-- PiS IS NOT ONLY FAILING TO IMPROVE ITS RATINGS BUT IS FURTHER DEEPENING ITS POLITICAL DOWNTURN - MICHAŁ ROGALSKI IN Onet's CYCLICAL ELECTION FORECAST: “The results of Onet's latest election forecast are brutal. Jarosław Kaczyński's party is not only failing to improve its ratings but is further deepening its political slump. If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, Civic Platform would win with 34.5% of voters' support — according to Onet's latest election forecast. Compared to last month, this means a decrease of 0.3 percentage points. Meanwhile, Law and Justice, embroiled in internal disputes, is still unable to emerge from its crisis. Jarosław Kaczyński's formation could count on the support of only 26.2% of voters this month, which is also 0.3 percentage points less than a month ago.”

-- THE CURRENT SITUATION FAVORS THE RIGHT-WING, HOWEVER, AS ELECTIONS APPROACH, THE BROADLY UNDERSTOOD CENTER-LEFT WILL CERTAINLY OPTIMIZE THE ARRANGEMENT OF ITS LISTS - FURTHER IN THE ONET FORECAST: “Below the threshold today would be: The Left Together (3.7%), PSL (2.7%), and Poland 2050 (1.9%). This is not the first time these parties have achieved such results. This situation currently favors the right-wing, however, as elections approach, the broadly understood center-left will certainly optimize the arrangement of its electoral lists.”

-- THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT COALITION COULD HAVE 209 SEATS, AND THE RIGHT-WING COALITION 251 - STILL ROGALSKI IN ONET: “The current government coalition could therefore have 209 seats, and the right-wing coalition 251. This is exactly the same arrangement as a month ago. The only reshuffles occurred within both camps. Two seats transferred from Civic Platform to The Left, and another two from PiS to Confederation.”

-- THE COALITION'S CHANCES OF MAINTAINING POWER ARE CURRENTLY 20 PERCENT - STILL ROGALSKI IN ONET: “Considering the historical margin of error in polls, the coalition's chances of maintaining power are currently 20%, which is 1 percentage point less than a month ago. Statistically, the situation therefore differs little from that in April.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/nowa-prognoza-wyborcza-onetu-pis-poglebia-dolek/34ce3h8,79cfc278

-- ON THE GROSS ERRORS BY THE POLICE DURING AN INTERVENTION FOLLOWING A FALSE ALARM AT SAKIEWICZ'S APARTMENT - IZABELA KACPRZAK AND GRAŻYNA ZAWADKA IN RZ: “The responding officers did not have full uniforms – no caps on their heads, and most importantly, no markings to identify them. Patches with their first name and surname initial were missing from their pockets. There was also no ‘shield,’ meaning a patch with the name and number of their unit or its designation. The patches are attached with Velcro, so they couldn't have fallen off on their own, but were intentionally unfastened. – In such a state, they should not have been allowed to serve after the briefing – states one of the police officers. According to ‘Rzeczpospolita’ information, after the intervention, when the matter gained publicity, the officers reportedly explained that their identifiers were on their vests, but they removed them before entering the apartment.”

-- STILL ZAWADKA AND KACPRZAK ON POLICE ERRORS: “Experienced police officers point to another fact. Two days earlier, a similar report occurred, and it was a false alarm concerning an apartment on Wiktorska Street – and this fact should have been recorded in the Police Command Support System (SWD Policji). The dispatcher sending the young officers to Wiktorska Street should have informed them about it – perhaps with more tact and sensitivity, they would have carried out the intervention – and they would not have hastily handcuffed the woman behind her back, as criminals are treated, and brought her downstairs to the patrol car, which was also incomprehensible because they uncuffed her a moment later.”
https://www.rp.pl/sluzby/art44404101-uderzenie-w-tv-republika-sprawca-alarmow-duzo-wie-o-pracownikach-stacji

-- THE REFERENDUM COMMITTEE WON THREE LAWSUITS FILED IN THE REFERENDUM PROCEDURE. TWO OF THEM CONCERNED A RECORDING DISTRIBUTED BY PO ACTIVISTS, SUGGESTING THE REFERENDUM INITIATOR HAD A CRIMINAL FUTURE - MAGDALENA KURSA IN GW: “The referendum committee won three lawsuits filed in the referendum procedure. Two of them concerned a recording distributed by PO activists, suggesting the referendum initiator had a criminal future. Szczęsny Filipiak, head of the Krakow Civic Platform, had to apologize for its dissemination, and a councilor from that party reached a settlement. She explained that she did not mean the members of the referendum committee but Jaśka, who strongly supported the referendum campaign. The third lawsuit won concerned suggestions that the referendum organizers had committed fraud in collecting signatures.”

-- ACCORDING TO THE LATEST OGB SURVEY, VOTER TURNOUT IN THE SUNDAY REFERENDUM WILL BE 27-33%. POLITICAL SCIENTISTS, ASSESSING THE CHANCES OF THE REFERENDUM'S SUCCESS, SAY: FIFTY-FIFTY - FURTHER KURSA IN GW: https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32800662,czy-krakowskie-referendum-zmieni-polityke.html

-- BOTS AND TROLL FARMS ARE FIGHTING TO STOP RESIDENTS FROM GOING TO THE POLLS IN KRAKOW - JACEK PRUSINOWSKI ON KANALE ZERO: “According to the journalist, a 'not always clean fight for the mayor's office' is taking place in Krakow. – Bots and troll farms are fighting to stop residents from going to the polls – Prusinowski adds. – Both sides are involved in this. This particularly includes accounts favorable to Miszalski, such as Sok z Buraka, as well as an entire network of connected profiles that were also active during the 2024 local government elections. They discourage people from going to the polls and scare them with the prospect of Grzegorz Braun taking over the city. The same profiles were reportedly active on behalf of Civic Platform in cases concerning, among others, the Zondacrypto affair – the publicist recalls.”
https://zero.pl/news/referendum-w-krakowie-jacek-prusinowski-o-ostatnich-dniach-kampanii

-- BOGUCKI: THE PRIME MINISTER'S STATEMENTS IN THE LAST FEW WEEKS, ATTACKING THE USA, ARE NOT HELPING THE PRESIDENT OR POLAND - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/pl/live/2026-05-21/

-- EXTERNAL MESSAGES CLAIM NOTHING IS DECIDED AND TUSK'S TEAM IS IN CONTROL OF EVERYTHING. BUT THE STAKES AND THE POLITICAL COST THE COALITION MAY INCUR ARE EVIDENT FROM THE FACTS AND THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF A GOVERNMENT OFFENSIVE - IWONA SZPALA AND AGATA KONDZIŃSKA IN GW: “External messages claim nothing is decided and Tusk's team is in control of everything. But the high stakes and the political cost the coalition may incur are evident from the facts and the announcement of a government offensive. Our sources in the government unofficially state that there has never been such a crisis in relations with the Trump administration before. - We received two blows - admits one minister.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,32801557,rzad-gasi-pozar-w-relacjach-z-usa-w-kuluarach-slychac-dostalismy.html

-- GRUPA CYFROWY POLSAT SHOWED RESULTS FOR THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2026. THE COMPANY'S MANAGEMENT, UNDER PIOTR ŻAK, KEPT ITS WORD: THE GROUP MANAGED TO REVERSE THE NEGATIVE TREND, AND PROFITS WERE HIGHER THAN LAST YEAR - URSZULA ZIELIŃSKA IN RZ:
https://www.rp.pl/biznes/art44422081-cyfrowy-polsat-poprawil-wyniki-plus-i-netia-wracaja-do-wzrostow

-- THE LATEST IBRIS SURVEY DEBUNKS THE MYTH OF NON-ALCOHOLIC BEER AS A NEUTRAL DRINK, REVEALING GROWING POLISH CONCERNS ABOUT ITS SOCIAL IMPACT - SE: “As many as 64% of respondents believe that 0% beverages accustom young people to alcohol, and the majority perceive their advertising as promoting traditional brands.”
https://superbiz.se.pl/wiadomosci/polacy-chca-ograniczen-dla-alkoholu-najnowsze-badanie-pokazuje-wyrazny-trend-aa-RTMF-6j7M-TsEk.html

-- POLES SUPPORT RESTRICTIONS ON ALCOHOL ACCESSIBILITY - NEWSMAX ON IBRIS SURVEY: “Importantly, 60% of Poles support introducing a ban on selling non-alcoholic beverages (alcohol equivalents) to individuals under 18. This is a reaction to the fact that as many as 55% of respondents have witnessed minors buying or drinking 0% beer. The biggest supporters of these restrictions are PiS voters, while the greatest skepticism in this regard is declared by Confederation sympathizers. According to the IBRiS report, a ban on alcohol sales at night between 10:00 PM and 6:00 AM enjoys the greatest support among the following voter groups:
Civic Platform (KO) voters: 74% are in favor of the ban
Law and Justice (PiS) voters: slightly less, at 72%.”
https://newsmaxpolska.pl/magazyn/zdrowie/48189/polacy-o-alkoholu-picie-0-i-zakaz-sprzedazy-na-stacjach/news

-- BIRTHDAYS: Wiesława Ziółkowska, Marta Patena, Lucjusz Nadbereżny, Małgorzata Serafin.