state of play: 09/05/2024
STATE OF PLAY: PiS +4 in WP Poll, Flieger: Will the Independence March once again become not only forbidden fruit, but an anti-government protest?
-- PIS GAINS 4 POINTS IN SOCIAL CHANGES POLL FOR WP: Civic Coalition would be chosen by 34.6% - which translates to a 1.6 percentage point increase compared to the last United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska, conducted at the end of July. Law and Justice would again place second, this time with a result of 32.4%. However, in the case of this party, we can speak of a significant increase in support compared to the last survey, as much as 4.1 percentage points. Third Way would place third, receiving 9.7% of the votes. Here, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points can be observed. Confederation, although it recorded a 1 percentage point decrease compared to the previous poll, obtaining 8.6%, would this time overtake The Left - which received 8% of respondent votes.
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/przetasowania-i-topniejaca-przewaga-mamy-najnowszy-sondaz-partyjny-7067442170538592a
-- KO 34, PIS 33, KONFEDERACJA AND 3RD WAY 11 EACH, LEWICA 9 - IN A POLL FOR WPOLSCE24:
https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/704893-nasz-sondaz-ko-minimalnie-przed-pisremis-na-trzecim-miejsu
-- LESZCZYNA: I WILL DEFEND HEALTH CONTRIBUTIONS, I SEE NO CHANCE OF REDUCING THEM - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/09/05/
-- IT'S HARD NOT TO APPRECIATE THAT DONALD TUSK MAKES US, IF NOT BEAUTIFUL AND RICH, THEN AT LEAST YOUNGER - ESTERA FLIEGER IN RZ: “It’s hard not to appreciate that Donald Tusk makes us, if not beautiful and rich, then at least younger. Although Leszek Kołakowski once warned that youth can be fetishized. The Prime Minister posts a spot promoting the government program ‘From Orlik to the Stadium’. At six in the morning, the police knock on the door of Robert Bąkiewicz, the former president of the association organizing the Independence March. They also enter the organization’s headquarters. What year is it?”
-- THE MALICIOUS COULD NOTE THAT TUSK HAS EXTENDED A HELPING HAND TO NATIONALISTS - FURTHER FLIEGER IN RZ: “The malicious could note that Donald Tusk has extended a helping hand to nationalists when the Independence March has its best years behind it. It seems the Prime Minister wants to go all out, provoking and polarizing.”
-- THE INDEPENDENCE MARCH WILL AGAIN BECOME NOT ONLY FORBIDDEN FRUIT, BUT EVEN AN ANTI-GOVERNMENT PROTEST FUELLED - FLIEGER'S CONCLUSION IN RZ: “However, he might lose to himself: the Independence March will again become not only forbidden fruit, but even an anti-government protest fueled by voters mainly from Confederation, thus handed to them on a silver platter in late autumn for their presidential candidate.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41074301-estera-flieger-donald-tusk-rozliczajac-roberta-bakiewicza-wyciagnal-do-narodowcow-pomocna-dlon
-- FACT ON PIS'S ATTITUDE TOWARDS SIEWIERA: HE IS NOT OURS - AS WRITES ALEKSANDER WOJAK: “- Siewiera is not ours – a politician from the PiS camp says in an interview with 'Fakt'. (...) According to unofficial information from people close to the PiS leader, the party leader blames the head of the National Security Bureau for the police entering the palace and arresting Kaczyński’s party colleagues.”
https://www.fakt.pl/polityka/dlaczego-kaczynski-skreslil-siewiere-nieoficjalne-doniesienia-z-pis/ly0gl6m
-- HE IMPRESSED WITH HIS RESOURCEFULNESS, BECAUSE AFTER MATURA HE STARTED SUPPORTING HIMSELF, WORKING NIGHTS AS A SECURITY GUARD IN CLUBS - POLITYKA ON THE HEAD OF THE IPN KAROL NAWROCKI - AS WRITES KATARZYNA KACZOROWSKA IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “A resident of Gdańsk, son of a turner and bookbinder, now 41 years old. Married, has two sons. The older one is 21, the younger one – 14. Friends from his studies at the University of Gdańsk – he studied history from 2003–08 – say that he impressed them with his resourcefulness, because after high school he began to support himself, working nights as a security guard in clubs. Sports helped him in this work – he was a footballer for KKS Gedania, and in 2004, representing RKS Stoczniowiec, he won first place in a regional boxing tournament for juniors in the up to 91 kg category for the Polish Cup.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2269325,1,nawrocki-na-prezydenta-jest-na-krotkiej-liscie-prezesa-wielu-w-pis-uwaza-go-za-faworyta-liczy-sie-tez-boks
-- THE PRESIDENT OF THE SUPREME COURT MAŁGORZATA MANOWSKA HAS A CHANCE TO BECOME FOR THE RULING COALITION WHAT PRESIDENT MAŁGORZATA GERSDORF WAS FOR PIS - TOMASZ PIETRYGA IN RZ: “Donald Tusk’s words about an attack on a pseudo-court, the conviction of a crime being committed there, and the request for criminal prosecution of the head of the most important institution of the third branch of government are atomically strong, as they are based on a frontal negation of the institutional position of this body and its leadership. These words are also Tusk’s commitment to his own electorate, eager for change and accountability.”
https://www.rp.pl/opinie-prawne/art41073251-tomasz-pietryga-slowa-donalda-tuska-o-sn-i-prezes-manowskiej-sa-atomowe
-- FOR PIS, AN IMPORTANT ELEMENT, ON THE ONE HAND HOPE, ON THE OTHER THREAT, IS THE FACT THAT THESE PROPORTIONS BETWEEN PIS AND KONFEDERACJA HAVE CLEARLY WORSENED - PROF. JAROSŁAW FLIS IN CONVERSATION WITH ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: “For PiS, an important element, on the one hand hope, on the other threat, is that these proportions between PiS and Konfederacja have clearly worsened. In 2019, when Confederation entered parliament, PiS had seven times greater support, and now in polls it has perhaps three, and sometimes twice as much. This is a completely different balance of power. It is a threat from a different direction than what PiS politicians are used to. It is always a question of how to position oneself in such a rivalry.”
-- IT IS THEIR PROPORTIONS THAT DECIDE WHAT CHANCES PLATFORMA AND PIS HAVE OF HOLDING THE OFFICE OF PRIME MINISTER - FURTHER FLIS TO BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: “For now, it looks like three versus two – and these two smaller KO coalition partners are twice as strong as Confederation. Although there are polls in which they are weaker. It is their proportions that decide what chances Platform and PiS have of holding the office of Prime Minister.”
-- THE PARTY SYSTEM THAT HAS DEVELOPED HAS ITS OWN LOGIC, A CHANGE IS POSSIBLE, THIS CHANGE REQUIRES A FEW PERCENTAGE POINTS OF SHIFT IN SUPPORT, NO REVOLUTION IS NEEDED FOR THIS - FLIS TELLS BARTKIEWICZ: “The party system that has developed has its own logic, change is possible, this change requires a few percentage points of change in support, no revolution, no great tsunami is needed for this. Everyone has to try: if they don't try, they weaken, if they try, they have a chance to win. For democracy, it seems, this is optimal.”
https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art41074091-prof-jaroslaw-flis-o-sondazu-partyjnym-rz-ten-uklad-ma-logike-wszyscy-musza-sie-starac
-- RUSSIAN SPY PAWEŁ RUBCOW, BEFORE BEING EXTRADITED TO RUSSIA, HAD FULL ACCESS TO POLISH INVESTIGATION MATERIALS, INCLUDING CLASSIFIED ONES, ALTHOUGH THE PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE COULD HAVE DENIED HIM DUE TO “PROTECTION OF STATE INTERESTS” – “RZECZPOSPOLITA” HAS ESTABLISHED - WRITE GRAŻYNA ZAWADKA AND IZABELA KACPRZAK IN RZ.
https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art41074461-szpieg-gru-wyjechal-z-polski-z-tajna-wiedza-czy-sluzby-mogly-mu-odmowic-dostepu-do-akt
-- THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DEMOCRATIC COALITION, WHICH INCREASED THE ALREADY HIGH BUDGET DEFICIT, SHOWS NO INTENTION OF PURSUING A MORE RATIONAL EXPENDITURE POLICY - WITOLD GADOMSKI IN GW: “The government of the democratic coalition, which has increased the already high budget deficit, shows no intention of pursuing a more rational expenditure policy. However, Poland is in excessive deficit procedures, and the government will have to gradually reduce the deficit. Therefore, tax increases will be inevitable. The government will probably explain that higher burdens will affect the richer, as well as corporations achieving extraordinary profits, and poorer taxpayers will be protected.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31279002,okiem-liberala-w-gospodarce-czesto-wazniejsze-jest-to-czego.html
-- 262 THOUSAND VIEWERS OF "WIADOMOŚCI" IN WPOLSCE24:
https://wpolityce.pl/media/704914-swietne-wyniki-ogladalnosci-wpolsce24-ponad-262-tys-widzow
-- BIRTHDAYS: Waldemar Pawlak, Bartek Godusławski, Grzegorz Zaleski, Mariusz Szczygieł, Łukasz Rzepecki, Bartosz Milczarczyk, Krzysztof Nakonieczny.
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