state of play: 04/25/2026

Political Landscape: Sitnicka on Morawiecki's Multi-Dimensional Victory, Słowik on Morawiecki as a Rock Star, and Public Trust in Strength

Łukasz Mężyk

-- NO POLISH LEADER HAS GONE AS FAR AS DONALD TUSK IN UNDERMINING NATO - JĘDRZEJ BIELECKI in RZ: “In his conversation with the ‘Financial Times’, Donald Tusk has cast significant doubt on NATO’s credibility and the alliance with the USA. This is not yet crossing a red line that would mean the alliance with the United States ceases to be the foundation of Polish security. But we are getting closer.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art44227211-jedrzej-bielecki-zaden-przywodca-polski-nie-poszedl-tak-daleko-w-podwazaniu-nato-jak-donald-tusk

-- OUR POSITION AS A “ROLE MODEL ALLY” WILL CEASE TO BE UNIQUE, GERMANY WILL TAKE IT. IDEAS FOR A NEW POLAND-USA OPENING ARE NEEDED - MARCIN TERLIKOWSKI from PISM: Paradoxically, with a more organized US foreign policy process expected after the midterms, our position as a “role model Ally” will cease to be unique, with Germany taking our place. Ideas for a new Poland-USA opening are needed.
https://x.com/MTerlikowski/status/2047912684260408?s=20

-- CHANCELLOR MERZ DOES NOT GIVE INTERVIEWS TO THE FINANCIAL TIMES ABOUT THE DISLOYALTY OF THE UNITED STATES... HE TAKES CARE OF HIS OWN COUNTRY'S INTERESTS - SŁAWOMIR DĘBSKI:
https://x.com/SlawomirDebski/status/2047914639615283218?s=20

-- WE ARE DEALING WITH THE WORST POSSIBLE SCENARIO: POLITICS THAT THREATENS WAR, WHILE SIMULTANEOUSLY ERODING TRUST IN THOSE WHO ARE MEANT TO DEFEND US. - LESZEK MILLER: “Public discussions about who will defend whom and who will hesitate do not build strength. They build the temptation to test boundaries. Of course, Russia remains a real threat. No reasonable person questions this. But a cool analysis is one thing, and politically escalating tensions to a level that resembles a campaign megaphone is another. If this is truly knowledge – action must be taken. If it is just rhetoric – it is exceptionally dangerous. And if it is both at once, then we are dealing with the worst possible scenario: politics that threatens war, while simultaneously eroding trust in those who are meant to defend us.”
https://x.com/LeszekMiller/status/2047791313496719840?s=20

-- KACZYŃSKI, MORAWIECKI, AND CZARNEK TOGETHER AT AN ECONOMIC CONFERENCE IN WARSAW - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/pl/live/2026-04-25/

-- IT IS DIFFICULT NOT TO SEE THIS AS A MULTI-DIMENSIONAL VICTORY FOR MORAWIECKI - DOMINIKA SITNICKA in OKO.PRESS: “Mateusz Morawiecki has not only avoided marginalization within the party but has also secured the sanctioning of his faction. Party leader Kaczyński speaks of PiS’s ‘two lungs,’ placing the former Prime Minister on par with the candidate for head of government, Przemysław Czarnik. It is difficult not to view this as a multi-dimensional victory for Morawiecki.”
https://oko.press/drobne-pylki-na-pieknym-arrasie-cztery-wnioski-z-awantury-o-stowarzyszenie-morawieckiego-analiza

-- HIS REAL STRENGTH IS STILL WITHIN THE PARTY. HE HAS ALREADY BUILT A POSITION THAT KACZYŃSKI COULD NOT IGNORE - AGATA KONDZIŃSKA in GW: “It is too early for Morawiecki to wash away eight years of PiS rule. His real strength is still within the party. He has already built a position that Kaczyński could not ignore if he did not want to risk the party falling apart. The former Prime Minister agreed to a compromise with the PiS leader – Rozwój Plus will operate within the party, but without local expansion, and the accession list for parliamentarians has been closed.”

-- A TEMPORARY COMPROMISE BEFORE THE GREATEST TEST OF STRENGTH: FORMING ELECTION LISTS - KONDZIŃSKA CONTINUES: “However, this is a temporary compromise before the greatest test of strength: forming election lists. With PiS’s declining poll numbers, emotions will be immense, and the fears of MPs about whether they will have a chance for re-election are justified. Then, the risk of a split within PiS will return, which could give Morawiecki a chance to build a founding myth and create the image of a leader who abandons no one.”  
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32746272,jakimi-kartami-dysponuje-morawiecki-pojscie-wlasna-droga-to.html

-- MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI WAS LIKE A ROCK AND ROLL STAR AT THAT CONGRESS. PEOPLE APPROACHED HIM, BUSINESS REPRESENTATIVES, PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION OFFICIALS, TALKED TO HIM, TOOK PICTURES WITH HIM - PATRYK SŁOWIK in KANAŁ ZERO: “Mateusz Morawiecki was like a rock and roll star at that congress. People approached him, business representatives, public administration officials, talked to him, took pictures with him. He probably spent half an hour at the European Economic Congress photo wall. When I looked at other politicians, politicians invited to the media, they were present. We gladly invite them here. They were propping up the walls. Often, business was not interested in them. There were politicians who sought out journalists, whom they recognized at tables, to approach and eat that cutlet in someone's company, not alone. Morawiecki didn't have that problem. His problem was how to leave. So many people approached him. He enjoyed so much interest. As far as I recall. Mateusz Morawiecki hasn't enjoyed this much interest since he was Prime Minister. People feel strength. At such events, people go to those they consider strong, important, who have some perspective.”
https://x.com/wroblewski_m/status/2047674882083746094?s=20

-- ONE CAN DISLIKE MORAWIECKI, ONE CAN NOT BELIEVE HIM, ONE CAN QUESTION HIS RULE – BUT IT IS DIFFICULT NOT TO NOTICE THAT IN THE LAST THREE YEARS HE HAS CHOSEN A DIFFERENT PATH THAN A LARGE PART OF HIS ENVIRONMENT. INSTEAD OF MERELY COMPETING ON THE SHARPNESS OF TWEETS, HE HAS ENGAGED IN LONG, SUBSTANTIVE DEBATES - KONSTANTY PILAWA in KLUB JAGIELLOŃSKI: “One can dislike him, one can not believe him, one can question his rule – but it is difficult not to notice that in the last three years he has chosen a different path than a large part of his environment. Instead of merely competing on the sharpness of tweets, he has engaged in long, substantive debates – with Krzysztof Bosak, Sławomir Mentzen, or Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz. Instead of playing solely on emotions, he is trying to rebuild a developmental and modernization narrative. This is not a spectacular path. It is a laborious, sometimes ungrateful path. It requires stepping outside one's own bubble and taking hits from all sides – from Telewizja Republika and from TVN. But this is also something that resembles politics in the classical sense: dispute, argument, an attempt to persuade. Promoting one's agenda against the emotions of the people.”
https://klubjagiellonski.pl/2026/04/23/i-kto-tu-jest-pipi-prawica-wokol-buntu-mateusza-morawieckiego/

-- IMPROVEMENT OF GOVERNMENT RATINGS IN CBOS: “April brings positive changes in the assessments of the current cabinet. The improvement in ratings concerns both the generalized attitude towards the government, as well as the results of its activities and economic prospects. The percentage of those dissatisfied with the Prime Minister is smaller than in recent months. Slightly more than every third adult Pole declares themselves a supporter of the government (35%), while the percentage of opponents has decreased from 42% in March to 39% currently. We also note an improvement in assessments regarding the results of the government's activities: two-fifths of respondents speak positively about this matter, while the share of those giving a negative rating in this context has fallen to 47% – reaching a level below 50% for the first time since February 2025.”
https://cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/raporty_tekst.php?id=7194

-- BIRTHDAYS: Jerzy Widzyk, Wojciech Szeląg, Anna Kalita. SUNDAY: Sławomir Nitras (53), Grzegorz Zasępa, Tadeusz Słobodzianek, Zofia Ławrynowicz, Cezary Grabarczyk.
 


Łukasz Mężyk