state of play: 05/02/2026

STATE OF PLAY: Government Introduces Smartphone Tax Over May Long Weekend, Bartkiewicz: "The Czarnek Effect" PiS HopED For Means Wasted Time

Łukasz Mężyk

-- PENTAGON ANNOUNCED ON MAY 1ST THE WITHDRAWAL OF APPROXIMATELY 5,000 SOLDIERS FROM GERMANY. THIS IS MOST LIKELY THE RESULT OF THE CONFLICT BETWEEN PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP AND CHANCELLOR FRIEDRICH MERZ - GW:
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75399,32764817,usa-wycofuja-5-tys-zolnierzy-z-niemiec-prezydent-slusznie.html

-- MINISTRY OF CULTURE INTRODUCES TAX ON SMARTPHONES AND TELEVISIONS FOR CREATORS, BUT CALLS IT A FEE, NOT A TAX:
https://300polityka.pl/pl/live#rzad-wprowadza-podatek-od-smartfonow-na-rzecz-tworcow-choc

-- MAREK TATAŁA FROM THE FOUNDATION FOR ECONOMIC FREEDOM: Some Polish creators are certainly pleased. Polish companies and consumers, who will have to bear the costs of this unfounded change increasing levies on phones, computers, and televisions, are not smiling as much.
https://x.com/MarekTatala/status/2049900994994012326?s=20

-- ŁUKASZ WARZECHA: Do you like low taxes? That's good, because the government has many new, low taxes for you.
https://x.com/lkwarzecha/status/2049971453802516843?s=20

-- MARCIN MOŻDŻONEK FROM KONFEDERACJA IDENTIFIES JASIU KAPELA AS A BENEFICIARY OF THE NEW TAX: Thank you for the reprographic fee. I am glad that the additional money that all consumers will have to pay for, e.g., a smartphone, will not go to waste and will support high culture.
https://x.com/MarcinMozdzonek/status/2049917823623844056?s=20

-- THE COMMISSION TASKED WITH INVESTIGATING "POLISH TRACES" OF THE JEFFREY EPSTEIN CASE HAS NOT ONLY FAILED TO ESTABLISH ANYTHING, BUT IT IS UNKNOWN WHETHER IT HAS EVEN BEGUN ANY WORK - WPOLITYCE.PL: "The commission tasked with investigating the "Polish traces" of the Jeffrey Epstein case has not only established nothing, but it is even unknown if it has begun any "substantive" work. The Ministry of Justice refers inquiries on this matter to the National Prosecutor's Office. The latter claims that all information is held by... the Ministry of Justice.".
https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/759291-potezna-kompromitacja-zurka-i-tuska-w-tle-sprawa-epsteina

-- CZARNEK VISITS TEXAS - WPhttps://wiadomosci.wp.pl/czarnek-leci-do-usa-my-nie-mozemy-byc-tylko-tymi-ktorzy-prosza-o-pomoc-7280870311639104a

-- THERE WERE PLANS TO CREATE A NEW SEAT FOR THE POLISH MUSEUM. IN 2022, THE PREVIOUS GOVERNMENT PURCHASED THE HISTORIC SCHWANEN HOTEL FOR PLN 115 MILLION, LOCATED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE CASTLE. A LODGING HOUSE, RESTAURANT, AND MUSEUM WERE MEANT TO FUNCTION THERE AS A SINGLE ENTITY. HOWEVER, AFTER THE CHANGE OF GOVERNMENT IN POLAND, THE PROJECT WAS ABANDONED - JAKUB ŻELEPIEŃ IN INTERIA: "Currently, the Polish Museum is located in a tenement house right next to the castle. Naturally, the conditions and spatial possibilities are limited. However, no one in the Society of Friends of the Polish Museum in Rapperswil is thinking of withdrawing from continuing Plater's work. On the contrary, there were plans to create a new seat for the institution. In 2022, the previous government purchased the historic Schwanen Hotel for PLN 115 million, located in close proximity to the castle. A lodging house, restaurant, and museum were intended to function there as a single entity. After the change of government in Poland, however, the project was abandoned. "Unfortunately, as I state with regret, given the current challenges facing the Polish state, arising particularly from financial and geopolitical conditions, the implementation of the arrangements made in the Letter of Intent signed on July 1, 2022, is not possible," wrote the then-Minister of Culture Hanna Wróblewska in a letter to the Polish Museum on October 4, 2024.".
https://tygodnik.interia.pl/tygodnik/news-szwajcarzy-odebrali-budynek-ktory-nalezal-do-polski-150-lat-,nId,8079522

-- PEŁCZYŃSKA-NAŁĘCZ, AFTER A PERIOD OF CALM, DECIDED TO POSITION HERSELF IN OPPOSITION TO HER OWN GOVERNMENT AGAIN - DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: "Minister Pełczyńska-Nałęcz, after a period of calm, decided to position herself in opposition to her own government again. She realized that building her position by voting against a colleague from the government would not yield results. Aligning herself with Konfederacja and PiS, parties for whom the natural environment, climate change, and waste segregation are mere fantasies, would be devastating for Hołownia's people. After all, they always spoke of the "green DNA" of their party. Meanwhile, the Minister of Development stated that the government must be attacked from another flank: she announced that her party is submitting a proposal to revalorize the tax threshold, which the Minister of Finance Andrzej Domański has not changed recently, meaning that a significant group of taxpayers, who not long ago were not at all the wealthiest, are falling into the highest, 32 percent bracket." 

-- A MEETING IS UNDERWAY IN THE COALITION ON HOW TO NEUTRALIZE THE POTENTIAL PLAN OF POLSKA 2050 TO LEAVE THE GOVERNMENT AND HOW TO CONVINCE THE MAJORITY OF THIS CLUB NOT TO CHOOSE A RADICAL SCENARIO - WIELOWIEYSKA FURTHER IN GW: "A meeting is underway in the coalition on how to neutralize the potential plan of Polska 2050 to leave the government and how to convince the majority of this club not to opt for a radical scenario. The main dilemma: should they wait for the minister's radical move or anticipate her next maneuver? The departure of six MPs from the coalition does not mean losing the majority. A revolt by a large group, however, would. "A turning point could happen quickly," says one of my interlocutors."

-- PEŁCZYŃSKA-NAŁĘCZ CAN CERTAINLY COUNT ON APPROXIMATELY 6 PEOPLE. REGARDING THE REST OF THE CLUB, MUCH DEPENDS ON HOW SZYMON HOŁOWNIA BEHAVES - STILL WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: "The concern is that Hołownia's people will want to be kicked out of the coalition and therefore will start voting with PiS and Konfederacja on various amendments not planned by the government, in order to rock the coalition boat. Simultaneously, they will start building their position on ideas similar to those concerning the tax threshold. This is not a scenario that pleases all MPs of PL2050. If Pełczyńska-Nałęcz decides on a more radical confrontation, not every member of her club will follow her. The question is how many people will support such a scenario. Pełczyńska-Nałęcz can certainly count on approximately 6 people. Regarding the rest of the club, much depends on how Szymon Hołownia behaves."
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,32764024,wielowieyska-ludzie-skladaja-pit-y-pelczynska-nalecz-wybrala.html

-- "THE CZARNEK EFFECT" MAY ULTIMATELY DOOM PiS - ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: "As a result, PiS, with Czarnek as its figurehead, will spin its wheels – endlessly mobilizing those voters who are already its voters, while simultaneously mobilizing PiS's opponents against it and eliciting shrugging shoulders from right-wing voters who have drifted away from Jarosław Kaczyński's party. "Pundits," represented by Czarnek, may achieve record reach on social media, but it's worth noting that they owe this to the extreme emotions they evoke – attracting not only fans but also bitter enemies."

-- TODAY, ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE "CZARNEK EFFECT," WHICH WAS COUNTED ON BY PiS, WILL RESULT IN WASTED TIME - BARTKIEWICZ FURTHER IN RZ: "Neither Czarnek nor Morawiecki will be credible in such a role in 2027, because the memory of the eight years of government in which they participated is too fresh. Kaczyński correctly diagnoses this in the case of the former prime minister, but ignores the fact that Czarnek's participation in that government also burdens him. Today, all indications are that the "Czarnek effect," which was counted on by PiS, will result in wasted time, with less and less of it until the elections." 
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art44301311-artur-bartkiewicz-efekt-czarnka-moze-ostatecznie-pograzyc-pis

-- BIRTHDAYS: Paweł Reszka, Piotr Müller (38), Seweryn Blumsztajn, Mika Brzezinski, SUNDAY, MAY 3RD: Włodzimierz Czarzasty (66), Aleksandra Gieros, Czesław Bielecki, Kazimierz Plocke, Marcelina Zawisza, Andrew Nagorski. 
 


Łukasz Mężyk