state of play: 05/31/2024

STATE OF PLAY: Poll Shows Overwhelming Opposition to Trzaskowski's Decision, Krzemiński: Tusk Poses for Photos Like Błaszczak and Doesn't Talk to People

Łukasz Mężyk

-- ŚMISZEK: UNLIKE KIERWIŃSKI, I CLAPPED AT "GREEN BORDER" - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/05/31 -- AS MANY AS 43.9% OF RESPONDENTS EVALUATED TRZASKOWSKI'S DECISION ON CROSSES NEGATIVELY, AND ANOTHER 12.1% – RATHER NEGATIVELY - RZ: “IBRiS, commissioned by 'Rzeczpospolita', asked Poles about this (between May 23 and 24). And as many as 43.9% of respondents evaluated this decision negatively, and another 12.1% – rather negatively. 35.2% of respondents have a positive opinion about it – with 22% evaluating it as decidedly positive.” https://www.rp.pl/spoleczenstwo/art40516511-sondaz-czy-polacy-chca-zdejmowania-krzyzy-w-urzedach -- POLL: AFTER THE PUBLICATION OF TOMASZ MRAZ'S TAPES, SUPPORT FOR PIS INCREASED, FOR KO DECREASED - HEADLINE IN RZECZPOSPOLITA ONLINE: “The Civic Coalition and Law and Justice would achieve almost identical results in elections to the Sejm – according to the latest poll by Opinia24. However, compared to April, support for KO has significantly decreased, and for PiS – increased.” -- RZ WRITES ABOUT THE COLLAPSE IN KO'S RESULTS: “29.8% of respondents polled by Opinia24 declared a vote for Law and Justice. This means an increase in support by 3.4 percentage points compared to the previous survey, conducted in the first half of April. The Civic Coalition came second in the poll – currently, 29.7% of respondents in the survey want to vote for it. In this case, support has fallen by 4.1 percentage points over the last month. This is the biggest collapse among all parties.” https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art40510361-sondaz-po-publikacji-tasm-tomasza-mraza-poparcie-dla-pis-wzroslo-dla-ko-spadlo -- SUWART, KOTECKA AND OTHER SECRETS OF THE JUSTICE FUND. NEW RECORDINGS - WOJCIECH CZUCHNOWSKI IN GW: “Behind the mysterious Krzysztof Suwart stood Mirończuk, who was an employee of the ministry (WP.pl published, among others, a flattering interview with Romanowski in 2018). However, some of the texts signed with this pseudonym were also created by portal journalists, who received payment for them. It is unknown who delivered the finished articles from the Ministry of Justice to the editorial office. OKO.press pointed to Kotecka here. At WP.pl, Suwart's texts were 'distributed' by, among others, Machała. Mirończuk's first name is Krzysztof; according to 'Wyborcza' sources, he worked at WP.pl until around 2018. He then found employment in the Ministry of Justice. His wife, Aneta Jakubiak-Mirończuk, headed the European Funds Department there. Today, Krzysztof Mirończuk runs his own business. He works as a freelancer and author of sponsored articles. His texts – as sponsored materials – appear on WP.pl, PB.pl, and money.pl, among others.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31018282,suwart-kotecka-i-inne-tajemnice-funduszu-sprawiedliwosci-nowe.html -- THE MINISTRY'S MAFIA ARRANGES TESTIMONIES - WOJCIECH CZUCHNOWSKI IN GW: “Recordings of conversations registered by Tomasz Mraz, former director of the Justice Fund, could lead to the prosecution of top politicians from Sovereign Poland, Zbigniew Ziobro's party, which governed the Ministry of Justice and the General Prosecutor's Office for 8 years. Moreover, the charges they face could be of a much larger caliber than exceeding authority and official corruption in distributing hundreds of millions of zlotys for 'their own' people, which should have gone to victims of crimes.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31019437,fundusz-sprawiedliwosci-mafia-z-ministerstwa-ustala-zeznania.html -- THE RHETORIC OF THE DEMOCRATIC GOVERNMENT HAS DEFINITELY SURPASSED THE DEFENSIVE-WAR RHETORIC OF PIS, AND THE ACTIONS ARE CERTAINLY MORE RATIONAL - PROF. IRENEUSZ KRZEMIŃSKI IN RZ: “The rhetoric of the democratic government has certainly surpassed the defensive-war rhetoric of PiS, and the actions are certainly more rational. Although, when I hear about barbed wire, bunkers, etc., it reminds me of the fate of the famous Maginot Line, and I don't know if current military technology should really focus on such physical obstacles.” -- IT PAINS ME GREATLY – I WILL SAY IT DIRECTLY – THAT DONALD TUSK, BY POSING FOR PHOTOS AGAINST THE BACKDROP OF BORDER GUARDS, JUST LIKE PIS MINISTER BŁASZCZAK, DID NOT EVEN FIND HALF AN HOUR TO MEET WITH PEOPLE - PROF. KRZEMIŃSKI CONTINUES: “It pains me greatly – I will say it directly – that Donald Tusk, by posing for photos against the backdrop of border guards, just like PiS minister Błaszczak, did not even find half an hour to meet with people who are trying to help refugees persecuted by both sides at the border. And there is a whole small army of people dedicated to the ideals of helping their neighbor and loyal to the European values that Donald Tusk spoke about so simply and beautifully at his pre-election rallies. And even such a tragic event as the insidious attack on a Polish soldier at the border with Belarus cannot absolve the European Polish state of its obligation to find a way to screen those who wish to migrate at our border and provide assistance to those who deserve it.” -- AT TIMES I HAVE THE IMPRESSION THAT WE HAVE ALL TRAVELED BACK IN TIME, SOMEWHERE TO MAY 1939 – WRITES KRZEMIŃSKI: “At times I have the impression that we have all traveled back in time, somewhere to May 1939, only in better form; thanks to historical experience, we are forming ranks before an attack, although this one will come from a different direction than the historical one.” -- SO, WHAT IS THE DEAL WITH THIS "BORDER DEFENSE" AND EUROPE'S "HUMANITARIAN VALUES", DEAR DONALD, THAT I WILL CONCLUDE THIS SHORT TEXT SO PERSONALLY? - KRZEMIŃSKI'S CONCLUSION. https://www.rp.pl/opinie-polityczno-spoleczne/art40493801-ireneusz-krzeminski-militaryzm-narodowy-donalda-tuska-co-sie-dzieje-w-polsce -- THAT IS WHY WE ARE SHOUTING: S.O.S. RESCUE! HELP! HELP US. SIGN THE APPEAL TO DONALD TUSK, PRIME MINISTER, TO MAKE THE RIGHT DECISION. TO END THE NIGHTMARE OF THESE GIRLS. HELP US SAVE THEM! - MARTA LEMPART IN GW: “We, from the Women's Strike, cannot fail to react, we must shout: underage girls. Young women. Pushed across the border. We know they are beaten during this. We also know they are raped. The fate of these girls depends on whether a political decision is made to apply the currently binding law in Poland – on whether the green light is turned on at the highest level of government. For them to be provided with care. For their asylum applications, filed on their behalf by non-governmental organizations (which is permissible in the case of minors), to be processed. And not lie somewhere on desks waiting until these girls finally die – from exhaustion, from hunger, from lack of medication, from violence.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,162657,31019350,szanowne-osoby-czytajace-nasza-wyborcza-my-ze-strajku-kobiet.html -- BUDGET DEFICIT THE HIGHEST IN A DECADE - ANNA CIEŚLAK-WRÓBLEWSKA IN RZ: “The current data on the execution of the state budget unfortunately indicate the former. For the first four months of this year, expenditures amounted to PLN 264 billion. This is as much as PLN 70 billion (39%) more than in the same period last year. In turn, revenues during this period increased 'only' by PLN 40 billion, to PLN 214 billion. Thus, the deficit in the public purse is also significantly higher. After April 2024, it amounted to almost PLN 40 billion, compared to PLN 10 billion after April 2023. This is the worst result in at least 10 years. It must be admitted that a large part of this increase is the result of solutions adopted in the previous term, e.g., the increase in child benefits from PLN 500 to PLN 800 or the 13th and 14th pension. However, Prime Minister Donald Tusk's cabinet is also adding its 'brick' in the form of new expenditures.” https://www.rp.pl/budzet-i-podatki/art40515041-gabinet-premiera-donalda-tuska-na-razie-bardziej-rozrzutny-niz-oszczedny -- EVEN IF THE RESULT IS CLOSE TO 9%, AND THE LEFT ACHIEVES ITS MAXIMUM PLAN IN THE EUROPEAN ELECTIONS – 5-6 SEATS – IT WILL BARELY CHANGE THE SOCIAL PERCEPTION OF THE LEFT AS A FORMATION IN CRISIS - JAKUB MAJMUREK IN NEWSWEEK: “If, after the disastrous result in the regional elections – 6.32% – the left achieves a similar one in the European elections, public discourse will again be flooded with comments that the left is ending and its banner should be retired. And such comments have a tendency to become self-fulfilling prophecies. Especially since, seeing how weak the left is, its coalition partners may begin to demand a reduction in the party's influence in the government or a withdrawal from the agreements transferring the position of Sejm Marshal to Czarzasty after Hołownia's two years as marshal – similar voices are coming from the Third Way environment since the local elections. Even if the result is close to 9%, and the left achieves its maximum plan in the European elections – 5-6 seats – it will barely change the social perception of the left as a formation in crisis.” -- THE LEFT IS OPENING UP TO FUTURE LEADERSHIP CHANGES - MAJMUREK CONTINUES: “The left will certainly bet on a woman in next year's presidential elections; the most often mentioned in this context is the Minister of Labor, Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk. Nowa Lewica, grateful for a long time to Biedroń and Czarzasty for uniting the divided left and re-introducing it to the Sejm, is also opening up to future leadership changes.” -- FOR NOW, THE LEFT MUST FOCUS ON HOW TO SURVIVE - WRITES MAJMUREK: “However, such a change will not be enough. There is no guarantee that new leadership will better cope with the difficult art of co-governing as a junior partner. The truth is also that there are no magic recipes for reviving the left's support – although, of course, it is worth having effective leadership, better communication than at present, and avoiding scandals like the one in Krakow. It should be remembered, however, that the electorate identifying as left-wing is often actually liberal, and the left struggles to compete for it with KO. The social electorate, on the other hand, remains with the right-wing, and it is very difficult for the left to win them over. Changing this situation requires a deep transformation of the political scene, which happens once every few election cycles. For now, the left must focus on how to survive.” https://www.onet.pl/informacje/newsweek/lewica-walczy-o-przetrwanie-musza-odpowiedziec-na-ruch-tuska/ywvm9bj,452ad802 -- IT WON'T BE 200 METERS, AS THE PRIME MINISTER ANNOUNCED. IN SOME PLACES, IT WILL BE EVEN SEVERAL KILOMETERS. LIKE DURING THE STATE OF EMERGENCY UNDER THE PIS GOVERNMENT - MAGDALENA CHRZCZONOWICZ IN OKO.PRESS: “What does this mean for us, the residents? Firstly, Prime Minister Tusk has ostentatiously ignored our local authorities. The village head or anyone else from the commune was not informed about Tusk's visit, nor invited to it. Civilian, democratically elected local authorities were treated, as they say, with contempt. There was no courteous meeting with residents, no handshakes, no assurances that the government remembers about our problems too. No one wanted to listen to what we, as hosts of our region, have to say. The only person who tried to shout a question to Tusk was my wife, Paulina, who demanded a declaration of what all this means for us, for the residents. What does the declaration from the presentation of the so-called Tusk Line mean, that we at the border are now to live 'from security'? What kind of jobs will these be? Will we be expropriated for the construction of the announced fortifications? On what terms?” https://oko.press/to-nie-200-metrow-strefa-buforowa-przy-granicy -- OUR CURRENT PRIME MINISTER HAS NEVER HAD THE HEAD OR HAND FOR SOLVING SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC PROBLEMS IN POLAND - RAFAŁ WOŚ IN INTERIA: “Our current prime minister has never had the head or hand for solving social and economic problems in Poland. Meanwhile, somewhere beyond the horizon of further investigative committees to crush PiS and accusations of being a Russian agent, such a problem is brewing for him. Because something is persistently whirring in the background. And it doesn't want to stop.” -- LAYOFFS AND LIQUIDATIONS MAINLY CONCERN INDUSTRY AND SIMPLE SERVICES, WHICH DOESN'T PARTICULARLY DISTURB THOSE WHO MANAGE THE FLOW OF INFORMATION AND POWER IN OUR COUNTRY, AS THE MATTER IS CLASS-ALIEN TO THEM - WOŚ CONTINUES IN INTERIA: “And since layoffs and liquidations mainly concern industry and simpler services, it doesn't particularly bother those who manage the flow of information and power in our country. This is because the matter is class-alien to them. Especially since we now have a government of 'cool and smiling Poland' in Warsaw, which has never even pretended which part of Polish society it considers its own and worthy of representation.” -- I BET THAT IF GRUMPY KACZOR OR LIAR MATEUSZ WERE STILL RULING US, THEIR MEAN AND PITIFUL GOVERNMENT WOULD BE LAUNCHING ANOTHER PACKAGE DESIGNED TO SAVE FAILING PLANTS OR FIND JOBS FOR DISMISSED PEOPLE - WOŚ CONTINUES: “The current authorities, with an innocent look, tell us, 'we won't print money' (a quote from Marshal Hołownia). And you people and entrepreneurs, deal with it yourselves. They are not interested in the terrifying bills after July 1st. Anna Maria Żukowska from SLD even said once that it's good for the price increases to come sooner. Then people will get used to them somehow by the next elections. It's similar with anti-crisis policy. I bet that if grumpy Kaczor or liar Mateusz were still ruling us, their mean and pitiful government would be launching another package designed to save failing plants or find jobs for dismissed people. Liberals in the media, on the other hand, would lament about 'public debt,' 'politicization of Orlen (which would probably have to contribute something from fuel sales profits),' and 'buying votes.'” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-donald-tusk-i-ekonomia-to-sie-nigdy-nie-rymowalo,nId,7542521 -- 9 YEARS AGO – the founding convention of the Modern Poland party led by Ryszard Petru was held in the Torwar Hall in Warsaw. -- BIRTHDAYS: Renata Butryn.

Łukasz Mężyk