state of play: 10/01/2024
STATE OF PLAY: Tusk Soars in Trust Poll for Onet, Prof. Pakulski on Oko: Health Contribution Cuts Must Be Abandoned, Szubartowicz: No One in Poland Seriously Wants to Talk Anymore
-- THIS IS THE BEST TRUST RATING FOR TUSK SINCE NOVEMBER 2018 – IBRIS FOR ONET: “For the first time since April, Donald Tusk has moved into the leading position. Currently, 45.6% of respondents trust the Prime Minister, which is 3.6 percentage points higher than a month earlier. This is his best result since November 2018. 44.3% have a negative opinion of the head of government (-7.5 percentage points). 10.1% express a neutral view (+3.9 percentage points). Rafał Trzaskowski drops to second place in the ranking. 45.3% of respondents trust the Mayor of Warsaw (+1 percentage point). However, the politician’s negative electorate is much smaller than his party leader’s. It is 37.2% (-6.6 percentage points). 14.4% express indifference (+2.7 percentage points). Andrzej Duda is in third place for another month, with 44.1% currently trusting him (+3.1 percentage points). 39.3% do not trust the President (-9.3 percentage points), and 16.6% declare a neutral stance (+6.2 percentage points).”
-- ZBIGNIEW ZIOBRO IS THE POLITICIAN POLES TRUST THE LEAST – FURTHER FROM IBRIS FOR ONET: “As many as 71.3% of respondents have a negative view of the leader of Sovereign Poland. Only 12.5% trust him. The difference between these results is nearly 59 percentage points.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/duza-zmiana-w-sondazu-zaufania-ibris-dla-onetu-efekt-zakasanych-rekawow/k7g92z2,79cfc278
-- PIS DROPS BELOW 30% BY AS MUCH AS 2.1 PERCENTAGE POINTS, CONFEDERACY GROWS – UNITED SURVEYS FOR WP: “34.1% of respondents would vote for Civic Coalition. For the ruling party, this means a minimal drop of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous poll. Law and Justice remains in second place, with 29.5% of respondents voting for it. However, this shows a decrease of 1.5 points compared to the poll a week ago. Support for Third Way has slightly increased (by 0.6 percentage points), with 11.1% of poll participants casting their vote for it. Confederation is approaching the podium, with 10.5% of respondents wanting to vote for it, which means a significant increase of 2.1 percentage points.”
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/jest-najnowszy-sondaz-partyjny-tak-zaglosowaliby-polacy-7076681013193600a
-- WHOM WILL MINISTER MACIEJ GDULA DROWN – SCIENCE, THE LEFT, OR THE GOVERNMENT? – ESTERA FLIEGER IN RZ: “Whether Tusk will be able to easily defuse the widespread dissatisfaction solely with platitudes depends largely on the scientists themselves, and among them are voters for both the Left and Civic Coalition. The Prime Minister most likely assumes that he enjoys their unconditional support and can always threaten a return of PiS to power. However, the question is for how long.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41212501-estera-flieger-kogo-utopi-minister-maciej-gdula-nauke-lewice-czy-rzad
-- OR PERHAPS – ASK THE PRO-STATE DO-GOODERS – THE ROUND TABLE? THERE WILL BE NO ROUND TABLE HERE. NO ONE HAS SERIOUSLY WANTED TO TALK TO ANYONE IN POLAND FOR A LONG TIME – PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “Because the state – existing in limbo, wallowing in past wrongs, unable to decide whether to hold accountable firmly and effectively, or perhaps to forgive and forget, incapable of internal agreement on fundamental systemic matters – is a state of proverbial cardboard. Exposed to foreign services, incomprehensible to its own citizens. Or perhaps – ask the pro-state do-gooders – the Round Table? There will be no Round Table here. No one has seriously wanted to talk to anyone in Poland for a long time.”
-- SZUBARTOWICZ QUOTES KAZIK, WHO IS FLEEING POLAND BECAUSE HE IS STARTING TO FEAR IT: “Even if half of political Poland does not recognize these verdicts, and the other half treats them as absolutely binding, the ordinary citizen – like Kazik Staszewski on his latest album with Kwartet ProForma – is 'fleeing Poland, which he is starting to fear'. This is not cheap symmetrism that divides sins equally, because on the issue of the rule of law, the situation is black and white to PiS’s detriment, but voters understand this less and less.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-ucieczka-z-polski,nId,7825674
-- REDUCING THE HEALTH CONTRIBUTION? THIS PLAN MUST BE ABANDONED – PROF. DR HAB. N. MED. CEZARY PAKULSKI, CO-AUTHOR OF THE POLAND 2050 PROGRAM ON OKO.PRESS: “This push to reduce the health contribution is difficult to understand, especially if we recall the content of the coalition agreement regarding healthcare: 'The Coalition wants a decisive improvement in the quality and accessibility of the healthcare system. We will increase spending on healthcare. We will abolish limits on treatment by the National Health Fund. We will introduce mechanisms for hospital debt reduction and make healthcare service valuations more realistic.' The tasks listed cannot be performed by reducing healthcare spending. Today, the coalition's contribution 'fire' has somewhat subsided, and floods, whose human, social, and financial consequences are immense, have played a role in the disputes.”
-- ANNA KNYSOK AND JERZY BUZEK WERE CHARACTERIZED BY COURAGE THAT WAS LACKING IN ALL SUBSEQUENT PRIME MINISTERS, FINANCE MINISTERS, AND HEALTH MINISTERS – FURTHER FROM PROF. PAKULSKI ON OKO: “Today’s 9% is thanks to a one-time gesture by the SLD-UP government. Anna Knysok and Jerzy Buzek were characterized by courage that was lacking in all subsequent Prime Ministers, Finance Ministers, and Health Ministers. The situation in which the National Health Fund budget finds itself today, regardless of who is more to blame, presents a unique opportunity to show that there are other brave individuals who will change the healthcare system and the way funds are acquired for the NFZ and the state budget for the better, or replace it with something better.”
https://oko.press/obnizenie-skladki-zdrowotnej-ten-plan-trzeba-porzucic
-- “OF COURSE, IT’S NOT ENOUGH.” SAWICKI ON THE LIQUIDATION OF HEALTH CONTRIBUTIONS FROM THE SALE OF FIXED ASSETS – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/10/01/
-- POLISH-GERMAN RELATIONS. AFTER YEARS, TUSK WAS SUPPOSED TO BRING WARMTH, BUT THERE IS FROST – PIOTR BURAS IN GW: “Berlin has likely too quickly assumed that the mere victory of pro-European forces on October 15th means that Poland can be ticked off the German policy agenda. Donald Tusk, in turn, needs a real new beginning and success in relations with Germany to fend off the brutal opposition propaganda accusing him of being a pawn of Germany.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31347686,stosunki-polsko-niemieckie-czy-to-juz-kryzys.html
-- THE LEADERSHIP OF THE CIVIC PLATFORM PARTY HAS SUDDENLY TAKEN UP ROAD SAFETY. AND THAT’S GOOD. HOWEVER, ONE HOPES THE AUTHORITIES WILL NOT STOP HALFWAY. BECAUSE WHAT HAPPENS ON THE STREETS AND HIGHWAYS WILL SHOW WHETHER POLAND LIES IN THE EAST OR THE WEST – MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ.
https://www.rp.pl/wypadki/art41220601-michal-szuldrzynski-czy-platforma-obywatelska-wyciagnela-wnioski-z-wypadku-przy-lazienkowskiej
-- 15 YEARS SINCE RP.PL REVEALED THE GAMBLING SCANDAL.
https://www.rp.pl/kraj/art7507851-wplywowi-politycy-i-afera-hazardowa
-- 10 YEARS SINCE EWĄ KOPACZ’S EXPOSÉ.
https://www.gov.pl/web/premier/stenogram-expos-premier-ewy-kopacz
-- BIRTHDAYS: Karol Lutkowski, Jerzy Meysztowicz, Krystyna Danilecka-Wojewódzka, Karolina Wigura.
live
10 hours
10 hours
„It was awesome.” — Morawiecki asked about his meeting in Dębica
10 hours
„That old communist shouldn't be Marshal of the Sejm.” — Morawiecki on Czarzasty
10 hours
„They Don't Bother Me At All." Morawiecki on "Attacks” — from within the United Right Camp
10 hours
„I Want to Address All Local Government Officials.” — Morawiecki on a New Program
11 hours
„An Absolutely Shameless Letter from Communist Apparatchiks.” — Morawiecki on Siwiec's Letter Regarding National Security Bureau Topics
11 hours
„Let's Demand This Questionnaire Be Filled Out.” — Morawiecki on Czarzasty's Security Survey
15 hours
„It's Worth Knowing Who We're Dealing With.” — Prime Minister Poses with Anne Applebaum's Book
16 hours
Czarzasty: I Have Access to All the Most Secret Information
16 hours
Sikorski's Sejm Address Postponed. Czarzasty Announces New Date
state of play
STATE OF PLAY: Tusk Needs a New Program, an Exit from the Grey, and a Renewed Contract with Voters; Doda's Ordeal in the TVP Studio
state of play
yesterday
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02/02/2026
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01/31/2026
POLITICAL LANDSCAPE: RZ: 18 Maternity Wards Closed in Four Weeks of the New Year, Skrzydlewska: Konfederacja No Longer Terrifying, Braun Makes it Part of the Mainstream
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01/30/2026
STATE OF PLAY: Nawrocki Aims to Lead Presidency in Opposition to Warsaw Media and Daily Agendas, Res Futura: Krakow Referendum Enters the Radar
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01/29/2026