŚCI RATHER THAN TRZASKOWSKI FROM GLIWICE - GŁOWACKI'S CONCLUSION IN OKO: "If he manages to maintain this tone and remain credible, it could eventually become a problem for the campaign staff of Karol Nawrocki and Sławomir Mentzen, who were preparing to fight Trzaskowski from Warsaw or Campus Polska Przyszłości rather than Trzaskowski from Gliwice."
https://oko.press/trzaskowski-mysli-o-drugiej-turze-wyborow
-- THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION MAY TURN OUT TO BE A SWAN SONG FOR BOTH FACTIONS OF RAZEM, WHICH SPLIT A FEW WEEKS AGO - ŁUKASZ ŁACHECKI IN KRYTYKA POLITYCZNA: "As a result, the presidential election may turn out to be a swan song for both factions of Razem, which split a few weeks ago, mutually destroying each other in a fight over trifles, and facing the potential victory of Trzaskowski, they are almost doomed to complete marginalization in the near future. Fortunately, the next party leadership elections are not until 2026, and no strong leftist politician can force party leaders to resign from their posts, as Kwaśniewski did in 1997. Adrian Zandberg can therefore sleep soundly."
-- NOW, ACCORDING TO THE OPTIMISTIC SCENARIO, ZANDBERG AND BIEJAT'S RESULTS COULD LAND AROUND 3-4% - LACHECKI CONTINUES IN KRYTYKA: "If Nowa Lewica gathered 8% of the votes in the parliamentary elections, then according to the optimistic scenario, Zandberg and Biejat's results could land around 3-4%. Of course, not taking into account the highly probable option that the choice between these two will be too difficult for the ideological activists, who will already transfer their vote to, let's say, a non-right-wing Trzaskowski in the first round. And one can only hope that no further leftist candidacy will join this pool."
https://krytykapolityczna.pl/kraj/zandberg-biejat-i-inne-kiepskie-wiadomosci-dla-lewicy/
-- THE LEFT VERY MUCH NEEDS A RESULT THAT BREAKS THE BAD SPELL, GIVING HOPE THAT THIS FORMATION IS STARTING TO REGAIN SUPPORT AND CAN COUNT ON A NEW LIFE - JAKUB MAJMUREK IN NEWSWEEK: "The Left very much needs a result that breaks the bad spell, giving hope that this formation is starting to regain support and can count on a new life. Repeating the scenario from 2015 and 2020 will strengthen the crisis tendencies on the left. However, achieving a good result might be truly difficult. At the same time, the Left must put forward a candidate. It cannot support Trzaskowski in the first round, as the electorate would interpret this as raising the white flag. In politics, unfortunately, sometimes one has to undertake seemingly hopeless fights."
https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/problem-nie-tylko-z-trzaskowskim-lewice-czeka-bratobojcza-walka/wxvcl2m
-- THE NECESSITY OF STRICT REGULATION OF SOCIAL MEDIA PLATFORMS - BARTOSZ T. WIELIŃSKI IN GW: "Are our countries protected against this type of interference? In Germany alone, 50,000 accounts on social media platforms that spread disinformation about aid to Ukraine were detected. As many as a million posts were published from them! Strict regulation of social media platforms is a necessity. Is the European Union capable of counteracting such scenarios? In the summer, when Elon Musk's X service fueled anti-migrant riots in Great Britain, Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton threatened to block the service."
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75399,31527499,wybory-w-rumunii-pokazaly-ze-surowa-regulacja-portali-spolecznosciowych.html
-- GW ON THE SUPPRESSION OF THE INVESTIGATION INTO KURSKI'S SON - PIOTR GŁUCHOWSKI AND EWA IVANOVA: "'Grave violations of the law' – this is the summary of irregularities in the investigation into Zdzisław Kurski, the son of the former TVP president and PiS MEP. 'Gazeta Wyborcza' has obtained the conclusions of an audit of the discontinued proceedings. It concerned suspicion of child rape."
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31526740,wyborcza-ujawnia-tak-ukrecano-leb-sledztwu-w-sprawie-syna.html
-- THE PRESIDENT WAS TALKING WITH ELON MUSK IN PARIS:
https://x.com/prezydentpl/status/1865535776886288813/photo/1
-- EXACTLY THREE YEARS AGO, FRONTSTORY.PL – THE REPORTER'S FOUNDATION PORTAL – WAS LAUNCHED.
-- 34 YEARS AGO, in the second round of the presidential elections, Lech Wałęsa defeated Stanisław Tymiński. He was elected with 74.25% of the vote in the second round, with a turnout of 53.39% of eligible voters.
-- BIRTHDAYS: Stefan Jaworski, Tomasz Sianecki, Anna Zaleska.
live
3 days
3 days
Morawiecki's Association: A Prelude to a New Party? Buda: Absolutely No Such Plans
3 days
„Let’s bypass the government in governing. Let’s go to a notary and sign a deed to lower fuel prices for Poles.” — Buda mocks the ‘Plan B’ for Constitutional Tribunal judges
3 days
Buda: The Government Has Lost its Democratic Legitimacy
3 days
Buda: The President Doesn't Support This Government Because He Knows It's Anti-Polish and Anti-State
4 days
Wiącek: The 'Next of Kin' Status Act Does Not Violate Article 18 of the Constitution
4 days
„These Orders Turned Out to Be Excessively Large in Virtually All Countries.” — Dworczyk on Vaccines
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„I Don't Feel We Are Being Repressed.” — Dworczyk on the Situation of Morawiecki's Associates in the Party
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What if the President Refuses to Swear In 4 Constitutional Tribunal Judges? Wiącek: This Constitutes Inaction by a Public Administration Body
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Wiącek: The President Has No Discretion on Whether Someone Becomes a Constitutional Tribunal Judge
state of play
STATE OF PLAY: Balczun on announcing local content strategy after Easter, Czarzasty for GW: Poland will not be a "unsinkable aircraft carrier" for the USA
state of play
04/03/2026
STATE OF PLAY: Kalukin: Both Confederation parties are undermining PiS more than the LPR used to. Wipler: Confederation's strategic choice to keep all options open until the end.
state of play
04/02/2026
STATE OF PLAY: Jażdżewski: The government should preserve tools for truly difficult times, Zero: The Hungarians tried and failed. We will end up the same.
state of play
04/01/2026
STATE OF PLAY: The Government's Day of Counter-Offensive on Fuel Prices, Newsmax Polska Gains Traction
state of play
03/31/2026
STATE OF PLAY: Future Matters: The Kłodzko pedophilia issue is the coalition's biggest image crisis since October 15th; Kolanko: Nawrocki is already openly pulling the MAGA movement away from Russia
state of play
03/30/2026
STATE OF PLAY: Szubartowicz: Nawrocki is playing a grand game for the presidential system, Szefernaker: Nawrocki was chosen to lead the state and set its direction
state of play
03/28/2026