state of play: 05/18/2026

STATE OF PLAY: OGB and Bookmakers Agree: Krakow Referendum Could Be Effective, Bartkiewicz in RZ: Police at Sakiewicz's is Serious

Łukasz Mężyk

-- ANOTHER POWERFUL RESULT FOR KANAŁ ZERO ON YOUTUBE, THE ONLY PUBLISHER IN POLAND CAPABLE OF EXCEEDING 100 MILLION VIEWS ON YOUTUBE, SURPRISINGLY STRONG POLSAT ON YOUTUBE AND TIKTOK - WIRTUALNE MEDIA: “Another powerful result for Kanał Zero on YouTube, the only publisher in Poland capable of exceeding the 100 million views barrier on YouTube, surprisingly strong Polsat on YouTube and TikTok. Polsat's very strong performance on YouTube is noteworthy. Until now, this space was mainly contested by TV Republika and Wirtualna Polska. Polsat has shown it is very good at distributing its content and recorded 65 million views. The undisputed king is Kanał Zero, which once again surpassed 100 million views – and by a large margin.”
https://www.wirtualnemedia.pl/wskaznik/www-kwiecien2026.html

-- IN THE REFERENDUM, WHICH IS TO DECIDE WHETHER ALEKSANDER MISZALSKI REMAINS MAYOR OF KRAKOW, NEARLY 63 PERCENT OF RESPONDENTS FROM THE MAŁOPOLSKA CAPITAL DECLARE PARTICIPATION – ACCORDING TO AN OGB POLL OBTAINED BY INTERIA:
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/malopolskie/news-zapytali-o-referendum-ws-odwolania-miszalskiego-interia-dota,nId,23478870

-- BOOKMAKERS ESTIMATE MISZALSKI WILL BE RECALLED - LOVEKRAKOW
https://lovekrakow.pl/referendum-w-krakowie-2026-bukmacherzy-szacuja-ze-miszalski-zostanie-odwolany

-- THIS IS THE UNITED STATES' RESPONSE TO SUCH A CONFRONTATIONAL, ANTI-AMERICAN POLICY BY POLAND. SEVERAL SUCH POINTS HAVE ACCUMULATED RECENTLY, AND THIS WAS TO BE EXPECTED - JACEK CZAPUTOWICZ ON GOŚĆ WYDARZEŃ: “- Firstly, Donald Tusk should not have discredited the American presence on Ukrainian soil, which he did on December 30th and ruined all American policy. Secondly, we could have responded more positively to the invitation to the Peace Council, which the President wanted to do – he listed.”
https://www.polsatnews.pl/gosc-wydarzen/2026-05-17/gorzkie-slowa-jacka-czaputowicza-o-sojuszu-polski-z-usa-nie-widza-interesu/

-- FOR TUSK, POLAND IS TO BE A COUNTRY ADAPTED TO GERMAN ECONOMIC POLICY AND GERMAN PERSPECTIVES. WE ARE TO ADOPT BERLIN'S OPTICS AND NOT ASK DIFFICULT QUESTIONS - MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI IN HIS MESSAGE ON X: “We are talking about Poland's security, we are talking about whether Poland will be a strong, sovereign state protected by the world's most powerful alliance, or if it should once again wait in Berlin's antechamber. Donald Tusk does not understand what Polish raison d'état is. For him, Poland being too strong, too ambitious, and too independent is probably a problem. For him, Poland is to be a country adapted to German economic policy and the German point of view. We are to adopt Berlin's optics and not ask difficult questions, not fight for our own interests, and pretend that this is European maturity.”

-- WEAKENING THE PRESENCE OF AMERICAN TROOPS IN POLAND, RELATIVIZING THE ISSUE OF A PERMANENT AMERICAN BASE, AND TREATING A GREATER PRESENCE OF AMERICANS AND ALLIED TROOPS AS A PROBLEM - MORAWIECKI FURTHER: “Today, Donald Tusk wants to lead us down the same path again. A path where Poland is to be quiet, obedient, and dependent. That's why I'm raising the alarm. That's why I'm saying stop. Weakening the presence of American troops in Poland, relativizing the issue of a permanent American base, and treating a greater presence of Americans and allied troops as a problem. This is a scenario that pleases Moscow. This is a scenario that weakens NATO's eastern flank and reduces the security of Polish families. And Prime Minister Tusk is starting to play the leading role in this scenario. Every additional American soldier in Poland means greater security. Every lasting military presence of the USA on Polish soil is a signal to the Kremlin.”

-- THE USA IS NOT JUST THE MILITARY, BUT ALSO ECONOMY, ENERGY, NUCLEAR, GAS, LNG, MODERN TECHNOLOGIES, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - STILL MORAWIECKI: “But the USA is not just the military; it is also economy, energy, nuclear, gas, LNG, modern technologies, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, semiconductors, innovations, and capital that can strengthen Poland for decades.”
https://x.com/MorawieckiM/status/2055697448253673815?s=20

-- CZARNEK APPEALS TO TUSK AND KOSINIAK-KAMYSZ: BE WITH US IN PRO-POLISH POLITICS, NOT ANTI-AMERICAN POLITICS - 300LIVEhttps://300polityka.pl/pl/live/2026-05-18/

-- THE GREAT OPTIMISM OF POLITICIANS REGARDING THE HUGE SUMS FROM THE SAFE PROGRAM COLLIDED WITH EUROPEAN UNION PROCEDURES - DOROTA ROMAN IN GW: “The EC, as the lender, does not make immediate transfers. In accordance with EU rules for the protection of financial interests, before ordering a disbursement, individual audit units must verify everything. Signing the agreement changes nothing here. - Procedures are procedures – we hear. This is a lesson in humility for the ruling party. From the beginning, citizens should have been taken seriously, and it should have been admitted that money from the EU would have to be waited for.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,32795117,mialy-byc-godziny-sa-kolejne-dni-zwloki-unijny-przelew-z-safe.html

-- POLICE IN TOMASZ SAKIEWICZ'S APARTMENT. THE MATTER IS SERIOUS - ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: “If we now consider that there is nothing extraordinary about the police entering the home of the editor-in-chief of a medium critical of the government, based on a false report about a person whose life was allegedly in danger, then when political winds blow in another direction, there might be a temptation for the police to visit other editors-in-chief. This is how precedent works. Therefore, it is in the government's interest to clarify the matter and leave no doubt as to the circumstances of the police's appearance in Tomasz Sakiewicz's apartment. And representatives of the ruling camp, even if they don't like the editor-in-chief of TV Republika, should speak on this issue very cautiously.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art44394921-artur-bartkiewicz-policja-w-mieszkaniu-tomasza-sakiewicza-sprawa-jest-powazna

-- BIRTHDAYS: Bogdan Zdrojewski, Edyta Kazikowska-Gręda, Paweł Poncyljusz.
 


Łukasz Mężyk