-- MACRON ALLOWS FOR A REFERENDUM ON REFORMING FRANCE'S MIGRATION POLICY - GW: “– Immigration could become the subject of a referendum if we all agree on a constitutional revision to broaden its thematic scope – stated Emmanuel Macron in a letter sent on September 6 to party leaders and speakers of both houses of Parliament. This is the result of a 12-hour meeting between the president and them, held on August 30, which aimed to overcome the legislative deadlock resulting from the lack of an absolute majority in the National Assembly.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75399,30181947,macron-dopuszcza-referendum-o-reformie-polityki-migracyjnej.html -- RESET ON THE MEMORANDUM FROM PRESIDENT KOMOROWSKI'S CONVERSATION WITH CHANCELLOR MERKEL: “The transcript of a conversation held on May 9, 2010, in Moscow between Angela Merkel and the acting President of the Republic of Poland, Bronisław Komorowski, revealed in the latest episode of the 'Reset' series, indicates that the Charlemagne Prize awarded to D. Tusk in the same year was an acknowledgment of pursuing a policy of reset with Russia – reported TVP Info portal.” https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/662337-szokujacy-dokument-za-co-tusk-dostal-medal-od-niemcow -- PIS SLIGHTLY STRENGTHENS AND CAN TENTATIVELY DREAM OF A RESULT AROUND 40% IN THE ELECTIONS - PIOTR PACEWICZ AND MICHAŁ DANIELEWSKI IN OKO.PRESS: “Law and Justice could, for the third time, gain an independent majority in the Sejm – it benefits from the fact that Third Way in our survey did not exceed the 8% threshold for a coalition. If Third Way had gathered another 1-2 points, PiS would no longer have a majority.” -- ROUGHLY 1/3 OF UNDECIDED VOTERS COULD SUPPORT PIS - RESULTING FROM ANOTHER QUESTION IN THE IPSOS SURVEY FOR OKO.PRESS: “We will describe the full results on Wednesday morning, September 13. For now, let's look at the responses of people who declared participation in the elections but did not indicate a specific party, the famous 'undecided,' who constituted as much as 14%: Definitely PiS – 4% Considering PiS – 23% Unlikely to vote for PiS – 13% Definitely not PiS – 49% Hard to say – 11% As can be seen, 27% allow for the possibility of voting for PiS. In the same question, but concerning Civic Coalition (KO), the sum of 'definitely' + 'considering' among the undecided reached 49% (4+45). This may mean that among the most easily swayed voters, the opposition could gain twice as much as PiS, reducing the gap with the ruling party. Especially if many of them are voters who previously indicated KO as their first choice party, particularly after the success of the June 4 march.” -- KO HAS NOT MAINTAINED THE JUNE TREND - WRITE PACEWICZ AND DANIELEWSKI IN OKO.PRESS: “In the June poll, we noted the effect of the June 4 march: compared to March, the ratings of Civic Coalition increased by as much as 5 percentage points and approached the ruling party. Today, this effect is completely gone; KO's ratings have returned to their starting point. The gap between PiS and KO has widened again.” https://oko.press/sondaz-ipsos-ko-i-konfederacja-leca-w-dol-ogromny-wzrost-niezdecydowanych -- THIRD WAY IS NOT THE THIRD FORCE AT ALL, IT IS ON A SLIPPERY SLOPE TOWARDS THE DEFEAT OF THE ENTIRE OPPOSITION - AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,30181888,ipsos-dla-oko-press-i-tok-fm-w-sejmie-tylko-cztery-ugrupowania.html -- BY FORCING THIRD WAY TO RUN IN A COALITION FORMULA, HOŁOWNIA INVITED TO PLAY RUSSIAN ROULETTE, PUTTING A GUN TO THE TEMPLE OF HIS OWN FORMATION, THE PEASANTS, AND THE ENTIRE OPPOSITION - RAFAŁ KALUKIN IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “The problem is that the 'soft,' in a sense, non-partisan leadership style, formed at the very beginning and accepted by some voters, simply doesn't fit the realities of brutal party competition. While the resistance to a single opposition list was justified in the founding logic of the project – as it was about mitigating polarization, not exacerbating it – in the political realities of 2023, when it's simply necessary to fight hard with PiS for power, it turned out to be ambiguous. And the leader of Poland 2050's resistance to joining forces in a party list with PSL, which would have lowered the threshold to 5%, deserves an even harsher assessment. By forcing Third Way into a coalition formula, Hołownia invited Russian roulette, putting a gun to the temple of his own formation, the Peasants, and the entire opposition.” -- IT IS UNKNOWN HOW EXACTLY SUCH A RESCUE FOR THIRD WAY COULD LOOK LIKE - CONTINUES KALUKIN: “Unlike Konfederacja, which eludes the main division, Third Way, as part of the democratic camp, constantly faces the temptation of its voters to ultimately support a force capable of taking power away from PiS. However, the known paradox arises that shifting some votes from smaller groups to KO can cause them to fall below the threshold and reduce the opposition's overall potential. This has given rise to a rather absurd postulate in the context of democratic competition for votes: the 'salvation' of Hołownia and Kosiniak. The problem is that it is unknown how exactly such a rescue could look like.” https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2227036,1,trzecia-droga-wejda-czy-nie-wejda-kto-i-jak-moze-im-jeszcze-pomoc.read -- SCHEURING-WIELGUS: ZERO DEALS WITH KONFEDERACJA – I WOULD LIKE SUCH DECLARATIONS FROM OUR PARTNERS WHO ARE STARTING TO Wink AT THEM IN SOME WAY - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2023/09/13/ -- THE MOST OBVIOUS GOVERNMENT AFTER THE ELECTIONS IS KO, THIRD WAY, AND KONFEDERACJA AFTER ALL - MICHAŁ PŁOCIŃSKI IN RZ: “In short: for four years of joint government, he will face constant battles with internal opposition. And Jarosław Kaczyński already knows how ungrateful such a fight for the 'soul' of the identity electorate is, having struggled in a similar skirmish with Zbigniew Ziobro. Donald Tusk may decide that it will be easier for him to deflect attacks from the right flank, because compared to Krzysztof Bosak and Sławomir Mentzen, he looks like an exemplary European. And compared to Magdalena Biejat or Paulina Matysiak – not necessarily.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art39097111-michal-plocinski-najbardziej-oczywisty-rzad-po-wyborach-to-ko-trzecia-droga-i-jednak-konfederacja -- THE GOVERNMENT WILL EXTEND THE BLOCKADE, EVEN UNILATERALLY - MARCEL WANDAS AND KRYSTYNA GARBICZ IN OKO.PRESS: “Prime Minister Morawiecki announces that grain from Ukraine will not enter Poland – regardless of possible conflict with the EU and Ukrainian dissatisfaction. Before the elections, the PiS government is playing tough in front of rural residents. (...) According to Ukrainian experts, even after the elections, the grain problem will not disappear. A potential government led by Civic Coalition will likely maintain a tough stance – especially after including Kołodziejczak on its lists. In this regard, 'the Ukrainian government and business will have to undertake active offensive actions,' claims Machinowa.” https://oko.press/zboze-z-ukrainy-blokada-jednostronna -- RESIDENTS OF WARSAW AND SURROUNDING DISTRICTS HAVE THE WEAKEST VOICE, WHILE RESIDENTS OF THE ELBLĄG, OPOLE, AND CHEŁM DISTRICTS HAVE THE STRONGEST - GW: “However, if we apply the actual turnout in the Sejm and Senate elections in 2019 to these calculations, the results are even more divergent. The lowest turnout was in the Elbląg constituency – 52%, where 255,000 voters elected seven MPs. Thus, one mandate accounted for just under 32,000 residents – those who actually went to the polls and cast a valid vote. A similar situation occurred in the Opole and Chełm constituencies – one mandate accounted for nearly 34,000 voters. In these constituencies, PiS won the Sejm elections.” https://biqdata.wyborcza.pl/biqdata/7,159116,30180153,glosy-wyborcow-sa-nierowne-jedne-okregi-sa-wazniejsze-od-innych.html -- DEHNEL AND OMILANOWSKA MOCK THE ULMA FAMILY: “What do we see in the screenshot? Below the graphic, depicting the icon of the blessed Ulma family, their comments were posted by former Minister of Culture in the PO-PSL government, Małgorzata Omilanowska, and writer Jacek Dehnel, currently a candidate for the Sejm from Nowa Lewica. Their posts are below any level… - That golden circle on the belly is really cool – wrote Omilanowska. - Because it's the morning-after pill ;) – replied Dehnel.” https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/662258-dehnel-i-omilanowska-drwia-z-ulmow-jablonski-bydlo -- BIRTHDAYS: Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz (turns 73), Jarosław Wałęsa, Michał Majewski, Janusz Tomaszewski, Rafał Ziemkiewicz, Artur Kosicki.