state of play: 11/13/2024

STATE OF PLAY: Kalukin: Kaczyński seems to have a different opinion, as – according to whispers in the corridors – Nawrocki and Bocheński's stocks are now higher

Łukasz Mężyk

-- THERE WERE NO INSINUATIONS INTENDED ON MY PART, JUST LIKE MINISTER SIKORSKI, I BELIEVE POLAND IS NOT A COUNTRY OF ANTISEMITES - MONIKA OLEJNIK ON INSTAGRAM: "For years I have been fighting antisemitism, violence, hate, and aggression. I am not indifferent! To my surprise and indignation, which I expressed on the program, I received the media reports concerning Anne Applebaum's origin. I thought the minister should have the opportunity to respond, which he did on "Kropka nad i". I apologize to you, all my viewers – if I was not precise and emphatic enough. There were no insinuations intended on my part, and like Minister Sikorski, I believe that Poland is not a country of antisemites!" – reads the full statement published by the host of "Kropka nad i". -- THE STATEMENT BY THE HOST OF "KROPKA NAD I", CLAIMING SHE READ ON OUR PAGES THAT THE ORIGIN OF RADOSŁAW SIKORSKI'S WIFE IS A PROBLEM FOR SOME IN KO, IS FALSE - TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: https://x.com/tygodnik/status/1856528921723892183 -- I DO NOT KNOW WHETHER MONIKA OLEJNIK PREPARED HER OWN RESEARCH FOR THE PROGRAM, OR WAS MISLED - MICHAŁ KUŹMIŃSKI, DEPUTY EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: "I don't know if Monika Olejnik prepared her own research for the program or was misled, because "Tygodnik" never wrote about Sikorski's candidacy in that way. The sentence stating that in KO, one could unfortunately hear similar speculations from some activists, I found in an article by Piotr Śmiłowicz on Gazeta.pl". https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/co-monika-olejnik-wyczytala-w-tygodniku-188949 -- THE ORIGINAL TEXT BY ŚMIŁOWICZ, TO WHICH OLEJNIK WAS REFERRING: https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31447061,wiemy-kto-stoi-za-kandydatura-sikorskiego-i-dlaczego-pojawila.html -- KAMIŃSKI: SIKORSKI'S CHOICE AS A PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE WILL REOPEN THE DISCUSSION ABOUT A COMMON CANDIDATE - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/11/13/ -- KACZYŃSKI SEEMS TO HAVE A DIFFERENT OPINION, BECAUSE – ACCORDING TO WHISPERS IN THE CORRIDORS – NAWROCKI AND BOCHEŃSKI'S STOCKS ARE NOW HIGHER - RAFAŁ KALUKIN IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: "So when his American alter ego won the elections, Czarnek began to publicly urge his party's leadership to revise their plans and focus on a polarizing-mobilizing campaign. Because – as he argued – the "mythical center" doesn't really exist, and it's generally a waste of time to court the undecided. However, Kaczyński seems to have a different opinion, as – according to whispers in the corridors – Nawrocki and Bocheński's stocks are now higher. The question is whether the leader seriously intends to win these elections, or is simply satisfied with securing his own future. If Czarnek were to become the Polish Trump, then who would Kaczyński be?" -- THE HEAD OF DIPLOMACY APPROACHED THE MATTER SERIOUSLY. AND HAD LITTLE TO LOSE, BUT MUCH TO GAIN. HE DID NOT INTEND TO BE A HARE AGAIN, AS IN 2010 - CONTINUES KALUKIN: "But the head of diplomacy approached the matter seriously. And he had little to lose, but much to gain. He did not intend to be a hare again, as in 2010, when Tusk persuaded him to compete with Bronisław Komorowski, even though the outcome was predetermined. He approached the next attempt professionally. For a long time, he worked diligently to gain support for his candidacy within Civic Platform. His close friend Roman Giertych organized promotional activities for him on social media." -- KALUKIN ON THE ROLE OF MICHAŁ KAMIŃSKI: IT IS HARD NOT TO NOTICE THE HAND OF ANOTHER OF HIS FRIENDS, MICHAŁ KAMIŃSKI, WHO ADVISES KOSINIAK, IN THIS - FURTHER IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: "It is probably not by chance that precisely now the head of PSL, Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz, has begun to publicly persuade Tusk to the idea of a common presidential candidate for the entire coalition, who would be – surprise, surprise – Radek Sikorski. It is hard not to notice the hand of another of his friends, Michał Kamiński, who advises Kosiniak, in this. The Peasants' Party has long made it clear that it will be difficult for them to convince their voters to vote for Trzaskowski in the second round, mainly due to his progressive views. This is also confirmed by polls." -- TRZASKOWSKI WAS NOT PREPARED FOR SUCH A MASSIVE OFFENSIVE BY SIKORSKI - CLAIMS KALUKIN: "Trzaskowski has been traveling around Poland for a long time, testing current narratives. But he was not prepared for such a massive offensive by Sikorski. In his opinion, the competition was supposed to be a sham, and if anyone could really deprive the mayor of Warsaw of this nomination, it would be Tusk himself." -- THE PASSAGE ABOUT ANNE APPLEBAUM AS A FRAGMENT OF ŚMIŁOWICZ'S ARTICLE, WHICH MONIKA OLEJNIK CITED YESTERDAY AND WHICH RESULTED IN A SCANDAL: "Sikorski's wife, Anne Applebaum, is also very present in these whispers, who – as one can hear from circles close to the mayor of Warsaw – may not be accepted by Poles in the role of the first lady, especially if the right wing pulls out the antisemitic card in the campaign. And Applebaum spoke even more sharply than Sikorski about Trump..." https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2277753,1,trump-zamiesza-i-u-nas-czarnek-chce-jak-on-ale-prezes-sie-waha-sikorski-juz-nie-chce-byc-zajacem.read -- PRIME MINISTER DONALD TUSK'S ANTI-REPUBLICAN CHARGE MAY COST POLAND DEARLY - JACEK CZAPUTOWICZ IN RZ: "The Prime Minister's anti-Republican charge may cost us dearly. The government does not seem to know what it is doing. Donald Tusk is trying to step into President Macron's shoes, predicting the end of geopolitical outsourcing and attempting to build an agreement against the Americans. Does he not understand that Warsaw lies on the Vistula, not on the Seine?" https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41434691-jacek-czaputowicz-antyrepublikanska-szarza-premiera-donalda-tuska-moze-polske-drogo-kosztowac -- CIVIC PLATFORM, BEFORE CHOOSING A CANDIDATE, CHECK THE WEATHER FIRST - BARBARA BRODZIŃSKA-MIROWSKA, POLITICAL SCIENTIST FROM UMK IN TORUŃ IN RZ: "A wind has blown from the West that favors populists. Bad weather will be crucial for the presidential elections in Poland. Therefore, KO activists who choose the formation's candidate in the primaries should take this trend into account." -- IF RADOSŁAW SIKORSKI WINS THE PRIMARIES, IT WILL MEAN A FUNDAMENTAL CHANGE OF STRATEGY FOR PIS. SIKORSKI IS A CONSERVATIVE IN THE STYLE OF MARGARET THATCHER, WHO IS POPULAR IN POLAND - CONTINUES BRODZIŃSKA-MIROWSKA, POLITICAL SCIENTIST FROM UMK IN TORUŃ IN RZ: "If Radosław Sikorski wins the primaries, it will mean a fundamental change of strategy for PiS. Sikorski is a conservative in the style of Margaret Thatcher, who is popular in Poland, and who is comfortable with the game of national symbols. In this capacity, he makes it difficult for the right wing to draw a dividing line between rainbow Poland and white-and-red Poland, has the chance to neutralize the right wing's mobilization effect, and at the same time effectively steps into the shoes of Szymon Hołownia's Third Way." https://www.rp.pl/publicystyka/art41434191-barbara-brodzinska-mirowska-platformo-nim-wybierzesz-kandydata-sprawdz-najpierw-pogode -- IN SHORT: TRZASKOWSKI AND SIKORSKI – YES; ANTI-EU, TRUMP-STYLE "SLICKER" – NO - JERZY BACZYŃSKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: "Poland, especially in the face of the political crisis in Germany, should play a co-leading role here. That is why it is so important that the future Polish president not only commands respect in Europe but can also be a link between the EU and the USA. So, in short: Trzaskowski and Sikorski (whomever the coalition primaries designate) – yes; an anti-EU, Trump-style "slicker" – no. But for Polish democrats, the American elections are a good lesson: one can take warnings and lessons in abundance from both Trump and Harris." https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2277833,1,exitus -- ARE THESE STILL PUBLIC MEDIA OR ALREADY A YOUTUBE CHANNEL? - ESTERA FLIEGER IN YESTERDAY'S RZ: "The day before, on Polish Radio 24, Renata Grochal, Roch Kowalski, and Jacek Czarnecki hosted Tomasz Piątek and together spun theories about the homosexuality of some PiS politicians. Further billions are being poured into something that resembles a YouTube channel with conspiracy theories. If this is supposed to be public media, Balian and Saladin could have demolished it. But that's not the point." https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41430221-estera-flieger-tvp-w-samolikwidacji-miala-byc-bbc-a-sa-grozne-teorie-spiskowe -- WITH EXPENSIVE ENERGY, WE ARE WEAKENING DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS; IN CASE OF ITS LACK, WE WILL FACE A REBELLION FROM BUSINESS AND ORDINARY CONSUMERS - BOGUSŁAW CHRABOTA IN RZ: "A rebellion which – regardless of her fault – may end with the political class being "carried away on a stretcher." And this should be the nightmare of the rulers. A nightmare that mobilizes them to work." https://www.rp.pl/opinie-ekonomiczne/art41435511-boguslaw-chrabota-zanim-nadejdzie-ciemnosc -- THE PRESIDENT SUGGESTED A VETO TO THE WIND POWER ACT - AS HE TOLD ALEKSANDER GURGULOV FROM GW AT COP 28 IN BAKU: "Duda: – I have always believed that the issue of wind turbines in areas where people live is controversial. I have nothing against them, quite the contrary – I support the construction of offshore wind farms. However, placing them on land, where people live, where people want to enjoy beautiful landscapes, I consider very controversial." https://wyborcza.pl/7,177851,31458139,andrzej-duda-nadal-wierzy-ze-polska-ma-zapasy-wegla-na-200.html -- BIRTHDAYS: Adam Szejnfeld, Jan Sarnowski, Stanisław Wziątek.

Łukasz Mężyk