state of play: 11/24/2023

STATE OF PLAY: Domański Aims to Avoid Rostowski's Mistake, Szułdrzyński Foresees Total Cohabitation, Bartkiewicz: Hołownia the Star of 'Sejmflix' with YouTube Record, Boeing 737 MAX 8 in Pekao Livery

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-- LESZCZYNA: HEALTH IS A PRIORITY FOR THE FUTURE GOVERNMENT - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2023/11/24/ -- IF ANDRZEJ DUDA AND MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI HOLD OUT UNTIL THE LAST DAY DELAYING DONALD TUSK'S GOVERNMENT FORMATION, IT COULD BE APPOINTED BY PARLIAMENT ON MONDAY, DECEMBER 11TH IN THE AFTERNOON, AND SWORN IN ON DECEMBER 14TH IN THE MORNING. THESE ARE THE LATEST POSSIBLE DATES - WITOLD GŁOWACKI AT OKO.PRESS: “December 13th, mentioned by Dera, is unfortunately associated in Poland with the introduction of martial law by General Wojciech Jaruzelski in 1981, making it a rather unfortunate date for forming a government. Tusk and his ministers will have to rush. A European Council summit is scheduled for December 14th and 15th in Brussels. It's an important summit. The agenda includes, among other things, issues of the conflict in the Middle East, the war in Ukraine, the multiannual financial framework, EU enlargement, and security and defense matters. The new prime minister should certainly participate in this summit.” -- PERHAPS, HOWEVER, STRATEGISTS IN NOWOGRODZKA WILL DECIDE MORAWIECKI'S EXPOSÉ IS MORE BENEFICIAL - GŁOWACKI CONTINUES: “One can also imagine a scenario where Morawiecki announces the failure of his mission earlier – even a few days before the deadline. This seems politically safer for Morawiecki and PiS. However, perhaps the strategists in Nowogrodzka will decide that Morawiecki's exposé (with accusations against democrats, e.g., of treason) and a lost vote will be more beneficial. A 'heroic defeat.' https://oko.press/rzad-tuska-kiedy-powolanie-analiza -- THE CONCEPT OF STRATEGIC AUTONOMY IS ESSENTIALLY A CONCEPT OF STRATEGIC HELPLESSNESS - JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI FOR PAP: “This concept appeared a long time ago, but it wasn't as realistic as it is now. To build forces to protect against Russian aggression would require an effort that the European Union – currently having an empty treasury – cannot afford. The concept of strategic autonomy is essentially a concept of strategic helplessness. Such a Europe would be at Russia's mercy, with all the resulting consequences. A large part of the European elite does not want to understand this.” -- WE WILL ESTABLISH CONTACTS WITH ALL EUROPEAN FORCES THAT ARE AGAINST THE EXPANSION OF EU COMPETENCES. AND THERE ARE MANY OF THEM, AS SHOWN BY THE VOTE IN THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT - KACZYŃSKI CONTINUES IN PAP: “We will constantly remind of the threats arising from the ongoing changes to EU treaties for Poland and our citizens. Poles have the right to know the truth, that the proposed changes could lead to the most important decisions concerning, among other things, security, taxes, foreign policy, including migration policy, being made in Brussels, and effectively in Berlin. We want to continue our campaign in much stronger and broader forms than currently. We will establish contacts with all European forces that are against the expansion of Union competences. And there are many of them, as shown by the vote in the European Parliament, where these changes passed, but with the opposition of a significant portion of MEPs from other countries as well. Citizens must be warned.” https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/671970-prezes-pis-europa-bylaby-zdana-na-laske-rosji -- THE NEW MARSHAL OF THE SEJM IS UNDOUBTEDLY THE BIGGEST POLITICAL WINNER OF THE LAST FEW WEEKS, THE MAIN HERO OF 'SEJMFLIX' WITH A YOUTUBE RECORD - ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: “The new Marshal of the Sejm is undoubtedly the biggest political winner of the last few weeks. Not only did he, as a parliamentary debutant, not get lost when the marshal's baton landed in his hands, and PiS politicians began testing if he knew the Sejm regulations, but he also became the main hero of 'Sejmflix' – that is, the Sejm debates, which suddenly began to enjoy record popularity (on YouTube, recordings of the first session of the 10th term Sejm record 600-700 thousand views – 10 to even 30 times more than the last sessions of the 9th term Sejm). Szymon Hołownia is becoming the subject of countless memes (but of a category favorable to him, not unfavorable to his political opponents), and quotes from his speeches are circulating on all social media. This Sejm currently has – so far – the face of Szymon Hołownia.” -- IN HIS FREE TIME, HOŁOWNIA SHOULD SEND FLOWERS TO ELŻBIETA WITEK. AND A PLANE TICKET TO RZESZÓW FOR KUCHCIŃSKI - BARTKIEWICZ'S CONCLUSION: “Szymon Hołownia is not trying to be a statesman who, from the height of his position, looks down disdainfully on the common folk, condescendingly bestowing words of wisdom upon them. And observers are all the more delighted with Hołownia the more they recall Marek Kuchciński and Elżbieta Witek in the same role. Therefore, in his free time, Hołownia should send flowers to Elżbieta Witek. And a plane ticket to Rzeszów for Kuchciński. They deserve it for what they have done for the leader of Poland 2050.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art39463371-artur-bartkiewicz-szymon-holownia-dziennikarz-tvp-i-kwiaty-dla-marszalek-witek -- TOTAL COHABITATION AWAITS US - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “The suggestion that December 13th is the most probable date for Donald Tusk's inauguration as prime minister portends how Andrzej Duda's relations with the coalition of Civic Platform, Third Way, and the Left might look. Total cohabitation awaits us. (...) Duda is thus signaling that he will wage war against Tusk's government on every level – including the symbolic one. And from a human perspective, it's simply petty. Because Duda might succeed in humiliating Donald Tusk by comparing him to Wojciech Jaruzelski. But he won't succeed in turning Tusk into a General.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art39458341-michal-szuldrzynski-moze-i-duda-powola-rzad-13-grudnia-ale-nie-zmieni-tuska-w-jaruzelskiego -- THE ALMOST CERTAIN MINISTER OF FINANCE IN DONALD TUSK'S GOVERNMENT DOES NOT WANT TO REPEAT HIS PREDECESSOR JAN ROSTOWSKI'S MISTAKE - JAKUB SZYMCZAK AT OKO.PRESS: “The almost certain minister of finance in Donald Tusk's government does not want to repeat his predecessor Jan Rostowski's mistake. He claims that Poland has the money for the future coalition's election promises. (...) However, Domański did not say at all that there would be no tax increases. During Tusk's previous governments, declarations about tax increases were also avoided, and then during the 2010 financial crisis, VAT was raised to obtain an additional PLN 5 billion for the budget. However, opposition to potential increases will be immense. Domański, even before the elections, argued that there would be money for everything. 'Money is and will be, especially for pro-development spending, which will translate into higher tax revenues,' he said before the elections in an interview with 'Dziennik Gazeta Prawna.'” https://oko.press/pieniadze-sa-i-beda-jakie-poglady-ma-andrzej-domanski -- ALIBI, MORAWIECKI IS TRYING TO SHOW THAT HIS MISSION TO FORM A GOVERNMENT WAS NOT JUST A COVER FOR HIDING DIRTY LAUNDRY - TOMASZ SAWCZUK IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Firstly: alibi. In this way, Morawiecki is trying to show that his mission to form a government was not just a cover for hiding dirty laundry and a final grab for cash for PiS – he is feigning coalition building to later claim that it was really about forming a government.” -- LEGEND. THIS IS HOW PiS WILL PROVE THAT THEY DID EVERYTHING THEY COULD TO DEFEND THE POLISH INTEREST - SAWCZUK CONTINUES: “Secondly: legend. This is how PiS will prove that they did everything they could to defend the Polish interest – and thus their determination was immense, but German forces proved too powerful.” -- OVERALL, IT'S CLEVER, IT WILL ALLOW FOR HOLDING TUSK'S GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABLE IN CONTRAST TO THE VISION OF A LAND OF MILK AND HONEY THAT WOULD EXIST UNDER PiS RULE - TOMASZ SAWCZUK WRITES FURTHER IN POLITYKA: “Finally, thirdly: it is a way to move into opposition. Morawiecki is presenting a new governing program to have an open path in the future to say that PiS proposed a number of valuable proposals for Poland, which were unfortunately rejected by the parties of the new government. This is also served by the recently announced proposals to maintain zero VAT on food, further freezing energy prices, and maintaining credit holidays, which the government did not propose before the elections. In addition, it will involve holding Tusk's government accountable for unfulfilled promises, in contrast to the vision of a land of milk and honey that would exist under PiS rule. Overall, it's clever.” https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2236072,1,zachowuje-sie-tak-smiesznie-ze-musi-miec-jakis-cel-w-co-gra-morawiecki -- THE PLATFORM IS GOING ON A GREAT HUNT, BUT THEIR GUNPOWDER IS DAMP, AND THEIR TARGETS ARE POORLY CHOSEN. THE GAMES WILL BE FEEBLE - JACEK KARNOWSKI: “Firstly, the new government will soon take control of the special services and will be able to check whether its leaders were indeed bugged or surveilled. Secondly, here too, Civic Platform politicians are falling victim to their own propaganda. They strongly want to believe that they lived in a dictatorship, although in reality, it was a flourishing democracy. Thirdly, by taking responsibility for the state, they can no longer attack the very fact that our services possess the most modern counter-intelligence tools. Today, they must admit that in this regard, the Polish authorities have no choice: they cannot afford such an omission. Not in our situation. (...) The Platform is going on a great hunt, but their gunpowder is damp. They have chosen poor targets, as their options were meager. The games will be feeble.” https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/671946-platforma-rusza-na-polowanie-ale-igrzyska-beda-marne -- HOLDING A POLITICIAN ACCOUNTABLE WOULD BE A SIGNIFICANT BREAKTHROUGH, AS POLITICIANS ARE MUCH BETTER AT REVENGE OR RETALIATION THROUGH INFORMAL PRESSURE, HARASSMENT, AND LEGAL TRICKS - JAROSŁAW KUISZ IN INTERIA: “However, it's not that we live in a paradise à la Mickiewicz's 'Let's love each other.' On the contrary, the problem lies elsewhere. Politicians are much better at seeking revenge or retaliating against opponents outside the framework of a democratic rule of law. Through informal pressure, harassment, and legal tricks, using institutions contrary to their official purpose, starting with the prosecution service and special services.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-kraj-politycznej-bezkarnosci,nId,7167168 -- BOEING 737 MAX 8 IN PEKAO LIVERY: “In May of this year, LOT Polish Airlines and Bank Pekao S.A. signed a cooperation agreement, according to which Pekao will offer its clients the opportunity to participate in the Miles & More program. Program participants will be able to earn miles for daily transactions made with Pekao credit cards, including the popular 'Karta Kredytowa z Żubrem'. The cooperation is supported by an image advertising campaign by Bank Pekao on one of the national carrier's aircraft, a Boeing 737 MAX 8.” https://300polityka.pl/biznes/2023/11/23/boeing-737-max-8-w-barwach-pekao-wizytowka-strategicznej-wspolpracy-pll-lot-i-banku-pekao-s-a/ -- BIRTHDAYS: Jerzy Paweł Nowacki, Mikołaj Chrzan, Karol Szyndzielorz, Szymon Szynkowski vel Sęk.

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