state of play: 03/19/2020

STATE OF PLAY: Fakt: Border Chaos Could Have Been Avoided, Karnowski: Shield Here, Populism There, Wroński: PiS Unofficially Admits Elections May Be Problematic

Łukasz Mężyk

-- LEFT-WING SENATE VICE-MARSHAL SEWS MASKS FOR OTHERS. -- OBAJTEK ON A MILLION MASKS, SZUMOWSKI ON THE ELECTION DECISION - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2020/03/19/ -- BORDER CHAOS COULD HAVE BEEN AVOIDED - TOMASZ KOZŁOWSKI IN FAKT: “It was clear as early as January that the dangerous virus would also reach the Vistula. That was when a roadmap of further government actions, to be implemented in case of a coronavirus pandemic spreading, should have been developed and published. This was not done, and consequently, chaos unseen even in the 90s occurred at the Polish-Czech and Polish-German borders!” https://www.fakt.pl/wydarzenia/polityka/opinia-tomasz-kozlowski-mozna-bylo-uniknac-chaosu-na-granicach-opinia/vp50xmv -- HERE THE SHIELD, THERE POPULISM - MICHAŁ KARNOWSKI: “It is good, however, that Prime Minister Morawiecki's team is not concerned with the appeals for national misfortune, but is doing its job. The Anti-Crisis Shield program presented today by the President and the Prime Minister is a response made faster than Western countries are acting. Again, as with the decision to close schools and drastically limit the movement of people across the border, Poland is taking dynamic, proactive steps. -- ON ONE SIDE A PLAN, ON THE OTHER A RACE OF OUTLANDISH IDEAS: “On one side is the government of a professional team, economic experts who know the world and understand global phenomena, but who implement the socially sensitive policy of Jarosław Kaczyński's formation with conviction. This is the team of Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki and President Andrzej Duda. On the other side, we have rather pathetic populist shouts from a turbo-liberal team, praising the painful Balcerowicz era (full of lost bets, wasted opportunities, entire regions condemned to poverty), amateurs who have had hundreds of billions of zlotys of taxpayer money stolen from them, and who today, for political gain, are disguising themselves as socially concerned politicians. Here is a concrete support plan starting immediately, there is a chaotic race of outlandish ideas.” https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/491803-tu-tarcza-antykryzysowa-tam-populizm-i-polityczna-wojna -- OPPOSITION CONSIDERING WITHDRAWAL OF CANDIDATES - Tomasz Żółciak and Grzegorz Osiecki in DGP: “The opposition is seriously considering the scenario of a unified withdrawal of their candidates. In this way, they would try to force the ruling camp to postpone the presidential elections, scheduled for May 10.” https://edgp.gazetaprawna.pl/e-wydanie/57225,19-marca-2020/70302,Dziennik-Gazeta-Prawna.html/716482,Kiedy-wyborczy-peleton-dotrze-do-mety.html -- JOINT OPPOSITION INITIATIVE UNLIKELY - PAWEŁ WROŃSKI IN GW: “However, it is unlikely that all opposition candidates will make such a call together. Each is talking about it separately. Szymon Hołownia recorded a video asking the government if they were able to stand before Poles and say in a few weeks: 'Go and vote at polling stations, where you will meet hundreds of other people.' He also stated that now is not the time for politics, but to fight the epidemic, and the only reason that has not yet led the president to cancel the elections is a poll that allows him to "sneak through in the first round." -- WROŃSKI ON WHAT PIS POLITICIANS UNOFFICIALLY ADMIT: “Unofficially, Civic Platform (KO) politicians indicate that government representatives also see how difficult it will be to conduct the elections. – Offices are closed, there are no volunteers for polling stations, attempts to organize elections could end in embarrassment – one KO activist told us.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,25801038,opozycja-do-pis-wprowadzcie-stan-kleski-zywiolowej-i-przelozcie.html -- QUESTION MARKS OVER TRANSFER POLICY - GRZEGORZ OSIECKI IN DGP: “Serious question marks are appearing over PiS's transfer policy. So far, nearly PLN 100 billion has been paid out under the 500 Plus program, and the 13th pension was added last year. Moreover, the president winked at voters at his rallies and said that if money were found, there would be a 15th and 16th benefit for seniors, and more.” https://www.gazetaprawna.pl/artykuly/1461754,koronawirus-w-polsce-polityka-pis.html -- THE PRESIDENT ON THIN ICE - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “Traveling around the country exposes the president not only to the risk of contracting the coronavirus himself. A greater risk may be the anger of citizens, to whom everyone is repeating that they should stay at home, avoid meeting others, avoid crowds, minimize shopping, and wash their hands constantly. Also, his trips may gain him more critics than supporters. Social emotions will become increasingly unpredictable with each day of national quarantine.” https://www.rp.pl/Komentarze/200319128-Michal-Szuldrzynski-Prezydent-na-cienkiej-krawedzi.html -- ELECTIONS AT THE CURRENT DATE WILL BE WON BY THE PANDEMIC, NOT THE PRESIDENT - ZUZANNA DĄBROWSKA IN RZ: “I don't believe that, still being a young politician, Andrzej Duda would want to earn the nickname 'President elected by the coronavirus.' And it has become so obvious these days that the pandemic is calling the shots, including in politics, and especially in economics, that even if Andrzej Duda had only noble intentions and appeared on television out of pure altruism, no one would believe it anyway.” https://www.rp.pl/Analizy/200319120-Zuzanna-Dabrowska-Czy-prezydenta-wybierze-koronawirus.html -- LACK OF TAX COMPONENT IN THE PACKAGE - Krzysztof A. Kowalczyk in RZ: “The absence of a comprehensive tax component for businesses is striking in the entire package – zero deferrals and installment payments for taxes. There is no unfreezing of VAT accounts, as requested by businesses. The government is only offering to postpone the deadline for filing annual PIT returns for individuals from the end of April to the end of June, and for companies – to settle this year's loss in the following year. However, the suspension of the ban on Sunday trading is welcome. A very good move. It's not shameful to back down from a bad solution motivated solely by ideology. I just didn't expect that the coronavirus would fix this mistake, and the return of reason would be called an 'anti-crisis shield.'” https://www.rp.pl/Opinie/200319097-Krzysztof-Adam-Kowalczyk-Gruba-tarcza-nie-bez-dziur.html -- SHOW WITHOUT SUBSTANCE - WITOLD GADOMSKI IN GW: “While other presidential candidates have suspended their campaigns, Andrzej Duda is holding a press conference, informing Poles about the anti-crisis measures the government intends to take. His address was several times longer than that of Prime Minister Morawiecki, who heads the government – it is the government, not the president, that develops the program to shield the economy from the effects of the epidemic. Andrzej Duda spoke only so that voters would associate him with the positive actions of state institutions. Whether they will be positive, we don't know yet. For now, they are announcements. Duda assured that he would arrange assistance from China, as he personally knows President Xi Jinping. He boasted about this acquaintance twice. It follows that we can only count on China, and certainly not on the European Union.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,155290,25800354,rzad-juz-nas-uratowal.html -- THE BEST OF 300GOSPODARKA. -- LANCERTO OWNER ON THE SITUATION OF THE POLISH APPAREL INDUSTRY - IN AN INTERVIEW WITH KATARZYNA MOKRZYCKA ON 300GOSPODARKA: http://300gospodarka.pl/wywiady/2020/03/18/tak-koronawirus-uderzyl-w-polskie-firmy-wlasciciel-lancerto-w-jednej-chwili-zostala-zahibernowana-cala-firma-sytuacja-bez-precedensu/ -- WHAT DOES THE WORLD'S BEST INVESTOR SAY ABOUT THE PANDEMIC? http://300gospodarka.pl/news/2020/03/18/co-ray-dalio-najlepszy-inwestor-w-historii-mowi-o-pandemii-koronawirusa/ -- POLFA TARCHOMIN PRESIDENT ON THE FACT THAT THE DISINFECTANT LIQUID MARKET WILL NEVER DROP AGAIN: http://300gospodarka.pl/wywiady/2020/03/17/prezes-polfy-tarchomin-rynek-na-plyny-dezynfekcyjne-juz-nigdy-nie-spadnie-do-poziomu-sprzed-epidemii-wywiad-300gospodarki/ -- HOW THE ECONOMY WILL RECOVER AFTER THE PANDEMIC - 3 SCENARIOS: http://300gospodarka.pl/news/2020/03/16/jak-gospodarka-bedzie-sie-odradzac-po-pandemii-fundacja-kaleckiego-przedstawila-2-scenariusze/ -- 9 CHARTS THAT HELP BETTER UNDERSTAND THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE PANDEMIC: http://300gospodarka.pl/wykres-dnia/2020/03/13/9-wykresow-ktore-pomagaja-zrozumiec-przebieg-pandemii-koronawirusa/ -- BIRTHDAYS: Dobrochna Kędzierska, Anna Szybist, Marcel Klinowski, Arlena Sokalska.

Łukasz Mężyk