Today's State of Play

STATE OF PLAY: Danielewski on Braun's 50 MPs in the Next Sejm, Zaremba: For Now, It's "Left Without Purpose," Skrzydłowska: Will Tusk Stop Playing Only for Himself?

Łukasz Mężyk

-- THURSDAY'S POLITICAL AGENDA: SEJM ON ADDITIONAL FUNDS FOR NFZ AND LIQUIDATION OF CBA, SIKORSKI IN BRUSSELS, TK ON THE KRS NOVELLA - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/pl/live

-- ON BRAUN'S 50 SEATS IN THE NEXT SEJM - MICHAŁ DANIELEWSKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “According to calculations by Dr. Maciej Onasz from the University of Łódź, if the results for Korona Polska in CBOS surveys were translated into parliamentary seats, it would give Braun's formation as many as 48 parliamentary mandates. This, in turn, would mean that if PiS wanted to return to power, a coalition with Mentzen and Bosak's Konfederacja would not be enough to achieve a majority; Kaczyński would also have to make a deal with Braun. Is he capable of such cooperation? Today, the PiS leader speaks very harshly: ‘What Braun is doing is a blow to our most elementary interests. Saying that the Holocaust did not happen, firstly, is a shameful historical lie, but it also destroys our relations with the United States. These are things that are not only shameful but also extremely harmful and perhaps done with some deliberation, with some concept.’”

-- THE WAR FUELS BRAUN, AND ITS POTENTIAL END AND THE DISCUSSION ABOUT UKRAINE IN THE EU - DANIELEWSKI QUOTES RAFAŁ CHWEDORUK: “– If the war in Ukraine ends, it will be the most important event in Polish politics. It is thanks to this war that Konfederacja has grown further; through this war, Grzegorz Braun has appeared in a significant political role. The end of the war will annihilate some of the fears driving the far-right, although it will transfer another part, because, for example, the issue of Ukraine's accession to the European Union will likely arise, which will potentially threaten the interests of various social and professional groups. But that will be a completely different discussion, without the emotional context we see now – indicates Professor Chwedoruk.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2322575,1,braun-na-fali-czym-uwodzi-wyznawcow-kto-naprawde-pociaga-za-sznurki-w-jego-teatrze.read

-- THE LEFT IS A FORMATION "FOR NOTHING." MEANING FOR SOMETHING, SO THAT A FEW ACTIVISTS HAVE EMPLOYMENT FOR AS LONG AS POSSIBLE - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN INTERIA: Czarzasty bought the support of the rest of the coalition to become Marshal, partly by agreeing to abolish the term limits for local government authorities. He bargained with PSL in this way. It came to him as easily as joining the system of violence during martial law. He is shrewd, but I do not see this as a mitigating circumstance in any way. Today, he is a typical leader of a formation "for nothing." Meaning for something, so that a few activists have employment for as long as possible.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-kim-pan-jest-panie-czarzasty,nId,22455921

-- THEORETICALLY, THESE ARE TIMES FOR A MODERN LEFT. HOWEVER, PARTY POWER IS EXERCISED BY SKILLED DINOSAURS - JAROSŁAW KUISZ IN INTERIA: “All this leads one to write with reflection. In 2025, theoretically, a large part of society demands a left-wing agenda. Theoretically, these are times for a modern left. However, party power is exercised by skilled dinosaurs. On the other hand, around 2014-2015, Jarosław Kaczyński seized the left-wing agenda. He threw it into a blender, combined it with nationalism – and did not give it back. Today, it is conservative "think tanks" that talk, for example, about social inequalities. Usually, straightforwardly.”

-- THE YOUNG LEFT IS SO OVER-INTELLECTUALIZED THAT THE FORMER WORKING CLASS IN POLAND DOESN'T QUITE KNOW IN WHOSE NAME THEY ARE SPEAKING THERE - KUISZ FURTHER IN INTERIA: “The young left is so over-intellectualized that the former working class in Poland doesn't quite know in whose name they are speaking there. Are the demands of the young left addressed to voters or to a seminar hall? All this talk about 'distinctions,' 'symbolic distances,' etc., what on earth does it have to do with concrete problems here and now?”

-- A YOUNG CANDIDATE IS PUT FORWARD IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS WHEN THERE IS NO CHANCE OF VICTORY. LET HER ENJOY IT FOR A WHILE - KUISZ FURTHER: “Generally, their strategy and tactics are simple. Throwing a carrot, but finely chopped. Or in a small piece. For example: a young candidate is put forward in presidential elections when there is no chance of victory. Let her enjoy it for a while. After the defeat, she will not be a threat. At least not immediately.”

-- IT'S NOT MY CUP OF TEA, BUT I'LL SAY THIS: FOLLOWING EUROPEAN TRENDS, IT'S RATHER ZANDBERG WHO SENSES THE WIND OF THE FUTURE - KUISZ'S CONCLUSION: “It's not my cup of tea, but I'll say this: following European trends, it's rather Zandberg who senses the wind of the future. Maybe not immediately, but over time, she has a chance to gain more supporters. If she speaks sharply, directly, and populistly.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-czarzasty-marszalkiem-jak-lewica-zjada-sie-sama,nId,22455497

-- WHAT ABOUT THE LEFT? WILL TUSK NOW PLAY TOGETHER WITH CZARZASTY, OR ONLY FOR HIMSELF? THE FUTURE OF THE LEFT AND THE FUTURE OF KO DEPEND ON THIS - KATARZYNA SKRZYDŁOWSKA-KALUKIN IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “In the entire equation, one more variable needs to be considered – Donald Tusk. And he needs his co-coalition partners like a raft. At the same time, he drowns them. Their ratings are falling at a dizzying pace – if elections were held today, only the Left would enter the Sejm on its own. However, KO without partners could not govern. Before the last parliamentary elections, Tusk understood that to gain and maintain power, he had to become part of the broadly understood democratic camp. And at the same time, he took away the left's agenda (briefly). Will he now play together with Czarzasty, or only for himself? The future of the Left and the future of KO depends on this. And Czarzasty's taking the Marshal's office has an impact on the development of this situation.”
https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2025/11/20/czarzasty-jako-marszalek-przyda-sie-na-cos-lewicy/

-- CONGRESS SCIENCE FOR BUSINESS. PRIME MINISTER TUSK SPOKE ABOUT SECURITY, HE DID NOT MENTION MONEY - ALICJA GARDULSKA IN GW: “There was disappointment in the corridors of the first National Congress Science for Business on Wednesday. 'Empty and without specifics' – was the most frequent comment. (...) – This speech was not for us. I had the impression that the Prime Minister was addressing a different audience – said one of the professors. – He gave us absolutely nothing, not even a shred of comfort – wondered another of my interlocutors.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,32406386,polska-marzy-aby-stac-sie-europejska-dolina-krzemowa-ale-brakuje.html

-- ONE BENEFIT MAY ARISE FROM ZOHRAN MAMDANIE'S ADMINISTRATION IN NEW YORK. ONCE AGAIN, WE WILL SEE WHERE SOCIALIST UTOPIA LEADS - WITOLD GADOMSKI IN GW: “One benefit may arise from Mamdanie's administration in New York. Once again, we will see where socialist utopia leads. Will this deter voters from voting for socialists? Who knows? As Stanisław Staszewski sang – everyone has the right to choose wrongly.”

-- MAMDANIE'S ADMINISTRATION WILL RATHER FOCUS ON MEDIATION, WARM TEA, AND PREVENTIVE HANDSHAKES, RATHER THAN HANDCUFFS - WITOLD GADOMSKI FURTHER IN GW: “New York owes its still relatively low crime rate to the administration of Mayor Rudy Giuliani, who, in the 1990s, along with Police Commissioner Bill Bratton, introduced an aggressive 'broken windows' policy – tough enforcement of the law against minor offenses such as fare evasion on the subway, graffiti, extortion of tips by alleged window washers at intersections, and public drinking. Simultaneously, CompStat was implemented – a system of statistical mapping and crime monitoring that allowed for real-time tracking of where crime was increasing and holding precinct commanders accountable. As a result, crime in New York dropped dramatically: the murder rate decreased by several dozen percent (compared to the beginning of the decade), and the city began to be described as one of the safest large metropolises in the USA. Mamdanie's administration will rather focus on mediation, warm tea, and preventive handshakes, rather than handcuffs.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32409321,wybory-w-nowym-jorku-okiem-liberala-socjalizm-z-dostawa-do.html

-- CZARNECKI WITHOUT EFFECTIVE APPEAL. THE RECEIVER WINS A KEY STAGE - AS MONEY.PL HAS LEARNED: “The Court of Appeal in Warsaw dismissed the appeal of Leszek Czarnecki and LC Corp B.V. against the security of the Idea Bank receiver's claim for PLN 967 million. The decision upholds the block on their assets, including shares in Getin Holding. – My claims have therefore been recognized as substantiated by a final and binding decision and give hope that it will be possible to recover real funds from Leszek Czarnecki's assets – says Marcin Kubiczek.”
https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/czarnecki-bez-skutecznego-odwolania-syndyk-wygrywa-kluczowy-etap-7223537049405984a.html

-- BIRTHDAYS: Jadwiga Rotnicka, Jacek Merkel, Jolanta Pieńkowska. 
 


Łukasz Mężyk