state of play: 10/01/2024
STATE OF PLAY: Tusk Soars in Trust Poll for Onet, Prof. Pakulski on Oko: Health Contribution Cuts Must Be Abandoned, Szubartowicz: No One in Poland Seriously Wants to Talk Anymore
-- THIS IS THE BEST TRUST RATING FOR TUSK SINCE NOVEMBER 2018 – IBRIS FOR ONET: “For the first time since April, Donald Tusk has moved into the leading position. Currently, 45.6% of respondents trust the Prime Minister, which is 3.6 percentage points higher than a month earlier. This is his best result since November 2018. 44.3% have a negative opinion of the head of government (-7.5 percentage points). 10.1% express a neutral view (+3.9 percentage points). Rafał Trzaskowski drops to second place in the ranking. 45.3% of respondents trust the Mayor of Warsaw (+1 percentage point). However, the politician’s negative electorate is much smaller than his party leader’s. It is 37.2% (-6.6 percentage points). 14.4% express indifference (+2.7 percentage points). Andrzej Duda is in third place for another month, with 44.1% currently trusting him (+3.1 percentage points). 39.3% do not trust the President (-9.3 percentage points), and 16.6% declare a neutral stance (+6.2 percentage points).”
-- ZBIGNIEW ZIOBRO IS THE POLITICIAN POLES TRUST THE LEAST – FURTHER FROM IBRIS FOR ONET: “As many as 71.3% of respondents have a negative view of the leader of Sovereign Poland. Only 12.5% trust him. The difference between these results is nearly 59 percentage points.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/duza-zmiana-w-sondazu-zaufania-ibris-dla-onetu-efekt-zakasanych-rekawow/k7g92z2,79cfc278
-- PIS DROPS BELOW 30% BY AS MUCH AS 2.1 PERCENTAGE POINTS, CONFEDERACY GROWS – UNITED SURVEYS FOR WP: “34.1% of respondents would vote for Civic Coalition. For the ruling party, this means a minimal drop of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous poll. Law and Justice remains in second place, with 29.5% of respondents voting for it. However, this shows a decrease of 1.5 points compared to the poll a week ago. Support for Third Way has slightly increased (by 0.6 percentage points), with 11.1% of poll participants casting their vote for it. Confederation is approaching the podium, with 10.5% of respondents wanting to vote for it, which means a significant increase of 2.1 percentage points.”
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/jest-najnowszy-sondaz-partyjny-tak-zaglosowaliby-polacy-7076681013193600a
-- WHOM WILL MINISTER MACIEJ GDULA DROWN – SCIENCE, THE LEFT, OR THE GOVERNMENT? – ESTERA FLIEGER IN RZ: “Whether Tusk will be able to easily defuse the widespread dissatisfaction solely with platitudes depends largely on the scientists themselves, and among them are voters for both the Left and Civic Coalition. The Prime Minister most likely assumes that he enjoys their unconditional support and can always threaten a return of PiS to power. However, the question is for how long.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41212501-estera-flieger-kogo-utopi-minister-maciej-gdula-nauke-lewice-czy-rzad
-- OR PERHAPS – ASK THE PRO-STATE DO-GOODERS – THE ROUND TABLE? THERE WILL BE NO ROUND TABLE HERE. NO ONE HAS SERIOUSLY WANTED TO TALK TO ANYONE IN POLAND FOR A LONG TIME – PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “Because the state – existing in limbo, wallowing in past wrongs, unable to decide whether to hold accountable firmly and effectively, or perhaps to forgive and forget, incapable of internal agreement on fundamental systemic matters – is a state of proverbial cardboard. Exposed to foreign services, incomprehensible to its own citizens. Or perhaps – ask the pro-state do-gooders – the Round Table? There will be no Round Table here. No one has seriously wanted to talk to anyone in Poland for a long time.”
-- SZUBARTOWICZ QUOTES KAZIK, WHO IS FLEEING POLAND BECAUSE HE IS STARTING TO FEAR IT: “Even if half of political Poland does not recognize these verdicts, and the other half treats them as absolutely binding, the ordinary citizen – like Kazik Staszewski on his latest album with Kwartet ProForma – is 'fleeing Poland, which he is starting to fear'. This is not cheap symmetrism that divides sins equally, because on the issue of the rule of law, the situation is black and white to PiS’s detriment, but voters understand this less and less.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-ucieczka-z-polski,nId,7825674
-- REDUCING THE HEALTH CONTRIBUTION? THIS PLAN MUST BE ABANDONED – PROF. DR HAB. N. MED. CEZARY PAKULSKI, CO-AUTHOR OF THE POLAND 2050 PROGRAM ON OKO.PRESS: “This push to reduce the health contribution is difficult to understand, especially if we recall the content of the coalition agreement regarding healthcare: 'The Coalition wants a decisive improvement in the quality and accessibility of the healthcare system. We will increase spending on healthcare. We will abolish limits on treatment by the National Health Fund. We will introduce mechanisms for hospital debt reduction and make healthcare service valuations more realistic.' The tasks listed cannot be performed by reducing healthcare spending. Today, the coalition's contribution 'fire' has somewhat subsided, and floods, whose human, social, and financial consequences are immense, have played a role in the disputes.”
-- ANNA KNYSOK AND JERZY BUZEK WERE CHARACTERIZED BY COURAGE THAT WAS LACKING IN ALL SUBSEQUENT PRIME MINISTERS, FINANCE MINISTERS, AND HEALTH MINISTERS – FURTHER FROM PROF. PAKULSKI ON OKO: “Today’s 9% is thanks to a one-time gesture by the SLD-UP government. Anna Knysok and Jerzy Buzek were characterized by courage that was lacking in all subsequent Prime Ministers, Finance Ministers, and Health Ministers. The situation in which the National Health Fund budget finds itself today, regardless of who is more to blame, presents a unique opportunity to show that there are other brave individuals who will change the healthcare system and the way funds are acquired for the NFZ and the state budget for the better, or replace it with something better.”
https://oko.press/obnizenie-skladki-zdrowotnej-ten-plan-trzeba-porzucic
-- “OF COURSE, IT’S NOT ENOUGH.” SAWICKI ON THE LIQUIDATION OF HEALTH CONTRIBUTIONS FROM THE SALE OF FIXED ASSETS – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/10/01/
-- POLISH-GERMAN RELATIONS. AFTER YEARS, TUSK WAS SUPPOSED TO BRING WARMTH, BUT THERE IS FROST – PIOTR BURAS IN GW: “Berlin has likely too quickly assumed that the mere victory of pro-European forces on October 15th means that Poland can be ticked off the German policy agenda. Donald Tusk, in turn, needs a real new beginning and success in relations with Germany to fend off the brutal opposition propaganda accusing him of being a pawn of Germany.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31347686,stosunki-polsko-niemieckie-czy-to-juz-kryzys.html
-- THE LEADERSHIP OF THE CIVIC PLATFORM PARTY HAS SUDDENLY TAKEN UP ROAD SAFETY. AND THAT’S GOOD. HOWEVER, ONE HOPES THE AUTHORITIES WILL NOT STOP HALFWAY. BECAUSE WHAT HAPPENS ON THE STREETS AND HIGHWAYS WILL SHOW WHETHER POLAND LIES IN THE EAST OR THE WEST – MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ.
https://www.rp.pl/wypadki/art41220601-michal-szuldrzynski-czy-platforma-obywatelska-wyciagnela-wnioski-z-wypadku-przy-lazienkowskiej
-- 15 YEARS SINCE RP.PL REVEALED THE GAMBLING SCANDAL.
https://www.rp.pl/kraj/art7507851-wplywowi-politycy-i-afera-hazardowa
-- 10 YEARS SINCE EWĄ KOPACZ’S EXPOSÉ.
https://www.gov.pl/web/premier/stenogram-expos-premier-ewy-kopacz
-- BIRTHDAYS: Karol Lutkowski, Jerzy Meysztowicz, Krystyna Danilecka-Wojewódzka, Karolina Wigura.
live
8 hours
8 hours
Pełczyńska-Nałęcz: Apparently, the President Believes Keeping Dogs on a Chain is Okay
8 hours
Pełczyńska-Nałęcz: The President is Trying to Usurp Power That Systemically Doesn't Belong to Him
8 hours
Nawrocki Declares End of Post-Communism. Pełczyńska-Nałęcz: Absolute Distortion of Reality
13 hours
Kosiniak-Kamysz Announces Patriot System Readiness
14 hours
„Largely Safe Now.” — Tusk on the Current Version of the Mercosur Agreement
14 hours
Visit to Budapest? Tusk: I told Orbán that as long as he protects politicians sought by us...
14 hours
"Irony of History": Tusk on Nawrocki's Decision Regarding the Round Table
14 hours
„We Have a Way to Neutralize the President's Boycott Attempts.” — Tusk on Constitutional Tribunal Changes
14 hours
„No and That's Final.” — Tusk Firmly on Government and Presidential Roles Regarding G20 and Foreign Policy
state of play
THE STATE OF PLAY: Prof. Nowak: The dream scenario - Tusk versus Braun and their allies, Prof. Marciniak: Braun is the only one consolidating the anti-system electorate. And that's the whole secret of his rise
state of play
yesterday
POLITICAL STANDING: PiS Gains in OGB Polls and Braun Nearly Overtakes Confederation, Morawiecki Seeks a Broad Right-Wing Tent à la Reagan, GW Warns of Resuming Tree Logging
state of play
12/17/2025
STATE OF PLAY: JACEK KURSKI - A KNOWN FIGURE, ALSO FOR TWEETS WITH 220 LIKES
state of play
12/16/2025
STATE OF PLAY: President in WP: Poland is not Ukraine's Antechamber, Pacewicz in Oko: President Key in the Right-Wing Power Struggle, Morawiecki in Corriere on the EU: We Have the Strictest Regulations, But No AI
state of play
12/15/2025
POLITICAL STATE OF PLAY: Szubartowicz: Coalition Carried by Inertia, but Given a Second Life; Zaremba: The Slow Twilight of the Kaczyński Era
state of play
12/13/2025
STATE OF PLAY: Kalukin: Perhaps the goal is for Braun to keep growing, as this mainly weakens PiS; Chwedoruk: In 2027, Tusk will nominate someone other than himself for Prime Minister
state of play
12/12/2025