Today's State of Play

STATE OF PLAY: Politico on the New Wave of Ukrainian Refugees in Poland and Germany, Machowski: Many Coalition Lists Will Hand Power to the Right

Łukasz Mężyk

-- WIPLER: WE CANNOT ENTER INTO A COALITION WITH ANYONE WHO DOES NOT GIVE US CONTROL OVER ABW - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/pl/live

-- STEEP INFLUX OF NEW UKRAINIAN REFUGEES CAUSES OPPOSITION IN BERLIN AND WARSAW - POLITICO EUROPE: "We are not interested in young Ukrainians spending time in Germany instead of defending their country," Jürgen Hardt, an MP and foreign policy spokesman for Merz's party, told POLITICO on Tuesday. "Ukraine makes its own decisions, but the recent change in law has led to an emigration trend that we must confront."

-- BAVARIAN PREMIER SÖDER PROPOSED LIMITING THE SO-CALLED TEMPORARY PROTECTION DIRECTIVE AT THE EU LEVEL IF KYIV DOES NOT VOLUNTARILY RESTRICT IMMIGRANT INFLOW - FURTHER IN POLITICO EUROPE: "Söder proposed limiting the so-called temporary protection directive at the EU level if Kyiv does not voluntarily restrict immigrant inflow. These regulations provide Ukrainians who entered the EU after February 2022 with automatic protection status. "Our solidarity continues," he said. "But it requires clear rules and responsibility on both sides."
https://www.politico.eu/article/steep-influx-ukrainian-refugees-berlin-germany-warsaw-poland/

-- IT CAN ALREADY BE FORECAST TODAY THAT THE DEMOCRATIC PARTIES RUNNING ON MANY LISTS WILL BRING THEM DEFEAT IN 2027 - THE NATIONALIST RIGHT WILL REGAIN POWER - ANDRZEJ MACHOWSKI IN GW: "In the summer of 2027, when parties decide on the formula for running in elections, the alternative that democrats will face will most likely be the same as now: either running on separate lists, which even with a very good result for KO leads democrats to lose power, or a joint list that gives a majority of seats."
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32362510,nowe-wybory-stary-dylemat-razem-czy-osobno-analiza-sondazy.html

-- TUSK IS STEPPING UP THE NARRATIVE, EXPANDING THE CPK ACRONYM AS "ALL PIS IS STEALING", EVEN THOUGH HE KNOWS THE MATTER IS COMPLICATED - DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: "On the one hand, the owners of Dawtona, which bought the plot intended for the high-speed train to the airport in Baranowo, took photos with Minister Telus from the PiS government, on the other hand - they supported Rafał Trzaskowski and Campus Polska. What is true, what is spin from Kaczyński's party in the CPK affair? And why is Prime Minister Tusk stepping up the narrative, expanding the CPK acronym as 'Cały PiS Kradnie' (All PiS is Stealing), even though he knows the matter is complicated?"

-- KO IS SLOWLY TAKING OVER THE ELECTORATE OF ITS COALITION PARTNERS, AND PIS IS UNABLE TO TAKE OVER THE ELECTORATE OF KONFEDERACJA AND GRZEGORZ BRAUN - FURTHER WIELOWIEYSKA: "Tusk assumes that the current, particularly deep polarization is very much needed by Civic Coalition and works to the benefit of his party more than to the benefit of PiS. KO is slowly taking over the electorate of its coalition partners, and PiS is unable to take over the electorate of Konfederacja and Grzegorz Braun. The CPK plot affair will make it even more difficult for Nowogrodzka to rebuild support in the right-wing electorate."
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,32363910,wielowieyska-donald-tusk-pomija-niuanse-w-sprawie-afery-cpk.html

-- VOTERS MAY NOT LOVE TUSK AND HIS PARTY, BUT MANY OF THEM WILL CERTAINLY REMEMBER WHY THEY DON'T LOVE KACZYŃSKI EITHER - ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: "If it becomes impossible to open a refrigerator without information about further accusations, arrests, organized criminal groups, and land deals for CPK falling out, then voters may not love Tusk and his party, but many of them will certainly remember why they don't love Jarosław Kaczyński either."

-- THE PROSPECT OF RECONSTRUCTING THE OCTOBER 15 COALITION AFTER 2027 WOULD NOT BE AS DISTANT AS IT SEEMED NOT SO LONG AGO - BARTKIEWICZ'S CONCLUSION: "If both left-wing parties had agreed on a joint list before the elections, those few additional percentage points brought to the KO list by the former Third Way might have made the prospect of reconstructing the October 15 coalition after 2027 not as distant as it seemed not so long ago."
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art43252181-artur-bartkiewicz-prokuratura-wrzuca-piaty-bieg-w-tle-trzy-cele-donalda-tuska

-- BIRTHDAYS: Anna Krupka, Andrzej Drzycimski, Tomasz Zimoch, Andrzej Gut-Mostowy, Andrzej Rzońca, Małgorzata Golińska.
 


Łukasz Mężyk