state of play: 11/19/2024

STATE OF PLAY: Bachmann: Germany is losing the digitalization race, the world is falling apart, and Scholz is smiling. Wielowieyska: Will local government officials harm the Civic Coalition candidate?

Łukasz Mężyk

-- IF THE CDU AND SPD GOVERN, IT WILL BE AS IT WAS, AFTER ALL, IT'S THE SAME COALITION THAT BUILT NORD STREAM II. ALTHOUGH WE MUST NOT MENTION IT TODAY BECAUSE PEOPLE WILL GET OFFENDED -- Klaus Bachmann in conversation with Michał Sutowski in Krytyka Polityczna. -- GERMANY IS LOSING DIGITALIZATION AND CHANGES IN THE AUTOMOTIVE MARKET -- BACHMANN FURTHER IN HIS CONVERSATION WITH SUTOWSKI: “Something that experts have been warning about for many years has become visible and tangible: Germany is losing digitalization and changes in the automotive market, this entire transition from internal combustion engines to electric, and then further, for example, to hydrogen, is not happening in Germany. When a German customer wants to buy something like that, they pay a lot extra from a German manufacturer. Or they buy a car from the USA or Japan”. -- THE WORLD IS FALLING APART, AND HE IS SMILING AND PRETENDING NOTHING IS HAPPENING; I HAD THE IMPRESSION OF SEEING A DECLINING ANGELA MERKEL -- BACHMANN ON SCHOLZ: “I recently saw an interview with him, and I had the impression that I was seeing a declining Angela Merkel, who was campaigning by demobilizing the Social Democrats. She did this by completely ignoring them and pretending – or maybe she wasn't pretending, maybe she really felt that way – that whatever was happening in the world, she didn't care. Scholz is now trying to replicate that: well, there's Trump in Washington, but what difference does that make, you can negotiate with him. The world is falling apart, and he's smiling and pretending nothing is happening”. -- TRUMP WON A DEMOCRATIC ELECTION, AND AS A CANDIDATE, HE OPENLY SAID HE WOULD FIRE JUDGES, OFFICIALS, THAT HE WOULD RULE LIKE A DICTATOR; HE DIDN'T WIN BY A HAIR OR BY CHANCE -- BACHMANN AT SUTOWSKI'S IN KP: “He will 'normalize' much more, and throughout Europe. Regarding the rule of law, liberal democratic standards, and the independence of the judiciary. People can now say that Trump won a democratic election, and as a candidate, he openly said he would fire judges and officials, that he would rule like a dictator, take revenge on his opponents, and massively deport immigrants. He didn't win by a hair or by chance; he won by an absolute number of votes, according to electoral votes, he won the Senate, and he will probably win the House of Representatives shortly, and he has filled the Supreme Court quite legally”. -- "WYBORCZA" HAS LEARNED THE CONTENT OF THE MOTION TO LIFT THE IMMUNITY OF PIS MP ŁUKASZ MEJZA. THE MOST SERIOUS CHARGE: AN ATTEMPT TO CONCEAL PRIVATE LOANS WORTH ALMOST PLN 500,000 AND "CONCEALING INFORMATION SO AS TO PREVENT THE IDENTIFICATION OF PERSONS ON WHOM MEJZA IS FINANCIALLY DEPENDENT" - Wojciech Czuchnowski, https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31473673,pozyczki-posla-mejzy.html -- THE PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE HAS THE FULL RANGE OF EVIDENCE IMPLICATING JACK SUTRYK IN THE COLLEGIUM HUMANUM SCANDAL -- MARCIN RYBAK IN GW: “- Everyone says that the former rector of Collegium Humanum, Paweł C., is talking. So, all your evidence – you ask? - Not all. There is a full range of evidence. - Taps too? - A full range. I can't discuss details – our informant concludes”. https://wroclaw.wyborcza.pl/wroclaw/7,35771,31473901,jacek-sutryk-i-afera-collegium-humanum-jest-wiele-dowodow.html -- NITRAS: I HOPE NO ONE WILL QUESTION THE POLL COMMISSIONED DE FACTO BY TUSK -- 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/11/19/ -- POLITICAL PLAN FOR TUESDAY: GOVERNMENT ON HEALTH CONTRIBUTIONS AND AMMUNITION PRODUCTION, KACZYŃSKI'S CONFERENCE, WEIMAR TRIANGLE+, TRZASKOWSKI IN WROCŁAW, DUDA IN JORDAN, SEJM ON AMENDMENTS TO THE FLOOD ACT: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/11/19/polityczny-plan-wtorku-rzad-o-skladce-zdrowotnej-i-produkcji-amunicji-trojkat-weimarski-trzaskowski-we-wroclawiu-duda-w-jordanii-sejm-o-noweli-specustawy-powodziowej/ -- WILL LOCAL GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS HARM THE CIVIC COALITION CANDIDATE? -- DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: “In such circumstances, on the eve of the presidential election, the local government movement associated with the Civic Coalition (which, during the PiS government, loudly advocated for meritocratic management, of which local governments were to be the last bastion) stands firmly behind Sutryk and the 'seat for seat' campaign. This is beyond comprehension”. -- AND THE RULING POLITICIANS WHO DEFEND HIM BECOME CO-RESPONSIBLE FOR THE PATHOLOGY -- WIELOWIEYSKA FURTHER IN GW: “The Mayor of Wrocław, Jacek Sutryk, should resign immediately. He is a burden to local government officials. The arrangement he co-created compromises him politically. And the ruling politicians who defend him become co-responsible for the pathology”. https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,31473192,wielowieyska-samorzadowcy-zaszkodza-kandydatowi-koalicji-obywatelskiej.html -- DO YOU SEE THIS DYNAMIC? THIS IS A VERY IMPORTANT TREND WHEN READING POLLS. AND SIKORSKI HAS THE BETTER ONE -- AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: “Do you see this dynamic? This is a very important trend when reading polls. And Sikorski has the better one. (...) It is difficult to draw firm conclusions today about which of the Civic Coalition candidates will have a greater chance of victory in May 2025, based on a survey conducted before Trzaskowski and Sikorski had a chance to compete for trust as rival candidates”. https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31473690,sondaz-wskazal-na-trzaskowskiego-sa-trzy-ale.html -- SIKORSKI IS ON AN ASCENDING WAVE -- MICHAŁ ROGALSKI IN ONE: “The way they are presented favors one of the candidates. It's worth considering that Trzaskowski is showing his maximum. Sikorski is just starting his campaign”. https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/ko-oglasza-wyniki-sondazu-to-radoslaw-sikorski-jest-na-fali-wznoszacej-analiza/k9v2g9s,79cfc278 -- SIKORSKI WANTS TO FIGHT TO THE END. BUT DIDN'T TUSK HIMSELF THROW HIS CANDIDACY UNDER THE BUS? DOMINIKA SITNICKA AND AGATA SZCZĘŚNIAK IN OKO.PRESS: “'He burst the balloon a bit' – says a supporter of Radosław Sikorski about the Civic Coalition poll. Did so much have to change for everything to stay the same? Trzaskowski was and – it strongly suggests – will remain the Civic Coalition's candidate for president. Is this whole primary a joke by Donald Tusk?” -- SINCE SIKORSKI FAILED TO KILL TRZASKOWSKI, TUSK SHOULD NOT WEAKEN HIM FURTHER EITHER -- SITNICKA AND SZCZĘŚNIAK FURTHER IN OKO: “Since Sikorski failed to kill Trzaskowski, Tusk should not weaken him further either. However, if Tusk were to designate Sikorski as the presidential candidate, it would mean an earthquake in the Civic Coalition. One thing is certain in this confusion – Tusk and the Civic Coalition managed to create a show and involve the entire country in the primaries. And that's a good start to the campaign, regardless of who ultimately becomes the candidate”. https://oko.press/sikorski-chce-walczyc-do-konca-prawybory-ko -- SIGMA, CHADOSŁAW, AND DADDY… -- PAWEŁ MARCINKIEWICZ WRITES IN GW: “Both attract. Each in their own way. In the eyes of Generation Z voters, Sikorski, called Chadosław by them, is a sigma, a charismatic and confident leader. Trzaskowski, on the other hand, is like Daddy – warm, handsome, with a smile that young activists eagerly capture in many selfies”. https://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,31458195,chadoslaw-czy-daddy-kogo-w-prawyborach-popra-mlodzi-dzialacze.html -- BIRTHDAYS: Wojciech Duda, Elżbieta Kruk, Bogdan Wenta, Krzysztof Berenda.

Łukasz Mężyk