state of play: 10/18/2024

STATE OF PLAY: PiS Primaries, EU Begins Speaking Far-Right Language, "Classic Tusk" and the Beaver Saga

Łukasz Mężyk

-- ŻUKOWSKA: IT'S TIME FOR A CONVERSATION ABOUT TAX PROGRESSIVITY - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/10/18/ -- POLITICAL PLAN FOR FRIDAY: TUSK CONTINUES AT THE EU SUMMIT, KACZYŃSKI AND GIERTYCH TEAM CONFERENCES, TRZASKOWSKI'S OPEN MEETING, PARLIAMENT TO ESTABLISH AN ANIMAL WELFARE COMMITTEE https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/10/18/polityczny-plan-piatku-tusk-dalej-na-szczycie-ue-konferencje-kaczynskiego-i-zespolu-giertycha-spotkanie-otwarte-trzaskowskiego-sejm-powola-komisje-do-spraw-ochrony-zwierzat/ -- "WHAT I WANTED TO ACHIEVE, I ACHIEVED" - POLITICO EUROPE QUOTES TUSK IN OVERNIGHT REPORT: “I have just come from a meeting with all the most important leaders and what I wanted to achieve, I achieved,” Polish PM Donald Tusk said. https://www.politico.eu/article/poland-prime-minister-donald-tusk-eu-asylum-ban-russia-belarus-migration-security -- "EUROPE CANNOT ACCEPT EVERYONE WHO WANTS TO COME, FULL STOP" – SAID THE POLISH PRIME MINISTER - REPORTED BY GW: “...adding that 'the vast majority of those who want to use the right to asylum are not really those who are persecuted.' In his opinion, 'there are dozens of countries around Europe that meet the criteria of a safe country.' https://wyborcza.pl/7,75399,31393636,liderzy-ue-dali-zielone-swiatlo-nowym-sposobom-przeciwdzialania.html -- SUPPORT FOR PiS INCREASED BY 4 PERCENTAGE POINTS - BUSINESS INSIDER REPORTS ON UNITED SURVEYS POLL FOR WP: “The largest number of respondents would vote for Civic Coalition – 33.5% (a decrease of 0.6 percentage points compared to the poll from October 1st this year). Law and Justice recorded the largest increase. 33.3% would vote for Jarosław Kaczyński's party (an increase of 3.8 percentage points). Third Way closes the podium with a result of 10.1% (a decrease of 1 percentage point). Confederation obtained 9.5% support (a decrease of 1 percentage point), and The Left 7.8% (a decrease of 0.9 percentage points). 5.8% of respondents are undecided.” ​​https://businessinsider.com.pl/wiadomosci/duzy-wzrost-poparcia-dla-pis-donald-tusk-ma-powody-do-niepokoju/jgvm2lp -- THE MINISTRY IS LIMITING REHABILITATION OPTIONS FOR CHILDREN. HOSPITALS FACE CLOSURE, – A DRAMA – BRIEFLY COMMENTS ONE OF OUR INTERLOCUTORS - JUDYTA WATOŁA IN GW: “The Ministry of Health wants to shorten the list of indications for hospital rehabilitation from 900 to just 170 positions. For children's rehabilitation hospitals, this means liquidation almost overnight. (...) There will also be no inpatient rehabilitation for sick newborns and infants, including premature babies after perinatal injuries and palsies, with brain hernias, hydrocephalus, spina bifida, spinal cord defects, heart and circulatory system defects, bone deformities, after amputations, as well as for children with Down syndrome. – A drama – comments one of our interlocutors briefly.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31392856,ministerstwo-ogranicza-mozliwosci-rehabilitacji-dzieci-szpitalom.html -- EU SUMMIT: THE UNION SPEAKS THE LANGUAGE OF THE FAR-RIGHT. TUSK WANTS SUSPENDING ASYLUM RIGHTS TO BECOME EUROPEAN LAW - PAULINA PACUŁA IN OKO.PRESS: “Leaders of the member states are demanding accelerated deportations of illegal migrants and new EU regulations to counteract the instrumentalization of migration. Donald Tusk proposes the temporary suspension of asylum applications as one of the solutions.” https://oko.press/szczyt-ue-migracja-polityka -- "CLASSIC TUSK," THE INITIAL PROPOSAL IS BEING TRIMMED DURING PARLIAMENTARY WORK. AND AFTER THE ENTIRE OPERATION, THE PUBLIC IS SIMPLY TO REMEMBER HIM AS A TOUGH PLAYER - DOMINIKA SITNICKA IN OKO.PRESS: “'Classic Tusk' – says someone associated with Poland 2050. 'He comes out, drops a bomb, everyone talks about it for a few days, and then during parliamentary work, the initial proposal gets trimmed. And after the whole operation, the public is simply to remember him as a tough player.'” -- HOW LONG DID IT TAKE HIM TO FALL IN LOVE WITH BEAVERS? THREE? FOUR DAYS? AND THE TOPIC OF SHOOTING WAS GONE, REPLACED BY 'IT WILL BE OKAY, MR. BEAVER' - A CIVIC COALITION POLITICIAN TO SITNICKA IN OKO.PRESS: “A person involved in one of the parties within the Civic Coalition points out that, in their opinion, the Prime Minister's words might have been a conscious dig at the right-wing. 'It's also testing the electorate. Tusk throws out a topic and sees what happens. TVN will react, authorities will react. If it's too much, he'll back down. How long did it take him to fall in love with beavers? Three? Four days? And the topic of shooting was gone, replaced by 'it will be okay, Mr. Beaver'' – they say.” https://oko.press/zawieszanie-azylu-wpadka-czy-strategia-tuska -- ANNA ALBOTH AND MARYSIA ZŁONKIEWICZ, ACTIVISTS FROM GRUPA GRANICA, ADMITTED IN AN INTERVIEW WITH GAZETA.PL THAT THE EFFECTS OF THIS GOVERNMENT RESOLUTION ON MIGRATION POLICY ARE ALREADY VISIBLE: “She also described another incident at the Terespol border crossing. - A citizen of Ethiopia and a citizen of Sudan wanted to apply for asylum, but they were not allowed. They were pushed back to Belarus – she reported. – In my opinion, this noise around the new document on migration strategy has led to the fact that even though these rules should not come into effect immediately, based on one 35-page document, evil is already happening – she added.” https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114883,31393951,grupa-granica-alarmuje-o-fatalnych-skutkach-rzadowej-strategii.html -- EVERYTHING INDICATES THAT PRIMARIES WILL DECIDE WHO WILL ULTIMATELY BE THE PiS CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT – NIEZALEZNA.PL HAS LEARNED. THE PARTY LEADERSHIP WAS CONSIDERING ADOPTING THIS AMERICAN-STYLE SOLUTION ON THURSDAY - TOMASZ GRODECKI IN NIEZALEZNA.PL -- POTENTIAL PiS PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES INCLUDE KAROL NAWROCKI, TOBIASZ BOCHEŃSKI, MARIUSZ BŁASZCZAK, AND MARCIN PRZYDASZ - the internal battle for the presidency will likely be decided among them, claims Grodecki in Niezależna: https://niezalezna.pl/polityka/prawybory-wylonia-kandydata-pis-pojawil-sie-taki-pomysl/529136 -- YESTERDAY'S TALKS ABOUT THIS SCENARIO WERE CONFIRMED BY SOURCES OF THE WPOLITYCE.PL PORTAL: https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/710232-nasze-zrodla-potwierdzaja-pis-rozwaza-prawybory -- THE NATIONAL RIGHT IS IN A BETTER SITUATION REGARDING SUCCESSION THAN THE LIBERAL CAMP. PLEASE NOTE CZARNEK. IF I AM TO LOOK COLDLY, I WILL SAY THIS: I BELIEVE THE NATIONAL RIGHT IS IN A BETTER SITUATION REGARDING SUCCESSION THAN THE LIBERAL CAMP - SAID ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ IN A NEWSWEEK DEBATE: “– If I am to look at it coldly, I will say this: I believe the national right is in a happier situation, when it comes to succession, than the liberal camp. Please pay attention to Przemysław Czarnek. He has had a truly brilliant career. He has just entered PiS's central authorities for the first time. He is relatively young, 47-48 years old. Ruthless to the core, cynical – said Andrzej Stankiewicz from Onet. – He has excellent relations with the Church, with Father Rydzyk, he is adored by the conservative electorate. PiS MPs ferry him around their constituencies like a mascot when they want to help themselves in elections. So, as a point of contact between parts of PiS, the national, ultra-national part, and Confederation, he is a potentially very strong leader. Yes, I think he is a stronger leader than Bosak, than Mentzen, who is from a slightly different sphere. Only such a scenario assumes some internal division within PiS, because Czarnek will not be accepted by a part of the electorate for whom Morawiecki appeals – Stankiewicz continued.” -- ON THE LIBERAL SIDE, THERE IS NO ONE LIKE THAT. I DON'T SEE ANYONE LIKE THAT. TRZASKOWSKI HAS A NICE IMAGE, BUT WHAT COMES OF IT? - STANKIEWICZ CONTINUES IN THE NEWSWEEK DEBATE. -- VARIOUS VOICES FROM DONALD TUSK'S CIRCLE INDICATE THAT IF NOWACKA WERE TO JOIN THE PLATFORM ALONG WITH HER PARTY AND FINALLY STOP PRETENDING TO BE A SEPARATE POLITICAL ENTITY, THERE WOULD BE A CHANCE FOR HER TO TAKE OVER THE PLATFORM FROM DONALD TUSK AT SOME POINT - DOMINIKA DŁUGOSZ IN THE NEWSWEEK DEBATE: “– The Minister greatly dislikes it when I talk about this. But why shouldn't I talk about it? Barbara Nowacka is a politician through and through. She is a politician who can be very brutal, very ruthless. Despite all her 'coolness,' despite how she appeals to the liberal electorate. Various voices from Donald Tusk's circle indicate that if she were to join the Platform along with her party and finally stop pretending to be a separate political entity [formally, Barbara Nowacka is the leader of Inicjatywa Polska – ed.], there would be a chance for her to take over the Platform from Donald Tusk at some point, because he believes it is truly time for a woman.” https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/tusk-i-kaczynski-sa-nie-do-zastapienia-pis-jest-w-lepszej-sytuacji/2q0gkvx -- WOJCIECH CZUCHNOWSKI: "TVP LOST THE RIGHTS TO MATCHES. 'THIS IS HOW PiS BOUGHT POLSAT'S FAVOR' - WRITES IN GW: “– Negotiations were conducted directly by TVP President Jacek Kurski with Zygmunt Solorz [owner of Polsat], although ultimately Kurski did not sign anything. When the matter was settled, financial services at Woronicza received instructions on unmarked slips of paper regarding what needed to be done – an informant from the current TVP management office tells us. – As a result, Polsat financed its licenses with TVP money over all these years and earned huge sums. And TVP lost. – It is obvious that this was a way to buy Polsat's goodwill for the PiS government – assesses our interlocutor from TVP.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31389908,wyborcza-ujawnia-jak-pis-kupowal-przychylnosc-polsatu.html -- MINISTER RADOSŁAW SIKORSKI SEEMS TO BELIEVE THERE IS NO SUCH NEED. PERHAPS THIS IS AN ANNOUNCEMENT OF THE SALE OF THE POLISH HOTEL HOLDING. OR PERHAPS A RETURN TO PRIVATIZATION IN POLAND - ANNA CIEŚLAK-WRÓBLEWSKA IN RZ: https://www.rp.pl/gospodarka/art41311161-czy-panstwu-potrzebne-sa-hotele-szef-msz-pyta-o-polski-holding-hotelowy -- CONFEDERATION TRIUMPH IN THE SUPREME COURT. IT SAVED TENS OF MILLIONS OF ZLOTYS. THE COURT DEEMED THE CONFEDERATION'S APPEAL AGAINST THE NATIONAL ELECTORAL COMMISSION'S DECISION FROM 2020 TO BE WELL-FOUNDED – "RZECZPOSPOLITA" HAS LEARNED. THANKS TO THIS, THE SPECTER OF THIS PARTY LOSING 20.6 MILLION PLN OF PUBLIC MONEY HAS DISAPPEARED. https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art41310181-tryumf-konfederacji-w-sadzie-najwyzszym-uratowala-dziesiatki-milionow-zlotych -- BIRTHDAYS: Andżelika Borys, Lech Dymarski, Dobromir Sośnierz.

Łukasz Mężyk