state of play: 11/22/2024
POLITICAL STATE OF PLAY: Onet and GW on Corruption in Local Governments, Markowski: US Signals Left-Wing Political Projects Have Failed, Requiring a New Direction, Wielowieyska: Tusk Fears an Independent President Trzaskowski
-- AVERAGE VIEWERSHIP OF THE PROGRAM MORNING JOE DROPPED BY 20% FROM MONDAY TO WEDNESDAY, TO 618,000 VIEWERS: + AND A 45% DROP IN THE DEMOGRAPHIC GROUP 25-54 years old, to 49,000 viewers.
https://x.com/DylanByers/status/1859717335155970462
-- THE WATER HAS RECEDED, WE ARE LEFT ALONE - FAKT'S FRONT PAGE.
-- “REGARDLESS OF THE RESULT, THE COALITION WILL BE AS ONE FIST IN THESE ELECTIONS”. TUSK ON THE PRIMARIES - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/11/22/
-- MOSBACHER, A FREQUENT GUEST AT CAMPUS, NOT INSIGNIFICANT, A GOOD FRIEND OF DONALD TRUMP - DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “- Rafał Trzaskowski knows how to build relationships with Republicans and Democrats. I personally consider him a friend - said former US Ambassador to Poland Georgette Mosbacher, a frequent guest at Campus, and importantly, a good friend of Donald Trump, in an interview with TVP Info. And it's worth noting that Americans, regardless of party affiliation, do not hold affection for Sikorski, because he is very assertive in his relations with the US administration”.
-- TUSK IS AFRAID OF AN INDEPENDENT PRESIDENT TRZASKOWSKI - WIELOWIEYSKA CONTINUES IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “Indeed, he is the undisputed leader of the largest ruling party, but the history of the Third Republic shows that when a politician enters the Presidential Palace, they suddenly inflate their own self-importance, build their autonomy, and demand to be reckoned with. And they start setting conditions, which in turn provokes animosity. And it can make life difficult for the leader, because they have the leverage to assert independence, including the right of veto”.
-- DONALD WANTS NO ONE TO FORGET WHO THE LEADER IS - WIELOWIEYSKA QUOTES A CIVIC PLATFORM POLITICIAN: “– Donald simply wants no one to forget who the leader is. And that's good, because chaos and indecisiveness are the worst things that can happen to us – I hear in Civic Coalition circles”.
-- SIKORSKI'S CAMP, MEANWHILE, REMINDS THAT KAMALA HARRIS ALSO HAD GOOD POLLS - WIELOWIEYSKA FURTHER IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “Sikorski's camp, meanwhile, recalls that Kamala Harris also had good polls, yet she lost, and that in the second round, the difference between Sikorski and Trzaskowski in a clash with a PiS politician is not that large. And the Minister of Foreign Affairs has a better chance of attracting center-right voters”.
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,31483277,na-ile-znam-donalda-to-mu-rece-opadly-tusk-jest-poirytowany.html
-- CIVIC COALITION PRIMARIES ON FRIDAY, RESULTS ON SATURDAY. THEY COULD HAVE BEEN A THEATER, BUT TURNED OUT TO BE A SERIOUS CLASH - AGNIESZKA KUBLIK AND IWONA SZPALA IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “We asked Sikorski and Trzaskowski about their final messages to party members before the vote. "I have better dynamics and a higher chance of gaining votes from the right of us," Sikorski replied to us. "My growth potential and mobilization capacity are significantly greater," was Trzaskowski's response”.
-- GAZETA WYBORCZA WRITES MORE ABOUT THE COMPOSITION OF THE CIVIC COALITION ELECTION COMMITTEE: “The head of the committee is Dorota Niedziela, Deputy Marshal of the Sejm from Civic Platform, who also appointed Monika Wielichowska, Deputy Marshal of the Sejm, and club leader Zbigniew Konwiński to the committee. Modern Poland is represented by Warsaw councilor Sławomir Potapowicz, and The Greens by MP Klaudia Jachira, and the Initiative of Poland by MEP Dariusz Joński. Representatives of both candidates are also on the committee. Rafał Trzaskowski is represented by Wioletta Paprocka-Ślusarska, director of the president's office in the Warsaw City Hall and head of the Civic Coalition's campaign team in previous elections. Radosław Sikorski's representative is Marta Golbik, MP and deputy leader of the Civic Coalition club”.
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31483008,koniec-prekampanii-w-ko.html
-- IN THE FIRST ROUND, THE MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS WOULD HAVE A WORSE RESULT THAN THE PRESIDENT OF WARSAW, BUT STILL BETTER THAN THE PiS CANDIDATE - UNITED SURVEYS POLL FOR WP: “According to the survey, 35.8% of people would vote for Rafał Trzaskowski, and 27.8% for the PiS candidate. Such an outcome would naturally mean a second round of presidential elections, which would feature the candidates of the Civic Coalition and Law and Justice. In the first round, the Minister of Foreign Affairs would have a worse result than the President of Warsaw, but still better than the PiS candidate. Radosław Sikorski could count on 32.3% of the votes. The PiS candidate in this scenario would gain and secure 28.9%.”
-- TRZASKOWSKI STRONGER, BUT BOTH CIVIC COALITION CANDIDATES WIN THE SECOND ROUND - IN THE UNITED SURVEYS POLL FOR WP: “If Rafał Trzaskowski were to be on the list from the Civic Coalition in the second round, he would win against the PiS candidate, securing 58.5% of the votes compared to 39.2%. 2.3% of respondents answered "don't know/hard to say". If Radosław Sikorski were to face the PiS candidate in the second round, he would also have a victory in his pocket. 54.9% of respondents would vote for him (3.6% less than for Rafał Trzaskowski). The PiS candidate could count on 42.4% of the votes (3.2% more than in the case of a clash with Rafał Trzaskowski). In this scenario, 2.7% of respondents answered "don't know/hard to say".
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/rafal-trzaskowski-kontra-radoslaw-sikorski-mamy-najnowszy-sondaz-prezydencki-7095048000330304a
-- SIKORSKI WILL NOT WIN THESE CIVIC COALITION PRIMARIES. BUT THE MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS SHOWS IMPRESSIVE WILL TO FIGHT - JACEK GĄDEK ON X:
https://x.com/JacekGadek/status/1859873076139143623
-- LEX SUTRYK. PRESIDENTS AGAIN WANT TO EARN EXTRA IN MUNICIPAL COMPANIES, ACTIVISTS ABOUT GREED - ANNA KOLET-ICIEK IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “We do not agree to Lex Sutryk. Local government is not a cash cow, the city is not a party trough – say urban activists. Those from Krakow have sent a letter to Mayor Aleksander Miszalski on this matter and are announcing a petition to the Marshal of the Sejm. They do not want the reintroduction of the possibility for city mayors to sit on supervisory boards of municipal companies. - It is evident that the greed of local government officials for public positions is very high. It resembles eight years of PiS rule - assesses a Krakow activist”.
https://krakow.wyborcza.pl/krakow/7,44425,31483277,lex-sutryk-prezydenci-miast-znow-chca-dorabiac-w-miejskich.html
-- CORRUPTION IN LOCAL GOVERNMENTS, HOW CITY PRESIDENTS MASSIVELY EARNED EXTRA IN SUPERVISORY BOARDS. THEY STILL WANT TO DO IT - JACEK HARŁUKOWICZ IN ONEŁET: “The Collegium Humanum case and the recent arrest of Wrocław Mayor Jacek Sutryk have highlighted another pathology plaguing local governments: the massive earning of extra income by mayors of towns and cities in companies belonging to their colleagues from other municipalities. And although this practice was curbed in the spring of this year, local government officials want to sit on them again. (...) Due to its prevalence, the practice has even earned the nickname 'local government Erasmus' in analogy to the youth exchange program. (...) Of the board of the Union of Polish Cities, only two people are without supervisory board positions”.
https://wiadomosci.onet.pl/kraj/samorzadowy-erasmus-tak-prezydenci-miast-masowo-dorabiali-w-radach-nadzorczych/
-- YOU WILL LOSE, MADAM WILL LOSE, WE WILL LOSE. A LOWER HEALTH CONTRIBUTION IS ROBBERY OF EMPLOYEES - KASIA BIELECKA IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “In telegraphic terms – more money will stay in the pockets of entrepreneurs. That's one thing. But it also means that being employed in Poland will become less and less profitable. And at the same time, the costs associated with the healthcare system will disproportionately fall on the shoulders of employees, both male and female”.
-- THE CURRENT SITUATION IS THEREFORE ALL THE MORE DANGEROUS FOR WOMEN, BECAUSE IT IS PRECISELY BY BEING ON AN EMPLOYMENT CONTRACT THAT THEY CAN CALMLY PLAN A FAMILY - BIELECKA CONTINUES IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “B2B instead of employment works until we are young, fully capable, and do not use public services like schools or hospitals often. And when we don't plan for children. The current situation is therefore all the more dangerous for women, because it is precisely by being on an employment contract that they can calmly plan a family and dedicate time to their child”.
https://wyborcza.biz/biznes/7,159911,31480962,pan-straci-pani-straci-my-stracimy-nizsza-skladka-zdrowotna.html
-- NOWOGRODZKA WON'T BE ABLE TO AFFORD A REPLACEMENT - JACEK GĄDEK ABOUT THE BACKGROUND OF PIS DECISIONS - WRITES IN NEWSWEEK: “From Nowogrodzka Street, one hears that Jarosław Kaczyński has no plan for a candidate replacement – he wants to bet on one horse and get to the second round with him. — There will be no replacement. The candidate will be announced soon. Signatures will be collected quickly in impressive numbers. Money will be raised for the campaign. We won't be able to afford a replacement – says a politician from this formation”.
-- NOT TO DESTROY PIS FROM WITHIN, THAT'S WHY KACZYŃSKI HAD TO BACK DOWN ON CZARNEK - FURTHER GĄDEK: “The choice of the PiS candidate was not dictated by choosing the person with the greatest chance. Firstly, this candidate cannot break PiS apart from the inside. And this is the reason why Jarosław Kaczyński had to back down”.
-- THE "UBIGOSOWANIE" IS UNDERWAY IN PIS - FURTHER GĄDEK: “Today, much indicates that the decision at Nowogrodzka Street has essentially been made. This 'decision-making process' – to borrow from Bronisław Komorowski's phrasing: 'ubigosowanie' – consists of making it obvious and optimal for everyone at the top of PiS. Jarosław Kaczyński did not want to force someone, but to persuade everyone to one candidacy”.
https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/telenowela-z-kandydatem-pis-dobiega-konca-karol-nawrocki-napalony-na-start/q1l21l5
-- PUBLIC MEDIA AT THE MERCY OF THE TUSK GOVERNMENT? THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE DOES NOT WANT TO DISCLOSE THE FINANCING PLAN - AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “Deputy Minister of Culture Andrzej Wyrobiec claims to have assurances from the Minister of Finance that money for public media will be found. However, the Ministry of Finance directs us with the question of where the money for these media will come from to... the Ministry of Culture. Does the government even have a plan?”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31483596,media-publiczne-na-lasce-rzadu-tuska-ministerstwo-finansow.html
-- CHANGES HAVE OCCURRED IN THE MARRIAGE MARKET THAT HAVE WEAKENED MEN'S NEGOTIATING POSITION - THIS FRUSTRATING SITUATION EXPLAINS THE MASS SUPPORT OF WHITE MEN FOR ANTI-LIBERAL SLOGANS - PROF. RADOSŁAW MARKOWSKI IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “Concurrently, changes have also occurred in the marriage market, which have weakened men's negotiating position in sexual relations and influence over offspring. This frustrating situation explains the mass support of white men for anti-liberal or even authoritarian slogans. The collective of "new losers" in the US is poorly represented by both parties. However, the cunning Trump managed to mobilize and win them over. These people in the past did not vote or were politically inactive, leaning towards one of the two parties. In 2024, they have simply become "Trumpists," not "Republicans".
-- YOUNG VOTERS, CONCERNED ABOUT THE FUTURE, NATURE, AND THE STATE OF THE PLANET, ARE MARGINALIZED BECAUSE IN DEMOCRACIES, INCLUDING THE USA, LIFE EXPECTANCY HAS SKYROCKETED - PROF. MARKOWSKI CONTINUES IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “Demographic processes have compounded this, threatening pension systems and causing older, more numerous generations to disproportionately influence political decisions. Young voters, concerned about the future, nature, and the state of the planet, are marginalized because in democracies, including the USA, life expectancy has increased dramatically”.
-- THE 2024 US ELECTIONS SIGNAL THAT THE POLITICAL PROJECTS OF THE CURRENT LEFT HAVE FAILED AND THAT A NEW TURN IS NECESSARY - PROF. MARKOWSKI'S CONCLUSION IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “The 2024 US elections signal that the political projects of the current left have failed and that a new turn is necessary, leading to the political inclusion of – variously configured – losers. Moreover, these innovations should align with the growing expectations of young people to link issues of the Anthropocene threats and the future of the planet with economic and identity factors”.
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31479242,trumpizm-znak-nowej-epoki-wnioski-z-wyborow-w-usa.html
-- BIRTHDAYS: Waldemar Kuczyński, Tomasz Gruszecki, Barbara Czaplicka, Małgorzata Gersdorf, Filip Kaczmarek, Norbert Obrycki.
live
7 hours
7 hours
„It was awesome.” — Morawiecki asked about his meeting in Dębica
7 hours
„That old communist shouldn't be Marshal of the Sejm.” — Morawiecki on Czarzasty
8 hours
„They Don't Bother Me At All." Morawiecki on "Attacks” — from within the United Right Camp
8 hours
„I Want to Address All Local Government Officials.” — Morawiecki on a New Program
8 hours
„An Absolutely Shameless Letter from Communist Apparatchiks.” — Morawiecki on Siwiec's Letter Regarding National Security Bureau Topics
8 hours
„Let's Demand This Questionnaire Be Filled Out.” — Morawiecki on Czarzasty's Security Survey
12 hours
„It's Worth Knowing Who We're Dealing With.” — Prime Minister Poses with Anne Applebaum's Book
13 hours
Czarzasty: I Have Access to All the Most Secret Information
13 hours
Sikorski's Sejm Address Postponed. Czarzasty Announces New Date
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