Today's State of Play

POLITICAL STATE OF PLAY: Szubartowicz: Coalition Carried by Inertia, but Given a Second Life; Zaremba: The Slow Twilight of the Kaczyński Era

Łukasz Mężyk

-- 44TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE INTRODUCTION OF MARTIAL LAW BY THE COMMUNIST REGIME.

-- THE SLOW TWILIGHT OF JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI'S ERA - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN RZ: “We are witnessing the slow twilight of Jarosław Kaczyński's era. This is why PiS politicians are so awkwardly fighting for their position. This period may still last for years, but it's hard to ignore. Moreover, none of the combatants possess all the qualities that would allow them to replace Kaczyński. Hence the fear of a split.”

-- KACZYŃSKI HAD JUST ANNOUNCED HE WOULD WARN RIGHT-WING VOTERS AGAINST BACKING BRAUN. YET SUDDENLY, THE SAME JACEK SASIN ANNOUNCES ON CAMERA THAT HE WOULD PREFER A COALITION WITH BRAUN OVER TUSK. IS HE TORPEDOING THE PRESIDENT'S PEDAGOGY IN THIS WAY? - ZAREMBA CONTINUES: “Kaczyński had just announced that he would warn right-wing voters against backing Braun. Because this extreme radical is essentially acting in Tusk's interest, pushing the right towards denying German crimes or towards Russophilia. And now, suddenly, the same Jacek Sasin announces on camera that he would prefer a coalition with Braun over Tusk. Is he torpedoing the president's pedagogy in this way?”

-- FACTIONAL RIVALRY PLUS THE SPOILING OF VARIOUS MESSAGES TO VOTERS CAN CAUSE HARM. TODAY, AS AN ADDITION TO TUSK AND ŻUREK'S INSULTS AND REPRESSION, IT APPEARS DOWNRIGHT SUICIDAL - ZAREMBA FURTHER IN INTERIA: “The media are describing this twilight falsely, rejoicing that President Nawrocki is overshadowing Kaczyński today. The President has never been bothered by being overshadowed by other politicians, whether it was Beata Szydło or Morawiecki. Nawrocki doesn't threaten him because he won't be arranging electoral lists. However, factional rivalry plus the spoiling of various messages to voters can cause harm. Today, as an addition to Tusk and Żurek's insults and repression, it appears downright suicidal.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-ogladamy-powolny-zmierzch-ery-jaroslawa-kaczynskiego,nId,22497846

-- IF DONALD TUSK WERE TO SEND JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI CHRISTMAS WISHES, HE WOULD WISH HIM GRZEGORZ BRAUN - ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ IN NEWSWEEK: “But polls – especially internal ones – show that Konfederacja is not Kaczyński's main problem, but the brown Grzegorz. He is losing support to Braun. In addition, the polling drops in PiS are fueled by factional wars – the radical "masłarze" (Czarnek, Jaki, Sasin, Bocheński) are aiming to pacify the more moderate "harcerze," i.e., Morawiecki's supporters.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/opinie/kaczynski-walczy-na-kilku-frontach-a-sondazowa-slabosc-podsyca-wojne-w-pis/35c74ng

-- THE COALITION HAS PRIMARILY BEEN OPERATING UNDER THE FORCE OF INERTIA FOR TWO YEARS. IT IS CARRIED MORE BY THE FORCE OF EVENTS THAN BY A WELL-PREPARED PLAN, BUT IT HAS BEEN GIVEN A SECOND LIFE - PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “The ruling coalition has, for two years, been operating primarily under the force of inertia. Like dandelion seeds, it is carried more by the force of events and political twists of fate than by a well-prepared plan and determination. But it has been given a second life, which it can still take advantage of.”

-- IT IS PRACTICALLY A MIRACLE THAT THE MAIN PARTY IN POWER – CIVIC COALITION – HAS SUCH GOOD RATINGS AND HOLDS A STRONG FIRST PLACE IN THE POLLS, EVEN THOUGH THE GOVERNMENT'S RATINGS ARE POOR - SZUBARTOWICZ CONTINUES IN INTERIA: “It is practically a miracle that the main party in power – Civic Coalition – has such good ratings and holds a strong first place in the polls, even though the government's ratings are poor. It is a miracle that, even after the lost presidential elections, it still has a chance to retain power after 2027. And it is a miracle that, after this defeat, a strategy outline for the next two years has emerged.”

-- THE GOVERNMENT – IN ESSENCE WITHOUT MUCH OF ITS OWN CONTRIBUTION – HAS BEEN GIVEN A SECOND LIFE - SZUBARTOWICZ CONTINUES IN INTERIA: “Previously, there were missed opportunities and lost illusions. And omissions that, theoretically, should have backfired, but today no longer constitute a lasting legacy of the past two years. Because the government – essentially without much of its own contribution – has been given a second life.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-dwa-lata-rzadu-tuska-nieznosna-lekkosc-bezwladnosci,nId,22497776

-- THE RULING COALITION, INSTEAD OF EVEN TRYING TO CREATE A GOVERNMENT OF HOPE, ALLOWED ITSELF TO BE ENSLAVED BY ITS OWN FEARS - MICHAŁ PŁOCIŃSKI IN RZ: “And seriously: abnormal times certainly do not favor the Prime Minister, and public sentiment has also largely changed. But the ruling coalition, instead of even trying to create a government of hope, allowed itself to be enslaved by its own fears. Partly understandable, of course, but it's worse when these fears extend far beyond fundamental issues of party interests, and Donald Tusk himself becomes their prisoner.”

-- PRIME MINISTER TUSK IS DOING EVERYTHING TO AVOID BEING CATEGORIZED AS AN OVERLY PRO-UKRAINIAN POLITICIAN - PŁOCIŃSKI CONTINUES IN RZ: “This is most evident from his conspicuous absence in London. The Prime Minister may pretend that the meeting of European leaders on peace in Ukraine is not that important, or that it's not our fault – the great powers didn't want us there, and besides, there's no such city as London. But has he really done everything to sit at the decision-making table on an issue that he, like the president, has feared like the plague for months? And he is doing everything to avoid being categorized as an overly pro-Ukrainian politician.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art43488241-michal-plocinski-wszystkie-strachy-donalda-tuska

-- TIME FOR STRATEGY; EURO FROM BRUSSELS IS NOT ENOUGH - CEZARY SZYMANEK IN RZ: “Donald Tusk's government has so far fulfilled only one key economic commitment – it unblocked the KPO (National Recovery Plan). This is an important step, but insufficient given the scale of the challenges facing Poland. Today, we need not ad-hoc measures, but a long-term development strategy based on dialogue with business and strong institutions.”
https://www.rp.pl/opinie-ekonomiczne/art43488251-cezary-szymanek-dwa-lata-rzadu-tuska-czas-na-strategie-euro-z-brukseli-to-za-malo

-- STUDIES SHOW THAT ACCOUNTABILITY FOR PiS IS A PRIORITY FOR ONLY A DOZEN OR SO PERCENT TODAY; FOR THE REST, THE COST OF LIVING AND SECURITY MATTER MORE - AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: “Charges have already been brought against many prominent politicians from that administration, such as Ziobro or Morawiecki. The former has not yet formally heard them because he is hiding – first in Budapest, now in Brussels, so hated by PiS. This, of course, highlights the hypocrisy of the Kaczyński state. But studies show that accountability for PiS is a priority for only a dozen or so percent today; for the rest, the cost of living and security matter more.”

-- POLES EXPECT PRIMARILY IMPROVED LIVING CONDITIONS FROM THE GOVERNMENT - KUBLIK CONTINUES IN GW: “Today, Poles expect primarily improved living conditions from the government – income growth, halting price increases, and better healthcare (40 percent). These are the results of a CBOS survey for "Dziennik Gazeta Prawna." The opposition is also using the poor situation of the National Health Fund (NFZ) as one of the main arguments in its criticism of the government.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32467834,dwa-lata-rzadu-tuska.html#s=S.TD-K.C-B.1-L.1.duzy

-- BRAUN ANNOUNCED AT A RALLY WITH MATEUSZ PISKORSKI THAT "UNCOMMON PEOPLE" WOULD RUN FROM THE CROWN LISTS IN "EVERY ELECTORAL DISTRICT" - JOLANTA KOWALEWSKA IN GW FROM SZCZECIN: “The meeting with Grzegorz Braun, leader of the Confederation of the Polish Crown, and Mateusz Piskorski, suspected of espionage for Russia, scheduled for December 12th at 6 PM, was organized by the party at the Archdiocesan Seminary in Szczecin. They rented a hall there, but after protests, the Seminary terminated the contract. – So that Poles can act publicly without being exposed to persecution – Braun stated. He announced that "uncommon people" would run from the Crown lists in "every electoral district.”
https://szczecin.wyborcza.pl/szczecin/7,34939,32467922,grzegorz-braun-przedstawil-w-szczecinie-plan-swojego-gasnicowego.html

-- TWO YEARS AGO (on Sunday), WE LEARNED THAT EWA WANAT HAD PASSED AWAY.

-- BIRTHDAYS: Stanisław Żmijan, Jarosław Marciniak, Zuza Piechowicz. SUNDAY: Joanna Kluzik-Rostkowska, Beata Lubecka, Michał Szczerba, Adam Kądziela.

 


Łukasz Mężyk