state of play: 07/20/2024

STATE OF PLAY: Myrcha a Scapegoat? Kosiniak-Kamysz Faces Difficult Times, Polish Sentiment Takes a Hit

Łukasz Mężyk

-- 93RD BIRTH ANNIVERSARY OF ZOFIA KURATOWSKA. She passed away in 1999 at the age of just 68. -- ZOFIA KURATOWSKA: A POLITICIAN AND DOCTOR LIKE NO OTHER – WROTE ELŻBIETA CICHOCKA IN WYSOKIE OBCASY: “Groups of discriminated people – Roma, disabled individuals, people with AIDS – turned to her. She was a pioneer in advocating for electoral quotas, rights for LGBT communities, and initiated work on a law to remove architectural barriers for the disabled. Together with Małgorzata Fuszara and Eleonora Zielińska, she worked on the law concerning the equal status of women and men.” https://www.wysokieobcasy.pl/wysokie-obcasy/7,53662,18036420,zofia-kuratowska-polityczka-i-lekarka-jakich-juz-nie-ma.html -- A HIT TO POLISH SENTIMENT - MIKOŁAJ FIDZIŃSKI IN GAZETA.PL: “Unfortunately, the latest GUS data on Polish consumer sentiment indicates a fairly clear deterioration. The Current Consumer Confidence Index – which encompasses both our assessments of the past twelve months and predictions for the next year – at -14 points is the lowest reading this year. The differences might not be enormous (the CCIS has fluctuated this year between -14 and -11.5 points), and generally, our sentiment remains better or significantly better than for almost the entire period since the pandemic outbreak in 2020. Nevertheless, the upward trend from 2023 is no longer evident.” -- THIS IS A MEASURE OF OUR EXPECTATIONS FOR THE NEXT 12 MONTHS. THE LCCCI STOOD AT -11.6 POINTS IN JULY, THE WORST RESULT SINCE JUNE 2023 - FIDZIŃSKI CONTINUES IN GAZETA.PL: “However, everything deteriorates when we look to the future. This is what the Leading Consumer Confidence Index indicates. It is a measure of our expectations for the next 12 months. In July, the LCCCI stood at -11.6 points, which was the worst result since June 2023, over a year ago. Again, the differences may not be drastic (the LCCCI's peak in the past year was in January, at -3.8 points), but they are present.” -- GUS DATA INDICATES THAT POLES' EXPECTATIONS REGARDING THE CHANGE IN THEIR FINANCIAL SITUATION ARE THE WORST SINCE JUNE 2023 - FIDZIŃSKI CONTINUES: “GUS data indicates that Poles' expectations regarding the change in their financial situation are the worst since June 2023. Since August 2023, we have not worried about Poland's economic situation with such concern. Since January 2023, we have not had such poor premonitions regarding the pace of price increases over the next year, and since March 2023 – concerning the increase in unemployment.” https://next.gazeta.pl/next/7,151003,31145103,tapniecie-w-nastrojach-polakow-tak-zle-nie-bylo-od-wielu-miesiecy.html -- CBOS ON THE DETERIORATION OF ASSESSMENTS OF THE PUBLIC SPHERE: “Compared to the January measurement, the most significant change is an increase in the sense of powerlessness and helplessness (by 12 percentage points). There has also been an increase in those feeling anxiety (up by 5 percentage points) and weariness (up by 4 percentage points). Conversely, fewer people experienced states such as surprise and astonishment (down by 5 percentage points) and relief and relaxation (down by 4 percentage points).” https://cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/flashe_tekst.php?nr=31/2024 -- GROWING DISSATISFACTION AMONG RULING COALITION VOTERS - CBOS CONTINUES: “Among KO voters, fear has increased by 10%, and helplessness by 15%. The KO electorate is feeling less joy (a drop of 10%) and less pride (11% less than six months ago). Voters for the Third Way are feeling less joy, with a drop of 12%. However, fear and helplessness have increased. Here, there's a jump of over 10%. The Left electorate feels the most helplessness, with an increase of 19%. Left voters are also feeling less joy and pride, with drops of over 10%.” https://wpolityce.pl/spoleczenstwo/699478-sondaz-coraz-wiecej-polakow-przygnebionych-sytuacja-w-kraju -- AS CAN BE HEARD FROM KO POLITICIANS, IT CANNOT BE RULED OUT THAT IN SUCH A CASE, DEPUTY MINISTER OF JUSTICE AND KO MP ARKADIUSZ MYRCHA MAY BECOME THE "SCAPEGOAT" - PIOTR ŚMIŁOWICZ IN GAZETA.PL: “However, in political circles, it is heard that an argument against Korneluk's resignation is the complicated procedure for appointing his potential successor, and an additional problem are legal doubts surrounding the dismissal of his predecessor, Dariusz Barski. Therefore, as can be heard from KO politicians, it cannot be ruled out that in such a case, Deputy Minister of Justice and KO MP Arkadiusz Myrcha may become the "scapegoat." He commissioned the legal opinions on which the National Prosecutor's Office waived the request for immunity from ZPRE. He is also responsible for parliamentary contacts in the Ministry of Justice.” -- IF SOMEONE EXPECTS MY RESIGNATION FOR COMMISSIONING OBJECTIVE EXPERT OPINIONS, BY ALL MEANS, I CAN LEAVE - MYRCHA TELLS ŚMIŁOWICZ: “- If someone expects my resignation for commissioning objective expert opinions, by all means, I can leave - Myrcha tells us. In his opinion, the expert opinions he commissioned were not, contrary to the accusations made, "political," because they are thorough and of a high legal standard. They also do not definitively settle the issue of immunity in ZPRE.” https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31157843,sprawa-romanowskiego-ko-ma-kandydata-na-kozla-ofiarnego.html -- WŁADYSŁAW KOSINIAK-KAMYSZ IS HAVING DIFFICULT WEEKS - THE THESIS OF PIOTR GŁUCHOWSKI'S ARTICLE IN GW. -- I AM THE CHAIRMAN OF THE SUPREME COUNCIL OF PSL AND THIS SUITS ME. I ALSO DISAGREE WITH THE THESIS THAT LEADERSHIP NEEDS TO BE CHANGED - WALDEMAR PAWLAK TELLS GŁUCHOWSKI: “- Perhaps you will become president for the third time? – I ask Pawlak. - I am the Chairman of the Supreme Council of PSL and this suits me. I also disagree with the thesis that leadership needs to be changed. President Kosiniak received strong, widespread support at the last congress. The party stands behind him. - Only at the same time, you are not doing well in the elections…” -- THE DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER IS GETTING LOST - SAYS AN ANONYMOUS CONFEDERATION MEP IN A CONVERSATION WITH GŁUCHOWSKI IN GW: “- The Deputy Prime Minister is getting lost - an anonymous Confederation MEP tells me. – He has taken on the role of defender of the homeland, but at the same time, he is being held accountable for the troubles of agriculture and the entire government, easily outmaneuvered by Tusk, the Left, Hołownia, PiS. Someone rightly wrote online that while Hołownia may not have finished university or seminary, he might end the over a century-long history of PSL. Perhaps Kosiniak will be for his party what Miller was for the SLD: the last one who mattered.” https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,31145103,w-pis-wiekszosc-poslow-ma-takie-same-poglady-na-zycie-odpytuje.html -- THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT THE LAW IS AXIOLOGICALLY TRANSPARENT. IT IS NOT AND WILL NOT BE, REGARDLESS OF HOW PARTIALLY IT IS PRESENTED BY LEFT-WING CIRCLES - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “Therefore, the argument that we should build the law in such a way that it imposes nothing on anyone is a harmful fiction. The state, law, and customs always contain a certain normative vision, a conviction about what is good and what is bad, a vision of how people should live and what they should not do. Various sources contribute to such convictions. Although the Church's influence on Poles is diminishing year by year, it remains a significant axiological point of reference for many. Even if not everyone shares its entire teaching, the broadly understood Christian heritage still provides an ethical framework from which a large part of our tradition originates. However – as the constitution states – there are also other sources from which people derive their most important values. Therefore, fortunately, the Catechism of the Catholic Church is not the same as the penal code. But this does not yet mean that the law is axiologically transparent. It is not and will not be, regardless of how partial the presentation by left-wing circles may be.” https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art40833541-michal-szuldrzynski-prawo-nigdy-nie-bedzie-przezroczyste-w-kwestii-aborcji-rowniez Photo. Mieczysław Michalak, KARTA Centre archives -- BIRTHDAYS: Czesław Mroczek, Jarosław Rusiecki. SUNDAY: Jacek Sauk, Adam Malczak, Wojciech Kasprowski, Jan Kulas.

Łukasz Mężyk