state of play: 07/18/2024

POLITICAL SHIFT: Wielowieyska on KO's Damage Control Strategy for Urban Voters and Abortion, Przyborska's Rebuke to the Left Over Its Electorate's Actions Towards Soldiers

Łukasz Mężyk

-- I AM PROFOUNDLY MOVED BY THE PASSING OF SUCH AN OUTSTANDING FIGURE IN POLISH CULTURE. WITH GREAT APPRECIATION AND RESPECT, I THINK OF PROFESSOR JERZY STUHR'S SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS TO OUR HOMELAND – PRESIDENT ANDRZEJ DUDA TO THE WIDOW OF THE LATE JERZY STUHR. https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31152722,pogrzeb-jerzego-stuhra-wyjatkowy-gest-andrzeja-dudy-to-wyslal.html -- HOŁOWNIA: WE MUST QUICKLY RESOLVE ACCOUNTABILITIES, WE CANNOT DRAG OUR FEET FOR THE ENTIRE TERM – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/07/18/ -- KO'S IDEA FOR MINIMIZING LOSSES: YOUNG URBAN VOTERS WILL GET CIVIL UNIONS AND LOSE SOME ENTHUSIASM FOR ABORTION – DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: “I understand that the conviction about the power of PR and symbols dominates: 'they were supposed to put a former deputy minister in prison and nothing happened,' but the court's verdict, determining (or not) guilt, will be important. If Donald Tusk decided on some quick dismissals now, he would make a mistake. Politicians should leave this matter to the prosecution, which – even if it makes mistakes – is already acting on its own.” -- KO SEJM DEPUTIES MISLED TUSK REGARDING THE ESTIMATED NUMBER OF OPPOSING VOTES IN PSL – WIELOWIEYSKA CONTINUES IN GW: “According to my sources in government circles, the Prime Minister was displeased after this vote because KO Sejm deputies misled him regarding the estimated number of opposing votes in PSL. He believed that decriminalization had a chance, which is why he posted the famous entry.” -- PSL WANTS TUSK TO CONCEDE ON MANY PERSONNEL MATTERS CONCERNING THE APPOINTMENT OF STATE INSTITUTIONS AND COMPANIES – WIELOWIEYSKA WRITES FURTHER IN GW: “But besides that – perhaps even primarily – PSL wants Tusk to concede on many personnel matters concerning the staffing of state institutions and state-owned companies. The Peasants' Party felt that the Prime Minister had dominated the Third Way, that the PSL leader Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz was too submissive, so now they have stood their ground. It cannot be ruled out that negotiations will begin today, first between envoys, and then between the leaders themselves, on a whole package of solutions that the coalition must address.” -- IS GIERTYCH THINKING ABOUT HOW TO ESCAPE THE SUSPENSION? AND IS HE VOLUNTEERING TO NEGOTIATE SUCH A DECRIMINALIZATION LAW WITH PSL FOR THAT REASON? – STILL WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: “After the court's decision regarding Romanowski's arrest, the situation has somewhat reversed: Bodnar found himself in a difficult position, and Giertych triumphantly announced the prosecution's 'disgrace' on platform X. But then he posted more restrained entries. Is this because he is thinking about how to escape his suspension? And is he volunteering to negotiate with PSL a decriminalization law that the Peasants' Party would be willing to swallow: we are limiting responsibility for aiding and abetting abortion for close relatives, we are giving doctors guarantees that they will not be prosecuted if they decide to perform an abortion in ambiguous situations concerning the woman's health. Just as the imagined electorate likes it: we are showing common sense and a humane approach, but we are not legalizing.” -- FORTUNATELY FOR KO AND TUSK, BOTH BLUNDERS OCCURRED IN THE SUMMER – WIELOWIEYSKA'S CONCLUSION: “Fortunately for KO and Tusk, both blunders occurred in the summer, when many Poles prefer to think about vacations rather than politics, and there is still a year until the presidential elections, so there is time to make up for political losses.” https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,31152146,tusk-ma-dwa-problemy-oraz-trzy-atuty-dude-giertycha-i-wakacje.html -- WHY DONALD TUSK UNINTENTIONALLY GREATLY HELPED MARCIN ROMANOWSKI – MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “With his post on platform X, Donald Tusk makes it harder for ordinary Poles, outside of the core electorates, to believe that the arrest of Marcin Romanowski and the Fundusz Sprawiedliwości [Justice Fund] is solely about holding the PiS governments accountable for scandalous abuses, and not about political theater.” -- TUSK SERIOUSLY DAMAGED THIS MATTER – SZUŁDRZYŃSKI'S CONCLUSION: “The matter of the Justice Fund requires clarification, because the facts we already know show that Suwerenna Polska [Sovereign Poland] MPs confused it with their own election fund. But with his posts on platform X, Donald Tusk has seriously harmed this matter.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art40828001-michal-szuldrzynski-dlaczego-donald-tusk-niechcacy-bardzo-pomogl-marcinowi-romanowskiemu -- THE ARREST OF ROMANOWSKI CLEARLY SHOWS THAT IT IS HIGH TIME TO ABANDON THE ROMANTIC PRACTICE OF CREATING LEGAL FACTS BASED ON THE OPINIONS OF EXPERTS WHO OFTEN DO SO SOLELY FOR MONEY OR DUE TO POLITICAL SYMPATHIES – TOMASZ PIETRYGA IN RZ: “Let us hope that Dariusz Korneluk's words are merely an inept defense, and that the prosecution will never again take shortcuts in such serious matters as an attempted arrest. Decisions in a state of law must be based on a rigorous analysis of law, procedures, accountability, and common sense, not on expert interpretations and haste. Because it is the latter, not the quality of the charges, that led to the prosecution's failure in the case of Marcin Romanowski.” -- IT MUST ALSO BE CLEARLY EMPHASIZED THAT ELEVEN SERIOUS CHARGES HAVE BEEN FORMULATED AGAINST THE SUWERENNA POLSKA MP, WHICH THE INVESTIGATIVE FAILURE DOES NOT NEGATE – PIETRYGA WRITES IN RZ. https://www.rp.pl/opinie-prawne/art40826731-tomasz-pietryga-czego-w-sprawie-marcina-romanowskiego-nie-rozumie-prokurator-dariusz-korneluk -- OF COURSE, IT HARMS THE RULING CAMP MORE, PiS CAN SPEAK OF A TEMPORARY SUCCESS – PROF. ANTONI DUDEK WITH JACEK NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: “We witnessed a show from both sides, which – rightly – was stopped by the court's decision. Of course, it harms the ruling camp more; PiS can speak of a temporary success. However, this does not change the fact that the matter of the Justice Fund will continue to drag on, but perhaps Tusk and his subordinates will be more cautious now – Dudek noted.” -- THE ENTIRE OPERATION TO ARREST MARCIN ROMANOWSKI WAS SUPPOSED TO BE A PR MOVE FOR THE RULING CAMP'S ELECTORATE – PROF. DUDEK FURTHER WITH NIZINKIEWICZ: “I note with regret that the same thing that once characterized Zbigniew Ziobro and PiS is now beginning to characterize the other side of the political scene. The entire operation to arrest Marcin Romanowski was supposed to be a PR move for the ruling camp's electorate.” https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art40831831-prof-antoni-dudek-sprawa-marcina-romanowskiego-pr-owa-zagrywka-chciano-osiagnac-efekt-propagandowy -- WHO IZABELA LESZCZYNA DOES NOT BELIEVE, AND WHY DON'T I BELIEVE HER? – AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: “I consider the comparison of Judyta Watoła to Janusz Cieszyński to be unbearably foolish. I do not believe that Izabela Leszczyna believes that anything could connect them. And in the future, it would be better if, when accusing someone of lying, she provided some examples of deviating from the truth. If such exist at all.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31150819,komu-nie-wierzy-izabela-leszczyna-i-dlaczego-jej-nie-wierze.html -- ERNEST SKALSKI IN GW ON PRIMARIES IN CIVIC PLATFORM: “If they were to take place, they should be taken quite seriously. Their winner – Trzaskowski, Sienkiewicz, Sikorski, Siemoniak, or Klich – would already have one victory behind them, and would be legitimized by the support of a large collective, not just the leadership. Civic Coalition would show that it has a group of good candidates. While Kaczyński is still looking for someone who would fit his criteria, the most important of which are a weak character and obedience.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31144588,kandydaci-na-prezydenta-niezly-i-lepszy.html -- LEWICA, YOUR ELECTORATE IS SHOWING SOLDIERS ITS BARE ASS – KATARZYNA PRZYBORSKA IN KRYTYKA POLITYCZNA: “Who can we count on, if not Lewica, when from the parliamentary tribune there is fervent incitement to hatred, to violence, to shooting without trial, without considering the case, when people are collectively accused of banditry? We are one step away from patterns we know very well, and this is almost on the anniversary of the Jedwabne murders. (...) You should represent them. This is your electorate: brave, intolerant of systemic violence directed at the weakest. This is your electorate: living on the fringes of a community ready to forge clubs, capable of standing against authorities for victims of violence, genocide, and purges. You will not have another.” https://krytykapolityczna.pl/kraj/lewico-to-twoj-elektorat-pokazuje-zolnierzom-dupe/ -- BIRTHDAYS: Jacek Fedorowicz (87), Renata Beger, Anna Milczanowska, Radosław Lubczyk.

Łukasz Mężyk