-- BIELAN: THE MAJORITY IN THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT IS SO STRONGLY ROOTING FOR TUSK THAT THEY ARE EVEN BREAKING THE RULES THEY INTRODUCED THEMSELVES, "NOTHING WILL STOP THE CHANGE ANYMORE. CHOOSE THOSE WHO RESPECT YOU." NEW CIVIC PLATFORM SPOT - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2023/10/03/ -- PIŚ IS TRYING TO STIR EMOTIONS SO THAT THE OPPOSITION'S TRENDSETTERS WILL BE HORRIFIED, ISSUING SEVEN OPEN LETTERS DAILY, CALLING KACZYŃSKI HITLER - GRZEGORZ SROCZYŃSKI IN GAZETA.PL: “We have two terrible weeks ahead of us. Whoever loses their nerve first will lose. PiS is trying to stir emotions so that the opposition's trendsetters will be horrified, issuing seven open letters daily, calling Kaczyński Hitler. What can the opposition do with Morawiecki's vulgar provocations? Pretend it's raining. They are going mad, and we are calmly preparing to govern.” -- CIVIC PLATFORM FINALLY RECOGNIZED REALITY: THERE ARE THREE PARTIES IN THE OPPOSITION, EACH HAS ITS OWN IMPORTANT ROLE, TUSK FINALLY STOPPED PLAYING THE KING OF THE ENTIRE OPPOSITION, WHO ORDERS OTHERS AROUND, AND THIS IS THE MOST IMPORTANT EFFECT OF THIS MARCH - CONTINUES SROCZYŃSKI: “Platforma has finally recognized reality: there are three parties in the opposition, each has its own separate important role. A bit late, but it's good that a flash of reason occurred before the elections. Sunday's march in Warsaw was devoid of toxic score-settling, who came and who didn't, who is the real opposition, and who is a crypto-PiS supporter. The sectarian climate had been poisoning the opposition until now, and it was cut short for a simple reason - the latest polls showed that Trzecia Droga (Third Way) will hold its ground, and Lewica (The Left) is even gaining, which forced Donald Tusk to humble himself a bit. On Sunday, he finally stopped playing the king of the entire opposition, who orders others around, and this is the most important effect of this march. An invaluable effect.” -- THE OPPOSITION, PURGED OF SECTARIAN GRUDGES, HAS A GREATER CHANCE OF VICTORY - CONTINUES SROCZYŃSKI IN GAZETA.PL: “Instead of constantly undermining each other, the three parties have finally acknowledged their differences and the distinct needs of their electorates. Because this tango was never about the partners stepping in unison, homogenization, and a single list that the Platforma commentators bored us with, but precisely about acknowledging differences and – importantly – enduring these differences without making a scandal out of them. The opposition, purged of sectarian grudges, has a greater chance of victory.” -- THE THIRD WAY IS CURRENTLY THE KEY TO THE ELECTION RESULT - CLAIMS SROCZYŃSKI: “The Third Way is currently the key to the election result. The opposition can take power only if Hołownia and Kosiniak cross the election threshold and enter the Sejm. Kaczyński, on the other hand, will get a third term if Hołownia and Kosiniak do not enter. PiS has just investigated this and realized it, and is consistently playing to cut out the Third Way. Because hysterical attacks on Tusk and increasing polarization do not harm Platforma at all – on the contrary, they feed Platforma – they primarily threaten smaller parties. PiS – by attacking Tusk – is trying to set up the entire game as us versus them, which eliminates or weakens all those who try to be symmetrical – the Third Way, Konfederacja, and Lewica – and also deters voters less interested in politics (who mostly favor the opposition). In this way, PiS wants to win a weak, but still a majority, once again.” https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,30253497,oczyszczona-z-sekciarskich-kwasow-opozycja-ma-wieksze-szanse.html -- LESS POLARIZATION ON THE PART OF CIVIC PLATFORM, KO REACHING A STABLE 35% IN POLLS, AND FULL AGREEMENT ON THE OPPOSITION'S SIDE - THIS IS THE DEMOCRATIC GROUPS' IDEA FOR THE LAST FEW WEEKS OF THE CAMPAIGN - IWONA SZPALA IN GW: “According to unofficial information, Civic Platform is counting on a specific poll bonus. – About 2–3%. Achieving a stable 35% is the goal around which the entire campaign revolves – a politician from Civic Platform's leadership explains to us. He confirms that the Coalition does not want to polarize with PiS. This is also because polarization is killing the Third Way, which must enter the Sejm for the opposition to succeed. And polarization does not help in gaining undecided voters, whom practically all groups are vying for.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,30255354,tak-demokratyczna-opozycja-chce-konczyc-kampanie-maszerujemy.html -- A YEAR AGO, I WAS VERY MUCH IN FAVOR OF A SINGLE LIST. NOW I HAVE DOUBTS. IT SEEMS TO ME THAT IN THE END, THESE THREE ENTITIES ARE NOT A BAD SOLUTION - PROF. RADOSŁAW MARKOWSKI IN CONVERSATION WITH AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: “I have no ashes on my head, but I have some second thoughts. A year ago, I was very much in favor of a single list. Now I have doubts. It seems to me that in the end, these three entities are not a bad solution. Both yesterday among the marchers, and among my friends, a discussion began as to whether we don't need to grit our teeth a bit and vote rationally and tactically in the elections. Because the matter is very simple. While I would count on Lewica getting around 15% – that's realistic if they pull together and focus primarily on women's and climate issues – there is a problem as to whether Trzecia Droga will cross the threshold. If it doesn't – we have a third term for PiS, period.” -- SHOULDN'T WE DELEGATE A FACTION OF 100,000-200,000 PEOPLE WHO WOULD VOTE TACTICALLY FOR THE THIRD WAY - CONTINUES MARKOWSKI IN GW: “Perhaps we need to start a discussion among enlightened people and those who are willing to vote tactically – meaning, against their first preferences and their hearts – whether we shouldn't delegate a faction of 100,000-200,000 people who would simply vote tactically for the Third Way. This is the so-called collective action dilemma. It's very difficult to organize, but there's something to it.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,30253392,prof-markowski-popiolu-na-glowie-nie-mam-ale-rok-temu-bylem.html -- THE OPPOSITION LIKE THE HEROES OF "SEXMISJA." THEY MUST SHOW THAT IT'S NOT WORTH STAYING UNDERGROUND - PAWEŁ WROŃSKI IN GW: “Opposition politicians – much like the heroes of "Seksmisja" – must therefore now convince people that "there is no radiation here" and there is no need to stay underground. They must reach undecided voters with the promise that they will be able to govern together and effectively. Better than the decaying PiS government, which has recently even damaged relations with fighting Ukraine. They must convince them that the smile of the March of a Million Hearts was also directed at those who did not participate in it. That the opposition does not and never has threatened these voters.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,30253992,wyborcy-pis-w-medialnym-areszcie-po-marszu-widac-to-bardziej.html -- WE ESPECIALLY FEARED THE SCENARIO IN WHICH KOŁODZIEJCZAK WOULD JOIN FORCES WITH PSL. WHEN IT TURNED OUT HE WAS GOING TO TUSK, THERE WAS GREAT RELIEF IN THE CAMPAIGN HEADQUARTERS - KAMILA BARANOWSKA CITES A PIŚ CAMPAIGN STAFFER ON THE INSIDE STORY: “– In the 2020 campaign, Andrzej Duda won against Rafał Trzaskowski precisely because we managed to link Trzaskowski with Tusk and Platforma at the finish line. If the campaign had lasted longer, Trzaskowski would have had a worse result than he did – one of PiS's strategists tells us, explaining the current calculations of the headquarters. Another important PiS politician told us that at one point, still in the pre-campaign, at the peak of the problems with the influx of Ukrainian grain, there was serious concern in the party that farmers might turn away from PiS and go towards Agrounia and Michał Kołodziejczak. – We especially feared the scenario in which Kołodziejczak would join forces with PSL. When it turned out he was going to Tusk, there was great relief in the headquarters. Because it's known that a farmer won't vote for Tusk, no matter what – our interviewee recounted.” -- IF WE DON'T TALK ABOUT THE BAD THINGS TUSK DID, HOW IS THE VOTER SUPPOSED TO KNOW. HE HAS THE RIGHT NOT TO REMEMBER - CONTINUES BARANOWSKA ON THE INSIDE STORY OF THE PIŚ CAMPAIGN - WRITES IN INTERIA: “If such a voter decides that 'they are all the same' and stays home, then it's good for us – says one of PiS's strategists. – The catch is that voters have short memories, and we can't count on the media to remind them of Tusk's past. If we don't talk about the bad things Tusk did, how is the voter supposed to know. He has the right not to remember, especially since Tusk presents himself as a new quality in politics, as if he had never governed, never bore any responsibility. We cannot allow that – he adds.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/raport-wybory-parlamentarne-2023/news-zamiana-rol-pis-i-po-pozytywny-przekaz-nie-przyniosl-efektu,nId,7062724 -- I DIDN'T SEE THE EFFECT OF FRESHNESS THIS TIME. BUT SURELY CIVIC PLATFORM WON THIS DAY ON THE OPPOSITION SIDE, AND THE THIRD WAY LOST. NEW LEWICA, THANKS TO CZARZASTY'S SPEECH, DEFENDED ITS POSITION - A PIŚ POLITICIAN CITED BY AGATA KONDZIŃSKA IN GW: “Our interlocutors from PiS believe that the opposition's march was surprising, but on June 4th, not in October. – Marches are not a new tradition, they have been tested here before, but Tusk managed to surprise us then with both turnout and the effect of freshness. PO's ratings and the feeling that they would win power increased. This time, I didn't see the effect of freshness. But surely Civic Platform won this day on the opposition side, and the Third Way lost. New Lewica, thanks to Czarzasty's speech, defended its position – analyzes one of the government politicians.” -- NOT ONLY TUSK, WE ALSO HAVE OTHER IDEAS, BUT WE DON'T WANT THE COMPETITION TO READ ABOUT THEM IN "WYBORCZA" - ANOTHER QUOTE FROM A PIŚ POLITICIAN TO KONDZIŃSKA: “But one of the campaign strategists adds: – Don't exaggerate, it's not just Tusk, we also have other ideas, but we don't want the competition to read about them in "Wyborcza." That would be a betrayal.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,30255828,politycy-pis-po-marszu-miliona-serc-byl-marsz-i-minal-licza.html -- UNDOUBTEDLY, HOWEVER, AFTER THESE ELECTIONS, THE QUESTION WILL ARISE NOT ABOUT NATIONAL RECONCILIATION, BUT ABOUT WHETHER A TWO-BLOCK SYSTEM WILL BE ESTABLISHED IN POLAND, AFTER THE MODEL OF THE UNITED STATES - PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “The upcoming elections will be a national plebiscite that will determine the shape of Poland for many years to come. If neither part of the divided society indicates a clear favorite, we will be dealing – as sociologists predict – with squabbles, the decay of political life, and perhaps even early elections. Undoubtedly, however, after these elections, the question will arise not about national reconciliation – which seems like an abstraction today – but about whether a two-block system will be established in Poland, following the model of the United States. There are many indications that Polish politics will drift in such a direction, where deepening polarization will necessitate a radical reorganization of the political scene in a new configuration. Time will tell, although – as Sławomir Mrożek taught us – time is always current.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-totalna-polaryzacja,nId,7062387 -- THE MARCH OF THE CHADEKS SAVED BY LEWICA - TOMASZ KOZAK IN KRYTYKA POLITYCZNA: “However, the march was saved by Lewica. Without Czarzasty and Biedroń, the impressive organizational effort of the Chadeks would have gone to waste, and the giant audience (this is the only concrete achievement of KO) would have received a handful of rhetorical platitudes in thanks from the principals. Fortunately, Czarzasty managed to be specific. The co-chairman of Nowa Lewica is usually portrayed as a bland apparatchik, but this time he had more than just a red sweater at his disposal. With fire, he recited a bold election program, speaking loudly, with a credible rally rasp, what a bland figure like Trzaskowski or the old fence-sitter Tusk wouldn't say for anything.” -- A SECULAR STATE INVESTING IN SOCIAL SOLIDARISM. THIS WAS THE SLOGAN CZARZASTY CAME OUT WITH AT THE MARCH. IN MY OPINION, THIS IS A SUFFICIENT REASON TO MASSIVELY SUPPORT THE REDS INSTEAD OF THE RUDDY ONES - CONTINUES TOMASZ KOZAK IN KRYTYKA: “'A secular state!' – today, this is the only truly and wholly anti-systemic demand. A secular state understood as an association of citizens free from the tyranny of religion, nationalism, and the 'free market.' A secular state investing in social solidarism. Czarzasty came out with this slogan at the march. In my opinion, this is a sufficient reason to massively support the reds instead of the ruddy ones.” https://krytykapolityczna.pl/kraj/czarzasty-lewica-marsz-miliona-serc/ -- THE MAJORITY OF YOUNG PEOPLE DON'T CARE ABOUT ANYTHING, THEY WITHDRAW INTO THE INTERNET, ESCAPE INTO DEPRESSION - MAGDALENA ŚRODA IN GW: “Most young people don't care about anything, they withdraw into the internet, escape into depression (someone enlightened me recently that youth depression is a form of rebellion), or cling to those who offer a illusory but simple future, i.e., to Konfederacja. Other politicians have to offer life in the past (national, martyrological, 'Polish'), a corporate future, or vegetating on the margins (because how can you buy an apartment without a corporate job, or how can you start a family with a corporate job?).” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,30256134,mlodosc-cieszy-oko-ale-nie-ucho.html -- PKO ANALYSTS: POLAND IS THE 3RD LARGEST FURNITURE EXPORTER IN THE WORLD, WITH A SHARE OF 5.4%: https://300polityka.pl/biznes/2023/10/02/analitycy-pko-polska-3-eksporterem-mebli-na-swiecie-z-udzialem-na-poziomie-54/ -- BIRTHDAYS: Tomasz Żukowski, Witold Bańka.