Today's State of Play

POLITICAL PLAYBOOK: Wielowieyska: Americans are pushing for PiS and Bosak to unite; Szpala: Hołownia has no majority; Witwicki/Fijołek: Hołownia wants to be like Zandberg; Gawryluk: Hołownia in Dubai

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-- POLICE ALREADY HAD INFORMATION IN DECEMBER THAT MARCIN J., SUSPECTED OF RAPE IN THE PIASECZNO PREVENTIVE UNIT, COMMITTED CRIMES - MICHAŁ ŻYŁOWSKI IN GW: “Police already had information in December that Marcin J., suspected of rape in the Piaseczno preventive unit, committed offenses of exceeding authority or neglecting duties, as well as drinking alcohol at the station. He was only arrested after a female officer accused him of rape.”
https://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,32533163,wyborcza-ujawnia-policja-wiedziala-o-problemach-funkcjonariusza.html

-- HOŁOWNIA HAS A MINORITY IN THE NATIONAL COUNCIL OF POLSKA 2050 - IWONA SZPALA IN GW: “- He suggested that if there wasn't a rerun, he was ready to leave the party. Despite these arguments, the National Council remained divided. It looked like fifty-fifty. Then there were several procedural votes that Hołownia lost – a participant in the meeting tells us. Hołownia's supporters failed, among other things, to pass a motion to hold elections from the beginning. When Hołownia realized he didn't have a majority, he logged out of the proceedings (which were held remotely) after 11 PM. The politician explained to party activists that he was tired. However, many people were not convinced by this version. – Hołownia has a minority in the council, which is why he is forcefully trying to push through his solutions. He lacked votes on Friday, so he will try on Monday – explains a "Wyborcza" interviewee.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,32534155,zaskakujaca-zwrot-akcji-w-polsce-2050-holownia-jednak-pozostanie.html

-- PIS IS COUNTING ON A CRISIS IN THE ENTIRE COALITION - KAMILA BARANOWSKA IN INTERIA: “PiS politicians are looking with hope at Polska 2050's troubles, because they expect this to translate into long-term problems for the entire government. The head of the PiS club, Mariusz Błaszczak, openly spoke on Polsat News about the hope for Szymon Hołownia's departure from the coalition. Other politicians are also quietly speculating about this.”

-- WE KNOW SOMETHING ABOUT HOW TO GOVERN ON THE BRINK OF A MAJORITY - BARANOWSKA QUOTES A PiS POLITICIAN ON OFF: “- Even if the coalition maintains a majority after the split in Polska 2050, it will be hanging by a few votes, and that is always difficult for a government. We know something about that – one of our interlocutors tells us, recalling the second term of PiS rule. – When a majority hangs by a few votes, then before every more important vote, pilgrimages of MPs begin, who demand something in return for their vote. For any prime minister, it's a nightmare – he adds.”

-- PIS IS HAPPY THAT THE MEDIA ARE FOCUSING ON HOŁOWNIA'S DIVISIONS AND NOT THEIRS - STILL IN BARANOWSKA'S REPORT: “There is another reason for satisfaction regarding the troubles in Polska 2050. – At least we have a moment's respite, because the media have shifted from reporting on divisions within PiS to reporting on divisions and splits within Polska 2050. That's something – laughs a PiS politician.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/kraj/news-klopoty-w-partii-holowni-ciesza-opozycje-pis-liczy-na-kryzys,nId,22509766

-- HOŁOWNIA HAS MATURED TO THE POINT OF LEAVING THE COALITION, BECAUSE NOTHING GOOD AWAITS POLSKA 2050, AS THE THIRD LEG OF PLATFORM HAS LEFT, HOŁOWNIA WOULD LIKE TO MERGE - MARCIN FIJOŁEK AND PIOTR WITWICKI IN POLITYCZNY WF POLSAT NEWS AND INTERIA
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/podcasty/polityczny-wf/news-polityczny-wf-polska-2050-jak-partia-razem-holownia-obmysla,nId,22509748

-- HOŁOWNIA CONNECTED FROM DUBAI - DOROTA GAWRYLUK IN THE PROGRAM KALEJDOSKOP TYGODNIA ON POLSAT NEWS: – He went to Dubai. Yesterday, a decision was supposed to be made whether to repeat these elections, or the first round, or the second. It turned out that the MP, former marshal, interrupted the connection, and the decision was postponed. He had a right to be tired, because in Dubai it wasn't 11 PM, as his colleagues claim, but three hours later – the journalist reported.
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/kraj/news-impas-w-wyborach-lidera-polski-2050-holownia-byl-w-dubaju-i,nId,22509946

-- BOSAK DID NOT GO TO WASHINGTON FOR A TRIP. THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION HAS A PLAN FOR THE 2027 ELECTIONS - DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: “Members of the Trump administration, with whom PiS politicians are in contact, have made it clear: you must continue to work together, strengthen yourselves – and above all, marginalize Grzegorz Braun. And not only politicians from Nowogrodzka maintain contact with the US president's team, but also members of Konfederacja – Krzysztof Bosak was in Washington in December.”

-- THE DECLARATION OF WHAT A MISTAKE IT WAS HAS INCREASED THE PREVALENCE OF THOSE POLITICIANS IN THE PIŚ AUTHORITIES WHO FROM THE BEGINNING BELIEVED THAT ONE SHOULD NOT COMPETE WITH BRAUN ON RADICALISM, BECAUSE SUCH A RACE CANNOT BE WON - WIELOWIEYSKA FURTHER IN GW: “Within PiS, one can hear that it was Patryk Jaki who planted the idea in Kaczyński's head to wage war with Konfederacja and suggested announcing the "Polish Declaration," to which Kaczyński called on Mentzen to sign. The war between Nowogrodzka and "Konfa" began with the uproar around this declaration. Kaczyński was convinced that it was necessary because PiS might decline a bit, but "they" would decline more. After that, PiS began to slide towards 25 percent in polls. Konfederacja also weakened – in surveys by Opinia24, it dropped from a record 15 percent in June to just under 13 percent. At the same time, Braun began to grow even faster. So they started persuading Kaczyński not to listen to advice like Jaki's anymore. And within PiS authorities, the prevalence of those politicians who from the beginning believed that one should not compete with Braun on radicalism, because such a race cannot be won, has increased.”

-- WIELOWIEYSKA ON PIŚ SLEEPERS IN BRAUN'S FUTURE SEATS - FURTHER IN GW: “Because if these people enter parliament on Braun's lists, and he lacks mandates to achieve a parliamentary majority with Konfederacja, he will easily buy them over, and they will joyfully return to the bosom of their mother party. Perhaps some will even be sent by Nowogrodzka to Braun's lists to serve as PiS "sleepers" in his parliamentary seats.”

-- KONFEDERACJA DOES NOT INTEND TO CARRY THE BURDEN OF STORIES WITH MAJOR PIŚ SCANDALS LIKE THE JUSTICE FUND, BUT IT WILL PLAY WITH PIŚ TO ELIMINATE BRAUN - WIELOWIEYSKA'S CONCLUSION: “Konfederacja does not intend to carry the burden of stories with major PiS scandals like the Justice Fund. But the various ongoing evasions and provocations on minor issues do not prevent the populist right from joining forces for the primary goal: building a common strategy on how to eliminate Grzegorz Braun from the political arena.”
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,32532978,bosak-nie-pojechal-do-waszyngtonu-na-wycieczke-administracja.html

-- BRYŁKA: THE AGREEMENT WITH MERCOSUR MAKES US DEPENDENT ON RUSSIA - SAYS ANNA BRYŁKA IN AN INTERVIEW WITH KAMILA BARANOWSKA IN INTERIA: “It is no secret that the German economy is struggling and opening up South American markets could help it overcome its problems. However, at the same time, we expose ourselves to other problems. Who is a major exporter of fertilizers to South American countries today? Russia. Russia has a 20% share in global fertilizer production, still has access to cheap gas, Brazil purchased nearly 12 million tons of Russian fertilizers in 2024. By killing our agriculture and condemning ourselves, over the next decades, to importing agri-food products from South America, we are essentially making ourselves dependent on Russia. This is one of many paradoxes that are rarely discussed.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/kraj/news-anna-brylka-z-konfederacji-umowa-z-mercosur-uzaleznia-nas-od,nId,22509542

-- JAN LITYŃSKI WOULD HAVE TURNED 80 ON SUNDAY.

-- HE WAS A SELFLESS HERO TO THE VERY END. JAN LITYŃSKI DIED IN NARWI WHILE TRYING TO RESCUE A DOG FROM THE ICY RIVER.

-- BIRTHDAYS: Rafał Trzaskowski (54), Jan F. Libicki, Otylia Trzaskalska-Nuebel. SUNDAY: Helena Łuczywo, Ernest Skalski, Wiesław Dębski, Arkadiusz Marchewka.
 


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