state of play: 08/20/2024

STATE OF PLAY: Michalski: Governing Poland wears everyone down, it's like a bath in acid; Szubartowicz: Polarization will only grow, and the smaller players will sink further

Łukasz Mężyk

-- THE GOVERNMENT IS PREPARING FUNDS FOR A NUCLEAR POWER PLANT. UP TO PLN 60 BILLION - ANDRZEJ KUBLIK IN GW: “It is assumed that equity financing of approximately PLN 60 billion will be provided through capital injections to the company from the state budget or treasury securities. The remaining funds to cover 70 percent of the expenses are to be secured through loans and credit from financial institutions, including the American Exim Bank.” https://wyborcza.biz/biznes/7,179190,31237031,rzad-szykuje-kase-na-elektrownie-atomowa-do-60-mld-zl.html -- IT'S GOOD THAT CHANCELLOR SCHOLZ IS SILENT ABOUT NORD STREAM - JĘDRZEJ BIELECKI IN RZ: “Close economic cooperation with Putin's Russia was the biggest foreign policy failure of post-war Germany. Berlin rightly does not want to relativize this by returning to the matter of the destruction of the Nord Stream gas pipeline under the Baltic Sea.” -- BERLIN HAS GIVEN FULL CONSENT TO THE USE OF GERMAN WEAPONS IN THE FIRST ATTACK ON RUSSIA IN 80 YEARS. AND THIS SEEMS DECISIVE - BIELECKI CONTINUES IN RZ: “In order not to fuel anti-Ukrainian sentiments in the territory of the former GDR, Chancellor Scholz avoids commenting on both the destruction of Nord Stream and the offensive of the Ukrainians in the Kursk region. However, Berlin has given full consent to the use of German weapons in the first attack on Russia in 80 years. And this seems decisive.” https://www.rp.pl/publicystyka/art40989231-jedrzej-bielecki-dobrze-ze-kanclerz-scholz-milczy-o-nord-stream -- IT'S GOOD THAT THERE ARE AREAS EXCLUDED FROM THIS DISPUTE - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “PiS and PO draw completely different visions of Poland, its role in Europe, the meaning of words such as 'democracy' and 'rule of law'. They have fought each other for years and will continue to fight for years to come. Such is the nature of politics. But it is good that there are areas excluded from this dispute. And it is good that we hear a clear voice today: we will not be drawn into any ambiguous games.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art40988381-michal-szuldrzynski-wybuch-nord-stream-nie-naruszyl-politycznego-konsensusu-w-polsce-ws-wojny-w-ukrainie -- THE RULING PARTY SHOULD ONLY CHECK IF THE CHOICE WAS GOOD TODAY, NOT BE OUTRAGED THAT OTHERS WERE CHOSEN INSTEAD - BOGUSŁAW CHRABOTA IN RZ: “So where is the scandal? Is it only because the contract for the National Ammunition Reserve program was signed with the previous government? Well, for the sake of national security, they had to choose someone, and today the ruling party should only check if the choice was good, not be outraged that these particular individuals were chosen. Besides, I suspect these latter ones of inspiring the 'scandal'.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art40988911-boguslaw-chrabota-pgz-z-amunicja-sama-sobie-nie-poradzi -- FOR TUSK, ACCOUNTABILITY IS SUCH A BLOW TO THE POLITICAL ELITE OF LAW AND JUSTICE THAT IT IS MEANT TO PREVENT KACZYŃSKI FROM EFFECTIVELY CONDUCTING THE PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN OF THE PIS CANDIDATE - CEZARY MICHALSKI IN INTERIA: “For Tusk, 'accountability' is such a blow to the political elite of Law and Justice that it will prevent Kaczyński from choosing a good candidate and conducting an effective presidential campaign. Tusk is firing live rounds and blanks, just to make as much noise as possible. He knows how sensitive the ears of Law and Justice activists are, especially if they had anything to do with funds, foundations, and associations that were used for eight years to build the party's strength (and that of some of its members) using public money.” -- THE ABILITY TO SURVIVE TWO FULL TERMS IN OPPOSITION (SOMETIMES ONE IS ENOUGH) MEANS GUARANTEED VICTORY IN POLISH POLITICS - MICHALSKI CONTINUES IN INTERIA: “Governing Poland wears everyone down; it's like a bath in acid. Therefore, the ability to survive two full terms in opposition (sometimes one is enough) means guaranteed victory in Polish politics.” -- KACZYŃSKI WAS ALSO CONVINCED THAT IN 2015 HE WAS STARTING TO DEFINITIVELY ARRANGE THE POLITICAL SCENE. SINCE HE WAS WRONG, TUSK CAN BE WRONG TOO - MICHALSKI'S CONCLUSION: “However, Kaczyński was also convinced that in 2015 he was starting to definitively arrange the political scene. Since he was wrong, Tusk can be wrong too. For now, however, Tusk holds the stronger cards.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-do-czego-tusk-potrzebuje-rozliczen,nId,7758394 -- GREAT NATIONAL POLARIZATION WILL CONTINUE - PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “There is great anticipation in politics for the end of the holidays, as if it were to bring some breakthrough decisions or events. However, nothing of the sort will happen for now, because in the coming months - until the presidential elections next year - great national polarization will continue.” -- THE INCREASING WEAKNESS WILL START TO TAKE ITS TOLL ON THE THIRD WAY AND NEW LEFT, WHO - WILTING - WILL FIGHT A FIERCE BATTLE TO STAY ABOVE THE POLLING THRESHOLD - SZUBARTOWICZ CONTINUES IN INTERIA: “The increasing weakness will start to take its toll on the Third Way and New Left, who - wilting - will fight a fierce battle to stay above the polling threshold. Moves such as the absurd letter from left-wing minister Katarzyna Kotula to TVP authorities, in which she criticizes the choice of guests on a program about gender in sports, will certainly not help her formation, because one cannot combine the fight for equality with the authorities' pressure on the media and censorship impulses.” -- BOTH RELUCTANTLY SHARE POWER - SZUBARTOWICZ'S CONCLUSION: “While the prime minister and the opposition leader differ in everything - primarily in their vision of Poland - there is something that unites them in the political arena. Both reluctantly share power. Therefore, they will do a lot to avoid a post-election situation where they are forced to do so. https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-dyskretny-urok-przewidywalnosci,nId,7759487 -- THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT, BEFORE IT FALLS APART DUE TO INTERNAL FRICTIONS AND GRINDING, SHOULD FULFILL JUST ONE OF MY WISHES: GATHER ALL MONUMENTS OF JOHN PAUL II, LECH KACZYŃSKI, AND THE Smoleńsk CATASTROPHE IN ONE PLACE, CREATE A THEME PARK THERE AND EARN MONEY IN THIS WAY, AND FREE THE TORMENTED POLISH PUBLIC SPACE FROM THIS NIGHTMARE - KRZYSZTOF VARGA IN NEWSWEEK: “Hungary is not the best role model today for obvious and indisputable reasons, but it has one place that can be an inspiration for the current authorities: the phenomenal Memento Park near Budapest, where all monuments from the communist era are gathered, all the Lenins and Stalins, and evidence of gratitude to the Red Army, not to mention bronze Hungarian heroes.” https://www.newsweek.pl/opinie/varga-obecny-rzad-niech-spelni-tylko-jedno-moje-zyczenie/p9yw4cy -- IF WE WANT A PRESIDENT WHO WILL NEVER AGREE TO THE INTRODUCTION OF NEW TAXES OR THE INCREASE OF EXISTING TAXES, THEN IT IS SŁAWOMIR MENTZEN - PRZEMYSŁAW WIPLER IN INTERIA IN AN INTERVIEW WITH MARTA KURZYŃSKA: “We support the tax-free allowance of PLN 60,000. But at the same time, a president from our group will not hesitate to veto. If we want a president who will never agree to the introduction of new taxes or the increase of taxes, then it is Sławomir Mentzen. If we want a president who will not agree to laws transferring competencies from the national to the European level, then it is Sławomir Mentzen.” -- MANY POLES DO NOT WANT THE RETURN OF PIS, AND AT THE SAME TIME THEY DO NOT WANT A STATE IN WHICH DONALD TUSK AND HIS COLLEAGUES WILL BE ABLE TO DO ANYTHING, WITHOUT ANY SAFEGUARD IN THE PERSON OF THE PRESIDENT - WIPLER CONTINUES IN INTERIA: “We remember the phenomenon of Paweł Kukiz, who started from scratch. If he had started with a dozen or so percent, he could have won the elections. Many Poles do not want the return of PiS, and at the same time they do not want a state in which Donald Tusk and his colleagues will be able to do anything, without any safeguard in the person of the president.” -- WE ARE THE UNPLANNED CHILD OF THE TECHNOLOGICAL REVOLUTION, AND READING SOCIAL MEDIA IS LIKE LOOKING AT SOCIAL MOODS LIKE A THERMOMETER - WIPLER TELLS KURZYŃSKA: “We are the unplanned child of the technological revolution, and reading social media is like looking at social moods like a thermometer. Jarosław Kaczyński and other older generation politicians do not understand this. They live in a bubble, and we will show that it is possible to get out of it. Our candidate has a vision, and this will be a campaign like no other. We will break the polarization.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/kraj/news-przemyslaw-wipler-czas-pis-minal-bezpowrotnie-boja-sie-wszys,nId,7759508 -- THE POLISH GREEN PARTY, A CO-FOUNDER OF THE CIVIC COALITION, IS CONSIDERING NOMINATING ITS OWN CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT IN NEXT YEAR'S ELECTIONS - ACCORDING TO OUR INFORMATION - PIOTR ŚMIŁOWICZ IN GAZETA.PL: “Two factions are clashing within the party - one believes that the Greens should be loyal to the Civic Coalition and support the KO candidate, or support the candidate of the entire ruling coalition if there is one. The second faction is of the opinion that the party should emphasize its ideological identity more strongly, and the presidential elections could be a good opportunity for this.” -- TO MAKE THINGS EVEN MORE AMUSING, KLAUDIA JACHIRA'S NAME APPEARS IN PIOTR ŚMIŁOWICZ'S ARTICLE: https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31236281,zgrzyt-w-sercu-koalicji-klaudia-jachira-na-prezydentke.html -- FATHER SPUREK, BROTHER OLEJNICZAK.... FAMILIES OF WELL-KNOWN POLITICIANS IN STATE-OWNED COMPANIES - IZABELA KACPRZAK IN RZ: https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art40988921-ojciec-spurek-brat-olejniczaka-rodziny-znanych-politykow-w-panstwowych-spolkach -- SALARY INCREASES IN AN INSTITUTION STAFFED BY SZYMON HOŁOWNIA'S PEOPLE - RZ: “The increase in salaries in the council may be surprising, because Minister Pełczyńska-Nałęcz dismissed the management board of KZN at the end of last year, citing the need to 'curb Byzantium' in this institution. This was supposed to involve, among other things, a 'shocking' increase in expenditure on salaries in the years 2018–2023.” https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art40988891-podwyzki-w-instytucji-obsadzonej-przez-ludzi-szymona-holowni -- 94TH ANNIVERSARY OF JAN OLSZEWSKI'S BIRTH. -- THE JAN OLSZEWSKI ARCHIVE FOUNDATION: “He was born into a railway family, not in Warsaw - as is commonly believed - but in Jabłonna near Warsaw, where his parents owned a summer house. … Nine years of my life were spent in the Second Polish Republic… … I remember my first independent reading - Professor Marian Falski's 'Primer'… … PKP was an institution that had class. Employees performed railway, public service. My idea in childhood was that when I grow up, I will become a railwayman...” https://ipn.gov.pl/pl/aktualnosci/65632,Jan-Olszewski-Moje-rodzinne-historie-ktore-opowiadam-pierwszy-raz-w-zyciu-wlasci.html -- BIRTHDAYS: Barbara Imiołczyk, Dorota Niedziela, Adam Korol, Mariusz Gosek, Leszek Jastrzębski.

Łukasz Mężyk