-- THE PRIME MINISTER ATTACKS TRZASKOWSKI WITH RUIN ON THE VISTULA, TOMCZYK RESPONDS WITH A BUDGET AMENDMENT THAT PIS DID NOT SUPPORT, HOŁOWNIA SAYS HE WILL DOUBLE KUKIZ'S RESULT IN THE LAST WEEK, SIKORSKI ON PIS HAVING A FRAGILE MAJORITY THAT COULD FALL APART, TRZASKOWSKI OFFERS HELP TO DOGS FROM A KILL SHELTER IN RADYSY - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2020/06/23/# -- GAZETA WYBORCZA'S FRONT PAGE ON ADAPTING TO THE PANDEMIC IN SWPS RESEARCH: “Adapting to the pandemic is also visible in responses to questions about our daily lives. The percentage of those who fear they will not be able to care for family members due to the crisis has fallen from 63% to 58%. At the same time, the number of those who do not expect such problems has increased (from 37% to 42%). We are no longer as afraid that we won't have enough for current monthly bills. The number of those who no longer fear losing their job has increased (from 28% to 48%). And the group of people who consider this, although they think it is unlikely, has decreased (from 39% to 27%).” -- HIGHEST ACCEPTANCE FOR RESTRICTIONS AMONG SUPPORTERS OF THE RULING PARTY - CONTINUES GAZETA WYBORCZA: “Thus, those who support PiS declare the highest acceptance of the authorities' recommendations, and the lowest – voters far from PiS, i.e., supporters of Konfederacja. And that is why, after the easing of the mask mandate, experts warn: this could end badly.” -- POLLING TRENDS ARE INEXORABLE FOR ANDRZEJ DUDA - AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “Aware that defeat is near, Duda's election campaign team is reaching for all sorts of 'election sweeteners' - there's a promise of extra cash (500 plus for holidays for families already receiving 500 plus), fire trucks for municipalities with record voter turnout, Minister Emilewicz speaking from the pulpit at Jasna Góra, or a trip across the ocean to President Trump. On Saturday, a campaign spot for Duda even appeared, in which 'Poland' speaks to Trzaskowski and it's evident that it dislikes him very, very much.” -- IN 2015, KOMOROWSKI HAD A BIGGER LEAD OVER DUDA THREE DAYS BEFORE THE ELECTION THAN DUDA HAS OVER TRZASKOWSKI TODAY - CONTINUES KUBLIK: “In 2015, when Duda was chasing the incumbent president, in a Kantar poll conducted three days before the vote, Komorowski led with 35%. Duda then had 27% support. So the difference between Komorowski and Duda - 8 percentage points - was slightly smaller than today between Duda and Trzaskowski - over 11 percentage points. And it was Duda (with 34.76%) who narrowly defeated Komorowski (33.77%). Duda received only 148,032 more votes. https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,26056754,caly-pis-pracowicie-wspiera-kampanie-dudy-w-terenie-dlaczego.html” -- MORE AND MORE STUDIES SHOW DUDA'S PROBLEMS - ŁUKASZ ROGOJSZ IN GAZETA.PL: “The past week has been rich in studies predicting the results of the election runoff. There were as many as eight of them. For comparison: the week before, there were only three. From the above studies, a clear conclusion emerges - President Duda would lose a second-round showdown with Hołownia. Increasingly, studies also indicate that the candidate of the ruling camp would have to concede defeat to Trzaskowski as well. Of the eight polls showing public support in a potential Duda vs. Trzaskowski duel, the current head of state wins in only two, draws in two more, and loses in four. Even against the PSL leader, whose support in the first round is consistently dwindling, Duda would not win in an election runoff. In the only poll examining the outcome of a clash between the two politicians born in Krakow, there is a draw of 45% to 45%.” -- WILL TRZASKOWSKI BREAK THE 30% BARRIER - CONTINUES ROGOJSZ: “The chances of fulfilling both of the above premises – Trzaskowski above 30%, and Duda below 40% in the first round – are considerable. The Mayor of Warsaw has already surpassed the 30% mark, and the incumbent head of state has clearly exceeded 41% of the vote in the first round only once in the last nine polls (44.6% in an Estymator study for DoRzeczy.pl, published on June 20).” https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,26056842,przelom-juz-nastapil-w-drugiej-turze-to-andrzej-duda-bedzie.html -- THE CAMPAIGN DID NOT WANT TO RETURN TO THE OLD WAYS OF THE EUROPEAN ELECTION CAMPAIGN, HEATING UP CONFLICTS ALIENATES MODERATES - PROF. JAROSŁAW FLIS IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “In Andrzej Duda's moralistic tirade on LGBT+ issues, one could sense a desire to return to the victory achieved by PiS in last year's European elections. But the campaign did not want to go back to the old ways. Thus, the dreamt-of setup began to bring PiS more problems than benefits. The opponents responded in the spirit of aikido – by evading and using someone's momentum to throw them off balance. Heating up conflicts combined with dehumanizing entire social groups alienates moderate voters.” https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/jak-spelnic-marzenie-strategow-pis-163768 -- COURTS ARE HEATED AGAIN, THE CURTAIN HAS FALLEN - MICHAŁ KARNOWSKI: “Some courts are heated again. And at the same time, they show us how much they have allowed themselves to be politicized by the opposition, how strongly they have allowed themselves to be drawn into political and worldview struggles. Will they ensure the victory of their candidate, Rafał Trzaskowski, in this way? Doubtful. So perhaps it's for the best that the curtain is falling so clearly.” https://wpolityce.pl/m/polityka/505913-po-ostatnich-wyrokach-do-kasty-mozna-miec-tylko-jedna-prosbe -- KO POLITICIANS WERE NOT OFF THE STREETS BUT NOW THEY HAVE DISAPPEARED, WHILE PIS POLITICIANS ARE DOUBLING AND TRIPLING THEIR EFFORTS - MACIEJ SANDECKI IN GAZETA WYBORCZA TRÓJMIASTO: “When it was necessary to collect signatures for Rafał Trzaskowski in five days, Civic Platform politicians were not off the streets. Now they have disappeared, while PiS politicians are working overtime in the field. I saw the mobilization of Civic Platform politicians two weeks ago, when it was necessary to collect 100,000 signatures for Rafał Trzaskowski. Then they really stood on the streets – both councilors and MPs and MEPs of KO. Today, however, they seem to have dissolved, ceding the field of street rivalry to the competition from PiS. This is all the more surprising because there was no shortage of topics and events for the opposition last weekend.” -- ONE CAN STILL MOBILIZE BECAUSE THE PIS MACHINE IS UNLIKELY TO STALL - CONTINUES SANDECKI: “I realize that this election campaign, which has been ongoing for six months, is very tiring for politicians, but in the last week, one can still mobilize and go out into the field, because the PiS propaganda machine is unlikely to stall.” https://trojmiasto.wyborcza.pl/trojmiasto/7,35612,26056599,caly-pis-pracowicie-wspiera-kampanie-dudy-w-terenie-dlaczego.html -- THE HEALTH FUND ANNOUNCED BY DUDA WILL BE LARGELY A RECLASSIFICATION - DGP: “This means that part of the money for the fund may be a simple reclassification of existing health funds. If all the money for the fund came solely from new sources, it would increase health spending as a percentage of GDP by at least 0.12% of GDP. Currently, the law stipulates that in 2020, Poland is to spend 5.03% of GDP on this purpose, next year - 5.3%, in 2022 - 5.55%, and a year later - 5.80%. The target level of 6% of GDP is to be reached in 2024.” https://wiadomosci.dziennik.pl/polityka/artykuly/7754234,kampania-wyborcza-wybory-prezydenckie-andrzej-duda-fundusz-zdrowotny.html -- THE POLICE DID NOT EVEN IDENTIFY THE PEOPLE SHOUTING AT TRZASKOWSKI: “YOU WILL HANG”: “- To date, we have not received any report of a crime or misdemeanor - explains Przemysław Słomski from the press office of the provincial headquarters why the police did not even identify the supporters of Andrzej Duda who hurled threats during a meeting of Bydgoszcz residents with Rafał Trzaskowski.” https://bydgoszcz.wyborcza.pl/bydgoszcz/7,48722,26056754,krzyczeli-na-wiecu-trzaskowskiego-bedziesz-wisial-policja.html -- DUDA AVOIDS WROCŁAW - JACEK HARŁUKOWICZ IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “It is also difficult to speak of the scale of the incumbent president's campaign in Wrocław. Unlike the multi-thousand support rally for Rafał Trzaskowski held in the Market Square last week. Perhaps this is why Beata Kempa was urging people to vote for the president in Jelenia Góra and Szklarska Poręba last weekend.” https://wroclaw.wyborcza.pl/wroclaw/7,35771,26055097,andrzej-duda-omija-w-kampanii-wroclaw-bo-wie-ze-wiele-tu-nie.html -- TVP WIADOMOŚCI INVENTED AN AMERICAN DESIGNER WHO PRAISED AGATA DUDA'S CREATIONS - AGATA SZCZĘŚNIAK IN OKO.PRESS: “It is impossible to find the name of fashion designer Christian Paul on the internet. Google only finds an Australian watch brand. Michał Zaczyński, a journalist writing about fashion, responded briefly to OKO.press's question about such a designer: 'A sham.'” https://oko.press/duda-przegrywa-proces-wiadomosci-wymyslily-projektanta/ -- KURSKI CUTS MORAWIECKI OUT OF THE CAMPAIGN - ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ IN ONET: “Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki has been removed from the president's election campaign – according to Onet's information. TVP head Jacek Kurski managed to convince the PiS leadership that Morawiecki is harming Andrzej Duda. Kurski has also almost completely removed Morawiecki from TVP's 'Wiadomości' news program. Those who regularly watch 'Wiadomości' should notice: in recent days, there is almost no mention of the prime minister. It's as if Mateusz Morawiecki has disappeared off the face of the earth. Even if the prime minister has to be present – if only because he is participating in a video summit of the European Council – an iron rule applies: his statements in 'Wiadomości' cannot last longer than 9 seconds. These are all personal decisions of TVP Vice-President Jacek Kurski, who has declared war on Morawiecki.” -- STANKIEWICZ ON HOW TVP INFO AVOIDS SHOWING MORAWIECKI'S PRESS CONFERENCES: “Even when we broadcast Morawiecki's conference on TVP Info, we usually end it quickly because we have an urgent announcement from one of the key ministers, such as Foreign Minister Jacek Czaputowicz or Labor Minister Marlena Maląg, to convey – mocks our interlocutor from Woronicza Street, pointing to ministers considered least important in PiS.” https://wiadomosci.onet.pl/tylko-w-onecie/wybory-2020-tvp-morawiecki-odsuniety-od-kampanii-dudy/28b6jqj -- THE 30% MARK IS KEY FOR TRZASKOWSKI, TVP HELPS HIM - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “Although the Law and Justice party wants to make the number 67 a trap for Trzaskowski, another number is crucial for the Mayor of Warsaw – 30. Because his chances in the second round may depend on whether he gets more or less than 30% of the votes in the first round. A result below this threshold could ruin his chances. This is because if he received, for example, 25%, it would mean that in the second round he would have to almost double the number of votes cast for him to win. Such a large mobilization in two weeks between the first and second rounds seems impossible. Many factors influence this mobilization, but a weak result in the first round simply makes the campaign before the second round psychologically more difficult. If, on the other hand, Trzaskowski received over 30%, he could count on the effect of mobilizing the anti-PiS electorate. Many people who would not go to the polls may believe that their vote matters, that it can tip the scales of political events in our country. What continuously helps Trzaskowski in mobilizing – just like a year and a half ago in Warsaw – is the constant barrage from TVP, as well as the attention that Andrzej Duda and Mateusz Morawiecki pay him in their speeches.” https://www.rp.pl/Komentarze/306229914-Szuldrzynski-Wyborcza-arytmetyka.html -- MICHAŁ KOLANKO ON THE CAMPAIGN RISK OF AN UNPREDICTABLE TRUMP: “Within PiS – more so outside the immediate campaign team – questions are being raised about whether it will be worth it. Especially since not all politicians of the United Right camp are sure that even large investments and information about new US soldiers in Poland are worth the crucial dozen or so hours on the campaign trail. There are also concerns in PiS that Trump might make an unpredictable move or statement, especially in the context of internal American politics and his difficult situation in the election campaign.” https://www.rp.pl/Wybory-prezydenckie-2020/306229915-W-PiS-obawy-o-wizyte-prezydenta-w-USA.html -- TOMASZ KRZYŻAK IN RZ ON THE DANGEROUS IMPRESSION THAT THE CHURCH IS GETTING INVOLVED IN THE PIS CAMPAIGN: “The conscious, cynical alignment of the ruling party with the Church, the exploitation of the clergy's naivety, but also the latter's lack of ability to refuse, reinforce the belief that the Church supports PiS. And how to reconcile this with the assertion that the Church is a community of people with different political views? As long as the bishops do not say clearly and unequivocally that they do not allow the Church to be drawn into politics, as long as they themselves do not break away from it and pull priests out of it, all these stories will repeat themselves. One must say 'enough,' even if it hurts. The only thing is that one must want to. And it seems that a large part of the hierarchy prefers to wait it out.” https://www.rp.pl/Analizy/306229910-Krzyzak-Sciagnac-polityka-z-koscielnej-ambony.html -- PAULINA KOSINIAK-KAMYSZ TELLS JACEK GĄDKA ON GAZETA.PL ABOUT HOW SHE TREATS CHILDREN'S TEETH IN ARMENIA: “Most often on the Yerevan - Warsaw route. 14 times. Treating children's teeth in Armenia is like a drug for me. When we return there to Poland, I already ask my boss, Dr. Julietta Kiworkova, when we are going there again. We treat children's teeth at an orphanage in Yerevan. It's an orphanage for children with intellectual and physical disabilities. I was last there when I was already pregnant with Zosia. It's terrible because these children are in a dreadful condition, but at the same time, it's a beautiful place. We always sleep there in isolation rooms, on bunk beds. When I was there for the first time, a girl came up to me with a drawing of a house. She hugged me. Such scenes always happen there. (...) Before I started working at the clinic, she told me: you're flying to Armenia with me. We flew just before Christmas – it was my first Christmas Eve away from my family home. I fell in love with Armenia and go there like family. Before I gave birth to Zosia, when asked how many children I had, I used to say: a hundred in Armenia.” -- KOSINIAK'S WIFE HAS A DIFFERENT OPINION THAN HIM ON FARMS WHERE ANIMALS ARE KILLED FOR FUR: “And ban fur farming? Yes – ban it. And your husband says no. I know his arguments: adhere to animal rights, protect jobs in such farms. But I believe that such farms should be banned entirely.” https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,26048083,paulina-kosiniak-kamysz-zanim-urodzilam-zosie-to-mowilam.html -- PHOTO. Paul Rubens, The Charnel House of War, Palazzo Pitti, Florence. This painting is in a sense a negative copy of the allegory of the blessed world, painted for Charles I, King of England. The idea of this painting: even love cannot help stop the destruction of prosperous Europe by the blind war crimes of the Thirty Years' War. The Roman goddess of love tries to stop her lover, the god of war - Mars, and maintain peace. -- BIRTHDAYS: Sławomir Rybicki, Paulina Chorazewska-Matwiejczuk.