state of play: 11/23/2024
STATE OF PLAY: 'Fight, Fight, Fight' - Sikorski to Trzaskowski in Trump's Words, Zaremba: Hołownia Has Likely Bored the Audience
-- FIGHT, FIGHT, FIGHT - SIKORSKI TO TRZASKOWSKI LIKE PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP: https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1852873888956567844
-- "WE WILL HAVE TO FIGHT FOR EVERY VOTE." TUSK ANNOUNCES RESULTS OF THE CIVIC COALITION PRIMARIES - 300LIVE:
https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/11/23/
-- SUCH AN EARLY CAMPAIGN START CARRIES THE RISK OF OVERHEATING THE TOPIC AND FATIGUING EVEN THE MOST POPULAR FIGURES. BUT FOR NOW, IT CONTRASTS WITH THE CONFUSION OF THE LAW AND JUSTICE PARTY - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN RZ: “The travels of the Mayor of Warsaw, regardless of the primary results, further strengthen and popularize Tusk’s camp. At the same time, such an early campaign start carries the risk of overheating the topic and tiring even the most popular figures. But for now, it contrasts with the Law and Justice party's confusion regarding their candidate. On top of that, analogies with American democracy might resonate with some voters – after all, it was the primaries that paved the way for Donald Trump's return to the White House.”
-- THE MOST COMPETENT CANDIDATE FOR THE LAW AND JUSTICE PARTY IN REVIEWING THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT, I.E., MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI, IS BEING OVERLOOKED, UNLESS NAWROCKI PROVES TO BE A MIRACLE ON PAR WITH ANDRZEJ DUDA. NOTHING SO FAR INDICATES THIS - ZAREMBA FURTHER IN RZ: “In a few months, Poles will probably forget about this chaos. However, I do not believe in the breakthrough nature of any of these candidacies. The most competent candidate from the Law and Justice party in reviewing the current government, Mateusz Morawiecki, is being overlooked. And it can even be understood that, as a former prime minister, he might not necessarily have been able to build a center-right compromise around himself in the second round, but none of his winning competitors seem to offer such hopes either. Well, unless Nawrocki proves to be a miracle on par with Andrzej Duda. Nothing so far indicates this.”
-- LARGE CITIES ARE USUALLY GOVERNED BY SKILLED INTEREST GROUPS. VOTERS OF LIBERAL AND LEFT-WING PARTIES CAME TO TERMS WITH THIS LONG AGO - writes Zaremba in RZ.
-- HOŁOWNIA HAS LIKELY BORED THE AUDIENCE - CLAIMS ZAREMBA: “Earlier, there were doubts whether this would happen at all, although not long ago Hołownia seemed to be focused on this dream. The reason for this uncertainty was that by excessively using PR tricks in the first months of the Sejm's term, he has likely bored the audience.”
-- I WILL ASK: FOR WHOM, IF NOT FOR KOMOROWSKI, DID THE ENTIRE "PUBLIC TELEVISION MACHINE" ALONG WITH OTHER MEDIA WORK IN 2010 AND 2015? - ZAREMBA STILL IN RZECZPOSPOLITA: “Journalist Agnieszka Kublik agrees with Donald Tusk that the 2019 elections, in which Duda narrowly defeated Trzaskowski, were "stolen." Because "the entire public television machine worked for Duda and against Trzaskowski." So I will ask: for whom, if not for Komorowski, did the entire 'public television machine' along with other media work in 2010 and 2015? In the first, he won; in the second, he lost to everyone's surprise.”
https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art41480921-sikorski-czy-trzaskowski-kto-kandydatem-pis-ustawka-tuska-i-kapelusz-kaczynskiego
-- MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI AS PRIME MINISTER PROVED HE IS THE NUMBER ONE CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT. THE LAW AND JUSTICE PARTY IS GOING MAD WITH CANDIDATES FOR CANDIDATES - ELŻBIETA KRÓLIKOWSKA-AVIS ON WPOLITYCE.PL: “Radek Sikorski chose for himself – is he kidding or for real? – the slogan 'a strong candidate for difficult times.' This is indeed an excellent slogan, but for a true 'strong candidate for difficult times,' Morawiecki. Moreover, for six years, he proved through three government cabinets that he is the right candidate for difficult times. One cannot argue with facts! The second round, yes, indeed, the former prime minister is a more distinct personality than Karol Nawrocki. But firstly, Gazeta Wyborcza and TVN are already picking on Karol Nawrocki, to put it mildly, and it will be much worse. And secondly, the accusations against Morawiecki actually concern not facts, but the Gombrowicz-esque image that left-liberal media have created for him, often because he was effective and performed well. The better he did, the worse it is, such is the logic of an election war!”
https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/713694-morawiecki-udowodnil-ze-jest-kandydatem-number-one
-- INFORMATION ABOUT HUNGARIAN EFFORTS TO ACQUIRE TVN IS CERTAIN. SO CERTAIN THAT IT CAUSED PANIC IN THE GOVERNMENT CAMP. EVEN BEFORE THE AMERICAN ELECTIONS, HIGH-RANKING GOVERNMENT REPRESENTATIVES CONTACTED JOE BIDEN'S TEAM - ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ IN NEWSWEEK: “Information about Hungarian efforts to acquire TVN is certain. So certain that it caused panic in the government camp. Even before the American elections, high-ranking government representatives contacted Joe Biden's team to warn them against such a transaction. It is certain that as long as Biden was in power, the American administration informally advised Warner Bros. Discovery against selling TVN to the 'Russian Hungarians.' However, from January, Trump, Orbán's friend and Putin's fanboy, will be in power. And this opens up a unique opportunity for the Law and Justice party to take over TVN with the support, or at least the approval, of the White House.”
-- ZYGMUNT SOLORZ'S FOURTH WIFE, JUSTYNA KULKA, WHILE CONTROLLING THE INCREASINGLY ILL BILLIONAIRE, IS TRYING TO SEIZE THE ENTIRE EMPIRE - FURTHER BY STANKIEWICZ: “The situation is difficult for the government in the sense that the struggle for TVN is accompanied by a war for control over Polsat. Zygmunt Solorz's fourth wife, Justyna Kulka, while controlling the increasingly ill billionaire, is trying to seize the entire media-telecommunications-energy conglomerate from his children. There is a belief in the government camp that a legal resolution to this conflict is not imminent, if at all possible. And this means that sooner or later Kulka will have to reach an agreement with the children, and as a result, part of Solorz's conglomerate may also go under the hammer.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/newsweek/pis-ma-niepowtarzalna-szanse-na-przejecie-tvn-poploch-w-obozie-wladzy/jn92q2n,452ad802
-- DESPITE THE IMPLICATION OF THE POLL, THE RESULT OF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IS AN OPEN MATTER. MOREOVER, EVEN IN THIS POLL, THE "LAW AND JUSTICE CANDIDATE'S" LOSS IS SMALL - PIOTR PACEWICZ IN OKO.PRESS: “Despite the implication of the poll, the result of the presidential election is an open matter. Moreover, even in this poll, the 'Law and Justice candidate's' loss is small. In the second round, a slight decrease in T.'s voter mobilization (as he will likely be the one) and some right-wing wind at his back will be enough for the opposition candidate to win the election.”
-- I NOTE THAT THIS 45 PERCENT IS CLEARLY MORE THAN IN THE 2023 ELECTIONS, WHEN THE LAW AND JUSTICE PARTY AND CONFEDERATION GARNERED 42.6 PERCENT - PIOTR PACEWICZ FURTHER: “This resembles the current situation in party polls. In the average poll results from the last 30 days, the Law and Justice party together with Confederation have an equal 45% support (converted to election results), which is roughly the same as the two right-wing candidates in the presidential elections. I note that this 45% is clearly more than in the 2023 elections, when the Law and Justice party and Confederation garnered 42.6%.”
-- PERHAPS EVEN RESENTMENT FOR THE IDEALIZED RULE OF THE LAW AND JUSTICE PARTY, TIMES OF STABILITY AND SECURITY, AS WELL AS RELATIVE PROSPERITY, MAY EMERGE - PIOTR PACEWICZ FURTHER WRITES IN OKO: “And this is the first memento. If the Law and Justice party decides, and they certainly will, to convey the message that the presidential elections are a plebiscite on Donald Tusk's government, they might capitalize on that. Especially since in the next few months, the feeling that there are fewer changes than there should be may increase. And even the most effective reckonings of the Law and Justice party's rule will not soothe this. Perhaps even resentment for the idealized rule of the Law and Justice party, times of stability and security, as well as relative prosperity, which secured the Law and Justice party record electoral support in 2019, may emerge.”
-- SKY IS THE LIMIT, NOT TO SAY HELL IS THE LIMIT - PIOTR PACEWICZ'S CONCLUSION IN OKO: “The picture is completed by Trump's disgusting transphobia, or his mockery of female athletes with masculine appearances. Trump's campaign built a front of hatred towards everything that does not belong to the narrow canon of the most conservative values, norms, and customs. The Law and Justice party can capitalize on this, because Kaczyński already did. And here, sky is the limit, not to say hell is the limit.”
https://oko.press/sondaz-na-prawybory-sikorski-gorszy-a-wiec-moze-lepszy-od-trzaskowskiego-a-pis-i-tak-moze-wygrac
-- WITH RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI, IT'S NEVER KNOWN WHO HE WILL BE IN POLITICAL TERMS IN A GIVEN POLITICAL SEASON. THE LATEST STUMBLING BLOCK FOR THE POLITICIAN'S CHAMELEONIC NATURE IS THE SUDDEN ANTI-GERMAN TURN - RAFAŁ MADAJCZAK, EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF GAZETA.PL: “With Rafał Trzaskowski, it's never known who he will be in political terms in a given political season. The latest stumbling block for the politician's chameleonic nature is the sudden anti-German turn, when as a geopolitical hawk, he poked Olaf Scholz for calling Vladimir Putin. Radosław Sikorski can demonstrate greater political 'focus' here. It is known that he has 'always' focused on international and defense matters, while it can be said that Rafał Trzaskowski has 'always' focused on something. And then he gets bored with it.”
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31483122,5-powodow-dlaczego-trzaskowski-nie-powinien-byc-kandydatem.html
-- ONE OF THE POLITICIANS COMMENTS LIKE THIS: "TYPICAL RADZIO." AND THAT'S THE POINT - GRZEGORZ SROCZYŃSKI ON GAZETA.PL: “Is it serious to use 'scare tactics' so that you will vote for him? Don't you think this shows extreme irresponsibility? Here is an important state official who cannot distinguish between his own interest ('I want to be president') and the interest of the state he represents (the Minister of Foreign Affairs should not be spreading panic). One of the Civic Platform politicians comments like this: 'Typical Radzio.' And that's the point.”
-- SUCH CIRCUS MAY LOOK GOOD ON TWITTER, DEAR PLATFORMERS - BETTER KEEP HIM ON A LEASH THAT CAN ALWAYS BE PULLED WHEN HIS EGO GETS OUT OF CONTROL - SROCZYŃSKI FURTHER ON GAZETA.PL: “Such a circus may look good on Twitter, where it causes paroxysms of excitement in the target group, whom both you and the Law and Justice party have to woo and pamper, I understand that, these are the times, but, for God's sake, this is not serious and sensible politics! Sikorski – dear Civic Platform members – better keep him on a leash that can always be pulled when his ego gets out of control; thanks to this, he is an excellent minister, and let him remain so.
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31478146,platformo-nie-glosuj-na-radka-piec-tez-przeciwko-sikorskiemu.html
-- I WAS TOLD THAT I MIGHT HAVE PROBLEMS WITH THE PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE OR I SHOULD RESIGN FROM THE POSITION MYSELF – SAYS THE DISMISSED DIRECTOR OF PISF, KAROLINA ROZWÓD, IN A CONVERSATION WITH PIOTR PACEWICZ IN OKO.PRESS: “I was told that I might have problems with the prosecutor's office or I should resign from the position myself. There was definitely no information that they would file a report to the prosecutor's office either way. I felt even more intimidated, because I thought that since a constitutional minister believes he should file a report against me, then he is filing a report, not threatening that I might have problems with the prosecutor's office. I replied that I would like to think about it. And then the minister said, 'Karolina, you have until 3 p.m.' Wait, I'll be more precise [searches phone] at 2:45 p.m. I called a lawyer friend. I went outside the ministry building. The conversation lasted 27 minutes, so I exceeded the quarter-hour I was given. The lawyer said that in response to the unlawful dismissal, I could appeal to the Labor Court. But she also said that if the prosecutor's office is to deal with the matter, it will deal with it anyway and that it should not be the subject of a conversation at the ministry. I decided, on the lawyer's advice, to ask for the conversation to be postponed by a day. When I returned with this request, the minister asked, 'What will that change?' I replied that I wouldn't be caught off guard, I would have time for consultations, to which the minister said that if I didn't sign the resignation, she already had a prepared document and would send it to the PISF Council today.”
-- THE FEAR HAS PASSED, ANGER HAS BEGUN, ABOUT HOW ALL OF THIS IS POSSIBLE AFTER THE OCTOBER 15 ELECTIONS - FURTHER BY THE DISMISSED DIRECTOR OF PISF, KAROLINA ROZWÓD, IN A CONVERSATION WITH PIOTR PACEWICZ IN OKO.PRESS: “The fear has passed, anger has begun, about how all of this is possible after the October 15 elections. Because I, along with a mass of voters, believed what Prime Minister Tusk said about new standards, transparency, and respect for people. Besides, that's how I wanted to run my institution.”
-- I DON'T UNDERSTAND HOW AN HONEST AND WISE PERSON COULD HAVE WRITTEN AND DISTRIBUTED SOMETHING LIKE THIS - STILL THE DISMISSED DIRECTOR OF PISF, KAROLINA ROZWÓD, IN A CONVERSATION WITH PIOTR PACEWICZ IN OKO.PRESS:
https://oko.press/opowiesc-karoliny-rozwod-moja-przygoda-z-pisf-pokazuje-naga-sile-wladzy-przykre-w-czyim-wykonaniu
-- WE FORGAVE SZYMBORSKA HER POEMS ABOUT STALIN, AND JAROSŁAW-POLAND-SAVIOR IS PROBABLY A SLIGHTLY SMALLER CALIBER - SZYMON TWARDOCH IN A CONVERSATION WITH GRZEGORZ WYSOCKI ON GAZETA.PL: “A writer has the right to hold views, and they don't have to be my views or only those considered correct by a group of people who consider themselves to have a monopoly on decency. I don't understand why we deny Rymkiewicz this right. We forgave Szymborska her poems about Stalin, and Jarosław-Poland-Savior is probably a slightly smaller caliber.”
-- CHILDREN NATURALLY HAVE THE RIGHT TO PROTEST, AND WHETHER SUCH A FORM IS SENSIBLE OR NOT IS ANOTHER MATTER, WHILE I RESERVE THE RIGHT NOT TO HAVE AN OPINION ON CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE… - TWARDOCH FURTHER TO WYSOCKI.
-- I AM NOT TRYING TO PRETEND TO BE YOUNGER, NOR DO I HAVE TO KEEP UP WITH ANYONE OR ANYTHING, BECAUSE THAT WOULD BE DEGRADING FOR ME. WHY SHOULD I SUPPOSEDLY KEEP UP? - SAYS TWARDOCH TO WYSOCKI: “I am not going to my grave because I feel great, in fact, I feel the best in my life. And I would absolutely not want to be 20 years old again. My point is that I am not trying to pretend to be younger, nor do I have to keep up with anyone or anything, because that would be degrading for me. Why should I supposedly keep up? Let the world, damn it, keep up with me, not me with the world. I have my views, my set of habits, and as the character played by Jack Nicholson says at the beginning of 'The Departed,' beautifully: 'I don't want to be a product of my environment. I want my environment to be a product of me.'
-- I BELIEVE THIS IS THE WEAKEST PRESIDENCY IN THE HISTORY OF THE THIRD REPUBLIC, ALTHOUGH THE COMPETITION FROM PRESIDENT KOMOROWSKI IS FIERCE - SAYS TWARDOCH ON GAZETA.PL: “No, I'm not afraid, after all, such processes are good advertising, books sell better. Besides, I have good lawyers. I simply don't speak like that about the president, although I have publicly stated that I assess this presidency very poorly. I believe this is the weakest presidency in the history of the Third Republic, although the competition from President Komorowski is fierce. Most strangely, these two weakest presidents of the Third Republic agree on the issue of the Silesian language.”
-- OLD MAN, IF I WANTED TO PUBLISH BOOKS WITH ZNAK, I WOULD PUBLISH THEM THERE. AS MY FRIEND LONIA FOGELMAN SAYS: MONEY TALKS, PEOPLE LISTEN - FURTHER TWARDOCH.
https://weekend.gazeta.pl/weekend/7,177333,31475400,szczepan-twardoch-dlaczego-ja-mam-niby-nadazac-niech-k.html
-- PLEASE JUST PROVIDE THE LINK TO THE FUNDRAISER WHERE WE ARE COLLECTING MONEY FOR GROUND DRONES FOR UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS HERE. THESE ARE MORE IMPORTANT MATTERS - SAYS TWARDOCH: “I observe that the process is rather the opposite, and this army is becoming more partisan... But enough about that. Please just provide the link to the fundraiser here where we are collecting money for ground drones for Ukrainian soldiers. These are more important matters than anything we have discussed here.”
-- A MILLION HAS ALREADY BEEN RAISED! https://zrzutka.pl/dronyfpvireby
-- 91ST ANNIVERSARY OF KRZYSZTOF PENDERECKI'S BIRTH.
-- 17 YEARS AGO, DONALD TUSK DELIVERED THE LONGEST EXPOSÉ IN THE HISTORY OF THE THIRD REPUBLIC IN THE SEJM.
-- BIRTHDAYS: Lena Dąbkowska-Cichocka, Sławomir Starzec. SUNDAY: Jerzy Paweł Nowacki, Mikołaj Chrzan, Karol Szyndzielorz, Szymon Szynkowski vel Sęk.
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Czarzasty: I Have Access to All the Most Secret Information
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Sikorski's Sejm Address Postponed. Czarzasty Announces New Date
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