Today's State of Play
-- KOSINIAK-KAMYSZ ON THE POSSIBILITY OF CHANGING COALITIONS: VOTERS INDICATED THIS COALITION WHICH EXISTS TODAY. THIS MUST BE RESPECTED - 300LIVE:
https://300polityka.pl/pl/live
-- 39% FOR KO SHOWN BY THE LATEST OGB SURVEY - a gain of 4pp, PiS down by 3pp to 28.5, Konfederacja gains 1.6 and has 12.2, Braun drops by 1.5 and is slightly below 10, Lewica drops by 0.4 and has 4.5, Razem has 3, PSL and PL2050 have just over 1% and have nowhere left to fall. CATI N=1000.
https://x.com/Stan360PL/status/2013893805322162189?s=20
-- DISCREET WHITENING OF RADICALS. THE RIGHT-WING CARAVAN FOLLOWS THEM, DEMOCRATS JOIN SHAMEFULLY - MARIUSZ JANICKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “The problem with the far-right is also that other formations are quietly trying to observe and imitate the radicals. As a result, the sanitary cordon around them is weakening”.
-- A FUNDAMENTAL QUESTION FOR DEMOCRATS: WHAT ARE THE LIMITS OF SUCH CO-OPTATION, WILL THE ABSORPTION OF FURTHER RADICALISMS CAUSE THE EMERGENCE OF SOME STRUCTURAL FRANKENSTEIN, AND THEN THERE WILL BE NO ENERGY AND EMOTION TO DEFEND “THIS THING” - FURTHERMORE, THE FIRST DEPUTY EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “The entire right-wing caravan shifts behind them, and timidly and shamefacedly, the political center also moves. The fundamental question for democrats: what are the limits of such co-optation, will the absorption of further radicalisms, the abandonment of fundamental values, lead to the eventual emergence of some structural Frankenstein, and then there will be no energy and emotion to defend “this thing”? This is a point to consider for the ruling camp this year and the next – the election year”.
-- THE CONSISTENT DEFENSE OF THE IDEA OF RATIONAL, RESPONSIBLE POLITICS IS NOT VISIBLE, NOR IS SHOWING WHAT A STATE WOULD LOOK LIKE FROM AN ULTRARIGHT VISION - FURTHERMORE, JANICKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Now the two Konfederacja factions – Mentzen’s, Bosak’s, and Braun’s – are latching onto this anti-system sentiment, trying to gain new points from it. This is not being sufficiently countered by the mainstream; the consistent defense of the idea of rational, responsible politics is not visible, nor is showing what a state would look like from an ultraright vision, likely out of the conviction that these are obvious things (although in today’s politics, almost nothing is obvious anymore)”.
-- AT MOST, THE HEAD OF KORONA WILL SET EXORBITANT CONDITIONS THAT KACZYŃSKI WILL HAVE TO MEET - FURTHERMORE, MARIUSZ JANICKI: “At most, the head of Korona will set exorbitant conditions that Kaczyński will have to meet to win – perhaps the last – installment of his two-decade-long duel with the leader of, first, PO, and now KO. Hence, perhaps, this peculiar self-therapy: general acclimatization and discreet whitening of radicals. This is happening on several levels”.
-- THE ATTACHMENT OF A PART OF THE ELECTORATE TO THE IDEA OF THE OCTOBER 15 COALITION WAS TEMPORARY AND, TO SAY THE LEAST, SHALLOW; HOWEVER, THEY WENT ELSEWHERE, MORE TO THE RIGHT - WRITES MARIUSZ JANICKI FURTHER: “The attachment of a part of the electorate to the idea of the October 15 coalition was temporary and, to say the least, shallow. Saying that KO devoured its coalition partners, and therefore now dominates the polls, is not convincing. If that were the case, KO, after taking over 10% from TD (because PSL and Polska 2050 now have a total of around 4–5% out of over 14% in 2023), would now have over 40%, not 31–32%. However, they went elsewhere, more to the right”.
-- BRAUN AND COMPANY'S ACTIONS HAVE ANOTHER EFFECT: THEY ARE NORMALIZING KACZYŃSKI'S PARTY, INCLUDING PRESIDENT NAWROCKI - FURTHERMORE, JANICKI: “Braun and company’s actions have yet another effect: they are normalizing Kaczyński’s party, including President Nawrocki. PiS has demolished the system, the judiciary, public life ethics, and the country's position in European structures, but now it increasingly appears as a virtually moderate force against the brown extreme”.
-- KACZYŃSKI FEARS HIS GROUP BEING PUSHED TO THE CENTER, BUT PARADOXICALLY, THIS MAY HELP HIM - MARIUSZ JANICKI AGAIN: “Kaczyński fears his group being pushed to the center, but paradoxically, this may help him. In the guise of a moderate right, he will then be able to implement the wildest ideas. Nawrocki, on the other hand, a declared right-winger, a Catholic fundamentalist, and a hooligan nationalist, can pretend to be one of us and the president of all Poles, although he is clearly the president of those who voted for him”.
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2329139,1,dyskretne-wybielanie-radykalow-prawicowa-karawana-idzie-za-nimi-demokraci-dolaczaja-zawstydzeni.read
-- JASTRZĘBSKA COKING COAL COMPANY IS ON THE VERGE OF BANKRUPTCY. THIS IS NO ORDINARY MINE – THE COMPANY EXTRACTS COKING COAL, NECESSARY FOR THE OPERATION OF STEEL MILLS, LISTED AS A CRITICAL RAW MATERIAL - MARCEL WANDAS IN OKO.PRESS:
https://oko.press/kluczowa-spolka-weglowa-tonie-trwaja-rozmowy-ostatniej-szansy-z-gorniczymi-zwiazkami
-- 8TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE DEATH OF LIDIA OSTALOWSKA.
-- BIRTHDAYS: Paweł Arndt, Stanisław Handzlik.
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