state of play: 05/06/2026

STATE OF PLAY: KO Drops 4 Pts in Opinia24 Poll for GW, 18 Days to Krakow Referendum, and Interia Questions Miszalski; Flieger: PiS 'Bronkification' Under Czarnek's Mask

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-- CZARZASTY ON NEW CRYPTOCURRENCY LEGISLATION: WE WILL PROCEED QUICKLY, WE KNOW HOW TO DO IT - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/pl/live/2026-05-06/

-- MORAWIECKI: IT IS WORTH CHANGING THIS GOVERNMENT CONFIGURATION AT ALL COSTS, IT DOES NOT NECESSARILY MEAN THE RETURN OF PIS: https://300polityka.pl/pl/live/2026-05-05/morawiecki-warto-za-wszelka-cene-zmienic-te-konfiguracje

-- IF PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY, THE CIVIC COALITION WOULD WIN. HOWEVER, THE NATIONAL SIDE WOULD HAVE A MAJORITY IN THE SEJM - AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: "If, however, we consider only the votes cast for parties with support exceeding 5 percent – meaning on the democrats' side KO and Lewica, and on the nationalists' side PiS, Konfederacja, and Korona – then the latter gain a clear advantage: 56 to 44 percent. And this ratio of votes determines the allocation of mandates."

-- ON THURSDAY, WE WILL SHOW WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IF KO AND NOWA LEWICA WENT TO THE ELECTIONS TOGETHER - KUBLIK CONTINUES.

-- KO FALLS SHARPLY IN AN OPINIA24 POLL FOR GW: Compared to the Opinia24 poll from April 7-9, KO shows a result 3.6 percentage points weaker (a month ago, Donald Tusk's party had 35.2 percent support in this poll). Support for PiS (loses 0.4 percentage points), Konfederacja (gains 0.6 percentage points) remains practically unchanged, and Nowa Lewica (gains 0.1 percentage points) remains practically unchanged. Konfederacja Korony Polskiej is growing (by 1.6 percentage points, from 6.6 percent), while support for Razem is falling (by 1.1 percentage points, from 4.6 percent). PSL gains 0.9 percentage points of support, and Polska 2050 loses the same amount. The percentage of people willing to vote for another party is significantly increasing (by 2.4 percentage points).
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,32770474,sondaz-opinia24-dla-wyborczej-zwyciestwo-dla-demokratow.html

-- GHOST DOCUMENTS AND MYSTERIOUS MEETINGS. THE SECRET OF THE PRESIDENT'S TRUSTED MAN - DAWID SERAFIN IN INTERIA: "Doubts are mounting around Kamil Kociołek – an advisor to the Krakow municipality. Interia has obtained an agreement signed with the lawyer. It stipulates his 'personal' involvement in meetings between the Mayor of Krakow and residents. The problem is, Kociołek wasn't present at them. That's not all."

-- FOR OVER TWO MONTHS, THE KRAKOW MUNICIPALITY HAS BEEN UNABLE TO ANSWER THE QUESTION - SERAFIN CONTINUES IN INTERIA: "For over two months, the Krakow municipality has been unable to answer the question of how many specific legal opinions and analyses lawyer Kociołek has prepared for the mayor. What's more, after a series of contradictory answers from the office, it is unknown whether such documents even exist."
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/malopolskie/news-dokumenty-widmo-i-zagadkowe-spotkania-tajemnica-zaufanego-cz,nId,23472763

-- THE 'BRONKIFICATION' OF PIS IS PROGRESSING - ESTERA FLIEGER IN RZ: "PiS's prime ministerial candidate Przemysław Czarnek will not, however, remove the photovoltaic panels from his roof; instead, he offers the 'Rudera plus' program. At the end of each episode of the cartoon 'Scooby-Doo, Where Are You?', the dog and the gang unmask the protagonist. This time – as in a meme – under the mask of Przemysław Czarnek, Bronisław Komorowski has appeared with the infamous 'Change jobs, take a loan'."

-- CZARNEK IS NOT THE FUTURE OF THE RIGHT; HE IS ITS PAST - FLIEGER CONTINUES IN RZ: "Przemysław Czarnek is not the future of the right. He is its past – the chuckle of history is that it has the face of the embarrassing and mistake-prone Bronisław Komorowski."
https://www.rp.pl/publicystyka/art44315391-estera-flieger-kabaretu-nie-bedzie-bedzie-chor-bronkizacja-pis-u-postepuje

-- PIS STILL HAS A POTENT ELECTORAL BASE AND VAST CAMPAIGN EXPERIENCE. CZARNEK, WHOSE BEGINNINGS ARE UNSUCCESSFUL, MAY BE REPLACED IN A FEW MONTHS BY SOMEONE MORE EFFECTIVE, WITH MORAWIECKI'S APPROVAL - WOJCIECH SZACKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: "PiS emerged from this phase of the conflict battered but intact. Its leaders are running out of metaphors to describe the situation; it's a party breathing with two lungs, playing on many pianos, developing two wings. With internal agreement – or at least a truce – this is not a completely senseless concept. Current polls are moderately encouraging, the gap with KO is clear, but PiS still has a potent electoral base and vast campaign experience. Czarnek, whose beginnings are unsuccessful, may be replaced in a few months by someone more effective, with Morawiecki's approval. The government and the parties forming it are plagued by their own problems. With lower turnout (resulting from disappointment with the outcomes of the October 15 coalition), PiS may get another chance, especially if it manages to bring Korona down to earth and take most of its voters, and somehow reach an understanding with Konfederacja. This is one scenario."

-- ANOTHER TWO TO THREE MONTHS OF STAGNATION IN THE POLLS WOULD SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE THE PROBABILITY OF A RETURN TO OPEN WARFARE WITHIN PIS - SZACKI ON THE SECOND SCENARIO: "The second is also probable. Another two to three months of stagnation in the polls would significantly increase the probability of a return to open warfare within PiS, as both hostile factions are just waiting for a convenient moment to attack. The sources of conflict have not dried up, the game is still on."
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2341767,1,burza-w-pis-maslarze-harcerze-i-prezes-kto-wygra-te-runde-na-pisowskiej-planszy.read

-- BIRTHDAYS: Witold Bereś, Janusz Cieszyński, Stanisława Prządka, Marcin Zawiła, Krzysztof Sońta.
 


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